• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변동요인

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Can Idiosyncratic Volatility Factor be a Risk Factor? (고유변동성 요인에 대한 위험평가)

  • Kim, Sookyung;Byun, Youngtae;Kim, Woohyun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.490-497
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we examined whether common idiosyncratic volatility(CIV), a risk factor for idiosyncratic volatility, can be evaluated as a pricing factor. The sample is listed on the Korea Exchange. The analysis period is 288 months from July 1992 to June 2016. The main results of this study are as follows. First, in the empirical verification of the market excess returns of the testing portfolios, the difference in the return on the CIV factor sensitivity difference was statistically significant. In other words, we confirmed that there is a risk premium for CIV factors. Second, CAPM, FF3 factor model, and FF5 factor model do not explain the risk premium for CIV factors, whereas factor models that add CIV factors explain the risk premium for CIV factors. In other words, the CIV factor can be evaluated in terms of pricing factors.

Type I Analysis by Projections (사영에 의한 제1종 분석)

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.373-381
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    • 2011
  • This paper discusses how to get the sums of squares due to treatment factors when Type I Analysis is used by projections for the analysis of data under the assumption of a two-way ANOVA model. The suggested method does not need to calculate the residual sums of squares for the calculation of sums of squares. There-fore, the calculation is easier and faster than classical ANOVA methods. It also discusses how eigenvectors and eigenvalues of the projection matrices can be used to get the calculation of sums of squares. An example is given to illustrate the calculation procedure by projections for unbalanced data.

An One-factor VaR Model for Stock Portfolio (One-factor 모형을 이용한 주식 포트폴리오 VaR에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Keunhui;Ko, Kwangyee;Beak, Jangsun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.471-481
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    • 2013
  • The current VaR Model based on J. P. Morgan's RiskMetrics has problem that actual loss exceeds VaR under unstable economic conditions because the current VaR Model can't re ect future economic conditions. In general, any corporation's stock price is determined by the rm's idiosyncratic factor as well as the common systematic factor that in uences all stocks in the portfolio. In this study, we propose an One-factor VaR Model for stock portfolio which is decomposed into the common systematic factor and the rm's idiosyncratic factor. We expect that the actual loss will not exceed VaR when the One-factor Model is implemented because the common systematic factor considering the future economic conditions is estimated. Also, we can allocate the stock portfolio to minimize the loss.

Optimal portfolio and VaR of KOSPI200 using One-factor model (원-팩터 모형을 이용한 KOSPI200지수 구성종목의 최적 포트폴리오 구성 및 VaR 측정)

  • Ko, Kwang Yee;Son, Young Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.323-334
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    • 2015
  • he current VaR model based on the J.P. Morgan's RiskMetrics structurally can not reflect the future economic situation. In this study, we propose a One-factor model resulting from the Wiener stochastic process decomposed into a systematic risk factor and an idiosyncratic risk factor. Therefore, we are able to perform a preemptive risk management by means of reflecting the predicted common risk factors in the model. Stocks in the portfolio are satisfied with the independence to each other because the common factors are fixed by the predicted value. Therefore, we can easily determine the investment in each stock to minimize the variance of the portfolio. In addition, the portfolio VaR is decomposed into the sum of the individual VaR. So we can effectively implement the constitution of the portfolio to meet the target maximum losses.

Limnological Characteristics of the River-type Paltang Reservoir, Korea: Hydrological and Environmental Factors (하천형 저수지 팔당호의 육수학적 특성:수문과 수환경 요인)

  • Shin, Jae-Ki;Kang, Chang-Keun;Kim, Ho-Sub;Hwang, Soon-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.36 no.3 s.104
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    • pp.242-256
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    • 2003
  • This study aimed to determine the relationship between rainfall-discharge patterns and maior aquatic environmental factors in a river-type reservoir. Specifically, daily monitoring was conducted in Paltang Reservoir from January 1999 to December 2001. Observation of the daily changes of the environment factors showed that natural meteorological factors and hydrological factors causing the change of water discharge had a major effect on the aquatic environment. Rainfall was the main source of hydrological changes, with its frequency a possible direct variable governing the range of discharge changes. Rainfall was weak in November${\sim}$May and heavy in June${\sim}$October (heavist in summer). The range of water discharge was greatest during summer (July to September) and lowest during winter (January to February). A principal component analysis (PCA) showed that aquatic environmental factors could be classified into three different types in the pattern of annual variation. First, type I included water temperature, turbidity, water color and organic matter (COD), which increased with increasing water discharge. Second, type ll consisted of DO and pH, which decreased with increasing water discharge. Third, type III included conductivity, alkalinity and chloride ion, which showed middle values with increasing water discharge. Monthly variation of aquatic environments explained by the first two dimensions of the PCA suggests that aquatic environments of Paltang Reservoir may have annual cycle typical of river-type reservoirs depending on hydrological factor such as water discharge.

주택저당대출선택(住宅抵當貸出選擇) : 실증분석(實證分析)

  • Jeong, Se-Yeong
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.185-205
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    • 1995
  • 주택구입자들이 여러가지 주택저당대출대안(代案)중에서 하나를 선택하는 요인이 무엇인지를 찾아내기 위해 기존의 연구들과 달리 본 연구에서는 변동금리주택저당대출이 동질적이 아니고 이자율 위험에 있어서 서로 상이(相異)함을 고려하여 분석하였다. 분석결과 기존의 연구결과와 달리 금융시장 특성뿐만 아니 라 주택구입자특성요인도 주택 저당대출 선택결정에 영향을 주는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 특히 주택 저당대출대안(代案)들 사이의 이자율차이가 중요한 요인으로 나타났으며, 주택저당대출이 자율의 분산이 클수록 그 대출은 기피되는 것으로 분석되었다. 주택 저당대출이자율과 위험 자산수익률간의 공분산을 제외한 모든 공분산들은 주택저당대출선택에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 차입자특성 중에서는 주택구입자의 나이, 소득, 또는 가족수가 증가하거나, 미래의 이자율이 상승하리라 예상하면 변동금리 보다는 고정 금리주택 저당대출이 선호되는 것으로 나타났으나, 이자율 위험이 높은 변동금리대출과 이자율 위험이 낮은 변동금리대출 사이의 선택에서는 전자(前者)가 선호되는 것으로 밝혀졌다.

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주가지수(株價指數)옵션의 상장(上場)과 주식시장(株式市場)의 행태(行態) - 국제(國際) 포트폴리오를 이용한 실증적(實證的) 연구(硏究) -

  • Gu, Maeng-Hoe;Ok, Gi-Yul
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 1997
  • 본 연구는 주가지수옵션의 도입이 주식시장의 주가변동성 및 정보적 시장효율성에 미치는 영향에 대해 실증적으로 분석하였다. 주가지수옵션의 도입이 주식시장의 변동성에 어떠한 영향을 미치는 가를 보기위해 각국별로 동일한 가중치를 둔(equally weighted) 국제 포트폴리오를 구성함으로써 주가지수옵션 도입이라는 요인외의 다른 요인들을 통제하였다. 이 포트폴리오를 이용한 분석결과에 의하면, 주가지수옵션의 거래는 단기간에 걸쳐서는 주식시장의 주가변동성에 별 영향을 주지 않았으나 다소 긴 기간인 1년 정도의 기간에서는 주가변동성을 증가시켰다. 또한 본 연구는 GARCH 형태의 모델을 이용하여 주가지수옵션시장의 개설이후로 주식시장의 시간에 따라 변하는 주가변동성(time-varying volatility)에 어떤 구조적 변화가 있었느냐를 분석함으로써, 주가지수옵션의 거래가 정보적 시장효율성(informational market efficiency)에 어떠한 영향을 미치는가를 알아보았다. 우리의 실증분석 결과는 지수옵션 도입 이후로 정보의 이산적 패킷(discrete packets)인 여러 변동성 충격(volatility shock)이 주식시장에 더욱 더 빨리 흡수된다는 것을 보여주었다. 이는 주가지수옵션의 도입은 주식시장의 효율성 증대에 도움을 준다는 것을 의미한다.

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