• Title/Summary/Keyword: 변동성 분석

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Estimating WTP for the reduction of disamenity in the Seoul Metropolitan Area Landfill site using the Hedonic Pricing Model (헤도닉가격모형을 이용한 수도권매립지 유발 비효용(disamenity) 감소에 대한 지불의사액 추정)

  • Kang, Heechan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.335-362
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    • 2020
  • Using the Hedonic pricing model using Box-Cox transformation, this paper estimated the marginal effect (implicit price) of odors from landfill in the metropolitan area on housing prices and the willingness to pay for changes in certain odor conditions. This paper utilized the proximity from the landfill in the metropolitan area as a environmental variable, and analyzed the effect of various housing characteristic variables on the sale price of apartments within a radius of 5 km from the landfill. In particular, because odors factor have various heterogeneity, we applied hedonic price models instead of stated-preference methods with various types of functional forms through Box-Cox transformation, considering the heterogeneity of each region. Estimates show that the marginal value (implicit price) for the distance from the odor source was 0.227 to 0.533 depending on the function type of the estimated model. In addition, when other house factors are the same, the marginal willingness to pay for a distance of 1km from the odor source was calculated to be 16.79 to 51.76 thousand dollar depending on the type of function. Finally for the general Box-Cox model, the annual WTP was estimated to be 3,229dollar.

Algorithm Deciding Offshore Cable Layout Valid for Integrated Power Supply Between Adjacent Islands (근거리 도서간 통합전력공급에 유효한 해저케이블 포설 방안 결정 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Mi-Young;Rho, Dae-Seok;Moon, Guk-Hyun;Seo, In-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.28-36
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    • 2018
  • Islands are supplied with power from diesel generation or from photovoltaic power generation, and problems with offshore environmental impacts (age deterioration, salt pollution), environmental pollution (exhaust gas, noise, dust) and power generation costs (installation, maintenance) have increasingly emerged. In 2016, the cost recovery rate was only 27%, and deficits reached 73% on 65 islands managed by KEPCO. In terms of deficits, the costs incurred in the power generation sector accounted for 91%, with the ratio of fixed costs at about 60%. Analysis suggests that operating costs can be reduced with an optimal power supply system that improves power generation efficiency and makes operating systems more efficient. Therefore, it is possible to simplify fuel transportation and facility maintenance, because one island integrates the power plants of remote islands, and offshore cable is used to supply power to the other islands. From the economic evaluations in this paper, an algorithm deciding offshore cable layout validity for an integrated power supply between adjacent islands is presented. Simulation results based on the proposed algorithm confirmed that an integrated power supply is economical for existing stand-alone operations on islands having diesel generation, low peak power, and near distances.

Development of a Freeway Travel Time Estimating and Forecasting Model using Traffic Volume (차량검지기 교통량 데이터를 이용한 고속도로 통행시간 추정 및 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 오세창;김명하;백용현
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.83-95
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    • 2003
  • This study aims to develop travel time estimation and prediction models on the freeway using measurements from vehicle detectors. In this study, we established a travel time estimation model using traffic volume which is a principle factor of traffic flow changes by reviewing existing travel time estimation techniques. As a result of goodness of fit test. in the normal traffic condition over 70km/h, RMSEP(Root Mean Square Error Proportion) from travel speed is lower than the proposed model, but the proposed model produce more reliable travel times than the other one in the congestion. Therefore in cases of congestion the model uses the method of calculating the delay time from excess link volumes from the in- and outflow and the vehicle speeds from detectors in the traffic situation at a speed of over 70km/h. We also conducted short term prediction of Kalman Filtering to forecast traffic condition and more accurate travel times using statistical model The results of evaluation showed that the lag time occurred between predicted travel time and estimated travel time but the RMSEP values of predicted travel time to observations are as 1ow as that of estimation.

Effect of Transient Condition on Propeller Shaft Movement during Starboard Turning under Ballast Draught Condition for the 50,000 DWT Oil Tanker (50,000 DWT 유조선의 밸러스트 흘수에서 우현 전타시 과도상태가 프로펠러축 거동에 미치는 영향 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-ung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.412-418
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    • 2020
  • Generally, the propeller shaft that constitutes the ship shaft system has different patterns of behavior due to the ef ects of engine power, propeller load and eccentric thrust, which increases the risk of bearing failure by causing local load variations. To prevent this, different studies of the propulsion shaft system have been conducted focused the relative inclination angle and oil film retention between the shaft and the support bearing, mainly with respect to the Rules for the Classification of Steel Ships. However, in order to secure the stability of the propulsion shaft via a more detailed evaluation, it is necessary to consider dynamic conditions, including the transient state due to sudden change in the stern wakefield. In this context, a 50,000 DWT vessel was analyzed using the strain gauge method, and the effects of propeller shaft movement were analyzed on the starboard rudder turn which is a typical transient state during normal continuous rate(NCR) operation in ballast draught condition. Analysis results confirm that the changed propeller eccentric thrust acts as a force that temporarily pushes down the shaft to increase the local load of the stern tube bearing and negatively affects the stability of the shaft system.

Community Fluctuation of the Benthic Macroinvertebrates before and after the Construction of Nakdan Weir (낙동강 본류 낙단보 설치 전후의 저서성 대형무척추동물 군집변동)

  • Lee, Mi Jin;Seo, Eul Won;Yu, Jae Jeong;Lee, Jong Eun
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.47 no.4
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    • pp.328-336
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    • 2014
  • Nakdan weir, which is located in the second weir among the 8 weirs of Nakdong River, had been constructed from Nov. 2009 to Nov. 2011. To analyze the effect of Nakdan weir construction on benthic macroinvertebrates, we studied 2 sites around Nakdan weir (upstream and downstream) from 2007 to 2014. The average numbers of species and individuals were decreased after the construction (in 2012~2014, 51 species $895inds.\;m^{-2}$) than before construction (in 2007~2009, 25 species $84inds.\;m^{-2}$), especially in upstream site of Nakdan weir. After the construction, especially in 2012, dominance indices (DI) were increased by the decline of some specific taxon population, such as Ephemeroptera and Trichoptera, etc. After construction, individual ratios of GC (Gathering Collectors) and P (Predator) of FFGs (Functional feeding groups) and BU (Burrowers) of HOGs (Habitat orientation groups) were higher than before construction. So the results of this study indicate that the changes by a weir construction, such as the decline of shallow depth area, reduced velocity of water flow and increased ratio of sand bed, etc., can affect the benthic macroinvertebrate communities variously.

Hydroacoustic Investigation on the Distribution and Migration Behavior of Fish (어군탐지기에 의한 어군의 분포와 생태계측에 관한 연구)

  • 이대재
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.337-346
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    • 1992
  • Hydroacoustic surveys were conducted in the East China Sea, in the summers of 1990-1991 to investigate the distribution and migration behavior of fish, such as the diel changes in the distributions of fish, the thermoselection behavior of fish, and the fish reactions to a surveying vessel. The hydroacoustic observations were taken with a scientific echo sounder operating at 50kHz and a microcomputer-based echo processor. Fish samples were collected by bottom trawling and temperature was measured with a DBT system. The patterns of fish distributions were compared with the vertical profiles of water temperature. The results obtained can be summarized as follows: 1. The time series of hydroacoustic observations on the downward migration at dawn in the central region of East China Sea showed that the migration rate was 0.24 m/min. In this region, most of the fish collected by bottom trawling during the surveys were squid (Photologio edulis f. budo) and horse mackeral (Trachurus japonicus). 2. The hydroacoustic observations, which together associated with temperature data, indicated that squid and horse mackeral concentrated nocturally in a narrow vertical band of thermocline, particularly in summer when the survey region was strongly stratified. This result suggest that the nocturnal vertical distribution of these species evidently is controlled by temperature. 3. When the survey vessel, that is running at a speed of 11 knots, has suddenly stopped, the fish which concentrated beneath the transducer showed a strong avoidance reaction in the form of rapid downward migration. After a few minutes, the descending reaction disappeared and the fish slowly began the upward migration toward their original swimming positions. Trawl data suggest that the fish, which showed the avoidance reaction, was Liparis tessellatus.

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Paralytic Shellfish Toxin Profiles of the Dinoflagellate Alexandrium Species Isolated from Benthic Cysts in Jinhae Bay, Korea (진해만산 와편모조류 Alexandrium속 휴면포자 발아체의 마비성패독 조성)

  • KIM Chang-Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.364-372
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    • 1995
  • On the outbreak of paralytic shellfish poisoning in April 1993 in most of shellfish harvesting areas in Jinhae Bay, Korea, to clarify the toxin production of causative organism Alexandrium species, 19 axenic clonal isolates established from the benthic resting cysts in three different stations of those culture grounds were subjected to PSP toxin analysis by HPLC. Individual toxin content per cell was highly variable among the strains isolated from a sampling area and originated from an individual cyst. Average toxin contents in those areas revealed higher values of 54-70 fmol/cell. Toxin profiles included C1/C2(epiGTX8/GTX8), GTX1/GTX4 and neoSTX as the major components, and GTX2/GTX3, GTX5, C4, dcSTX and STX as the minor or sporadic ones. neoSTX on the dominant toxins showed not only most diverse compositional changes comprising $5-54 mol\%$ ranges but also no detection on the half of the strains examined, which were implicated in arising of heterogeneity with a genetic trait within a geographical region. When average toxin composition was compared, carbamate toxins comprised large proportions of $57\%,\;54\%\;and\;67\%$ as total toxin in St. 1, St. 2 and St. 4, respectively. These results suggested that an extensive paralytic shellfish toxification in Jinhae Bay could be largely due to the production of highly potent carbamate toxins in the causative dinoflagellate Alexandrium species.

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Sea Level Rise Around Jeju Island due to Global Warming and Movement of Groundwater/seawater Interface in the Eastern Part of Jeju Island (지구온난화에 따른 제주도 근해의 해수면 상승과 제주도 동부 지역 지하수의 염수대 변화)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ho;Shin, Ji-Youn;Koh, Eun-Heui;Koh, Gi-Won;Lee, Kang-Kun
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.68-79
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    • 2009
  • Groundwater is the main water resource in Jeju Island because storage of surface water in reservoir is difficult in the island due to the permeable volcanic rocks. Because of this reason, the groundwater is expected to be very vulnerable to seawater intrusion by global warming, which will cause sea level rise. The long term change of mean sea level around the Korean Peninsula including Jeju Island was analyzed for this study. The sea level rise over the past 40 years was estimated to be of $2.16\;{\pm}\;1.71\;mm/yr$ around the Korean Peninsula. However, the rising trend around the eastern part of Jeju Island was more remarkable. In addition, the groundwater/seawater intrusion monitoring network operated by the Jeju Special Self-Governing Province shows that seawater intrusion becomes more prominent during dry 4-5 months in a year when the sea level increases. This implies that the fresh groundwater lens in the eastern part of Jeju Island is influenced by the sea level rise due to global warming in the long term scale.

Selection of Hydraulic Routing Technique for Dam-Break Flood Analysis (댐붕괴 홍수해석을 위한 수리학적 추적기법의 선정)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Kim, Keuk-Soo;Park, Hong-Sung;Park, Jong-Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1327-1331
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    • 2007
  • 최근 전 세계적으로 기후 이상으로 인한 여러 가지 문제점들이 대두되고 있다. 특히 지구 온난화의 결과로 발생되는 하계 집중호우와 대형 태풍의 빈발은 막대한 인명과 재산의 손실이라는 결과를 초래하고 있다. 국내에서도 이러한 기후 변동의 여파로 2002년 태풍 루사, 2004년 태풍 매미, 2006년 강원도 지역의 집중호우 등이 발생하였으며, 이를 통해 제방붕괴 및 댐 저수지 붕괴라는 결과를 초래하였다. 국내에서 그 동안 발생한 피해를 들면 일산제 붕괴(1990년), 임진강유역 홍수(1996년), 연천댐붕괴(1996년), 장현 동막저수지 붕괴(2002년), 강원지역의 집중호우로 인한 범람 피해(2006년) 등을 들 수가 있다. 이러한 피해들은 그 규모가 기하급수적으로 증가하고 있으며, 피해 뿐 아니라 복구로 인한 경제적 손실 또한 막대하다. 그러므로 이러한 분야의 심층적인 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 위에서 언급한 바 있는 댐 붕괴나 하천의 범람에 관한 그 간의 연구는 수문학적인 방법을 통해 수행되어 왔다. 그러나 이러한 수문학적 방법은 하천에서의 흐름 특히 홍수시 발생할 수 있는 하천 부정류 흐름의 특성을 규명하기에는 미흡한 점이 있으며, 또한 광범위한 수리 수문학적 홍수추적 기법들을 특정한 문제에 대해 적용하는 기준은 명백하게 제시되어 있지 않다. 그러나 특정 사고과정과 일반적인 지침들은 홍수추적 기법의 선정에 대한 폭을 좁힐 수 있게 하여 최종적으로 적절한 기법의 선정을 가능케 하여 준다. 본 연구에서는 수리학적 홍수추적 기법들을 적용하여 하천에서의 흐름 양상을 규명하였으며, 각 추적기법들의 적용성을 파악하고 실제 적용시 수반되는 문제점들을 제시하였다. 또한 각 기법들의 문제점과 효용성을 검토하여 최적의 적용방안의 제시하였다.결과를 가시화하기 위해서 챠트 기능을 추가하였으며 매개변수를 자동으로 산정할 수 있도록 시스템을 구축하였다. HyGIS-RAS는 국내 하천유역에 대해서 기구축 되어있는 하천관리지리정보시스템(RIMGIS)자료를 직접 활용하도록 구성되어있고 자료를 활용하여 제내지와 제외지를 통합하여 TIN분석을 실시하여 범람 홍수해석에 활용할 수 있도록 하였다. 하천수리해석의 기능을 보강하기 위해 역산조도계수 산정모형, 상류-사류 천이류 구간에 대한 부등류 해석모형, 범람 홍수류에 대한 홍수위 산정모형, 하천수리계산시의 불확실도 해석모형 등의 새로운 기능을 추가하여 제시하였다. 모든 입출력자료는 프로젝트 단위별로 운영되어 data의 관리가 손쉽도록 하였으며 결과를 DB에 저장하여 다른 모형에서도 적용할 수 있도록 하였다. 그리고 HyGIS-HMS 및 HyGIS-RAS 모형에서 강우-유출-하도 수리해석-범람해석 등이 일괄되게 하나의 시스템 내에서 구현될 수 있도록 하였다. 따라서 HyGIS와 통합된 수리, 수문모형은 국내 하천 및 유역에 적합한 시스템으로서 향후 HydroInformatics 구현을 염두에 둔 특화된 국내 수자원 분야 소프트웨어의 개발에 기본 토대를 제공할 것으로 판단된다.았다. 또한 저자들의 임상병리학적 연구결과가 다른 문헌에서 보고된 소아 신증후군의 연구결과와 큰 차이를 보이지 않음을 알 수 있었다. 자극에 차이가 있지 않나 추측되며 이에 관한 추후 연구가 요망된다. 총대장통과시간의 단축은 결장 분절 모두에서 줄어들어 나타났으나 좌측결장 통과시간의 감소 및 이로 인한 이 부위의 통과시간 비율의 저하가 가장 주요하였다. 이러한 결과는 차가운 생수 섭취가 주로 결장 근위부를 자극하는 효과를 발휘하는 것이 아닌가 해석된다. 이와 같은 연구결과를 통해 생

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Follow-up Study on the Acculturation and Adataption to South Korea among North Korean Defecting Adolescents (북한이탈청소년의 문화변용 추적과 남한사회 적응에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Soon-Hae;Lee, Sook-Young;Kim, Sun-Hwa
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.62 no.1
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    • pp.343-365
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    • 2010
  • It is a follow-up study on acculturation types and adaptation level to South Korea among North Korean defecting adolescents who participated in the study with the same purpose five years ago(2003). The study of 2003(1st year study) was done with 90 adolescents, out of whom 46 participated in this study(2nd year study). The data from 46 subjects who participated in both 1st and 2nd studies were analyzed. The results on individual acculturation type showed that 40% of the respondents who belonged to 'marginal' or 'separated' types in the 1st study were changed to 'assimilated' or 'integrated' types in the 2nd. Twenty percent changed from 'assimilated' or 'integrated' types in the 1st study to 'marginal' or 'separated' in the 2nd. Furthermore, the higher is the acceptance level of South Korean culture, the lower are their psycho-social problems and the higher is the satisfaction level of daily lives in South Korea. While the higher is the preservation level of North Korean culture, the higher is aggression. Based on the results, the study developed discussion on diverse alternative plans for helping North Korean defecting adolescents in successfully adjusting to the South Korean society.

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