• Title/Summary/Keyword: 몬테카를로 해석

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Application of Importance Sampling to Reliability Analysis of Caisson Quay Wall (케이슨식 안벽의 신뢰성해석을 위한 중요도추출법의 적용)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyawn;Yoon, Gil-Lim
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.405-409
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    • 2009
  • Reliability analysis of coastal structure using importance sampling was shown. When Monte Carlo simulation is used to evaluate overturng failure probability of coastal structure, very low failure probability leads to drastic increase in simulation time. However, importance sampling which uses randomly chosen design candidates around the failure surface makes it possible to analyze very low failure probability efficiently. In the numerical example, failure probability of caisson type quay wall was analyzed by using importance sampling and performance according to the level of failure probability was shown.

Reliability-Based Service Life Estimation of Concrete in Marine Environment (신뢰성이론에 기반한 해양환경 콘크리트의 내구수명 평가)

  • Kim, Ki-Hyun;Cha, Soo-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.595-603
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    • 2010
  • Monte-Carlo simulation technique is often used in order to predict service life of concrete structure subjected to chloride penetration in marine environment based on probability theory. Monte-Carlo simulation method, however, the method gives different results every time that the simulation is run. On the other hand, moment method, which is frequently used in reliability analysis, needs negligible computational cost compared with simulation technique and gives a constant result for the same problem. Thus, in this study, moment method was applied to the calculation of corrosion-initiation probability. For this purpose, computer programs to calculate failure probabilities are developed using first-order second moment (FOSM) and second-order second moment (SOSM) methods, respectively. From the analysis examples with the developed programs, SOSM was found to give a more accurate result than FOSM does. The sensitivity analysis has shown that the factor affecting the corrosion-initiation probability the most was the cover depth, and the corrosion-initiation probability was influenced more by its coefficient of variation than its mean value.

A Study on Compulsion for Voltage Stability Margin Using Monte-Carlo Simulation Method (몬테카를로 기법을 이용한 전압안정도 여유산정에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Hyun-Ho;Shin, Myong-Chul;Cha, Jae-Sang;Choi, Sang-Yeoul
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07a
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    • pp.441-443
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    • 2005
  • 종래의 대규모계통에서 전압안정도의 여유판별을 시행 할 경우 수식적 접근법을 이용한 해석 방법이 사용되어 왔다. 하지만, 이러한 수식적 해석 방법들은 실제 계통에 적용할 경우 상태변수가 많아지고 계산식이 복잡해짐에 따라 많은 계산과정과 시간이 소요되는 문제점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 전압안정도의 여유판별을 빠르고 정확하게 해석하기 위하여 난수를 이용한 확률적 접근방식의 하나인 몬테카를로 기법을 전압 안정도의 여유계산 방안으로 제시 하고자 한다.

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OCT Signal Analysis and Optimization in Dental Medium using Monte-Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 치아 조직내 OCT 신호 해석 및 최적화)

  • 황대석;이승용;김신자;류광렬;이호근;이영우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.321-323
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    • 2004
  • We developed the monte-carlo simulation code for analysis of the On signal in dental medium. In calculation, we obtain the two different propagation signals as a function of the probing depth. Signal 2 begins to exceed the signal 1 at a very small probing depth(=60${\mu}{\textrm}{m}$). For reduce the signal, detection area is limited to radius and detection angle. As numerical result, probing depth becomes appoximately 500${\mu}{\textrm}{m}$.

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Inverse Estimation of Fatigue Life Parameter based on Bayesian Approach (베이지안 접근법을 이용한 피로수명 파라미터의 역 추정)

  • Heo, Chan-Young;An, Da-Wn;Choi, Joo-Ho;Jeon, Jeong-Il
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.620-623
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    • 2010
  • 구조요소의 설계에서 유한요소해석은 매우 효과적인 방법이며 정확한 해석 기술을 요구한다. 그러나 제조 공정이나 환경에 따라 달라지는 재료 물성이나 불확실성을 내포하는 피로 물성을 확정적인 값으로 이용하는 등 입력 변수의 부정확한 정보로 인해 유한요소해석 결과를 신뢰하지 못하는 경우가 자주 발생한다. 실제 시험을 통해 설계의 결과를 예측하는 것은 경제적인 측면과 시간소요 면에서 한계가 따르기에 신뢰할 수 있는 유한요소해석 방법이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 고주기의 피로 해석을 위해 유한요소해석을 이용하여 스프링의 응력-수명(S-N) 파라미터를 역 추정하고 수명을 예측해 보았다. 이를 위해 실제 산업현장에서 쓰이는 자동차 서스펜션 코일 스프링을 예제로 사용하였다. 시험 모델에 대해 불확실성을 고려한 베이지안 접근법을 이용하여 입력변수의 파라미터를 역 추정하였으며, 마코프체인몬테카를로(Markov Chain Monte Carlo) 기법을 이용하여 얻어진 피로 물성 파라미터의 샘플 데이터를 이용해서 유한요소해석을 실시하고 신뢰수준 내에서 새로운 구조요소의 피로수명을 예측하였다.

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Development of a New Method to Consider Uncertainty of 1-D Soil Profile for the Probabilistic Analysis (확률론적 지반 해석을 위한 1차원 지반 구조의 불확실성 고려 방법의 개발)

  • Hwang, Hea-Jin;Park, Hyung-Choon
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2013
  • There always exists uncertainty which is mainly due to uncertainty of the evaluation of a geotechnical structure at a site. The uncertainty in the geotechnical analysis can be considered in the probabilistic analysis using the Monte Carlo Simulation. It needs various soil profiles which could be possible at the target site. In this study, a new method is proposed to generate soil profiles which are probable at the site. The proposed method analyzes a structure of a site and generates one dimensional soil profiles for a probabilistic analysis. Through the field application, the applicability of the prosed method was shown.

Assessment of Spatial Dose Distribution in the Diagnostic Imaging Laboratory by Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 전산해석에 의한 X선 실습실의 공간선량분포 평가)

  • Cho, Yun-Hyeong;Kang, Bo Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.423-428
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the calculation of the effective spatial dose distribution of the diagnostic imaging laboratory of K university was performed by the Monte Carlo simulation. The radiation generator has a maximum tube voltage of 150 kVp and a maximum current of 700 mA. Using the results, we compared the spatial effective dose distributions of diagnostic imaging laboratory when the shielding door was closed and opened. In conclusion, it was found that the effective dose in the operating room of the diagnostic imaging laboratory does not exceed the annual dose limit (6 mSv/y) of the student (occasional visitor) even when the door is opened. However, since the effective dose when the door is open is about 16 times higher in front of the lead glass window and about 3,000 times higher in front of the doorway than the case when the door is closed, closing the shielding door at the time of the practical exercising reduces unnecessary radiation exposure by great extent.

Reliability Analysis of Concrete Filled Carbon Composite Tube (탄소 섬유관으로 구속된 콘크리트 부재의 신뢰성 해석)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Lee, Kyoung-Hun;Hong, Won-Kee;Lee, Young-Hak;Eom, Chul-Hwan
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.5 s.51
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2006
  • In this study, axial and lateral loading experiments for both circular and square plain concrete columns confined with carbon fiber tube manufactured by carbon filament winding technique were performed. Based on the test results, reliability analyses to estimate strength reduction factors were carried out by utilizing Monte Carlo technique. CASE I was for plain concrete columns confined with the carbon tubes, CASE II was for reinforced concrete columns confined with the carbon tubes. As results, the strength reduction factors, ${\phi}$, were estimated as 0.7 for CASE I and 0.85 for CASE II respectively.

Stress Analysis of Single-Lap Adhesive Joints Considering Uncertain Material Properties (물성치의 불확실성을 고려한 단일 겹치기 이음의 응력해석)

  • 김태욱
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.401-406
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    • 2003
  • This paper deals with stress analysis of single-lap adhesive joints which have uncertain material properties. Basically, material properties have a certain amount of scatter and such uncertainties can affect the performance of joints. In this paper, the convex modeling is introduced to consider such uncertainties in calculating peel and shear stress of adhesive joints and the results are compared with those from the Monte Carlo simulation. Numerical results show that stresses increase when uncertainties considered, which indicates that such uncertainties should not be ignored for estimation of structural safety. Also, the results obtained by the convex modeling and the Monte Carlo simulation show good agreement, which demonstrates the effectiveness of convex modeling.

Numerical Integration-based Performance Analysis of Amplitude-Comparison Monopulse System (진폭비교 모노펄스시스템의 수치적분 기반 성능분석)

  • Ham, Hyeong-Woo;Lim, Hee-Yun;Lee, Joon-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.12
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    • pp.339-345
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, estimation angle performance analysis of amplitude-comparison monopulse radar under additive noise effect is dealt with. When uncorrelated white noises are added to the squinted beams, the angle estimation performance is analyzed through the mean square error(MSE). The numerical integration-based mean square error result completely overlaps the Monte Carlo-based mean square error result, which corresponds to 99.8% of the Monte Carlo-based mean square error result. In addition, the mean square error analysis method based on numerical integration has a much faster operation time than the mean square error method based on Monte Carlo. the angle estimation performance of the amplitude comparison monopulse radar can be efficiently analyzed in various noise environments through the proposed numerical integration-based mean square error method.