• Title/Summary/Keyword: 보행자 사고모형

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Comparison of Methodologies for Characterizing Pedestrian-Vehicle Collisions (보행자-차량 충돌사고 특성분석 방법론 비교 연구)

  • Choi, Saerona;Jeong, Eunbi;Oh, Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2013
  • The major purpose of this study is to evaluate methodologies to predict the injury severity of pedestrian-vehicle collisions. Methodologies to be evaluated and compared in this study include Binary Logistic Regression(BLR), Ordered Probit Model(OPM), Support Vector Machine(SVM) and Decision Tree(DT) method. Valuable insights into applying methodologies to analyze the characteristics of pedestrian injury severity are derived. For the purpose of identifying causal factors affecting the injury severity, statistical approaches such as BLR and OPM are recommended. On the other hand, to achieve better prediction performance, heuristic approaches such as SVM and DT are recommended. It is expected that the outcome of this study would be useful in developing various countermeasures for enhancing pedestrian safety.

A Method for Pedestrian Accident Reconstruction Using Optimization (최적화방법을 이용한 보행자 충돌사고 재현기법 개발)

  • 유장석;홍을표;장명순;박경진;손봉수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2002
  • As the number of pedestrian accident increases, the reconstruction of an accident becomes important to find the source of the fault. Generally, accidents are reconstructed by the intuition of experts or primitive physics. A reconstruction method is proposed using sophisticated optimization technology. At first, a dynamic simulation model is established for the accident environment. Occupant analysis for automobile crashworthiness is employed. The situation before an accident is identified by optimization. The impact velocity and the position of the pedestrian are utilized as design variables. The design variables are found by minimizing the difference between the simulation and the real accident. The optimization process is performed by linking an occupant analysis program MADYMO to an optimization program VisualDOC. Since the involved analysis is dynamics and highly nonlinear, response surface method is selected for the optimization process. Problems are solved for various situations.

Development of Pedestrian Fatality Model using Bayesian-Based Neural Network (베이지안 신경망을 이용한 보행자 사망확률모형 개발)

  • O, Cheol;Gang, Yeon-Su;Kim, Beom-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.2 s.88
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2006
  • This paper develops pedestrian fatality models capable of producing the probability of pedestrian fatality in collision between vehicles and pedestrians. Probabilistic neural network (PNN) and binary logistic regression (BLR) ave employed in modeling pedestrian fatality pedestrian age, vehicle type, and collision speed obtained from reconstructing collected accidents are used as independent variables in fatality models. One of the nice features of this study is that an iterative sampling technique is used to construct various training and test datasets for the purpose of better performance comparison Statistical comparison considering the variation of model Performances is conducted. The results show that the PNN-based fatality model outperforms the BLR-based model. The models developed in this study that allow us to predict the pedestrian fatality would be useful tools for supporting the derivation of various safety Policies and technologies to enhance Pedestrian safety.

A study on Pedestrian Accident Reconstruction Models: Comparison and Improvement (보행자-차량 충돌사고 재현모형 비교분석 및 개선 연구)

  • Jo, Jeong-Il;O, Cheol;Kim, Nam-Il;Jang, Myeong-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2007
  • This study presents comparison results for pedestrian accident reconstruction models representing the relationship between collision speed and horizontal distance that a body travels while falling and sliding. A set of 49 reliable pedestrian accident cases are applied to compare the existing reconstruction models. In addition, the authors investigate the effects of a set of parameters associated with the effects of the frontal shape of a vehicle on the horizontal distance a pedestrian travels while falling and sliding. It has been revealed that the length of the bumper is the most dominant factor to affect the horizontal distance of pedestrian travel after collision. Further analyses utilizing more accident data need to conducted to develop a more accurate and reliable reconstruction model.

Development of Korean Pedestrian Accident Reconstruction Model (한국형 보행자 사고재현 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Su-Beom;Lui, Tae-Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.6 s.84
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2005
  • A pedestrian accident is generally less fully understood than the 'typical' car-to-car collision. For this reason, the analysis of the pedestrian accident is, in many respects, more complicated and demanding. The purpose of this study is to identify clearly the impact point that is the main subject of struggle in pedestrian accidents. In order to develop the model, it is very significant to classify actual accident data including impact velocity. vehicle damage and injury scale of pedestrian. These data were collected from three local branches of RTSA(Road Traffic Safely Authority). The number of collected data were 34 cases and 61.7% of them were fatal accidents. In consequence of analyzing the data by statistical method, it revealed that there is correlation between impact velocity and throw distance. It, also shows that the impact velocity has strong linear correlation to vehicle damage and injury scale. Consequently, reconstruction analysis models of pedestrian accidents considering in local circumstances(such as the physical characteristics of pedestrians and vehicles) was developed However. it is difficult to apply the result of this study to all sorts of pedestrian accidents, because the actual accident data which were used to develop the model were limited. To overcome this limitation, it is necessary to develop an analysis model applicable to diverse circumstances with a wide range of pedestrian accident data on a national basis.

The Influence of Traffic Islands on Pedestrian Safety (교통섬 설치가 보행자 교통사고에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Lee, Su-Beom;Kim, Myeong-Suk;Jang, Il-Jun;Kim, Jang-Uk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2009
  • Traffic islands were introduced for drivers and pedestrians to use the road in a safe and orderly way and were also a specified zone between traffic lanes to divide conflicting traffic flows and to provide pedestrian refuge. However, existing research and relevant standards described its purpose and effects only but not a safety standard to decide whether the traffic island warranted. This study was to introduce a parameter which had a high relationship with accidents by analyzing road and traffic conditions and traffic accident data at urban intersections. Based on the relationship between the parameter and the traffic accidents at the intersection, a pedestrian accident probability model was made by using a logit model. In addition, the study reviewed a pedestrian accident probability corresponding to traffic volume and size of the intersection during design of the intersection and then suggested the effectiveness of the traffic island in terms of traffic safety. In conclusion, when a large-scale intersection has significant traffic volumes, a high probability of traffic island-induced pedestrian accidents appears, while in the case of small volumes, the probability is low. Targeted design and operations of a traffic islands is necessary, because its introduction itself does not enhance pedestrian safety in all cases at all intersections. This study can be a useful reference for further development to set up a scheme of the traffic islands in terms of traffic safety.

Pedestrian Accident Rate Models of Circular Intersection Near Schools (학교와 인접한 원형교차로의 보행자 사고율 모형)

  • SON, Seul Ki;LEE, Min Yeong;PARK, Byung Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.321-331
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    • 2017
  • The objective of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the pedestrian accidents of roundabout near schools. To this end, this study has focus on the comparative analysis of pedestrian accidents across different school areas. The traffic accident data from 2007 to 2014 are collected from TAAS data set of Road Traffic Authority. To develop the pedestrian accident rate model, the linear regression model has been utilized in this study. 28 explanatory variables such as geometry and traffic volume factors are used. The main results are summarized as follows. First, the null hypotheses that the number of pedestrian accidents are the same are rejected. Second, 5 multiple linear regression accident models with higher statistical significance (adjusted $R^2$ of 0.651~0.788) have been developed. Third, while the common variables of 3 models (model I~III) related to school location are evaluated to be the pedestrian island, crosswalk, types of roundabout, elementary school and bus stop. Fourth, while the common variable of 3 models (model III~V) related to near school area or not is evaluated to be pedestrian island, type of roundabout, sidewalk, elementary school, speed hump, speed limit sign and number of entry lane. As a result, the installation of pedestrian islands and crosswalk might be expected to decrease the number of pedestrian accidents near schools.

Analysis of the Characteristics of Road and Transportation Safety Facilities Affecting Pedestrian Traffic Accidents around School Zones: Using Spatial Poisson Model (어린이보호구역 내 도로 및 교통안전시설이 보행자 교통사고에 미치는 영향 분석: 공간포아송모형을 이용하여)

  • Ko, Dong-Won;Park, Seung-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.11
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    • pp.213-223
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    • 2021
  • It is very important to build a safe walking environment for children because children are more likely to be exposed to traffic accidents than adults due to their behavioral and physical characteristics. Therefore, this study analyzed the characteristics of road and transportation safety facilities that affect pedestrian traffic accidents around school zones using spatial poisson regression. The pedestrian-vehicle crash data in Seoul 2016-2018 was provided by the Traffic Accident Analysis System(TAAS). The main analysis results are as follow; First, the more intersections and the higher percentage of neighborhood roads in the school zone, the higher the risk of pedestrian traffic accidents. Second, the pedestrian push button was found to reduce the occurrence of pedestrian traffic accidents. Third, except for the pedestrian push button, none of the transportation safety facilities considered in this study were effective in reducing the risk of pedestrian traffic accidents. On the other hand, if not only the improvement of physical facilities but also non-physical factors such traffic safety education are supported, the effect for reducing traffic pedestrian traffic accidents in the school zone is expected to be further maximized.

Analysis of Factors Related To Elderly Pedestrian Traffic Accients : Centered on Seoul Metropolitan City (노인보행자교통사고 요인 분석 : 서울특별시 중심으로)

  • Seong, Je Min;Yoon, Byoung-Jo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2023.11a
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    • pp.261-262
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    • 2023
  • 보행자 교통사고는 보행자와 운행 중인 차량 간 발생한 충돌사고로 도로 및 주변 환경 등에 영항을 받는다. 이 연구에서는 2018년부터 2022년까지 서울특별시에서 발생한 노인 보행자 교통사고 자료를 수집하여 보행자 교통사고의 사고 요인을 분석하였다. 분석에 있어서 고려된 연구모형은 랜덤포레스트, Gradient Boosting regression(GBR)이다. 분석 결과 서울특별시의 지리적 특성과 교통 통행 패턴을 반영하여 교통약자를 대상으로 하는 교통정책을 보완하고, 보행 안전을 강화하는 것이 필요하다.

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Estimating the Effectiveness of Road Safety Features using Pedestrian Accident Probability Model (보행자 사고확률모형을 이용한 도로안전시설물의 효과도 추정(4차로 일반국도를 대상으로))

  • Park, Gyu-Yeong;Lee, Su-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.4 s.90
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2006
  • The ratio of Pedestrians in traffic accident fatality takes up 43% in Korea, which is 2.5 times as much as OECD's average. The traffic accidents features by road type shows that the fatality of the national highway posts the highest due to the accidents of pedestrians. Accordingly, the establishment of safety facilities for pedestrians is expected to increase on the rural roads for the prevention of pedestrian accidents. However, studies on pedestrians have been mainly focused on urban intersections. In Particular, studies on estimating the effectiveness of safety features for pedestrians are very poor. Thus, in this study. the Pedestrian accident probability model on four lane national highway was developed by using logit model. Also, this study analyzed and proposed the effect of facilities as a relative risk by using an odds ratio. As a result of the analysis, the Improvement of sight distance, installing sidewalks and lightings were proven effective alternatives for reducing the pedestrian accidents.