• Title/Summary/Keyword: 리스크 분석

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Risk management applicable to shield TBM tunnel: II. Risk analysis methodology (쉴드 TBM 터널에 적용 가능한 리스크 관리: II. 리스크 분석 방법)

  • Hyun, Ki-Chang;Min, Sang-Yoon;Moon, Joon-Bai;Jeong, Gyeong-Hwan;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.683-697
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, a risk analysis methodology applicable to shield TBM tunnels was studied. Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) was utilized to identify all risk items and to calculate the probability of failure of each item and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was used to obtain the impact of each risk item. Finally, a risk level of each risk item can be assessed. Developed methodology is applied to a Seoul subway site in which EPB shield tunnel method was utilized and it was found that risk analysis results matched reasonably well with field data.

Analysis of Fire Scenarios and Evaluation of Risks that might Occur in Operation Stage of CAES Storage Cavern (CAES 저장 공동 운영단계에서 발생 가능한 리스크 평가 및 화재 시나리오 분석)

  • Yoon, Yong-Kyun;Ju, Eun-Hye;Seo, Saem-Mul;Choi, Byung-Hee
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2015
  • This study focuses on assessing risks which might occur in operation stage of CAES storage cavern and analyzing fire scenarios for the risk that have been assessed with highest risk level. Risks in operation stage were categorized into upper risk group and lower risk group. Components of upper risk group are technical risk, facility risk and natural disaster risk. Lower risk group is composed of 11 sub-risks. 20 experts were chosen to survey questionnaires. ANP model was applied to analyze the relative importance of 11 sub-risks. Results of risk analysis were compared with risk criterion to set risk priorities, and the highest risk was determined to be 'occurrence of the fire within the management opening'. Three fire scenarios were developed for the highest risk level and FDS (Fire dynamics Simulator) was used to analyze these scenarios. No. 3 scenario which air blows from tunnel into outside atmosphere represented that a rate of smoke spread was the fastest among three fire scenarios and a smoke descended most quickly below the limit line of breathing. Thus, No. 3 scenario turned out to be the most unfavorable condition when operating staffs were evacuated from access tunnel.

A Study on Quantifying of Software Quality Risk (소프트웨어 품질 리스크의 정량화에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Jin-Woo;Kwon, Wonil;Kwon, Ho-Yeol
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.1027-1030
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    • 2010
  • 소프트웨어 테스팅에서 리스크 기반 테스팅은 리스크 식별, 리스크 분석, 리스크 계획, 리스크 추적의 4 단계로 전개되며, 특히 마지막 단계인 리스크 추적 단계에서는 식별된 리스크가 테스팅 진행과정을 거치면서 어느 정도 완화되었는지를 확인하고 현재의 리스크 완화 정도에 따라 적절하게 대응하는지를 모니터링 해야 하는 중요한 단계이다. 하지만 리스크 추적 단계에서 필요한 리스크 완화 수치가 정의되지 않아 사용자들은 테스트 실행율 또는 결함 해결율 등을 리스크 완화 수치의 대안으로 사용하고 있다. 본 논문에서는 리스크 추적 단계에서 사용할 수 있는, 리스크의 완화 정도를 수치화한 "리스크 해결 지수"의 산출 과정을 수식과 함께 제시하고 그 의미를 설명하였다. 그리고 예시를 통해 리스크 수치화에 대한 이해를 돕고, 리스크 수치화 관련 차트를 몇 가지 제시하여 실무에의 응용 통찰력을 제공한다. 리스크를 수치화한 "리스크 지수"는 테스팅 조직의 의사결정에 활용할 수 있는 객관적이고 설득력있는 정보로서 프로젝트 전반에 걸쳐 그 활용 가치가 높다.

Risk management applicable to shield TBM tunnel: I. Risk factor analysis (쉴드 TBM 터널에 적용 가능한 리스크 관리: I. 리스크 요인 분석)

  • Hyun, Ki-Chang;Min, Sang-Yoon;Moon, Joon-Bai;Jeong, Gyeong-Hwan;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.667-681
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    • 2012
  • In general, risk management consists of a series of processes or steps including risk identification, risk analysis, risk evaluation, risk mitigation measures, and risk re-evaluation. In this paper, potential risk factors that occur in shield TBM tunnels were investigated based on many previous case studies and questionaries to tunnel experts. The risk factors were classified as geological, design or construction management features. Fault Tree was set up by dividing all feasible risks into four groups that associated with: cutter; machine confinement; mucking (driving) and segments. From the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA), 12 risk items were identified and the probability of failure of each chosen risk item was obtained.

A Study on the Risk Assessment Occurred Possibly in a Civil Project (토목공사에서 발생 가능한 리스크평가에 관한 연구)

  • Yoon, Yong-Kyun
    • Explosives and Blasting
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2011
  • A variety of risks caused by natural, technological and biological hazards threaten a business continuity of an organization. Business continuity is very important issue for all organizations and its proper management may control success and failure of an organization. Business continuity plan (BCP) may be defined as a management process which provides a business continuity. BCP includes risk management, operational continuity plan, response/ recovery, exercise/study and crisis communication, etc. Risk management is a systematic method to identify, analyze, evaluate and treat emergency risks and risk assessment is composed of identifying, analyzing and evaluating emergency risks. Risk assesment is the first step for making BCP. In this study, risk assessment has been conducted for sewer laying project. Through assessing risks, 18 risks that may threaten the construction operation are identified and it is founded to be that high levels of risks which require treatment are 'collapse of excavation surface', 'breakage of ground infra-facilities', 'noise & dust dispersion' and 'rise of material costs'.

The Analysis of Risk Factors for Apartment Remodeling Feasibility Study (공동주택 리모델링 사업성 평가를 위한 위험요소 분석)

  • Lee Teck-Wn;Kim Kyoon-Tai;Han Choong-Hee;Kim Sun-Kuk
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.3 no.4 s.12
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2002
  • Recently, apartment-remodeling project is booming since various reconstruction controls are tightened. However, the project has difficulties because management systems used for apartment-remodeling projects are not available. Identifying and analyzing risk factors that are required for risk management, this paper suggests the risk level through paired comparison performed by AHP method and probability assessment for risk level analysis. It is expected that this research will be utilized to minimize the risk of apartment remodeling project and for basic materials to perform the project and helpful to change newly build-oriented construction into sustainable industries. Hereafter using the risk factor analysis data of this paper for this research project, risk management model is considered to be constructed.

Deriving of Major Risk Factors for Planning Phase of u-City Project (U-City사업 계획단계에서의 핵심 리스크 요인 도출)

  • Kim, Ho-Ki;Kwon, Soon-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.139-148
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    • 2011
  • u-City projects are different with the existing urban development projects progress via convergence with IT technology. Therefore, it inheres many risk factors more than the existing development projects as including more complexity and variety. The risk management system to systematically manage those risks which get identified and quantified is required. Especially, the planning phase that is appeared the various forms has a large effect on the success of the business. However, the management of risk factors remains in the passive form. So the problems on u-City project in the planning phase and risk factors of existing development business were analyzed for the continuous growth and the successful performance of u-City project, and those risk factors was identified and quantified by using statistical technique. In the results of it, the core risk factors were obtained through which way and the basis for the effective risk management in u-City business is provided.

An Study on the Risk Analysis Systems (리스크 분석 기법에 대한 조사연구)

  • Kim Jong-Gurl;Kim Chang-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2004
  • 다양한 리스크문제가 발생하고 있는 기업 환경 속에서 세계선도 기업들은 이미 효과적인 리스크 관리시스템의 운영을 통하여 기업의 손실을 최소화함으로써 이윤을 극대화하고 있으나 우리 기업들은 아직 그렇지 못한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 리스크 경영 시스템(Risk Management System : RMS)의 구성에 따른 분석 기법들의 적용범위, 용어 개념과 절차등을 비교, 분석하여 우리 기업들이 가지고 있는 리스크문제를 효과적으로 관리할 수 있는 대안 모색을 가능하도록 하는 기초 자료를 제시하고자 한다.

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Weight Evaluation of Risk Factors for Early Construction Stage (초기 건설공사 리스크인자의 중요도 산정)

  • Hwang Ji-Sun;Lee Chan-Sik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.5 no.2 s.18
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2004
  • This study identifies various risk factors associated with activities of early construction stage, then establishes the Risk Breakdown Structure(RBS) by classifying the risks into the three groups; Common risks, risks for Earth works, and risks for Foundation works. The Common risks are identified and classified by considering various aspects of the early construction stage such as financial, political, constructional aspects, etc. The risks for Earth works and Foundation works are identified in detail by surveying technical specifications, relevant claim cases and interviewing with experts. These risks are classified based on the Wok Breakdown Structure(WBS) of the early construction stage. The WBS presented in this study classifies the works of early construction stage into four categories; excavation, sheeting works, foundation works, footing works. This study suggests a risk analysis method using fuzzy theory for construction projects. Construction risks are generally evaluated as vague linguistic value by subjective decision making. Fuzzy theory is a proper method to quantify vague conditions of construction activities. Therefore, this study utilizes fuzzy theory to analyse construction risks. The weight of risks is estimated by reflecting the interrelationship among risk factors from absolute weights obtained by fuzzy measure into the relative weights by Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP). The interrelationship is estimated by Sugeno-fuzzy measure.

An Exploratory Study on the Relationship with Previous Project Risk Evaluation and Project Performance (사전 프로젝트 리스크 평가와 프로젝트 성과와의 관계에 관한 탐색적 연구)

  • Hosnag, Kim;Kyungsik Yang
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.70-92
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    • 2022
  • Project risk assessment is the most important activity performed at the beginning of a project because it can judge the performance of the project in advance. In this study, We were evaluated risk with traditional risk factors such as technology and schedule, etc, and Indirect risks factors such as financial, strategic, and special risks. and then, we analyzed what kind of relationship these risk evaluation factors have on business performance and customer satisfaction. As a result of the research, it was found that the risk evaluation items had a relationship with performance and customer satisfaction. However, It is possible that the performance may differ depending on how risks are managed after risk assessment. Therefore, follow-up studies should be conducted, including information on risk management practices. This study is meaningful that presenting practical risk evaluation items and at the same time identifying the relationship with performance. We plan to further the study in future studies including the evaluation of risk management process.