• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분기 예측

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A Study on the Running Safety by F26 Turnout and Vehicle Model (F26 분기기 및 열차모델을 이용한 주행안전성 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Jong;Lee, Hi-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.859-864
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    • 2009
  • When the vehicle passes through turnout, the design is required to minimize the change of lateral force. Therefore, in case the vehicle passed the through turnout, we ought to execute dynamic analysis of the interaction between the vehicle and turnout in order to make an estimate of the lateral force and the derailment coefficient on the turnout. In this paper, we established the analytical model of the vehicle and turnout and analysed running safety when the vehicle passes through turnout in order to improve running safety of the vehicle on turnout. Also, to verify the vehicle and turnout model, we analysed reaction force and running behavior between wheel and rail, and running safety of the vehicle by changing cradle part and the tongue rail when the vehicle passes through turnout.

A Study on the Estimation of Chungbuk Quarterly GRDP by Using Small Area Estimation (충청북도 분기별 GRDP 추계방안 연구: 소지역 추정법의 적용)

  • 이계오;김윤수;유정빈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2001.04a
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    • pp.131-152
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    • 2001
  • In this Era of Information and Localization, Gross Regional Domestic Product(GRDP) is recognized as indispensable informatin to establish regional economic policy. Especially, to raise Chungbuk provinece´s economical independence and to establish effectual regional economic development plans. Chungbuk province needs quarterly estimated GRDP for developing regional economic forecasting system. In this study, utilizing small area estimation is proposed to estimate the quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP provided by the Bureau of Statistics and nation´s GDP provid by the Bank of Korea exists. Moreover, from the nation´s quarterly GDP in each section of economical activity, this study has presumed the quarterly comovement, applied it to subdivide Chungbuk annual GRDP quarterly, and estimated quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP.

A Study on the Estimation of Chungbuk Quarterly GRDP by Using Small Area Estimation (충청북도 분기별 GRDP 추계방안 연구: 소지역 추정법의 적용)

  • 이계오;김윤수;유정빈
    • Survey Research
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.131-152
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    • 2001
  • In this Era of Information and Localization. Gross Regional Domestic Product(GRDP) is recognized as indispensable information to establish regional economic policy. Especially, to raise Chungbuk province's economical independence and to establish effectual regional economic development plans, Chungbuk province needs quarterly estimated GRDP for developing regional economic forecasting system. In this study. utilizing small area estimation is proposed to estimate the quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP. To estimate quarterly GRDP. this study assumes that the comovement between the annual Chungbuk-GRDP provided by the Bureau of Statistics and nation's GDP provided by the Bank of Korea exists. Moreover, from the nation's quarterly GDP in each section of economical activity, this study has presumed the quarterly comovement. applied ft to subdivide Chungbuk annual GRDP quarterly, and estimated quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP.

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A Study on the Estimation of Chungbuk Quarterly GRDP by Using Small Area Estimation (충청북도 분기별 GRDP 추계방안 연구 - 소지역 추정법의 적용 -)

  • 이계오;김윤수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2001
  • In this Era of Information and Localization, GRDP is recognized as indispensable information to establish regional economic policy. Especially, to raise Chungbuk province's economical independence and to establish effectual regional economic development plans, Chungbuk province needs quarterly estimated GRDP for developing regional economic forecasting system. In this study, utilizing small area estimation is proposed to estimate the quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP. To estimate quarterly GRDP, this study assumes that the comovement between the annual Chungbuk-GRDP provided by the Bureau of Statistics and nation's GDP provided by the Bank of Korea exists. Moreover, from the nation's quarterly GDP in each section of economical activity, this study has presumed the quarterly comovement, applied it to subdivide Chungbuk annual GRDP quarterly, and estimated quarterly Chungbuk-GRDP.

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Study on the Levitation Stability of Maglev Vehicle considering the Vibration of Steel Switch Track (강재 분기기의 진동을 고려한 자기부상열차 부상안정성 연구)

  • Han, Jong-Boo;Park, Jinwoo;Han, Hyung-Suk;Lee, Jong-Min;Kim, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.175-185
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    • 2015
  • Generally, in the train area, switch tracks have required high reliability because this system is directly associated with derailment. Especially, switch tracks of Maglev vehicles must be moved in terms of the whole geometric characteristics, in which the bogies are encased in the switch track. For this reason, switch track was constructed with steel lighter than concrete girders. But, the steel switch track was weak because of structural vibration as well as structural deformation. Therefore, it is important to predict the levitation stability when a vehicle passes over flexible switch track. The aims of this paper are to develop a coupled dynamic model to describe the relationship between a Maglev vehicle and switch track and to predict the levitation stability. In order to develop the coupled dynamic model, a three dimensional vehicle model was developed based on multibody dynamics; a switch model was made using the modal superposition method. And, the developed model was verified using comparison measured data.

우리나라 주식형 펀드의 투자성과에 관한 실증적 연구

  • Jo, Dam
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.109-130
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    • 1994
  • 이 논문에서는 3대 투자신탁회사의 주식형 펀드의 투자성과를 측정하고자 하는 데 목적이 있다. 추가적으로 자산운용의 실무적 현실을 고려하여 각 펀드의 속성(주식편입비율 한도, 대상투자자, 운용회사)의 차이가 투자성과와 어떤 관련을 갖고 있는가를 분석함으로써 투자신탁에 내재하는 도덕적 위해의 문제를 노출시켜 보고자 한다. 이 논문에서는 우리나라 3대 투신사의 29개 주식형 펀드에 대한 1984. 2분기${\sim}$1993. 1분기의 분기수익률 자료를 사용하여 시장예측능력과 포트폴리오 선택 능력을 측정하였다. 시장예측능력의 척도로서 Henriksson & Merton(1981)이 제시한 척도를 사용하였으며, 선택 능력의 척도로서 Treynor & Black(1973)의 평가비율과 Fama(1972)의 순선택능력 을 사용하였다. 그 결과 자산운용을 담당하는 투신사와 주식편입비율 한도에 관계없이 주식형 펀드들의 시장예측능력과 선택능력 모두가 음의 값을 보이 고 있다. 예외적으로 외국인전용 펀드의 투자성과는 내국인을 대상으로 하는 투자신탁에 비하여 다소 우수한 성과를 보이고 있다. 표본으로 사용한 5개 외국인전용 펀드는 다른 펀드와 마찬가지로 음의 시장예측능력을 보여주고 있으나, 평가비율은 다른 포트폴리오들과는 달리 양의 값을 갖고 있고, 이들의 순선택능력은 음의 값을 보이긴 하지만 다른 포트폴리오보다 그 절대 값이 보다 작다. 이러한 결과는 외국인전용 펀드의 포트폴리오선택능력이 보다 우수하였다는 것을 의미한다. 외국인전용펀드가 보다 나은 선택능력을 보여준 이유는 이들이 투자자문위원회라는 감시 장치를 갖고 있기 때문인 것으로 판단된다. 환언하면 국내투자자용 펀드의 열등한 투자성과는 감시장치가 없는 데 따른 일종의 도덕적(道德的) 위해(危害)로 해석된다.

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BSI를 이용한 경제성장률 예측

  • Kim, Jong-Uk;Lee, Dong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2005
  • 설문조사방식인 기업경기조사는 간편하고 신속하게 경기를 파악할 수 있을 뿐만 아니라 전통적인 경제통계로는 포착하기 어려운 기업의 경제활동에 대한 평가와 전망을 지수화할 수 있다는 이점이 있다. 본고에서는 전국경제인연합회의 전망BSI를 이용하여 다음 분기 경제성장률을 예측하는 데 도움이 되는지 살펴보았다. 예측력 검정 결과 전망BSI는 1${\sim}$2분기 이후의 경제성장률과 높은 상관관계를 보이고 있으나 기간에 따라서는 오히려 예측오차를 크게 할 수도 있는 것으로 나타났다. 우리나라를 포함하여 각국에서 서베이 자료의 활용도가 점차 커지고 있는 만큼 조사방식 개선, 합성지수 개발 등 기업경기조사의 정확도 제고를 위해 많은 노력을 기울일 필요가 있다.

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Cache and Pipeline Architecture Improvement and Low Power Design of Embedded Processor (임베디드 프로세서의 캐시와 파이프라인 구조개선 및 저전력 설계)

  • Jung, Hong-Kyun;Ryoo, Kwang-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.289-292
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    • 2008
  • This paper presents a branch prediction algorithm and a 4-way set-associative cache for performance improvement of OpenRISC processor and a clock gating algorithm using ODC (Observability Don't Care) operation for a low-power processor. The branch prediction algorithm has a structure using BTB(Branch Target Buffer) and 4-way set associative cache has lower miss rate than direct-mapped cache. The clock gating algorithm reduces dynamic power consumption. As a result of estimation of performance and dynamic power, the performance of the OpenRISC processor using the proposed algorithm is improved about 8.9% and dynamic power of the processor using samsung $0.18{\mu}m$ technology library is reduced by 13.9%.

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Performance Analyses of Instruction Fetch Models Considering Cache Miss and Branch Misprediction (캐쉬 미스와 분기예측 실패를 고려한 명령어 페치 모델의 성능분석)

  • Kim, Seon-Mo;Jeong, Jin-Ha;Choe, Sang-Bang
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.28 no.12
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    • pp.685-697
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    • 2001
  • Cache memories are small fast memories used to temporarily hold the contents of main memory that are likely to be referenced by processors so as to reduce instruction and data access time. In this paper, we represent analytical models of instruction fetch process for four types of instruction cache structures that can be used for superscalar processors. In the models, we define various kinds of architectural parameters and take cache miss and branch misprediction into consideration. To prove the correctness of the proposed models, we performed extensive simulations and compared the results with the analytical models. Simulation results showed that the proposed model can estimate the instruction fetch rate accurately within 10% error in most cases. Both analytical model and simulation show that the increase of cache misses reduces the instruction fetch rate more severely than that of branch misprediction does. However, the analytical model can explain the causes of performance degradation which cannot be uncovered by the simulation method only. The model is also able to provide exact relationship between cache miss and branch misprediction for instruction fetch analysis.

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Performance and Power Consumption Improvement of Embedded RISC Core (임베디드 RISC 코어의 성능 및 전력 개선)

  • Jung, Hong-Kyun;Ryoo, Kwang-Ki
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.453-461
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a branch prediction algorithm and a 4-way set-associative cache for performance improvement of embedded RISC core and a clock-gating algorithm using ODC (Observability Don't Care) operation to improve the power consumption of the core. The branch prediction algorithm has a structure using BTB(Branch Target Buffer) and 4-way set associative cache has lower miss rate than direct-mapped cache. Pseudo-LRU Policy, which is one of the Line Replacement Policies, is used for decreasing the number of bits that store LRU value. The clock gating algorithm reduces dynamic power consumption. As a result of estimation of performance and dynamic power, the performance of the OpenRISC core applied the proposed architecture is improved about 29% and dynamic power of the core using Chartered $0.18{\mu}m$ technology library is reduced by 16%.