• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분석 및 추론

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Inferential Problems in Bayesian Logistic Regression Models (베이지안 로지스틱 회귀모형에서의 추론에 대한 연구)

  • Hwang, Jin-Soo;Kang, Sung-Chan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1149-1160
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    • 2011
  • Model selection and hypothesis testing problems in Bayesian inference are still debated between scholars. Bayesian factors traditionally used as a criterion in Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selection, are easy to understand but sometimes hard to compute. In addition, there are other model selection criterions such as DIC(Deviance Information Criterion) by Spiegelhalter et al. (2002) and Bayesian P-values for testing. In this paper, we briefly introduce the Bayesian hypothesis testing and model selection procedure. In addition we have applied a Bayesian inference to Swiss banknote data by a fitting logistic regression model and computing several test statistics to see if they provide consistent results.

A Case Study on the Students' Covariational Reasoning in the Continuous Functional Situations (함수적 상황에 대한 초등학생들의 공변추론 사례연구)

  • Hur, Joonho;Park, Mangoo
    • Education of Primary School Mathematics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.55-73
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of cognitive activity on cognitive activities that students imagine and cope with continuously changing quantitative changes in functional tasks represented by linguistic expressions, table of value, and geometric patterns, We identified covariational reasoning levels and investigated the characteristics of students' reasoning process according to the levels of covariational reasoning in the elementary quantitative problem situations. Participants were seven 4th grade elementary students using the questionnaires. The selected students were given study materials. We observed the students' activity sheets and conducted in-depth interviews. As a result of the study, the students' covariational reasoning level for two quantities that are continuously covaried was found to be five, and different reasoning process was shown in quantitative problem situations according to students' covariational reasoning levels. In particular, students with low covariational level had difficulty in grasping the two variables and solved the problem mainly by using the table of value, while the students with the level of chunky and smooth continuous covariation were different from those who considered the flow of time variables. Based on the results of the study, we suggested that various problems related with continuous covariation should be provided and the meanings of the tasks should be analyzed by the teachers.

An Investigation on $6^{th}$ Grade Students' Spatial Sense and Spatial Reasoning (초등학교 6학년 학생들의 공간감각과 공간추론능력 실태조사)

  • Kim, Yu-Kyung;Pang, Jeong-Suk
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.353-373
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to provide instructional suggestions by investigating the spatial sense and spatial reasoning ability of 6th grade students. The questionnaire consisted of 20 questions, 10 for spatial visualization and 10 for spatial orientation. The number of subjects for the survey was 145. The processes through which the students solved the problems were the basis for the assessment of their spatial reasoning. The result of the survey is as follows: First, students performed better in spatial visualization than in spatial orientation. With regard to spatial visualization, they were better in transformation than in rotation. With regard to spatial orientation, students performed better in orientation sense and structure cognitive ability than in situational sense. Second, the students that weren't excellent in spatial visualization tended to answer the familiar figures without using mental images. The students who lacked spatial orientation experienced difficulties finding figures observed from the sides. Third, students had high frequency rate on the cognition and use of transformation, the development and application of visualization methods and the use of analysis and synthesis. However they had a lower rate on a systematic approach and deductive reasoning. Further detailed investigation into how students use spatial reasoning, and apply it to actual teaching practice as a device for advancing their geometric thinking is necessary.

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The Design and Performance Analysis of an Effective OWL Storage System Based on the DBMS (데이터베이스 시스템에 기반한 효율적인 OWL 저장시스템 설계 및 성능분석)

  • Cha, Seong-Hwan;Kim, Seong-Sik;Kim, TaeYoung
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2008
  • Having observed the restriction of the current Web technology, the semantic Web has been developed, and it now has grown up with the core help of the W3C to a level where it recommends the OWL Web ontology language. Besides, in order to deduce the information out of OWL data, several inference systems have been developed such as Jena, Jess, and JTP. Unfortunately, however, quite few systems can effectively handle recently developed OWL data, and further, due to the limitation of file-based operation, the current inference systems cannot meet the requirements for handing huge OWL data. An efficient method for storing and searching ontology data is essential for ensuring stable information inference processes. In this study, firstly, we proposed a model based on the database management system to transform and store OWL data and to enable deduction process from the database. Secondly, we designed and implemented an effective OWL storing system based on our model. Finally, we compare our system with the previous inference systems through experimental performance analysis.

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Evaluation of Arousal Level to Prevent Drowsy Driving by Fuzzy Inference (졸음운전 방지를 위한 fuzzy 추론에 의한 각성도의 평가)

  • Kim, Y. H.;Ko, H. W.;Lyou, J.
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.491-498
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    • 1997
  • This paper describes the arousal measurement and control system using fuzzy logic to prevent drowsy driving. Sugeno's method was used for fuzzy inference in this study. Arousal evaluation and control criteria were modified from result of Nz-IRI analysis depending on arousal sate. Membership function and rule base of fuzzy inference were determined from the modified arousal level criteria When lRl (Inter-SIR Interval) was shorter than 60sec, outputs of both methods were changed from small to big, but output of three step warning method was same level until the next warning range. Since output of fuzzy inference tracked well the change of subject's arousal level, problems of three step warning method could be overcome by fuzzy inference method Furthermore, the output of the fuzzy inference was highly correlated with Nz(r = 0.99). Therefore, the fuzzy inference method for evaluation and the control of arousal will be more effective at real driving situation than three step warning method.

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A Comparative Study on Scientific Reasoning Skills in Korean and the US College Students (한국과 미국 대학생들의 과학적 추론 능력에 대한 비교 연구)

  • Jeon, Woo-Soo;Kwon, Yong-Ju;Lawson, Anton E.
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 1999
  • The present study investigated Korean and the US college students' scientific reasoning skills involving hypothesis-testing skills and tested the hypothesis that hypothesis-testing skills are more advanced ones than other scientific reasoning skills investigated in this study. Seven hundred and seventy-four(774) Korean and five hundred and sixty-eight(568) the US students were sampled in university level. The Test of Scientific Reasoning was used as a scientific reasoning test. The test is consisted of two conservational reasoning, two proportional reasoning, one pendulum, two probability reasoning, two controlling variable, one correlational reasoning, and two hypothesis-testing reasoning tasks. Korean students showed a significant higher score in proportional and probability reasoning tasks than the US students. However, the Korean showed a significant lower score in conservation and correlation reasoning tasks than their American counterparts. Further, Korean and the US college students showed a notably poor performance in hypothesis-testing skills comparing with other scientific reasoning skills, which supported the hypothesis that hypothesis-testing skills are more advanced ones than other scientific reasoning skills. In addition, the Korean showed a severe deficiency in candle-burning task which required the skill that students have to design a scientific test-procedure to test theoretical hypotheses. This study also discussed on the educational implications of the results of the present study.

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An Intelligent Context-Awareness Middleware for Service Adaptation based on Fuzzy Inference (퍼지 추론 기반 서비스 적응을 위한 지능형 상황 인식 미들웨어)

  • Ahn, Hyo-In;Yoon, Seok-Hwan;Yoon, Yong-Ik
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.14B no.4
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    • pp.281-286
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes an intelligent context awareness middleware(ICAM) for Ubiquitous Computing Environment. In this paper we have researched about the context awareness middleware. The ICAM model is based on ontology that efficiently manages analyses and learns about various context information and can provide intelligent services that satisfy the human requirements. Therefore, various intelligent services will improve user's life environment. We also describe the current implementation of the ICAM for service adaptation based on fuzzy inference that help applications to adapt their ubiquitous computing environments according to rapidly changing. For this, after defining the requirements specifications of ICAM, we have researched the inferred processes for the higher level of context awareness. The Fuzzy Theory has been used in process of inferences, and showed constructing the model through the service process. Also, the proposed fuzzy inferences has been applied to smart Jacky, and after inferring the fuzzy values according to the change of temperature, showed the adaptability of Smart Jacky according to the change of surroundings like temperature as showing the optimal value of status.

Middle School Gifted Students' Evidence-Based Reasoning about the Shape of a Planet's Orbit (행성 궤도의 모양에 관한 중학교 영재 학생들의 증거 기반 추론)

  • Oh, Phil Seok
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.118-131
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the characteristics of evidence-based reasoning practiced by middle school gifted students. Data were collected through an online task in which middle school students in gifted education institutes of a university located in the metropolitan area, Korea, performed inquiry about the shape of a planet's orbit. The students were given data of Mercury's greatest elongations and asked to draw the planet's orbit with the data. Each of the students was also asked to provide his or her hypothesis of Mercury's orbit before the drawing and to reason about the orbit again using his or her own drawing as evidence. The content analysis of the students' reports revealed 5 different types of judgement about the shape of Mercury's orbit, 4 types of reasoning about the hypothesis and evidence, and the characteristics of evidence-based reasoning within the judgement types. Based upon the analysis results, the importance of proper interpretations of evidence in evidence-based reasoning, the core role of the theory-evidence coordination, and the usefulness of working with multiple hypotheses were discussed. In addition, implications for earth science education were suggested.

Effect of Mathematics Instruction Based on Constructivism on Learners' Knowledge Generation Level and Reasoning Ability - Focusing on 4th Grade Fraction (구성주의를 반영한 수학 수업이 학생의 지식 생성 수준 및 추론능력에 미치는 영향 - 초등학교 4학년 분수를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Eungsuk;Kim, Jinho
    • Education of Primary School Mathematics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.79-112
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this research is to find the effects of learner-centered instruction based on constructivism (LCIC) on their knowledge generation level and reasoning ability. To look for them, after fraction units are re-planed for implementing LCIC, instructions using it provide students in a class. From the data, some conclusions can be drawn as follows: LCIC has more positive influence of students on recall ability, generation ability, and reasoning ability than tractional instruction method. With the data it can be said that the interaction exists between learners' reasoning ability and generation level.

Sensory Evaluation of Cooked Rice with Fuzzy Reasoning (퍼지추론을 이용한 쌀밥의 관능평가)

  • Lee, Seung-Ju;Noh, Wan-Seob;Choi, Yoo-Chul
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.776-780
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    • 1994
  • Fuzzy reasoning was applied to sensory evaluation of cooked rice. A sensory attribute diagnostics was done in terms of tour kinds of attributes-texture, taste, odor and appearance which determine overall palatability. First, rating for the contribution level of each attribute to the overall palatability was asked as one of five scales-very important, important, moderate, slight and very slight. Secondly, the preference level of each attribute for a cooked rice sample was asked as one of five hedonic scales-excellent, good, fair, poor and very poor. Thirdly, the results of the scales were converted into fuzzy values and operated by fuzzy reasoning. Finally, the contribution and preference levels of the attributes were composed to infer the overall palatability of cooked rice sample.

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