• Title/Summary/Keyword: 복합추정법

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A Study on The Life Estimation of Rotation Machine (회전기기의 수명추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ki-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.89-93
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    • 2005
  • 인버터 구동 회전기기의 운전수명을 보장하기 위해서는 기존의 시험 방법에 포함되지 않은 PWM 가변속 구동에 따른 고조파 손실과 과도전압 충격의 문제점을 고려한 새로운 장기 신뢰성 평가 기법이 절실히 필요한 상황이기 때문에 본 연구에서 시험모델을 설정하고자 한다. 결과로는 종래는 비파괴시험에 의한 off-line 진단법이 주로 시행되었지만, 최근에는 상태량을 계측하는 신종 센서의 개발이 진행되어 모니터링법에 의한 on-line 진단법이 점차로 증가하고 있다.

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A Complex Sampling Design for the Estimation of Korean Livestock Production Cost (축산물생산비조사를 위한 복합표본설계)

  • Kim, Soo-Taek;Kim, Young-Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.675-694
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    • 2008
  • We propose a new sampling design for the Korean Livestock Production Cost Survey. In this sampling design, the survey population is derived from the 2005’s agricultural census of Korea. And coefficient of variation(CV) is estimated from the current livestock production cost survey data, and the estimated CV’s are used to find the optimal sample size which satisfies the predetermined precision of estimation. In order to save the enumeration cost, the agriculture enumeration districts are used as a primary sampling unit(psu). Final sample is selected by double sampling. Also, we propose the estimator which is able to reflect the change of the population of livestock production households.

A Composite Estimator for the Take-Nothing Stratum of Cut-Off Sampling (복합추정량을 이용한 절사표본 총합 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ji-Hak;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1115-1128
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    • 2011
  • Cut-off sampling that discards a part of the population from the sampling frame, is a widely used method for a highly skewed population like a business survey. Usually to the estimate of population total, we need to estimate the total of the take-nothing stratum. Many estimators have been developed to estimate the total of the take-nothing stratum. In this paper, we suggest a new composite estimator which combines the estimator suggested by Sarndal et al. (1992) and a ratio estimator obtained by small samples from the take-nothing stratum. Small simulation studies are performed for the comparison of the estimators and we confirm that the new suggested estimator is superior to the others.

Evaluation of Statistical Fatigue Life of Hybrid Composite Joints in Low-Floor Bus (저상버스용 하이브리드 복합재 조인트부의 통계적 피로수명평가)

  • Jung, Dal-Woo;Choi, Nak-Sam
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.11
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    • pp.1705-1713
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    • 2010
  • The reliable fatigue life for hybrid composite joint structures was estimated by a statistical method for evaluating fatigue life; the results of the fatigue test varied widely. Cyclic bending tests were performed on a cantilever beam with a hybrid composite joint, which was developed for the body of a low-floor bus. In order to estimate the fatigue life of the hybrid composite joint structure by comparing the data obtained during the fatigue tests, the most suitable probabilistic density function among the normal, lognormal, and Weibull distributions was selected. The probabilistic-stress-life (P-S-N) curves calculated by using the selected Weibull distribution was suggested for process of statistical fatigue life estimation and reliability design.

Combined Filtering Model Using Voting Rule and Median Absolute Deviation for Travel Time Estimation (통행시간 추정을 위한 Voting Rule과 중위절대편차법 기반의 복합 필터링 모형)

  • Jeong, Youngje;Park, Hyun Suk;Kim, Byung Hwa;Kim, Youngchan
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.10-21
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    • 2013
  • This study suggested combined filtering model to eliminate outlier travel time data in transportation information system, and it was based on Median Absolute Deviation and Voting Rule. This model applied Median Absolute Deviation (MAD) method to follow normal distribution as first filtering process. After that, Voting rule is applied to eliminate remaining outlier travel time data after Median Absolute Deviation. In Voting Rule, travel time samples are judged as outliers according to travel-time difference between sample data and mean data. Elimination or not of outliers are determined using a majority rule. In case study of national highway No. 3, combined filtering model selectively eliminated outliers only and could improve accuracy of estimated travel time.

Estimation of Concrete Strength Based on 7-day Strength (콘크리트의 7일강도를 이용한 28일 강도의 추정)

  • 김선영;권태수;이수곤
    • Magazine of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.119-124
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    • 1998
  • 콘크리트는 시멘트, 잔골재 및 굵은 골재, 물 및 첨가제의 양이나 투입순서 ,혼합방법등 여러 가지 요인에 따라 성질이 바뀌게 되는 복합재료이다. 따라서 넓은 의미에서 품질 판정의 한 수단이 되는 콘크리트의 설계기준강도 또는 압축강도 fc'(=28일 압축강도)는 물론 기타의 성질도 정확한 예측이 불가능하다. 즉 소요강도를 목표로 배합된 공시체의 시험결과는 예외없이 통계적 가변성을 나타낸다. 여기에서는 공시체의 7일 강도의 평균치 및 표준 편차와 공시체의 28일 강도 측정치로부터 콘크리트의 압축강도를 추정하는식을 제안하였다. 이를 위하여 7,320개의 강도시험자료를 수집한 후 이들을 선형 회귀 분석법으로 처리하였다. 제안된 식에 의한 콘크리트의 압축강도는 타 추정식에 의한 값보다 실측치에 좀 더 근접함을 보여주었다. 또한 제안식의 검정을 위해 서울지역 자료 5,200개를 수집하여 제안식과 JIS, Slater식과의 오차를 비교한 결과에 따르면 제안식이 더 안전측임을 알 수 있었다. 그리고 슈미트 햄머에 의한 현장 실측 강도와 제안식과의 콘크리트 강도 오차는 대체로 2.3%이었다.

A study on estimation of the economic damages by domestic and industrial water scarcity for drought impact assessment (가뭄 영향평가를 위한 생·공용수 부족의 경제적 피해 추정법 고찰)

  • Lee, Jeong Ju;Shin, Hyun Sun;Kim, Hyeon Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.81-81
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    • 2016
  • 가뭄은 국민생활, 경제 등에 막대한 손실을 초래하며, 지역사회 공동체나 사회기능에 심각한 영향을 끼칠 수 있는 재해이다. 가뭄피해 최소화를 위해서는 단기대응, 복구지원 등의 사후대책에서 사전대비 및 예방으로의 정책 전환이 필요하며, 이러한 정책 수립을 뒷받침하기 위해서는 가뭄에 따른 정량적인 피해영향 평가가 우선적으로 필요한 실정이다. 가뭄은 그 지속기간이나 피해양상 및 영향범위 등에 있어 일반 자연재해와는 다른 특성을 지니고 있다. 우선 그 시점과 종점이 모호하고 다른 재해에 비해 장기간에 걸쳐 피해가 누적되며, 가뭄이 해갈된 후에도 장기간 파급효과가 나타날 수 있다. 또한 가뭄이 장기화 될수록 대형복합재난의 형태로 사회전반에 영향을 주기때문에, 영향범위를 설정하고 피해규모를 추정하는 것조차 쉽지 않은 것이 현실이다. 특히 가뭄으로 인한 제한급수, 단수 등의 상황에서 생 공용수의 부족으로 인한 국민생활과 산업의 피해규모 추정과 관련해서는 그 필요성에 비해 연구되거나 적용된 사례가 극히 드물다. 본 연구에서는 국가 가뭄정보분석센터에서 운영 중인 가뭄정보시스템을 통한 가뭄영향평가 정보 생성 및 제공을 위해, 가뭄 영향평가에 대한 국내 외 사례를 조사하고, 생 공용수에 대한 가뭄 피해액 추정 기법을 국민안전처, 국토연구원 등에서 수행된 연구사례와 일본의 갈수에 의한 감 단수피해액 추정기법을 중심으로 검토하였으며, 가뭄정보시스템 구축자료와의 연계 활용 방안에 대해 고찰하였다.

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Synthesis of Si-SiC-CuO-C Composite from Silicon Sludge as an Anode of Lithium Battery (실리콘 슬러지로부터 리튬전지(電池) 음극용(陰極用) Si-SiC-CuO-C 복합물의 합성(合成))

  • Jeong, Goo-Jin;Jang, Hee-Dong;Lee, Churl-Kyoung
    • Resources Recycling
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2010
  • As a recycling of Si sludge from Si wafer process, a Si-SiC-CuO-C composite material was synthesized and investigated as an anode material for lithium batteries. The Si sludge consisted of Si, SiC, machine oil, and metallic impurities. The oil and metal impurities was removed by organic washing, magnetic separation, and acid washing. The Si-SiC-CuO-C composite from the recovered Si-SiC mixture was prepared by high-energy mechanical milling. According to the electrochemical tests such as charge-discharge capacity and cycling behavior, it showed the improved cycle performance. The SiC and CuO-related phases were presumed to restrain the volume expansion of the anode and Fe, however, should be removed below 10 ppm prior to synthesis of the composite because it caused the capacity loss of the active material itself.

Causal inference from nonrandomized data: key concepts and recent trends (비실험 자료로부터의 인과 추론: 핵심 개념과 최근 동향)

  • Choi, Young-Geun;Yu, Donghyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.173-185
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    • 2019
  • Causal questions are prevalent in scientific research, for example, how effective a treatment was for preventing an infectious disease, how much a policy increased utility, or which advertisement would give the highest click rate for a given customer. Causal inference theory in statistics interprets those questions as inferring the effect of a given intervention (treatment or policy) in the data generating process. Causal inference has been used in medicine, public health, and economics; in addition, it has received recent attention as a tool for data-driven decision making processes. Many recent datasets are observational, rather than experimental, which makes the causal inference theory more complex. This review introduces key concepts and recent trends of statistical causal inference in observational studies. We first introduce the Neyman-Rubin's potential outcome framework to formularize from causal questions to average treatment effects as well as discuss popular methods to estimate treatment effects such as propensity score approaches and regression approaches. For recent trends, we briefly discuss (1) conditional (heterogeneous) treatment effects and machine learning-based approaches, (2) curse of dimensionality on the estimation of treatment effect and its remedies, and (3) Pearl's structural causal model to deal with more complex causal relationships and its connection to the Neyman-Rubin's potential outcome model.

Optimization of Electro-UV-Ultrasonic Complex Process for E. coli Disinfection using Box-Behnken Experiment (Box-Behnken법을 이용한 E. coli 소독에서 전기-UV-초음파 복합 공정의 최적화)

  • Kim, Dong-Seog;Park, Young-Seek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2011
  • This experimental design and response surface methodology (RSM) have been applied to the investigation of the electro-UV-ultrasonic complex process for the disinfection of E. coli in the water. The disinfection reactions of electro-UV-ultrasonic process were mathematically described as a function of parameters power of electrolysis ($X_1$), UV ($X_2$), and ultrasonic process ($X_3$) being modeled by use of the Box-Behnken technique, which was used for fitting 2nd order response surface model. The application of RSM yielded the following regression equation, which is empirical relationship between the residual E. coli number (Ln CFU) in water and test variables in coded unit: residual E. coli number (Ln CFU) = 23.69 - 3.75 Electrolysis - 0.67 UV - 0.26 Ultrasonic - 0.16 Electrolysis UV + 0.05 Electrolysis Ultrasonic + 0.27 $Electrolysis^2$ + 0.14 $UV^2$ - 0.01 $Ultrasonic^2$). The model predictions agreed well with the experimentally observed result ($R^2$ = 0.983). Graphical 2D contour and 3D response surface plots were used to locate the optimum range. The estimated ridge of maximum response and optimal conditions for residual E. coli number (Ln CFU) using 'numerical optimization' of Design-Expert software were 1.47 Ln CFU/L and 6.94 W of electrolysis, 6.72 W of UV and 14.23 W of ultrasonic process. This study clearly showed that response surface methodology was one of the suitable methods to optimize the operating conditions and minimize the residual E. coli number of the complex disinfection.