• Title/Summary/Keyword: 모수적 분포

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이동통신 환경에서의 핸드오버 지속시간 분석

  • 장희선;임석구;유제훈;이윤주
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1995.04a
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 1995
  • 이동가입자 수신단에서의 평균 수신전력 레벨이 핸드오버 임계값과 수신기 임계값 사이에 있는 영역을 핸드오버 영역이라 하며, 가입자가 핸드오버 영역에 머무르는 시간을 핸드오버 지속시간(Handover Duration Time)으로 정의한다. 시뮬레이션 분석 결과 핸드오버 지속시간은 감마분포를 따름이 입증되었으며, 따라서 본 연구에서는 감마분포에서의 모수(shape, scale 파라메터)를 해석적 방법으로 구한다. 그리고 해석적 방법의 검증을 위해 평균과 표준편차, 모수를 시뮬레이션 결과와 비교하며, 끝으로 적합도 검정을 수행하였다.

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A nonparametric test for parallelism of regression lines against ordered alternatives (회귀직선 기울기의 순서성에 대한 비모수적 검정법)

  • 송문섭;이기훈;김순옥
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.401-408
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    • 1993
  • This paper suggests a nonparametric test for the parallelism of several regression lines against ordered alternatives. The test statistic is an extension of the Potthoff statistic. The asymptotic variance of the proposed statistic is estimated by Bootstrap method. The proposed test are compared with the Adichie's parametric and nonparametric tests.

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Bayesian parameter estimation and prediction in NHPP software reliability growth model (NHPP소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장모형에서 베이지안 모수추정과 예측)

  • Chang, Inhong;Jung, Deokhwan;Lee, Seungwoo;Song, Kwangyoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.755-762
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    • 2013
  • In this paper we consider the NHPP software reliability model. And we deal with the maximum likelihood estimation and the Bayesian estimation with conjugate prior for parameter inference in the mean value function of Goel-Okumoto model (1979). The parameter estimates for the proposed model is presented by MLE and Bayes estimator in data set. We compare the predicted number of faults with the actual data set using the proposed mean value function.

Bayesian ordinal probit semiparametric regression models: KNHANES 2016 data analysis of the relationship between smoking behavior and coffee intake (베이지안 순서형 프로빗 준모수 회귀 모형 : 국민건강영양조사 2016 자료를 통한 흡연양태와 커피섭취 간의 관계 분석)

  • Lee, Dasom;Lee, Eunji;Jo, Seogil;Choi, Taeryeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.25-46
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    • 2020
  • This paper presents ordinal probit semiparametric regression models using Bayesian Spectral Analysis Regression (BSAR) method. Ordinal probit regression is a way of modeling ordinal responses - usually more than two categories - by connecting the probability of falling into each category explained by a combination of available covariates using a probit (an inverse function of normal cumulative distribution function) link. The Bayesian probit model facilitates posterior sampling by bringing a latent variable following normal distribution, therefore, the responses are categorized by the cut-off points according to values of latent variables. In this paper, we extend the latent variable approach to a semiparametric model for the Bayesian ordinal probit regression with nonparametric functions using a spectral representation of Gaussian processes based BSAR method. The latent variable is decomposed into a parametric component and a nonparametric component with or without a shape constraint for modeling ordinal responses and predicting outcomes more flexibly. We illustrate the proposed methods with simulation studies in comparison with existing methods and real data analysis applied to a Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) 2016 for investigating nonparametric relationship between smoking behavior and coffee intake.

Optimal design of a nonparametric Shewhart-Lepage control chart (비모수적 Shewhart-Lepage 관리도의 최적 설계)

  • Lee, Sungmin;Lee, Jaeheon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.339-348
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    • 2017
  • One of the major issues of statistical process control for variables data is monitoring both the mean and the standard deviation. The traditional approach to monitor these parameters is to simultaneously use two seperate control charts. However there have been some works on developing a single chart using a single plotting statistic for joint monitoring, and it is claimed that they are simpler and may be more appealing than the traditonal one from a practical point of view. When using these control charts for variables data, estimating in-control parameters and checking the normality assumption are the very important step. Nonparametric Shewhart-Lepage chart, proposed by Mukherjee and Chakraborti (2012), is an attractive option, because this chart uses only a single control statistic, and does not require the in-control parameters and the underlying continuous distribution. In this paper, we introduce the Shewhart-Lepage chart, and propose the design procedure to find the optimal diagnosis limits when the location and the scale parameters change simultaneously. We also compare the efficiency of the proposed method with that of Mukherjee and Chakraborti (2012).

Threshold estimation for the composite lognormal-GPD models (로그-정규분포와 파레토 합성 분포의 임계점 추정)

  • Kim, Bobae;Noh, Jisuk;Baek, Changryong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.807-822
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    • 2016
  • The composite lognormal-GPD models (LN-GPD) enjoys both merits from log-normality for the body of distribution and GPD for the thick tailedness of the observation. However, in the estimation perspective, LN-GPD model performs poorly due to numerical instability. Therefore, a two-stage procedure, that estimates threshold first then estimates other parameters later, is a natural method to consider. This paper considers five nonparametric threshold estimation methods widely used in extreme value theory and compares their performance in LN-GPD parameter estimation. A simulation study reveals that simultaneous maximum likelihood estimation performs good in threshold estimation, but very poor in tail index estimation. However, the nonparametric method performs good in tail index estimation, but introduced bias in threshold estimation. Our method is illustrated to the service time of an Israel bank call center and shows that the LN-GPD model fits better than LN or GPD model alone.

A Derivation of Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Relationship for the Design of Urban Drainage System in Korea (우리나라 도시배수시스템 설계를 위한 확률강우강도식의 유도)

  • Lee, Jae-Jun;Lee, Jeong-Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.403-415
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    • 1999
  • This study is to derive the rainfall intensity formula based on the representative probability distribution in Korea. The 11 probability distributions which has been widely used in hydrologic frequency analysis are applied to the annual maximum rainfall. The parameters of each probability distribution are estimated by method of moments, maximum likelihood method and method of probability weighted moments. Four tests such as $x^2$-test, Kolmogorv-Smirnov test, difference test and modified difference test are used to determine the goodness of fit of the distributions. The homogeneous tests (Mann-Whitney U test, Kruskal-Wallis one-way analysis of variance of nonparametric test) are applied to find the stations with rainfall homogeneity. The results of homogeneous tests show that there is no representative appropriate distribution for the whole duration in Korea. The whole region could be divided into five zones for 12-durations. The representative probability distribution of each divided zone for 12-durations was determined. The GEV distribution for I,II,V zones and the 3-parameter Weibull distribution for III,IV zones were determined as the representative probability distribution. The rainfall were obtained from representative probability distribution for the selected return periods. Rainfall intensity formula was determined by linearization technique for the rainfall.

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A generalized likelihood ratio chart for monitoring type I right-censored Weibull lifetimes (제1형 우측중도절단된 와이블 수명자료를 모니터링하는 GLR 관리도)

  • Han, Sung Won;Lee, Jaeheon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.647-663
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    • 2017
  • Weibull distribution is a popular distribution for modeling lifetimes because it reflects the characteristics of failure adequately and it models either increasing or decreasing failure rates simply. It is a standard method of the lifetimes test to wait until all samples failed; however, censoring can occur due to some realistic limitations. In this paper, we propose a generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) chart to monitor changes in the scale parameter for type I right-censored Weibull lifetime data. We also compare the performance of the proposed GLR chart with two CUSUM charts proposed earlier using average run length (ARL). Simulation results show that the Weibull GLR chart is effective to detect a wide range of shift sizes when the shape parameter and sample size are large and the censoring rate is not too high.

Comparison of parametric and nonparametric hazard change-point estimators (모수적과 비모수적 위험률 변화점 통계량 비교)

  • Kim, Jaehee;Lee, Sieun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1253-1262
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    • 2016
  • When there exists a change-point in hazard function, it should be estimated for exact parameter or hazard estimation. In this research, we compare the hazard change-point estimators. Matthews and Farewell (1982) parametric change-point estimator is based on the likelihood and Zhang et al. (2014) nonparametric estimator is based on the Nelson-Aalen cumulative hazard estimator. Simulation study is done for the data from exponential distribution with one hazard change-point. The simulated data generated without censoring and the data with right censoring are considered. As real data applications, the change-point estimates are computed for leukemia data and primary biliary cirrhosis data.

Validity assessment of VaR with Laplacian distribution (라플라스 분포 기반의 VaR 측정 방법의 적정성 평가)

  • Byun, Bu-Guen;Yoo, Do-Sik;Lim, Jongtae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1263-1274
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    • 2013
  • VaR (value at risk), which represents the expectation of the worst loss that may occur over a period of time within a given level of confidence, is currently used by various financial institutions for the purpose of risk management. In the majority of previous studies, the probability of return has been modeled with normal distribution. Recently Chen et al. (2010) measured VaR with asymmetric Laplacian distribution. However, it is difficult to estimate the mode, the skewness, and the degree of variance that determine the shape of an asymmetric Laplacian distribution with limited data in the real-world market. In this paper, we show that the VaR estimated with (symmetric) Laplacian distribution model provides more accuracy than those with normal distribution model or asymmetric Laplacian distribution model with real world stock market data and with various statistical measures.