• Title/Summary/Keyword: 보호무역주의

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CGE Analysis of the US-China Trade War and Policy Implications to the World Trade (미-중 무역분쟁의 경제적 효과와 세계경제 함의)

  • Song, Back-Hoon;Lee, Chang-Soo
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.47-66
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzes the potential economic effects of a trade war between the U.S. and China. The CGE model is used to estimate the macroeconomic variables of each country and the change in imports/exports by industry by considering three different scenarios: (i) the US imposes a 25% of tariff on China; (ii) the US and China impose a 25% tariff bilaterally; (iii) the United States expands protection in vehicles and metals to Korea, Japan, and the EU. According to the results of the study, when the US and China initiate a trade war, GDP and welfare of both countries decline. China's decline in GDP and welfare are larger than those of the United States, which implies a trade war is more favorable to the U.S. than to China. In the long run, China's GDP and welfare decline widens further. While the trade volumes of the US and China are greatly reduced, the trade volumes of other countries does not significantly fluctuate. Finally, if the US extends protection policy to Korea, Japan and the EU, it creates undesirable effects on the US. In particular, damage to the US jeopardizes its advantageous position in a trade war with China. In order to emphasize the unfairness of protectionist policy and the damage to Korean industry, Korea needs to establish a strategy to counter US protectionist policy.

보호주의 재등장과 아세안의 대응

  • Park, Beon-Sun
    • The Southeast Asian review
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.161-192
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    • 2017
  • 글로벌 금융위기 이후 증가하는 보호주의의 재등장은 수출주도형공업화로 성장한 아세안 선발국들에게 부정적인 영향을 미칠 것이다. 아세안에 대한 반덤핑 제고 등 무역구제조치는 증가하고 있으며 통상강국들의 반세계화도 증가하고 있다. 그러나 경제블록으로서 아세안이 공동 대응하는 방법은 별로 없다. 아세안이 통상문제에 공동의 목소리를 낼 정도로 이해가 동일하지도 않고, 통상압력의 대상이 되는 기업들이 다국적기업인 경우가 많기 때문이다. 따라서 아세안은 아세안경제공동체를 심화시키는데 주력하고 RCEP 및 EU와 FTA를 추진하는 등 간접적 대응을 하고 있다.

베어링 산업의 당면과제와 발전방향 [1]

  • Jo, Gwan-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.7-10
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    • 1986
  • 우리나라 기계공업은 세계적인 보호무역주의와 경기불황으로 고전을 면치 못해 왔으나 국제유가하락, 일본엔화의 강세 그리고 국제금리의 하락추세라는 이른바 "3저시대"를 맞이하게 됨으로써 모처럼 호전의 기회를 맞이하고 있어 '85 년도에 생산이 8.7%수출 12% 증가 했으며 수입은 15%나 감소하여 기계류의 국산화가 점차 이루어지고 있는 현상을 나타내고 있으나 우 리의 주종수출시장인 미국의 보호무역주의 추세는 구조적인 요인으로 말미암아 앞으로도 크게 완하되리라고 기대하기는 어려워 부정적인 측면도 없지않다. 더구나 상기의 3가지 호재가 언제 까지나 지속횐다는 보장도 없으니 만큼 정부와 기업은 이 기회를 최대한 활용함으로써 우리나라 기계공업의 경쟁체질을 강화하는 계기를 마련해야 할것이다.마련해야 할것이다.

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Korea's Trade Rules Analysis using Topic Modeling : from 2000 to 2022 (토픽 모델링을 이용한 한국 무역규범 연구동향 분석 : 2000년~2022년)

  • Byeong-Ho Lim;Jeong-In Chang;Tae-Han Kim;Ha-Neul Han
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.55-81
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the main issues and trends of Korean trade, and to draw implications for future research regarding trade rules. A total of 476 academic journal are analyzed using English keyword searched for 'Trade Rules' from 2000 to July 2022 in the Korean Journal Citation Index data base. The analysis methodology includes co-occurrence network and topic trend analysis which is a kind of text mining methods. The results shows that key words representing Korea's trade trend fall into four categories in which the number of research journals has rapidly increased, which are Topic 4 (Investment Treaty), Topic 7 (Trade Security), Topic 8 (China's Protectionism), and Topic 11 (Trade Settlement). The major background for these topics is the tension between the United States and China threatening the existing international trade system. A detailed study for China's protectionism, changes in trade security system, and new investment agreements, and changes in payment methods will be the challenges in near future.

A Study on the Limits and Causes of Fair Trade (공정무역의 한계와 그 원인에 대한 연구)

  • KIM, Dong-Ho
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.73
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    • pp.91-110
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    • 2017
  • Recently, world wide trading which support free trade will increase the economic volume size. It will grow the quality of life. But, the reduce of gap between the rich state and the poor one has always been risen the problem of one of welfare. Trough unregulated trade activities, multinational corporations succeeded in expanding the market globally. However, there were unfair acts such as infringement of serious rights of producer of low development countries. Fair trade has begun to pay fair value to them and to ease inequality, but, as time went by, the its idea became thinner, distorted in the market, or became a marketing tools. So, In this paper, I analyze the limitations and causes of fair trade and suggest directions for fair trade. This Study provided a causes of the limitation of fair trade and for the future, I'll suggest an alternative of limitation of fair trade.

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A Study on the Changes and the Impact of Korean Trade Policy after the US's withdrawal of TPP -Based on Vietnam Market- (미국의 TPP 탈퇴에 따른 한국 통상정책의 변화와 그 영향에 대한 연구 -베트남 시장을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Dong-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.92-102
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    • 2018
  • This paper studied the changes and effects of Korean Trade Policies in Vietnam market after the withdrawal of the TPP from US. Since Trump government is starting, US trade policy has moved to the protectionism method. Nevertheless, Vietnam is expanding its status as an FTA hub, and Vietnam is actively expanding its economic growth by actively implementing foreign capital. Vietnam, however, is likely to lose its position as a hub of FTA after USA's withdrawal from TPP member. So, Korea's trade policy is also expected to change its stance on Vietnam, and Korea is expected to change its policy toward Vietnam. Korea has achieved a lot of accomplishments and growth with free trade and free economic markets, and it has to strengthen its national strength even afterwards. Thus, if the flow of free trade & globalization continues, I would consider how the Korea trade policy change after the U.S.'s withdraws from TPP.