• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.42 no.1
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• pp.135-144
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• 2022

This paper aimed to analyze the type of urban shrinkage over the past 20 years for four case cities designated as abandoned mining area promotion zones and present the direction of future urban spatial policies through the analysis of shrinking status. According to the analysis of urban shrinkage in the past 20 years, all of the case cities were analyzed as fixed-type shrinking cities, showing a population decrease of more than 30% over the past 40 years compared to the peak population. Despite the decrease in population, the designated area of urbanization and non-urban areas is increasing every year, and the development permit and construction permit in non-urban areas are also increasing, requiring efficient management and operation of urban space. It is necessary to study military-level cities in the high-risk phase of extinction in the future, and to develop various indicators for segmentation of urban shrinkage types and analysis of status by type.

• Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.33-45
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• 2019

Due to the global low growth trend, urban shrinkage is a major issue of urban policy in major industrialized countries. According to the research results of the KRIHS(Korea Research Institute for Human Settlements, 2016), 23 out of 77 cities in Korea were diagnosed as continuous or temporary shrinking cities. However, the criterion for diagnosing shrinking cities remain on the simple demographic side, and the spatial shrinkage pattern of the city is not considered. Therefore, this study diagnosed urban shrinkage phenomenon considering the characteristics of Yeong-ju, a poly-centric city, by using the population gradient curve, which is one of the urban spatial structure analysis methods. As a result of the diagnosis, Yeong-ju turned out to be a shrinking city with the population density and the slope of population density increasing. In the case of area of Dong, a sprawl phenomenon in which the population density of the CBD and the slope of the population density were decreased was shown. And in the case of Punggi-eup, a simple shrinkage phenomenon in which only the population density of the CBD was decreased was shown. The results show that even within a city, the pattern of spatial change can be different for each centers. In the case of a city with a poly-centric structure, the implications for the individual diagnosis of not only the entire city but also the detailed area were drawn.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.20 no.8
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• pp.634-641
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• 2019

The world's population reached 7.7 billion in 2019. Despite this trend, not all cities are growing. Most of the growing population is driven to large cities for convenience and jobs. This phenomenon has led to a decrease in the population of small and medium-sized cities, and in certain cities, a decrease in employment as well as recession have resulted. Korea is no exception. The nation's population is concentrated in the metropolitan cities. To solve these problems, researchers started to study how to deal with the contraction of a city, i.e., a shrinking city, rather than focusing on only the growth of a city. In this paper, demographically outstanding declined domestic cities were selected as shrinking cities and their characteristics were analyzed. The concept of smart shrinking cities was then defined for the selected cities, which were chosen as a good case in overseas countries to solve the shrinking city problem. Through this process, the strategic differences were compared between domestic and oversea cases. As a result, a modified strategy for the smart shrinking city concept, FSSC (flexible smart shrinking city), is proposed as an alternative strategy that can save resources and cost.

• Korea Real Estate Review
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• v.24 no.1
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• pp.27-37
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• 2014

Recently increasing the supply of housing policy has not been able to reflect social phenomena as like decreasing birth rate, aging of the population and increasing 1 or 2 person households. This study analyze the housing demand in the city with the point of population growth rate and economic character changes. Growing cities have positive population growth rate and economic character, but shrinking cities have the opposite. By comparing housing demand of growing cities and shrinking cities, we want to find out housing policy implications. In this study, results suggest that the peak age of housing demand of shrinking cities is the late 60's. But the growing cities's age peak is the mid-80's. But further analysis of the economic variables and 1 or 2 person old and young household dummies, the result is that the peak age of housing demand is reduced. These results suggest that housing demand should be differentiated the cities's population structure and economic characteristics of the household. In short, housing demand will vary depending on the condition of individual cities.

• Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.127-134
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• 2019

Recently, the city development policies are being switched to the policies focusing on recession worldwide. Even though South Korea is also facing the phenomena that small and medium-sized cities are downsized because of a decrease in population and an aging society problem, there is lack of solutions and even they are still planning city development policies based on prospect of high growth. This study is featuring 4 viewpoints depending on shrinking population trend in 7 small and medium sized local cities, which are chosen as downsized cities. It is dealing with population peak, current population, 2030 population, and 2040 population viewpoints. And this study uses downsizing simulation that suggests optimum area that fits population and then shows visual check of the status of the small and medium sized local cities. The area of the small and medium sized local cities are expanded more than needs when they are on population peak point. However, they need only 20% to 25% of current area in 2030 and 2040. The most important thing is realizing the seriousness and facing up to the 'shrinking' phenomena that each small and medium-sized cities suffer. Therefore, this study has significance for presenting the status of small and medium-sized cities' problems in South Korea.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.44 no.2
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• pp.85-96
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• 2011

Probability plotting position is generally used for the graphical analysis of the annual maximum quantile and the estimation of exceedance probability to display the fitness between sample and an appropriate probability distribution. In addition, it is used to apply a specific goodness of fit test. Plotting position formula to define the probability plotting position has been studied in many researches. Especially, the GEV distribution which is an important probability distribution to analyze the frequency of hydrologic data was popular. In this study, the theoretical reduced variates are derived using the mean value of order statistics to derived an appropriate plotting position formula for the GEV distribution. In addition, various forms of plotting position formula considering various sample sizes and coefficients of skewness related with shape parameters are applied. The parameters of plotting position formulas are estimated using the genetic algorithm. The accuracy of derived plotting position formula is estimated by the errors between the theoretical reduced variates and those by various plotting position formulas including the derived ones in this study. As a result, the errors by derived plotting position formula is the smallest at the range of shape parameter with -0.25~0.10.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.5
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• pp.365-374
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• 2009

Probability plotting positions are used for the graphical display of annual maximum rainfall or flood series and the estimation of exceedance probability of those values. In addition, plotting positions allow a visual examination of the fitness of probability distribution provided by frequency analysis for a given data. Therefore, the graphical approach using plotting position has been applied to many fields of hydrology and water resources planning. In this study, the plotting position formula for the Gumbel distribution is derived by using the order statistics and the probability weight moment of the Gumbel distribution for various sample sizes. And then, the parameters of plotting position formula for the Gumbel distribution are estimated by using genetic algorithm. The appropriate plotting position formulas for the Gumbel distribution are examined by the comparison of root mean square errors and biases between theoretical reduced Gumbel variates and those calculated from derived and existing plotting position formulas. As the results, Gringorten's plotting position formula has the smaller root mean square errors and biases than any other formulas.

• Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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• v.52 no.2
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• pp.35-51
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• 2022

This study investigates how much building area among total building area concentrates on urban region in a local government region and then, I applies 'The Index of Building Concentration in Urban Area' for the first time in a study. The finding shows that Cities' Index is higher than counties', and also shows that a lower index is associated with a higher rate of older adult population, and is also associated with higher general budget expenditure by the local government based on the index of Building Concentration in Urban Area in Gyeongbuk Province. This study provides evidence that the Index of Building Concentration in Urban Area can be utilized in measuring shrinkage level, effectiveness of municipal finance, and in establishing shrinkage city/county planning by basic data.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2022.06a
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• pp.283-285
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• 2022

도시는 지속적으로 변화하고 있으나, 도시어항은 도시화에 비해 쇠퇴되고 있다. 도시어항 어민들의 어업활동은 축소되고 있으며, 어항의 새로운 변화와 활력이 필요한 실정이다. 그러나 어촌계의 고령화, 어항구역 및 인접 대지의 토지활용 등 실질적인 한계점은 어항의 발전을 저해하고 있으며, 본 연구에서는 이를 극복할 수 있는 대안으로서 암남항 해녀와 낚시 콘텐츠를 활용한 해양문화콘텐츠를 제시하고자 한다. 또한 2022년 암남항 어촌뉴딜300사업 시행에 앞서, 암남항의 해양문화콘텐츠를 개발하고 도시어항 공간환경마스터플랜을 수립함으로서 암남항의 새로운 발전을 도모할 수 있는 실질적인 연구 수행의 의의가 있다.

• Journal of Urban Science
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.49-58
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• 2023

Since the first domestic case of COVID-19 in 2020, social anxiety has caused people to avoid going outside, which has resulted in economic damage to alley commercial districts. However, even in the similar commercial districts, the economic impacts were different depending on the characteristics of the alley districts. This study identifies factors that affect the difference in sales of alleyways after COVID-19 by focusing on alley commercial districts in Seoul. Based on the review of previous studies, a total of 42 variables with six characteristics were constructed, and the principal component analysis was used to reduce the dimensionality of mixed variables. The variables were finally reduced to 12 variables and categorized into seven characteristics. We expect that the results of this study can be used as a basis for analyzing sales differences by standardizing the factors influencing sales in market districts that were previously uncategorized.