• Title/Summary/Keyword: 매개모형

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Unsteady Flow Model for the Main Reach of the Han River : Calibration (한강 본류에 대한 부정류 계산모형 : 모형의 보정)

  • Hwang, Ui-Jun;Jeon, Gyeong-Su
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.549-559
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    • 1997
  • A multiply-connected network unsteady flow model for the main reach of the Han River is developed. It is a variable parameter model which allows variable roughness coefficient for each computational point according to the spatial position and the value of discharge. Sensitivities of the model to roughness coefficient and weir-flow discharge coefficient are tested, and as a result Manning's roughness coefficient is selected as the calibration parameter. The model is calibrated and verified using the records of the past flood events. A modified Gauss-Newton method is used for the optimal calibration of roughness coefficients. From the calibration of variable parameter model, spatial variation and discharge dependence of Manning's roughness coefficient are identified. That is, the roughness coefficient is higher for the upstream reach of the Wangsook stream Junction, and it decreases as the discharge increases. It turns out through the verification that the stages calculated by the variable parameter model agree better with the observed than those by the conventional single parameter model. Spatial variation of the roughness coefficient appears to be more significant than the dependence of the discharge.

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Calibration of Hydrologic Parameters of HSPF Using HSPEXP Model Performance Criteria (HSPEXP 모형평가지표를 이용한 HSPF 모형의 수문매개변수 보정)

  • Kim, Sang-Min;Seong, Choung-Hyun;Park, Seung-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.116-119
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    • 2009
  • HSPF is a comprehensive, continuous, lumped parameter, watershed-scale model that simulates the movement of water, sediment, and a wide range of water quality constituents on pervious and impervious surfaces, in soil profiles, and within streams and well-mixed reservoirs. The hydrologic calibration of HSPF is performed manually using the decision-support software Expert System for the Calibration of HSPF (HSPEXP). The initial values for the HSPF hydrologic parameters were estimated based on guidance from BASINS Technical Note 6. Initial parameter values were adjusted for the study watershed during the calibration period within the recommended ranges for the parameters.

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Comparative assessment of ensemble kalman filtering and particle filtering for lumped hydrologic modeling (집중형 수문모형에 대한 앙상블 칼만필터와 파티클 필터의 수문자료동화 특성 비교)

  • Garim Lee;Bomi Kim;Songhee Lee;Seong Jin Noh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.233-233
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    • 2023
  • 효율적인 수자원 관리에 필수적인 요소 중 하나는 유역 유출의 정확한 예측이다. 동일한 유역이라 할지라도 과거 기후조건에 대해 매개변수나 모형구조가 최적화된 수문모형은 현재나 미래 기후에 대해 최적이라 할수 없으며, 이에 따라 유역 유출 해석의 불확실성 또한 증가하고 있다. 수문자료동화는 모형의 입력 자료에 따른 불확실성을 줄이고 예측정확도를 향상 시킬 수 있는 방법으로, 수문모형의 상태량이나 매개변수를 업데이트하여 모형 초기 조건의 가능성 높은 추정치를 생성하는 기법이다. 본 연구에서는 국내 댐 상류 유역에 대해 집중형 수문모형과 순차자료동화 기법의 연계 패키지인 airGRdatassim 모형을 적용하여, 앙상블 칼만 필터와 파티클 필터 기법의 수문자료동화 특성을 비교 분석하고, 자료동화와 관련된 하이퍼-매개변수의 불확실성이 수문모의 성능에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 자료동화 적용 결과, 두 자료동화 기법 중 파티클 필터에 의한 모의성능이 높았으며 기상강제력 노이즈의 범위, 갱신 대상 상태량 설정, 앙상블 설정 등 수문자료동화의 설정과 관련된 하이퍼 매개변수의 불확실성은 두 기법별 뚜렷한 차이를 보였다. 또한, 본 연구에서는 일단위에서 시단위로 확장한 유량 예측 자료동화의 시험 모의결과 및 앙상블 수문동화기법의 도전과제에 대해서도 논의한다.

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The Parameter Identification of Tidal Model on The Boundary-Fitted Coordinates (Boundary-Fitted 좌표계로 변환한 2차원조석모형의 매개변수 동정)

  • 김경수;이재형
    • Water for future
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.319-328
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    • 1990
  • The Parameter Identification of 2-demensional estuarine model was carried out using new output ADI-FDM numerical semi-implicit schem transformed in boundary fitted(BF) - coordinate. The hydrodynamic equations which is coupled with the transport equations were used as basic equations in the model. Thompson's equations were used to transform governing equations into rectangular plane equations and his elliptic grid generation scheme was used to generate curvilinear grid system. in BF - coordinates. The parameters to be identified are friction coefficient and disperse coefficient embedded in the governing equations. The numerical output scheme is tidally averaged salinity model in BF - coordinates. The algorithm to optimize norm of error between observations and calculations is the influence coefficinet algorithm associated with least square criterion. The lumped model is conssidered in identification. This paper was concetrated on checking whether the new output scheme might be useful to identify parameters in estuarine salinity model or not. The proposed method was tested through experimental application with hypothetical simple model. The result of the test shows that the proposed method can be used for parameter identification in estuarine model.

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Parameter Calibration of Storage Function Model and Flood Forecasting (1) Calibration Methods and Evaluation of Simulated Flood Hydrograph (저류함수모형의 매개변수 보정과 홍수예측 (1) 보정 방법론과 모의 홍수수문곡선의 평가)

  • Song, Jae Hyun;Kim, Hung Soo;Hong, Il Pyo;Kim, Sang Ug
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.1B
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2006
  • The storage function model (SFM) has been used for the flood forecasting in Korea. The SFM has a simple calculation process and it is known that the model is more reasonable than linear model because it considers non-linearity of flood runoff. However, the determination of parameters is very difficult. In general, the trial and error method which is an manual calibration by the decision of a model manager. This study calibrated the parameters by the trial and error method and optimization technique. The calibrated parameters were compared with the representative parameters which are used in the Flood Control Centers in Korea. Also, the evaluation indexes on objective functions and calibration methods for the comparative analysis of simulation efficiency. As a result, the Genetic Algorithm showed the smallest variation in objective functions and, in this study, it is known that the objective function of SSR (Sum of Squared of Residual) is the best one for the flood forecasting.

Heavy Rainfall Prediction by the Physically Based Model (물리 모형을 토대로한 호우 예측)

  • Lee, Jae Hyoung;Sonu, Jung Ho;Ceon, Ir Kweon;Hwang, Man Ha
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.1129-1136
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    • 1994
  • A point heavy rainfall process is physically modeled. It uses meteorological variables at the ground level as its inputs. The components of the model are parameterized based on well established observations and the previous studies of cloud physics. Particular emphasis is placed on the efficiency of accretion. So we adopt the modified skew-symmetric model for hydrometeor size distribution function that is suitable for the heavy rain cloud. The dominant parameters included in the model are estimated by the optimization technique. The rainfall intensity is predicted by the model with the medium values of estimated parameters.

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Impact Assessment of Spatial Resolution of Radar Rainfall and a Distributed Hydrologic Model on Parameter Estimation (레이더 강우 및 분포형 수문모형의 공간해상도가 매개변수 추정에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Noh, Seong Jin;Choi, Shin Woo;Choi, Yun Seok;Kim, Kyung Tak
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.1443-1454
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we assess impact of spatial resolution of radar rainfall and a distributed hydrologic model on parameter estimation and rainfall-runoff response. Radar data measured by S-band polarimetric radar located at Mt. Bisl in the year of 2012 are used for the comparative study. As different rainfall estimates such as R-KDP, R-Z, and R-ZDR show good agreement with ground rainfall, R-KDP are applied for rainfall-runoff modeling due to relatively high accuracy in terms of catchment averaged and gauging point rainfall. GRM (grid based rainfall-runoff model) is implemented for flood simulations at the Geumho River catchment with spatial resolutions of 200m, 500m, and 1000m. Automatic calibration is performed by PEST (model independent parameter estimation tool) to find suitable parameters for each spatial resolution. For 200m resolution, multipliers of overlandflow and soil hydraulic conductivity are estimated within stable ranges, while high variations are found from results for 500m and 1000m resolution. No tendency is found in the estimated initial soil moisture. When parameters estimated for different spatial resolution are applied for other resolutions, 200m resolution model shows higher sensitivity compared to 1000m resolution model.

The Structural Relationships Between College Student's Altruistic Behavior and Related Variables in the Times of Convergence (융복합 시대의 대학생의 이타행동과 관련변인들의 구조적 관계 분석)

  • Chang, Yong-Hee;Lee, Jae-Shin
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.361-372
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the mediating effect of moral elevation and self control on the relationship between moral identity, character strengths, family strengths, and altruistic behavior in the times of convergence. The collected data were analyzed by SEM. The results of this study were as follows: First, moral self has indirect effect on altruistic behavior through moral elevation and self control in turn, and character strengths, have indirect effect on altruistic behavior through moral elevation and self control and moral elevation, self control in turn, and family strengths have indirect effect on altruistic behavior through self control. Second, it was found that there was a significant gender difference in the structural weights of character strengths and moral elevation.

Estimation of regional parameters of the DIROM in the Chungchungnam-do (DIROM 모형의 지역 매개변수 산정 - 충청남도 지역을 중심으로 -)

  • Hong, Jun Hyuk;Choi, Young Je;Yi, Jae Eung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.189-189
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    • 2021
  • 최근 기후변화로 인한 가뭄, 홍수 등의 기상재해 발생빈도가 증가함에 따라 저수지의 용수공급 안정성이 감소하고 있다. 우리나라 농업용수는 총 수자원 이용량의 48%를 차지하고 있으며 영농활동의 필수 자원으로 농업용 저수지의 용수공급에 크게 의존하고 있다. 하지만 유효저수용량을 기준으로 다목적댐과 비교하였을 때 농업용 저수지의 규모가 작으므로 가뭄이 발생하게 된다면 용수공급에 큰 어려움을 겪을 수 있다. 또한 농업용 저수지의 절반 이상이 준공년도가 70년 이상으로 농업용 저수지의 노후화가 심각한 상태이며 수문 실측자료가 부족하여 이수 측면의 활용성과 관련된 연구가 부족한 실정이다. 이에 따라 농업용 저수지의 안정적인 용수공급 및 이수 측면의 분석을 위해서는 농업용 저수지 상류의 정확도 높은 장기유출량 산정이 선행되어야 한다. 현재 농업용 저수지의 장기유출량 산정을 위해 사용되고 있는 DIROM 모형은 Sugawara의 TANK 모형을 우리나라 농업용 저수지의 유역 특성에 맞게 수정한 일별 유입량 모의 발생 모형이다. 그러나 DIROM 모형의 매개변수는 1980년대에 개발된 이후 현재까지 특별한 개선없이 사용되고 있다. 따라서 최근 우리나라의 기후 및 토지이용 특성이 변화함에 따라 유출 특성이 변화하였기 때문에 장기유출량 산정을 위한 매개변수 개선이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 하천의 최상류에 위치한 수위 관측소의 유출량 자료를 활용하여 지역별 DIROM 모형의 매개변수를 추정하고, 추정된 매개변수를 활용하여 회귀식을 개발하고자 하였다. 개발된 회귀식의 검증을 위해 최근 수문자료 관측을 수행하기 시작한 농업용 저수지의 실측 수문자료를 활용하였다. 이를 통해 농업용 저수지의 안정적인 용수공급 및 저수지 관리를 통해 농업용수의 활용성을 개선할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

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Parameter Estimation of the Storage Function Model: 1. Development of the Universal Model for the Parameter Estimation (저류함수법의 매개변수 추정: 1. 범용모형 개발)

  • Choi, Jong-Nam;Ahn, Won-Shik; Kim, Hung-Soo;Park, Min-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2010
  • The universal model for the parameter estimation of the Storage Function Model(SFM) was developed through the applications of the distributed model for various hypothetical watersheds and runoff conditions. The existing parameter estimation equations are based on observations and these equations which are derived from the restricted conditions are not sensitive to the variation of physical characteristics of a watershed. This study developed the universal model for the parameter estimation through the runoff simulations of 35,000 times. As the simulation results, we have known that the lag time is related to the longest stream channel characteristics and the storage coefficient is related to the watershed characteristics.