• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.25 no.6
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• pp.1371-1383
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• 2014

Classification ensemble technique is a method to combine diverse classifiers to enhance the accuracy of the classification. It is known that an ensemble method is successful when the classifiers that participate in the ensemble are accurate and diverse. However, it is common that an ensemble includes less accurate and similar classifiers as well as accurate and diverse ones. Ensemble pruning method is developed to construct an ensemble of classifiers by choosing accurate and diverse classifiers only. In this article, we proposed an ensemble pruning method called WAVE-bagging. We also compared the results of WAVE-bagging with that of the existing pruning method called Lasso-bagging. We showed that WAVE-bagging method performed better than Lasso-bagging by the extensive empirical comparison using 26 real dataset.

• Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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• v.32 no.2
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• pp.267-277
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• 2022

Due to the increasing proportion of cloud and remote working environments, various information security incidents are occurring. Insider threats have emerged as a major issue, with cases in which corporate insiders attempting to leak confidential data by accessing it remotely. In response, insider threat detection approaches based on machine learning have been developed. However, existing machine learning methods used to detect insider threats do not take biases and variances into account, which leads to limited performance. In this paper, boosting-type ensemble learning algorithms are applied to verify the performance of malicious insider detection, conduct a close analysis, and even consider the imbalance in datasets to determine the final result. Through experiments, we show that using ensemble learning achieves similar or higher accuracy to other existing malicious insider detection approaches while considering bias-variance tradeoff. The experimental results show that ensemble learning using bagging and boosting methods reached an accuracy of over 98%, which improves malicious insider detection performance by 5.62% compared to the average accuracy of single learning models used.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.12 no.8
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• pp.333-340
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• 2023

Efficient prediction of corporate bankruptcy is an important part of making appropriate lending decisions for financial institutions and reducing loan default rates. In many studies, classification models using artificial intelligence technology have been used. In the financial industry, even if the performance of the new predictive models is excellent, it should be accompanied by an intuitive explanation of the basis on which the result was determined. Recently, the US, EU, and South Korea have commonly presented the right to request explanations of algorithms, so transparency in the use of AI in the financial sector must be secured. In this paper, an artificial intelligence-based interpretable classification prediction model was proposed using corporate bankruptcy data that was open to the outside world. First, data preprocessing, 5-fold cross-validation, etc. were performed, and classification performance was compared through optimization of 10 supervised learning classification models such as logistic regression, SVM, XGBoost, and LightGBM. As a result, LightGBM was confirmed as the best performance model, and SHAP, an explainable artificial intelligence technique, was applied to provide a post-explanation of the bankruptcy prediction process.

• Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.243-264
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• 2018

Although the worldwide battery market is recently spurring the development of lithium secondary battery, lead acid batteries (rechargeable batteries) which have good-performance and can be reused are consumed in a wide range of industry fields. However, lead-acid batteries have a serious problem in that deterioration of a battery makes progress quickly in the presence of that degradation of only one cell among several cells which is packed in a battery begins. To overcome this problem, previous researches have attempted to identify the mechanism of deterioration of a battery in many ways. However, most of previous researches have used data obtained in a laboratory to analyze the mechanism of deterioration of a battery but not used data obtained in a real world. The usage of real data can increase the feasibility and the applicability of the findings of a research. Therefore, this study aims to develop a model which predicts the battery deterioration using data obtained in real world. To this end, we collected data which presents change of battery state by attaching sensors enabling to monitor the battery condition in real time to dozens of golf carts operated in the real golf field. As a result, total 16,883 samples were obtained. And then, we developed a model which predicts a precursor phenomenon representing deterioration of a battery by analyzing the data collected from the sensors using machine learning techniques. As initial independent variables, we used 1) inbound time of a cart, 2) outbound time of a cart, 3) duration(from outbound time to charge time), 4) charge amount, 5) used amount, 6) charge efficiency, 7) lowest temperature of battery cell 1 to 6, 8) lowest voltage of battery cell 1 to 6, 9) highest voltage of battery cell 1 to 6, 10) voltage of battery cell 1 to 6 at the beginning of operation, 11) voltage of battery cell 1 to 6 at the end of charge, 12) used amount of battery cell 1 to 6 during operation, 13) used amount of battery during operation(Max-Min), 14) duration of battery use, and 15) highest current during operation. Since the values of the independent variables, lowest temperature of battery cell 1 to 6, lowest voltage of battery cell 1 to 6, highest voltage of battery cell 1 to 6, voltage of battery cell 1 to 6 at the beginning of operation, voltage of battery cell 1 to 6 at the end of charge, and used amount of battery cell 1 to 6 during operation are similar to that of each battery cell, we conducted principal component analysis using verimax orthogonal rotation in order to mitigate the multiple collinearity problem. According to the results, we made new variables by averaging the values of independent variables clustered together, and used them as final independent variables instead of origin variables, thereby reducing the dimension. We used decision tree, logistic regression, Bayesian network as algorithms for building prediction models. And also, we built prediction models using the bagging of each of them, the boosting of each of them, and RandomForest. Experimental results show that the prediction model using the bagging of decision tree yields the best accuracy of 89.3923%. This study has some limitations in that the additional variables which affect the deterioration of battery such as weather (temperature, humidity) and driving habits, did not considered, therefore, we would like to consider the them in the future research. However, the battery deterioration prediction model proposed in the present study is expected to enable effective and efficient management of battery used in the real filed by dramatically and to reduce the cost caused by not detecting battery deterioration accordingly.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.771-780
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• 2009

Cataract is the main cause of blindness and visual impairment, especially, age-related cataract accounts for about half of the 32 million cases of blindness worldwide. As the life expectancy and the expansion of the elderly population are increasing, the cases of cataract increase as well, which causes a serious economic and social problem throughout the country. However, the incidence of cataract can be reduced dramatically through early diagnosis and prevention. In this study, we developed a prediction model of cataracts for early diagnosis using hospital data of 3,237 subjects who received the screening test first and then later visited medical center for cataract check-ups cataract between 1994 and 2005. To develop the prediction model, we used random forests and compared the predictive performance of this model with other common discriminant models such as logistic regression, discriminant model, decision tree, naive Bayes, and two popular ensemble model, bagging and arcing. The accuracy of random forests was 67.16%, sensitivity was 72.28%, and main factors included in this model were age, diabetes, WBC, platelet, triglyceride, BMI and so on. The results showed that it could predict about 70% of cataract existence by screening test without any information from direct eye examination by ophthalmologist. We expect that our model may contribute to diagnose cataract and help preventing cataract in early stages.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2005.07b
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• pp.265-267
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• 2005

DNA 컴퓨팅은 분자 수준(molecular level)에서 연산을 수행한다. 따라서 일반적인 실리콘 기반의 컴퓨터에서와는 달리, 순차적인 연산 제어를 보장하기 어렵다는 특징이 있다. 그러나 DNA 컴퓨팅은 화학반응에 기초한 연산이기 때문에, 실험자가 의도한 연산을 많은 수의 분자에 동시에 적용할 수 있으므로 실리콘 기반의 컴퓨터와는 비교할 수 없는 병렬 연산을 구현할 수 있다. 병렬 연산을 구현하고자 할 때, 일반적으로 연산에 사용하는 모든 DNA 분자들을 대상으로 연산을 구현할 수도 있다. 그러나 전체가 아닌 일부의 분자들을 상대로 연산을 수행하는 것 역시 가능하며 이 때 자연스러운 방법으로 사용할 수 있는 방법이 배깅(Bagging)이나 부스팅(Boosting)과 같은 앙상블(ensemble) 계열의 학습 방법이다. 일반적인 부스팅과 달리 가중치를 부여하는 것이 아니라 특정 학습자(learner)를 나타내는 분자들을 증폭한다면 가중치를 분자의 양으로 표현하는 것이 가능하므로 분자 수준에서 앙상블 계열의 학습을 구현하는 것이 가능하다. 본 논문에서는 앙상블 계열의 학습 방법 중 특히 부스팅의 효과를 DNA 컴퓨팅에 응용하고자 할 때, 어떤 방법이 가능하며, 표현 과정에서 고려해야 할 사항은 어떠한 것들이 있는지 고려하고자 한다. 본 논문에서는 규모를 사전에 한정할 수 없는 진화 가능한 그래프 구조(evolutionary graph structure)를 학습할 수 있는 방법을 찾아보고자 한다. 진화 가능한 그래프 구조는 기존의 DNA 컴퓨팅 방법으로는 학습할 수 없는 문제이다. 그러나 조합 가능한 수를 사전에 정의할 수 없기 때문에 분자의 수에 상관없이 동일한 연산 시간에 문제를 해결할 수 있는 DNA 컴퓨팅의 장정을 가장 잘 발휘할 수 있는 문제이기도 하다.개별 태스크의 특성에 따른 성능 조절과 태스크의 변화에 따른 빠른 반응을 자랑으로 한다. 본 논문에선 TIB 알고리즘을 리눅스 커널에 구현하여 성능을 평가하였고 그 결과 리눅스에서 사용되는 기존 인터벌 기반의 알고리즘들에 비해 좋은 전력 절감 효과를 얻을 수 있었다.과는 한식 외식업체들이 고객들의 재구매 의도를 높이기 위해서는 한식 외식업체의 서비스요인, 식음료요인, 이벤트 요인 등을 강화함으로써 전반적인 종사원 서비스 품질과 식음료품질을 높이는 전략을 취해야 한다는 것을 시사해주고 있다. 본 연구는 대구 경북소재 한식 외식업체만을 대상으로 하여 연구를 실시하여 연구의 일반화와 한식 외식업체를 이용하는 이용 고객들이 한식 외식업체를 재방문하는 재구매 의도가 발생하는데 있어 발생하는 과정을 설명하는 종단적 연구를 실시하지 못한 한계점을 가지고 있다.아직 산업 디자인이 품질경쟁력에 크게 영향을 미치는 성숙단계에 이르지 못하였음을 의미한다. (2) 제품 디자인에게 영향을 끼치는 유의적인 변수는 연구개발력, 연구개발투자 수준, 혁신활동 수준(5S, TPM, 6Sigma 운동, QC 등)이며, 제품 디자인은 우선 품질경쟁력을 높여 간접적으로 고객만족과 고객 충성을 유발하는 것으로 추정되었다. 상기의 분석결과로부터, 본 연구는 다음과 같은 정책적 함의를 도출하였다. 첫째, 신상품 개발과 혁신을 위한 포괄적인 연구개발 프로젝트를 품질 경쟁력의 주요 결정요인(제품의 기본성능, 신뢰성, 수명(내구성) 및 제품 디자인)과 연계하여 추진해야 할 것이다. 둘째, 기업은 디자인 경영 마인드 제고와 디자인 전문인력 양성을, 대학은 디자인 현장 업무를 통하여 창의력 증진과 기획 및 마케팅 능력 교육을, 정부는 디자인 기술개발 및 디자인 교육지원의 강화를 통하여 각각 디자인 경쟁력$\righta

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.1229-1237
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• 2009

In the long-term care insurance(LTCI) system, the question of how to provide the most appropriate care has become a major issue for the elderly, their family, and for policy makers. To help beneficiaries use LTC services appropriately to their needs of care, National Health Insurance Corporation(NHIC) provide them with the individualized care plan, named the Long-term Care User Guide. It includes recommendations for beneficiaries' most appropriate type of care. The purpose of this study is to develop a recommending system for care plan(Res-CP) in LTCI system. We used data set for Long-term Care User Guide in the 3rd long-term care insurance pilot programs. To develop the model, we tested four models, including a decision-tree model in data-mining, a logistic regression model, and a boosting and boosting techniques in an ensemble model. A decision-tree model was selected to describe the Res-CP, because it may be easy to explain the algorithm of Res-CP to the working groups. Res-CP might be useful in an evidence-based care planning in LTCI system and may contribute to support use of LTC services efficiently.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.18 no.11
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• pp.129-136
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• 2020

The advantages of Blockchain present the necessity of Blockchain in various fields. However, there are several disadvantages to Blockchain. Among them, the uncle block problem is one of the problems that can greatly hinder the value and utilization of Blockchain. Although the value of Blockchain may be degraded by the uncle block problem, previous studies did not pay much attention to research on uncle block. Therefore, the purpose of this study attempts to predict the occurrence of uncle block in order to predict and prepare for the uncle block problem of Blockchain. This study verifies the validity of introducing new attributes and ensemble analysis techniques for accurate prediction of uncle block occurrence. As a research method, voting, bagging, and stacking ensemble analysis techniques were employed for Ethereum's uncle block where the uncle block problem actually occurs. We used Blockchain information of Ethereum and Bitcoin as analysis data. As a result of the study, we found that the best prediction result was presented when voting and stacking ensemble techniques were applied using only Ethereum Blockchain information. The result of this study contributes to more accurately predict the occurrence of uncle block and prepare for the uncle block problem of Blockchain.

• The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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• v.26 no.3
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• pp.97-117
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• 2021

Predicting term deposit subscriptions is one of representative financial marketing in banks, and banks can build a prediction model using various customer information. In order to improve the classification accuracy for term deposit subscriptions, many studies have been conducted based on machine learning techniques. However, even if these models can achieve satisfactory performance, utilizing them is not an easy task in the industry when their decision-making process is not adequately explained. To address this issue, this paper proposes an explainable scheme for term deposit subscription forecasting. For this, we first construct several classification models using decision tree-based ensemble learning methods, which yield excellent performance in tabular data, such as random forest, gradient boosting machine (GBM), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM). We then analyze their classification performance in depth through 10-fold cross-validation. After that, we provide the rationale for interpreting the influence of customer information and the decision-making process by applying Shapley additive explanation (SHAP), an explainable artificial intelligence technique, to the best classification model. To verify the practicality and validity of our scheme, experiments were conducted with the bank marketing dataset provided by Kaggle; we applied the SHAP to the GBM and LightGBM models, respectively, according to different dataset configurations and then performed their analysis and visualization for explainable term deposit subscriptions.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.21-39
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• 2020

Recently, deep learning has shown high performance in various applications such as pattern analysis and image classification. Especially known as a difficult task in the field of machine learning research, stock market forecasting is an area where the effectiveness of deep learning techniques is being verified by many researchers. This study proposed a deep learning Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model to predict the direction of stock prices. We then used the feature selection method to improve the performance of the model. We compared the performance of machine learning classifiers against CNN. The classifiers used in this study are as follows: Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Neural Network, Support Vector Machine, Adaboost, Bagging, and Random Forest. The results of this study confirmed that the CNN showed higher performancecompared with other classifiers in the case of feature selection. The results show that the CNN model effectively predicted the stock price direction by analyzing the embedded values of the financial data