• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.20 no.3
• /
• pp.17-30
• /
• 2002

Incident duration prediction is one of the most important steps of the overall incident management process. An accurate and reliable estimate of the incident duration can be the main difference between an effective incident management operation and an unacceptable one since, without the knowledge of such time durations, traffic impact can not be estimated or calculated. This research presents several multiple linear regression models for incident duration prediction using data consisting of 384 incident cases. The main source of various incident cases was the Traffic Incident Reports filled out by the Motorist Assistant Units of the Korea Highway Corporation. The models were proposed separately according to the time of day(daytime vs. nighttime) and the fatality/injury incurred (fatality/injury vs. property damage only). Two models using an integrated dataset, one with an intercept and the other without it, were also calibrated and proposed for the generality of model application. Some findings are as follows ; ?Variables such as vehicle turnover, load spills, the number of heavy vehicles involved and the number of blocked lanes were found to significantly affect incident duration times. ?Models, however, tend to overestimate the duration times when a dummy variable, load spill, is used. It was simply because several of load spill incidents had excessively long clearance times. The precision was improved when load spills were further categorized into "small spills" and "large spills" based on the size of vehicles involved. ?Variables such as the number of vehicles involved and the number of blocked lanes found not significant when a regression model was calibrated with an intercept. whereas excluding the intercept from the model structure signifies those variables in a statistical sense.

• International Journal of Highway Engineering
• /
• v.14 no.1
• /
• pp.85-94
• /
• 2012

The term "incident duration time" is defined as the time from the occurrence of incident to the completion of the handling process. Reductions in incident durations minimize damages by traffic accidents. This study aims to develop models to identify factors that influence incident duration by investigating traffic accidents on highways. For this purpose, four models were established including an integrated model (Model 1) incorporating all accident data and detailed models (Model 2, 3 and 4) analyzing accidents by location such as basic section, bridges and tunnels. The result suggested that the location of incident influences incident duration and the time of arrival of accident treatment vehicles is the most sensitive factor. Also, significant implications were identified with regard to vehicle to vehicle accidents and accidents by trucks, in night or in weekends. It is expected that the result of this study can be used as important information to develop future policies to manage traffic accidents.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.19 no.6
• /
• pp.219-227
• /
• 2001

In this study, the simulation was constructed using CA(Cellular Automata) rule to analyze the effect of incidents, which was verified using real-time VDS data and data collected on the field. The study analyzed the effect of incidents on highways by the simulation. The result appears to be statistically available with 5% of significance level. In order to analyze the effect of incident, the study classified time period of incidents and types of incidents in relation with traffic volume. Also, the effect of each type of incidents was analyzed in terms of time difference in sectional travel and delay time. In conclusion, little effect of incidents on traffic flow is noticed with light traffic volume but it becomes serious as the traffic volume increases. In addition, the delay happens to appear without incidents as the traffic volume increases over 2000 veh/hour. Also, when incidents happened during 45 minutes, the delay was about 425-722 veh·hour.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.20 no.6
• /
• pp.81-98
• /
• 2002

본 연구는 Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test 기법을 이용한 자동 돌발상황 검지 모형을 개발하는 것이다. 본 연구의 수행을 위하여 고속도로에 설치된 루프 차량 검지기(Loop Vehicle Detection System)에서 수집된 점유율 데이터를 사용하였다. 기존의 검지모형은 산정하기가 까다로운 임계치에 의하여 돌발상황을 검지하는 방식이었다. 반면 본 연구 모델은 위치와 시간대 교통 패턴에 관계없이 모형을 일정하게 적용하며, 지속적으로 돌발상황 지점과 상·하류의 교통패턴을 비교 검정 기법인 Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test 기법을 사용하여 돌발상황 검지를 수행하도록 하였다. 연구모형의 검증을 위한 테스트 결과 시간과 위치에 관계없이 정확하고 빠른 검지시간(돌발 상황 발생 후 2∼3분)을 가짐을 알 수 있었다. 또한 기존의 모형인 APID, DES, DELOS모형과 비교검증을 위하여 검지율 및 오보율 테스트를 수행한 결과 향상된 검지 능력(검지율 : 89.01%, 오보율 : 0.97%)을 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 그러나 압축파와 같은 유사 돌발상황이 발생되면 제대로 검지를 하지 못하는 단점을 가지고 있으며 향후 이에 대한 연구가 추가된다면 더욱 신뢰성 있는 검지모형으로 발전할 것이다.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
• /
• v.22 no.2
• /
• pp.105-116
• /
• 2023

The fatality rate of secondary accidents is seven times that of general traffic accidents. If limited to highways, one in four deaths are said to occur from secondary accidents. Unexpected situations which do not give drivers time to prepare are the cause of secondary accidents. This risk results in more fatalities on highways with high driving speeds. Existing studies have conducted research on traffic accidents and on secondary traffic accidents that occur after a primary traffic accident, without considering unexpected situations that may occur on the road. Therefore, to reduce damage and casualties caused by secondary accidents, there is a need to create a safe road environment by removing the possibility of causing accidents. This study analyzes whether the day of occurrence, time of occurrence, and radius of the curve of an unexpected situation are related to the occurrence of an unexpected situation. This study was based on data of accidents that occurred in 2022 on the Cheonan-Nonsan Expressway and the Seoul-Yangyang Expressway. The radius of the curve was calculated by dividing the section of the highway into straight, clothoid, and curved sections through cluster analysis. Results of the analysis indicate that the day and time of occurrence and the curve radius are associated with unexpected situations.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
• /
• v.26 no.6D
• /
• pp.927-933
• /
• 2006

The Variable Message Signs (VMS) are useful way to reduce the socio-economic costs due to the traffic congestions and delays by providing the information on traffic condition to drivers. This study provided a methodology to determine the locations of VMS's in terms of the minimization of the delay by applying the genetic algorithm. The optimal number of VMS's was also derived by the economic analysis based on the cost and the benefit. The simulation considered the variation of traffic volume, the frequency and duration of the incident, and the traffic conversion in order to reflect the real situation. I've made a scenario to consider traffic volume and incident, and it can undergo through changing different traffic volume and incident in time and days and seasons. And I've comprised two kinds of result, one is based on empirical studies, the other is based on Genetic Algorithm about optimal allocation VMS. This result of using optimal location VMS, reduce total travel time rather than preceding study based on normal location VMS and we can estimate optimal location VMS each one.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
• /
• v.15 no.2
• /
• pp.13-23
• /
• 2016

Many traffic centers are highly hesitant in employing existing Automatic Incident Detection Algorithms due to high false alarm rate, low detection rate, and enormous effort taken in maintaining algorithm parameters, together with complex algorithm structure and filtering/smoothing process. Concerns grow over the situation particularly in Freeway Incident Management Area This study proposes a new algorithm and introduces a novel concept, the Displaced Flow Index (DiFI) which is similar to a product of relative speed and relative occupancy for every execution period. The algorithm structure is very simple, also easy to understand with minimum parameters, and could use raw data without any additional pre-processing. To evaluate the performance of the DiFI algorithm, validation test on the algorithm has been conducted using detector data taken from Naebu Expressway in Seoul and following transferability tests with Gyeongbu Expressway detector data. Performance test has utilized many indices such as DR, FAR, MTTD (Mean Time To Detect), CR (Classification Rate), CI (Composite Index) and PI (Performance Index). It was found that the DR is up to 100%, the MTTD is a little over 1.0 minutes, and the FAR is as low as 2.99%. This newly designed algorithm seems promising and outperformed SAO and most popular AIDAs such as APID and DELOS, and showed the best performance in every category.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
• /
• v.28 no.6
• /
• pp.7-15
• /
• 2010

Research of this paper focused on developing and demonstrating of algorithm with the figures of difference between historical traffic pattern data and real-time traffic data to decide on what the incident is. The aim of this dissertation is to develop incident detection algorithm which can be understood and modified easier to operate. To establish traffic pattern of this algorithm, weighted moving average method was applied. The basis of this method was traffic volume and speed of the same day and time at the same location based on 30-second raw data. The model was completed by a serious of steps of process-screening process of error data, decision of the traffic condition, comparison with pattern data, decision of incident circumstances, continuity test. A variety of parameter value was applied to select reasonable parameter. Results of application of the algorithm came out with figures of average detection rate 94.7 percent, 0.8 percent rate of misinformation and the average detection time 1.6 minutes. With these following results, the detection rate turned out to be superior compared with result of existing model. Applying the concept of traffic patterns was useful to gain excellent results of this study. Also, this study is significant in terms of making algorithm which theorized the decision process of actual operators.

• Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
• /
• v.17 no.5
• /
• pp.1-8
• /
• 2012

A Smart phone is the one of the mobile devices widely used in our daily life. Moreover, various type of sensing data gathering from smart phone are effectively applicable to recognize of their users or smart phone status. Therefore, many smart phone applications based on sensor data have been actively developed. In this paper, we investigate an unexpected conditions recognition method using continuous sensing data from a single three-axis accelerometer. In addition, we implemented an application using the proposed method which provides the services notifying an abrupt changes of the smart phone conditions. By the experimented results, the application can be useful to protect the smart phone on the user's unaware conditions such as falling or a robbery case.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
• /
• v.11 no.2
• /
• pp.29-38
• /
• 2012

The data quality and measurements along consecutive detector stations can vary much even in the same traffic conditions due to variety in detector types, calibration and maintenance effort, field operation periods, minor geometric changes of roads and so on. These faulty situations often create 10% or more of inherent difference in important traffic measurements between two stations even under stable low flow condition. Low detection rates(DR) and high false alarm rates(FAR) therefore sets in among many popular Automatic Incident Detection Algorithms(AIDA). This research is two-folded and aims mainly to develop a new AIDA for uninterrupted flow. For this purpose, a technique which utilizes a Simple Arithmetic Operation(SAO) of traffic variables is introduced. This SAO technique is designed to address the inherent discrepancy of detector data observed successive stations, and to overcome the degradation of AIDA performance. It was found that this new algorithm improves DR as much as 95 percent and above. And mean time to detection(MTTD) is found to be 1 minutes or less. When it comes to FAR, this new approach compared to existing AIDAs reduces FAR up to 31.0 percent. And capability in persistency check of on-going incidents was found excellent as well.