• Title/Summary/Keyword: 도로 위험도

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Risk Analysis for Cut Slope using Probabilistic Index of Landslide (사면파괴 가능성 지수를 이용한 절취사면 위험도 분석)

  • Jang, Hyun-Shic;Oh, Chan-Sung;Jang, Bo-An
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.17 no.2 s.52
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    • pp.163-176
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    • 2007
  • Landslides which is one of the major natural hazard is defined as a mass movement of weathered material rock and debris due to gravity and can be triggered by complex mechanism. It causes enormous property damages and losses of human lift directly and indirectly. In order to mitigate landslide risk effectively, a new method is required to develope for better understanding of landslide risk based on the damaged cost produce, investment priority data, etc. In this study, we suggest a new evaluation method for slope stability using risk analysis. 30 slopes including 10 stable slopes, 10 slopes of possible failure and 10 failed slopes along the national and local roads are examined. Risk analysis comprises the hazard analysis and the consequence analysis. Risk scores evaluated by risk analysis show very clear boundaries for each category and are the highest for the failed slopes and the lowest for the stable slopes. The evaluation method for slope stability suggested by this research may define the condition and stability of slope more clearly than other methods suggested by others.

Reliability Analysis of Storm Sewer System by AFOSM Method (AFOSM 방법에 의한 하수관망의 신뢰성 분석)

  • Kim, Mun Mo;Lee, Won Hwan;Cho, Won Cheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.201-209
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    • 1993
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the reliability of storm sewer system and AFOSM method is applied on Sinjeong detention basin area to decide the applicability of AFOSM method. The Rackwitz Algorithm, which is suitable for minimizing the error due to non-linearity, is used to find the failiure point. The performance functions are established to calculate the risk, rational formula is used to determine the load and Manning equation and Darcy-Weisbach equation are used to determine the sewer capacity, and the results are 0.119, 0.127, respectively. The Risk-Safety Factor relation for each return period is derived and the designing of storm sewer system based on reliability analysis is enabled.

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A Study on the Automatic Control for Collision Avoidance of the Ships (선박의 충돌회피를 위한 자동제어에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Keon;Kwon, Bae-Jun
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2002
  • The collisions of vessel at sea show high among the whole marine accidents. Especially, the accidents of fishing vessels take the largest portion of the collisions. Therefore, a technique to reduce these accidents should be developed. The automatic control for avoiding collision suggested in this study consists of two steps. The first is recognizing collision risk with fuzzy Theory and the other is maneuvering the model ship on the basis of collision risk calculated from the first step. The information form the position and estimated time of collision point(DCPA and TCPA) is used to assess the collision risk. To verify this system, a fishing vessel was simulated according to MMG mathematical model. The simulations result shows quite good application in avoiding the collision of ship.

A Study on the Development of Ship's Passage Risk Assessment Simulator (선박항로 위험도 평가 시뮬레이터 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kwang-Il;Jeong, Jung Sik;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.220-225
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    • 2013
  • Accidents between ships occur frequently at the traffic congestion area. Once a maritime accidents occur, it is likely to end up with critical damaged accidents. This paper develop a simulator for assessing quantitative risk based on statical maritime traffic data and realtime traffic distribution. Ship's passage risk assessment simulator consist of import of division of passage data, traffic distribution analysis and passage risk assessment analysis. Maritime traffic data of WANDO waterway apply to simulator for calculation of quantitative risk rate of waterway.

Expert System for FMECA Using Minimal Cut Set and Fuzzy Theory (최소절단집합과 퍼지이론을 이용한 FMECA 전문가 시스템)

  • Kim, Dong-Jin;Kim, Jin-O;Kim, Hyung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.342-347
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    • 2009
  • Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) is one of most widely used methods in modern engineering system to investigate potential failure modes and its severity upon the system. While performing FMECA, the experts evaluates criticality and severity of each failure mode and visualize the risk level matrix putting those indices to column and row variable respectably. Which results uncertainty in the result. In order to handle the uncertainty and conclude risk level matrix, this paper proposes a new FMECA procedure using minimal cut set (MCS) and fuzzy theory. Severity is calculated by proposed structural importance while criticality is determined by typical equipment failure rate data from IEEE Std 493. Finally, the risk level is compounded of these indices.

A method for quantitative measuring the degree of damage by personal information leakage (개인 정보 노출에 대한 정량적 위험도 분석 방안)

  • Kim, Pyong;Lee, Younho;Khudaybergenov, Timur
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.395-410
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    • 2015
  • This research defines the degree of the threat caused by the leakage of personal information in a quantitative way. The proposed definition classifies the individual items in a personal data, then assigns a risk value to each item. The proposed method considers the increase of the risk by the composition of the multiple items. We also deals with various attack scenarios, where the attackers seek different types of personal information. The concept of entropy applies to associate the degree of the personal information exposed with the total risk value. In our experiment, we measured the risk value of the Facebook users with their public profiles. The result of the experiment demonstrates that they are most vulnerable against stalker attacks among four possible attacks with the personal information.

Risk of Stroke according to the Duration of Diabetes Mellitus with Hypertension (고혈압을 동반한 당뇨병에서 유병기간에 따른 뇌졸중 위험도)

  • Kim, Hee Sung
    • Korean Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.188-193
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    • 2020
  • Stroke is a major cause of death and disorder, and diabetes mellitus (DM) is a significant risk factor of stroke. This study examined the importance of target blood pressure (<140/<90 mmHg) management in patients with DM. Based on the data of the 6th National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, a total of 16,389 patients aged 18 to under 80 were assessed through regression analysis to estimate the risk of stroke through blood pressure control. The prevalence of stroke according to the presence or absence of DM was higher in the diabetic group, and a longer duration of DM indicated a higher risk of hypertension and stroke. The hazard ratio of stroke was lower in the maintenance group (0.57) of target blood pressure (<140/<90 mmHg) compared to the high blood pressure group(>140/>90 mmHg). Despite the accompanying treatment for DM and hypertension, the frequency of hypertension increased, and the prevalence of stroke increased after five years of DM. Hence, effective blood pressure management at this time is important. The risk of stroke should be reduced by continuously managing blood pressure in DM.

Variation of Beach Processes and Harbor Sedimentation in an Area of Large Tide (소형선박의 충돌위험도 분석을 위한 VTS 관제구역내 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Suk;Kim, Joo-Sung;Kim, Kwang-Il;Song, Chae-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.11a
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    • pp.34-35
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    • 2019
  • The objective of this study is to analyze the risk of collision accidents to the VTSOs(Vessel Traffic Service Operators) as small vessels are expanded for monitoring targets. For this purpose, the risks of accidents and quasi-incidents involving small ships in the VTS area were analyzed by the collision risk model(CoRI) from the view-point of VTSOs. In addition, by analyzing risk of whether or not small vessels are included in the monitoring target by CoRI, we will contribute to the preparation of a proper range of the vessel for monitoring taget through various case studies in the future.

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Risk Prediction and Analysis of Building Fires -Based on Property Damage and Occurrence of Fires- (건물별 화재 위험도 예측 및 분석: 재산 피해액과 화재 발생 여부를 바탕으로)

  • Lee, Ina;Oh, Hyung-Rok;Lee, Zoonky
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2021
  • This paper derives the fire risk of buildings in Seoul through the prediction of property damage and the occurrence of fires. This study differs from prior research in that it utilizes variables that include not only a building's characteristics but also its affiliated administrative area as well as the accessibility of nearby fire-fighting facilities. We use Ensemble Voting techniques to merge different machine learning algorithms to predict property damage and fire occurrence, and to extract feature importance to produce fire risk. Fire risk prediction was made on 300 buildings in Seoul utilizing the established model, and it has been derived that with buildings at Level 1 for fire risks, there were a high number of households occupying the building, and the buildings had many factors that could contribute to increasing the size of the fire, including the lack of nearby fire-fighting facilities as well as the far location of the 119 Safety Center. On the other hand, in the case of Level 5 buildings, the number of buildings and businesses is large, but the 119 Safety Center in charge are located closest to the building, which can properly respond to fire.

A Study on Fire Spread and Evacuation Risk of Conduit Combustion in Ceiling Hiding Place (천장 은폐장소 전선관 연소에 따른 화재확산 및 피난 위험도에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Kwang-Muk;Jeon, Jae-Kam;Bang, Sun-Bae
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the ISO 5660 and ISO 5659 combustion tests were conducted with synthetic resin conduits (CD, VE) and metal conduit (ST) used for wiring work in electrical facilities, which can be installed in ceiling concealed places. Then, fire spreading and evacuation risks were analyzed based on the measured data. In the ISO 5660 test, CD of 120.5 MJ/㎡, VE of 81.9 MJ/㎡, and ST of 4.9 MJ/㎡ were measured. In the ISO 5659 test, the CD 1320, VE 731, and ST 102 were measured, and then the maximum smoke densities were measured for CD 605 s, VE 740 s, and ST 1,200 s. In terms of fire spreading and evacuation risk, the CD conduit, VE conduit, and ST conduit were in order. In the fire spreading risk analysis, total heat emission was calculated as 4,820 MJ/㎡, 4,267 MJ/㎡, and 196 MJ/㎡ for CD, VE, and ST, respectively. Evacuation risk analysis shows at transmittance of 89%, CD is 127 s, VE is 35 s, and ST is 969 s. At transmittance of 79%, representing almost invisible concentration, CD is 157 s and VE is 50 s. The CD and VE conduits had a high fire spreading and evacuation risks, while the ST conduit had little effect on fire spreading and evacuation risk.