• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변수변화

Search Result 6,618, Processing Time 0.04 seconds

The Relationship between the Change in Perceived Economic Instability and the Change in Drinking Frequency during the Early Stage of COVID-19 Pandemic (코로나19 유행 초기 경제적 불안감 변화와 음주 빈도 변화의 관련성)

  • Kang, Eunjeong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.22 no.6
    • /
    • pp.530-540
    • /
    • 2022
  • The aim of this study was to analyze the impacts of perceived economic instability on drinking frequency in the mist of exercising the strong social distancing in the early phase of COVID19 pandemic. The data were collected from 1,117 adults aged between 19 and 70 across the nation from May 13 to May 19 in 2020 by Embrain, an on-line research company. We used only 820(73.4%) out of 1,117 who answered that they had a drinking in 2020. Bi-variate analysis and multivariate multinomial logistic regression were performed using STATA16. Multinomial logistic regression results showed that the increase of employment instability was related to the increase of drinking frequency, whereas the increase of income instability was related to the decrease of drinking frequency. In sum, the impact of perceived economic instability during the early phase of pandemic may be presented as an increase or decrease of drinking frequency depending on the effect of employment instability and income instability.

Development of the parameter maps of the Modified Bartlett-Lewis Retangular Pulse Model for Han River Basin of Korea (한강유역에 대한 Modified Bartlett-Lewis Rectangular Pulse 모형의 매개변수 지도 작성)

  • Kim, Dong-Kyun;Lee, Seung-Oh;Jung, Young-Hoon;Kim, Soo-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.456-456
    • /
    • 2012
  • 한강유역에 위치한 247개의 강우계에서 관측된 강우 자료를 분석하여 Modified Bartlett-Lewis Retangular Pulse Model (MBLRPM)의 매개변수들을 산정하고, 이들의 지도를 작성한 후, 이들의 정확도 및 매개변수들의 시/공간적 변화 유형을 분석하였다. 이를 위한 첫번째 과정으로, 각 강우 게이지에 대해 MBLRPM의 매개변수에 사용되는 통계치 (각 달에 대한 1, 3, 12, 24시간 누적 수준에서의 평균, 분산, 자기 상관계수, 무강우 확률)들을 계산한다. 이 후, 격자화된 한강유역의 각 셀에 대하여 앞서 계산된 강우 통계치를 Ordinary Kriging 공간 보간법을 통하여 할당한다. 이 후, 각 셀에 할당된 강우 통계치를 사용하여 MBLRPM의 매개변수들을 산정하여 각 매개변수들의 지도를 각 달에 대하여 얻는다. 매개변수 지도를 사용하여 MBLRPM에 의해 생성된 강우 데이터들은 관측치의 통계치를 정확성있게 재현하였으며, 시/공간적 경향성을 분석한 결과, 강우세포의 지속기간과 관련된 매개 변수를 제외한 나머지 5개의 매개변수들은 확연한 공간적 경향성을 보인 한 편, 시간적 경향성은 잘 나타나지 않았다. 본 연구 결과는 매개변수 산정이 힘든 MBLRPM의 특성을 극복하게 해주어 가상 강우 생성을 용이하게 함으로써 강우에 영향을 받는 여러 종류의 연구 주제에 대해 불확실성 분석을 할 수 있게 한다는 점에서 의미를 가질 수 있다.

  • PDF

Uncertainty of future runoff projection according to SSP scenarios and hydrologic model parameters (미래 기후변화 시나리오와 수문모형 매개변수에 따른 미래 유량예측 불확실성)

  • Kim, Jin Hyuck;Song, Young Hoon;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.56 no.1
    • /
    • pp.35-43
    • /
    • 2023
  • Future runoff analysis is influenced by climate change scenarios and hydrologic model parameters, with uncertainties. In this study, the uncertainty of future runoff analysis according to the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenario and hydrologic model parameters was analyzed. Among the SSP scenarios, the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios were used, and the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model was used as the hydrologic model. For the parameters of the SWAT model, a total of 11 parameter were optimized to the observed runoff data using SWAT-CUP. Then, uncertainty analysis of future estimated runoff compared to the observed runoff was performed using jensen-shannon divergence (JS-D), which can calculate the difference in distribution. As a result, uncertainty of future runoff was analyzed to be larger in SSP5-8.5 than in SSP2-4.5, and larger in the far future (2061-2100) than in the near future (2021-2060). In this study, the uncertainty of future runoff using future climate data according to the parameters of the hydrologic model is as follows. Uncertainty was greatly analyzed when parameters used observed runoff data in years with low flow rates compared to average years. In addition, the uncertainty of future runoff estimation was analyzed to be greater for the parameters of the period in which the change in runoff compared to the average year was greater.

A Study on the Parking Place Choice Behaviors Using Stated Preference Data (the case of shopping trips) (SP Data를 이용한 주차장선택행태 분석에 관한 연구 (쇼핑통행을 중심으로))

  • 정성용;윤용득;배영석;이재륜
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.19-32
    • /
    • 2001
  • A parking facility choice model. which can be applied to analyze of the driver's parking behavioral changes in response to the local government's parking policy changes and to predict parking demand by the facility types, is developed. Under the context of the stated preference discrete choice model, socioeconomic variables and parking alternative characteristic variables are introduced as explanatory variables. A parking facility choice model for the shopping trip purpose is derived using multinomial logit model and nested logit model and the stated preference data collected in Taegu metropolitan area. The result shows that the sign of all the estimated parameters are logically consistent and the model's goodness of fit is reasonably good. As a result of the elasticity analysis of the model, the elasticity of parking cost is highest, and the elasticity of walking distance between parking place and the destination is higher than parking place searching and ingress time. This means that the parking places are supplied around the destination in the form of small-size parking place. The findings in this study is expected to provide a fundamental data for various short-term parking policy analyses and for parking facility's demand estimations.

  • PDF

Designs of WDM thin film filters for fiber optical communication using an equivalent thin film technique (등가 박막을 이용한 광통신용 파장분할 다중화(WDM) 박막필터 설계)

  • 오남석;이상현;황보창권;김회경;김명진;임영민
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
    • /
    • v.14 no.5
    • /
    • pp.555-564
    • /
    • 2003
  • WDM thin film filters for fiber optical communication were designed using Fabry-Prot type multiple cavity filters and an equivalent thin film technique. As the number of cavities in multiple cavity filters increases, it becomes difficult to design the filters due to a great number of variables (the number of cavities, period of reflectors, order of spacers). To solve the problem of design, we treated the fewest variables, regarding symmetrical thin films as equivalent layers, and we applied structural and numerical formulas based on an analysis method of multiple cavity filters. The equivalent thin film technique was able to provide systematic and quantitative design of the WDM thin film filters.

A Study on Periodic Changes in Fiscal Variables Due to Elections (선거에 따른 재정변수의 주기적인 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seongtae
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.33 no.3
    • /
    • pp.163-209
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study empirically analyzes whether political rent-seeking behavior exits in Korea. The empirical analysis shows that there is a cyclical decline in aggregate revenue immediately following the election year. However, when using other aggregate fiscal variables including aggregate revenue, fiscal balance, tax and public burden ratio, no such cyclical deterioration are found. By sector, the expenditures of the economic affairs show a cyclical increase in the year right after the election. In addition, as the ratio of ruling party senators to total senators is high, the expenditures of the economic affairs tend to increase more and this tendency becomes more stronger right after the presidential election year. Such a result turns out to be consistent even when the expenditure was analyzed separately from the mandatory and discretionary expenditures by sector. This is a testimony to the existence of political rent-seeking behavior in Korea.

  • PDF

Generation of Corporate Risk Contents of Small Firms and Large Firms Using Financial Data for Enhancing International Competitiveness (국제경쟁력 강화를 위한 중소규모기업과 대기업간 부실예측 콘텐츠)

  • Kim, Young-Sook
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.7 no.12
    • /
    • pp.123-130
    • /
    • 2007
  • The purpose of this paper is to capture risk profiles of smaller-sized Korean firms $vis-{\grave{a}}-vis$ larger-sized firms during the Asian financial crisis. For this purpose, risk profiles are provided by estimating expected default risks and by tracking how these have changed during this period with respect to their magnitude, volatility, and sensitivity measures. Methodology used in this study employs the Black-Scholes-Merton model for producing estimates of default risks. And the conventional trans-log function is utilized for obtaining sensitivity measures of the estimated default risks. According to empirical evidence obtained here, it is revealed that contractions of corporate loans associated with IMF austerity policy was the main factor responsible for the drastic change in the default risk profile of Korean firms after occurrence of the Asian financial crisis.

A study on the Impact of Financial Conditions on Accounting indicators -Focusing on the Financial Soundness of Private Universities- (재정여건이 회계지표에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 -사립대학 재정건전성을 중심으로-)

  • Park, Tae-Hwan;Bae, Eun-Jin
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.19 no.12
    • /
    • pp.273-280
    • /
    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to provide implications for fiscal policy by comprehensively examining the relationship between the on-campus retention and university soundness items of four-year private universities in the context of financial contraction of private universities due to suppression of tuition increase. Multiple regression analysis was performed to analyze the correlation of variables and the effect of financial soundness items on accounting indicators using SPSS 25. First, private university's on-campus reservations had an effect on accounting index items. Second, financial soundness items had an effect on accounting index items. Third, the financial condition factors influenced the change of accounting index by the location of the university. Fourth, according to the size of students, financial conditions had an effect on the change in accounting indicators. Government investment and support for private universities should be changed to a paradigm of securing finance through establishment of a development plan, rather than financial support through reduction of quota, and survival should be sought through income diversification policy strategies.

Determinants of Korea's Trade before and after the 2008 Financial Crisis Activating Augmented Gravity Model (중력모형을 이용한 2008년 금융위기 전후 한국의 교역결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Doowon;Kim, Donghee;Park, Seokwon
    • International Area Studies Review
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.243-274
    • /
    • 2012
  • This research analyzes the determinants of Korea's trade using the Gravity model, Chow test and panel data anaysis. According to the pooled panel OLS analysis using the gravity model and Chow-test, Korea's trade patterns before and after the 2008 financial crisis are heterogeneous. Variables of basic gravity model, GDP per capita, distance, and population, identically showed positive and significant correlation with trade volume before and after financial crisis, but also equally showed the decrease in absolute value of coefficient. On the other hands, Overseas Direct Investments(ODI) variable showed the increase in absolute value of coefficient. But TCI was no longer significant. This research is significant in that it is able to show the strategy for the long term growth in Korea's volume of international trade through econometric analysis based on data of 55 trading partner of Korea.

A study on the Fuel Control Algorithm for Coal Fired Boilers of Electric Power Plants (석탄연소발전용 보일러 연료제어 알고리듬 고찰)

  • Kim, Jong-An
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2009.07a
    • /
    • pp.1668_1669
    • /
    • 2009
  • 보일러 연료제어의 근본 목적은 보일러 입력에너지와 출력에너지 간의 평형을 유지하는 것이다. 보일러 출력에너지는 유출증기가 가지고 나가는 총 에너지에 해당하고, 입력에너지는 보일러에 공급되는 연료의 연소에 의해 발생하는 열 에너지에 해당한다. 보일러 연료의 공급과 연소제어에는 여러 가지 변수가 상존하고 있으며, 이 변수들의 영향을 잘 반영하여 필요한 연료량을 실시간으로 정확히 제어하는 것이 결코 쉬운과제가 아니다. 석탄연소발전소의 주연료는 당연히 석탄이며 석탄을 입자가 매우 적은 미분탄으로 가공해서 연소하는 '미분탄 연소방식'을 많이 사용한다. 석탄의 공급과 연소에 영향을 미치는 인자로는 도입 탄종 변화에 따른 발열량, 수분함유량, 기타 성분의 변화가 있으며, 미분기 특성 및 성능변화, 연소용 공기 공급상태 변동에 따른 연소상태변화 등을 들 수 있다. 이 논문에서는 국내 석탄화력 발전소에서 가장 많이 사용하고 있는 전형적인 보일러 연료제어 전략과 알고리듬을 분석하였으며, 여기서 습득한 이론을 바탕으로 내년에는 실제 발전소에 적용할 연료제어로직을 설계할 예정이다.

  • PDF