• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분산분해 분석

Search Result 218, Processing Time 0.031 seconds

A Study on Causality among Trading Volume of Pyeongtaek Port, Incheon Inner Harbor and Incheon North Harbor (인천내항, 인천북항, 평택항간 물동량의 인과관계 분석)

  • Yoo, Heonjong;Ahn, Seung-Bum
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.255-273
    • /
    • 2014
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the causal relationship among the trading volume of Pyeongtaek port, Incheon Inner Harbor, Incheon North Harbor. Methodologically, Granger causality, impulse response function, and variance decomposition based on VAR are used. The results indicate that Pyeongtaek port trading volume positive shock has positive effects on Incheon North Harbor. In addition, Incheon Inner Harbor trading volumes positive shock has negative effects on Pyeongtaek port. The results also suggest that the volume of Pyeongtaek port Granger-causes the volume of Incheon North Harbor, but not vice versa. The volume of Incheon Inner Harbor Granger-causes the volume of Pyeongtaek port. Based on these results, we suggest that port authorities have to focus on policies that would promote copetition between port of Pyeongtaek and Incheon in the world harbor industry.

Study on Interrelation between the Service Industrial Production Index and the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index (서비스업생산지수와 서비스업도소매지수와의 상호연관성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Joo Il
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.83-95
    • /
    • 2016
  • We examine the information transmission between the Service Industrial Production Index and the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index, based on the returns data offered by the Korea Bank. The data includes daily return data from January 2000 to September 2015. Utilizing a dynamic analytical tool-the VAR model, Granger Causality test, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition have been implemented. The results of the analysis are as follows. Firstly, results of Granger Causality test suggests the existence of mutual causality the Service Industrial Production Index precede and have explanatory power the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index However the results also identified a greater causality and explanatory power of the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index over the Service Industrial Production Index. Secondly, the results of impulse response function suggest that the Service Industrial Production Index show immediate response to the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index and are influenced by till time 5 From time 2, the impact gradually disappears. Also the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index show immediate response to the Service Industrial Production Index and are influenced by till time 2.5, the impact gradually disappears. Lastly, the variance decomposition analysis shows that the changes of return of Service Industrial Production Index are dependent on those of the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index. This implies that returns on the Service Industrial Production Index have a significant influence over returns on the Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index. It contributes to the understanding of market price formation function through analysis of detached the Service Industrial Production Index and Service Industrial Wholesale and Retail Index. Finally, our results can be used as a guide by the Korea Bank and Republic of Korea and as well as Statistics Korea.

A Study on the Effects of Wage Standardization Strategy by the Trade Unions (임금표준화전략의 효과에 관한 연구)

  • 남상섭
    • The Journal of Information Technology
    • /
    • v.3 no.2
    • /
    • pp.23-37
    • /
    • 2000
  • This study examines the effect of trade union on the structure of wage determining and the variance of wage in manufacturing and non-manufacturing, 1993, in Korea It finds that the wage determining mechanism is significantly different between union and nonunion establishments, and that the wage inequality is too significantly lower among workers in establishments that are unionized than among those that are not. However, it is not clear whether the union wage policies designed to standardize rates have the effects of reduction in wage variance. that is mostly because of smaller variance within unionized workers having the same wage determining characteristics.

  • PDF

Study on Lead-Lag Relationship between Individual Spot and Futures of Communication Service Industries: Focused on KT and SK Telecom (통신서비스 업종 개별주식 현물과 선물 간 선도-지연 효과: 한국통신과 SK텔레콤을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Joo Il
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.91-103
    • /
    • 2015
  • We examine the information transmission between the KT Spot and the KT Futures Index, the SK Telecom Spot and the SK Telecom Futures Index, based on the returns data offered by the Korea Exchange. The data includes daily return data from 1 January 2012 to 31 December 2014. Utilizing a dynamic analytical tool-the VAR model, Granger Causality test, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition have been implemented. The results of the analysis are as follows. Firstly, results of Granger Causality test suggests the existence of mutual causality the KT Futures Index and the SK Telecom Futures Index precede and have explanatory power the KT Spot and the SK Telecom Spot However the results also identified a greater causality and explanatory power of the KT Spot and the SK Telecom Spot over the KT Futures Index and the SK Telecom Futures Index. Secondly, the results of impulse response function suggest that the KT Futures Index show immediate response to the KT Spot and are influenced by till time 4. From time 2, the impact gradually disappears. Also the SKT Futures Index show immediate response to the SKT Spot and are influenced by till time 4. From time 2, the impact gradually disappears. Lastly, the variance decomposition analysis shows that the changes of return of the KT Spot and SKT Spot are dependent on those of the KT Futures Index and the SK Telecom Futures Index. This implies that returns on the KT Spot and SKT Spot have a significant influence over returns on the KT Futures Index and the SK Telecom Futures Index. It contributes to the understanding of market price formation function through analysis of detached the KT Spot and the KT Futures Index, the SK Telecom Spot and the SK Telecom Futures Index.

Fabrication of counter electrodes for dye-sensitized solar cells by using surface modified and dispersion controlled multi-walled carbon nanotubes (표면개질 및 분산제어된 다중벽 탄소나노튜브를 이용한 염료감응태양전지 대전극의 제조)

  • Choi, Hee-Jung;Lee, Gi-Won;Park, Nam-Kyu;Kim, Kyung-Kon;Hong, Sung-Chul
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2008.05a
    • /
    • pp.445-447
    • /
    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 다중벽 탄소나노튜브용 표면개질제를 리빙라디칼중합법을 통하여 제조하고, 이를 이용하여 표면개질되고 분산제어된 다중벽탄소나노튜브를 제조하고 염료감응형 태양전지의 대전극 재료로 사용하였다. 우선 리빙라디칼중합법 중 nitroxide mediated polymerization (NMP) 기술을 이용하여 poly(maleic anhydride-co-p-acetoxystyrene)-block-poly(p-acetoxystyrene)를 합성하고, 공중합체중의 maleic anhydride기에 이미드화 반응을 통하여 pyrene기를 도입하였다. 공중합체 중의 p-acetoxystyrene 반복단위들은 가수분해 반응을 통하여 p-hydroxystyrene 반복단위로 변환하였으며, 제조된 공중합체의 구조와 열 특성 등을 GPC, GC, $^1H$-NMR, TGA을 통하여 분석하였다. 제조된 공중합체를 이용하여 다중벽 탄소나노튜브의 표면을 polymer wrapping법으로 처리하였고, 표면개질된 탄소나노튜브의 분산성을 다양한 용매에서 비교분석하였다. 표면이 개질되고 페이스트 내에의 분산성이 향상된 다중벽탄소나노튜브를 염료감응태양전지의 대전극 제조에 응용하였으며, 표면처리 및 분산제어 여부에 따른 제작 특성 및 동작특성 등을 평가하였다.

  • PDF

The Dynamics of Intraday Price Transmission Across the Stock Index Futures Markets: The Standard & Poor's 500, the New York Stock Exchange Composite, and the Major Market Index Futures (주가지수선물시장 상호간의 가격정보 전달구조에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Min-Ho
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.239-271
    • /
    • 1995
  • 본 연구는 현재 미국에서 거래되고 있는 세 가지 주가지수선물 상호간의 일중(intradaily) 가격선도(price leadership) 관계에 관한 실증분석이다. 본 연구가 기존의 연구와 다른점은, 기존의 연구가 주가지수선물과 그 기준이 되는 현물 가격사이의 가격 선도 관계에 초점을 두고 있는데 반하여 본 연구는 주가지수선물 시장 사이에서 존재하는 가격 선도관계를 분석하고 있다는 점이다. 실증 분석의 대상이 된 주가지수선물들은 Chicago Mercantile Exchange의 Standard and Poor's 500 Index(S&P 500), New York Futures Exchange의 New York Stock Exchange Composit Index (NYSE), 그리고 Chicago Board of Trade의 Major Market Index(MMI)이다. 만약 이들 시장들이 정보의 전달에 있어서 효율적(informationally efficient) 이라면 이들 가격간에 선도-지연(lead-lag) 현상은 존재하지 않을 것이다. 그러나 어느 한 시장이 새로운 정보를 선물가격에 반영하는데 다른 시장에 비해 상대적으로 느리다면, 이들 시장 상호간에는 가격의 전이(transmission)현상이 존재하게 될 것이다. 이들 선물간의 일중 가격선도 관계 연구는 이러한 시장의 효율성 문제를 밝히는데 의의가 있을 뿐만 아니라, 시장간의 단기적 가격 괴리를 이용하려는 차익거래자들에게도 유용하게 쓰일 수 있을 것이다. 본 연구는 위에서 언급한 각각의 주가지수선물들이 가격 선도성을 가질 수 있는 이유와 관련된 다음과 같은 세 가지 가설을 설정하였다. 첫째 가설은, 가격의 선도성은 거래량과 관련이 있다는 것이다. 즉, 이들 주가지수선물 중 가장 거래량이 많은 S&P 500 선물이 다른 선물을 선도할 것이라는 가설이다. 둘째, 가격의 선도성은 주가지수를 구성하는 주식의 수에 비례한다는 가설이다. 다시 말하면, 보다 않은 수로 구성된 주가지수일수록 정보처리 속도가 빠르다는 가설이다. 따라서, 본 연구에 포함된 주가지수선물 중 가장 많은 수의 주식을 대상으로 하는 NYSE 선물이 다른 선물을 선도할 것이다. 마지막 가설은 정보의 처리는 대형주 혹은 기관선호주(institutionally-favored)들이 주도한다는 것이다. 따라서, 주로 이와 같은 주식들로 구성 된 MMI 선물이 선도성을 가질 수 있다는 것이다. 위의 가설들을 검증하고 시장간의 가격 선도관계를 분석하기 위하여 본 연구는 vector autoregressive(VAR) 모형을 이용하여 충격-반응 함수(impulse response functions)를 계산하고, 분산분해(variance decomposition)를 수행하였다. 또한 가격 상호간에 존재할지도 모르는 공적분(cointegration)관계를 Johansen(1991)과 Jokansen and Juselius (1992) 등이 제시한 다변량 공적분 검정(multivariate cointegration test)를 통하여 분석하였다. 분석기간은 1986년 1월부터 1990년 7월까지이며, 각 주가지수선물들의 5분 간격 data를 사용하였다. 연구결과, 충격-반응 분석은 어느 한 시장에서의 충격(shock)은 다른 시장으로 매우 빠르게 전달되고 있음을 보여 주었다. 그러나 충격의 지속정도는 그 충격의 진원지에 따라 달랐다. 즉, NYSE나 MMI 선물로부터 발생 한 충격은 다른 시장의 가격에 5분 안에 반영을 끝냈지 만 S&P 500 선물에서 발생한shock은 그 이상 지속되었다. 또한, 분산분해 결과 S&P 500 선물이 자기자신 뿐만 아니라 다른 시장의 예상하지 못했던 움직임(unexpected movements)을 설명하는데 가장 큰 설명력(explanatory power)을 가지고 있었다. 결론적으로 S&P 500 선물이 다른 선물을 약 5분 간격으로 선도하였다. 이는 가격의 선도가 거래량과 밀접한 관계가 있음을 보여 주는 것이다.

  • PDF

Evaluation of the Stability of Biodegradable Nanoparticle with Time via Particle Size Measurement (입자 크기 측정을 통한 생분해성 나노입자의 시간에 따른 분산 안정성 평가)

  • Cho, Kuk-Young;Yim, Jin-Heong;Park, Jung-Ki;Lee, Ki-Seok
    • Polymer(Korea)
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.246-250
    • /
    • 2008
  • Colloidal stability of the biodegradable nanoparticle was characterized by measuring the variation of particle size with time using photon correlation spectroscopy. Three kinds of polymers, namely, poly(D,L-lactide-co-glycolide)(PLGA), PLGA/poly(L-lactide) blends, and PLGA/poly(L-lactide)-g-poly(ethylene glycol) blends were used as matrix material for nanoparticle preparation. Nanoparticles were prepared with or without using poly(vinyl alcohol)(PVA) as suspension stabilizer to evaluate the condition of preparation. Nanoparticles from the blend of amphiphilic graft copolymer with short poly(ethylene glycol) chain and PLGA maintained suspension for 1 day when protein stock solution was introduced. This is somewhat improvement in colloidal stability against protein adsorption compared with that of nanoparticles without PEG moiety. Suspension stabilizer, PVA, had a significant effect on the colloidal stability against freezing and protein adsorption which led to coagulation of nanoparticles. It is important to consider effect of suspension stabilizer as well as materials used to prepare nanoparticle on the colloidal stability.

Analysis of Export Behaviors of Busan, Incheon and Gwangyang Port (부산항, 인천항, 광양항의 수출행태분석)

  • Mo, Soowon;Chung, Hongyoung;Lee, Kwangbae
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.32 no.3
    • /
    • pp.35-46
    • /
    • 2016
  • This study investigates the export behavior of Busan, Gwangyang and Incheon Port. The monthly data cover the period from January 2000 to December 2015. We employ six export functions composed of various exchange rates and industrial production index. This paper finds that the nominal effective exchange rate is more appropriate for explaining the export behaviors of the three ports, regardless of the narrow and wide indices which comprise 26 and 61 economies for the nominal and real indices respectively. This paper tests whether exchange rate and industrial production are stationary or not, rejecting the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration at the 5 percent significance level. The error-correction model is estimated to find that both Gwangyang and Incheon ports are much slower than Busan port in adjusting the short-run disequilibrium and Gwangyang port is a little slower than Incheon port. The rolling regressions show that the influence of exchange rate as well as industrial production tends to decrease in all of three ports. The variance decomposition, however, shows that the export variables are very exogenous and the export of Busan Port is the least exogenous and that of Gwangyang Port the most. This result indicates that the economic variables such as exchange rate and economic activity affect the export of Busan Port more strongly than that of Gwangyang and Incheon Port.

The Law of One Price and Dynamic Relationship between EU ETS and Nord Pool Carbon Prices (국제 탄소배출권 가격의 일물일가 검정 및 동태적 분석)

  • Mo, Jung-Youn;Yang, Seung-Ryong;Cho, Yong-Sung
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.14 no.3
    • /
    • pp.569-593
    • /
    • 2005
  • This study tests for the law of one price and Grander Causality between the EU ETS and Nord Pool $CO_2$ allowance prices. The Johansen cointegration test shows that there exists a long run equilibrium between EU ETS and Nord Pool prices and support the law of one price. The Granger casuality test suggests that the EU ETS leads Nord Pool for all vintages traded. The test results imply that the EU ETS can be regarded as the representative carbon market in the EU where many exchanges just started competing for the newly rising market for carbon.

  • PDF

Comovement of International Stock Market Price Index (주가동조현상에 관한 연구)

  • Khil, Jae-Uk
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.181-200
    • /
    • 2003
  • Comovement of international stock market prices has been lately a major controversy in the global stock market. This paper explores whether the common trend has really existed among the US, Japan and Korea's stock markets using the econometric techniques such as VAR, VECM as applied. Pair of indices from the exchange market and the over-the-counter market in each country has been tested, and the exchange market only has been turned out that the common trend existed. The dynamic analyses using the Granger causality test, impulse response function, and the forecast error decomposition have followed to show that the US stock market has played some important role in the Korea and Japan's market in the exchange as well as in the OTC market. The results of the paper imply that the more careful investigation with respect to the co-integration may be necessary in the global market integration studies.

  • PDF