• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대출정책

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A Study on Forecasting Model of the Apartment Price Behavior in Seoul (서울시 아파트 가격 행태 예측 모델에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Hee-Chul;Yoo, Jung-Sang
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, the simulation model of house price is presented on the basis of pricing mechanism between the demand and the supply of apartments in seoul. The algorithm of house price simulation model for calculating the rate of price over time includes feedback control theory. The feedback control theory consists of stock variable, flow variable, auxiliary variable and constant variable. We suggest that the future price of apartment is simulated using mutual interaction variables which are demand, supply, price and parameters among them. In this paper we considers three items which include the behavior of apartment price index, the size of demand and supply, and the forecasting of the apartment price in the future economic scenarios. The proposed price simulation model could be used in public needs for developing a house price regulation policy using financial and non-financial aids. And the quantitative simulation model is to be applied in practice with more specific real data and Powersim Software modeling tool.

Study on Management Plan of the Financial Supervisory Service According to Increase of Risk of Household Debts (금융권 가계부채 위험증가에 따른 금융감독원 관리방안에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, YunHong
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.96-106
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    • 2018
  • The government adopted activation policy of real estate to overcome low economic growth rate. Real estate activation plan adopted by the government raised credit limit by lowering the regulation, and reduced real estate investment cost by reducing the base rate. Also, delayed transfer tax on multi-house owner to activate real estate investment and resolved purchase right resale. Relief of real estate regulate caused increase of housing sales and price increase, and the real estate market changed to overheating aspect such as premium upon completion of lot sale in a short time. Such market atmosphere greatly increased household debs as owners own houses based on 'financial debt' instead of their income. Since 2017, real estate policy was reinforced to reduce household debts and lending rate was raised due to rise of base rate, accordingly, burden of household debt is expected to increase. This research suggested a plan for the Financial Supervisory Service to efficiently manage the financial world by analyzing the cause and problem of household debs.

Toward A New Scheme for Unemployment Protection - UI Benefit vs. Self-insurance Through Borrowings - (실업자 보호정책의 개편 방향: 실업급여와 연금 통합을 중심으로)

  • Yun, Jungyoll
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.77-105
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    • 2004
  • Given the limitations of UI benefit and self-insurance through precautionary savings, this paper suggests a new scheme of income support for the unemployed, which offers unemployed workers not only UI benefit but also borrowings from their future pension incomes. Allowing individuals to have effective self-insurance through pension- borrowing, this scheme provides them with consumption-smoothing and reduction in risk burden while maintaining search incentives of the unemployed. Simulation study based upon household panel data in Korea suggests that a heavy reliance should be set upon self-insurance through pension-borrowings rather than upon UI benefit, even for the low-income individuals who are subsidized under UI system. This result provides us with insightful implications for a social safety net in (fast-growing) developing countries, where people cannot afford a good amount of UI benefit or of precautionary savings against unemployment although they expect their incomes to be much higher in the future. Indeed, it is consumption-smoothing effect of self-insurance through pension- borrowings, as well as its incentive-maintaining effect, that makes it a promising alternative of social safety net in developing countries.

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Mortgage Broker System and Policy Recommendations in Housing Finance Markets (주택담보대출 금융시장에서 Mortgage Broker 역할과 제도화방안 연구)

  • Kim, Yong-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.620-639
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    • 2005
  • In terms of loan transactions, mortgage volume secured by housing in Korea is the most important market share. Hitherto housing finance policies are treated as a kind of property pricing policy. So it is time to import financial systems on behalf of the mortgage loan consumers like a mortgage broker. A mortgage broker is an intermediary that brings a borrower and a creditor together to obtain a mortgage loan. The broker takes the application, performs a financial and credit evaluation, produces documents, and closes the loan. Especially mortgage brokers present themselves as specifically acting in the interest of the consumer by shopping on behalf of the consumer for the best product that meets the consumer's needs and financial circumstances. The paper investigates the economic role of mortgage broker, foreign systems focused on USA, UK, Japan, and characteristics of Korean housing finance markets. Finally the paper provides policy recommendations about Korean mortgage broker system composed of licensing type, uniform professional practice standard, educational requirements.

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Semi-Supervised Learning to Predict Default Risk for P2P Lending (준지도학습 기반의 P2P 대출 부도 위험 예측에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2022
  • This study investigates the effect of the semi-supervised learning(SSL) method on predicting default risk of peer-to-peer(P2P) loans. Despite its proven performance, the supervised learning(SL) method requires labeled data, which may require a lot of effort and resources to collect. With the rapid growth of P2P platforms, the number of loans issued annually that have no clear final resolution is continuously increasing leading to abundance in unlabeled data. The research data of P2P loans used in this study were collected on the LendingClub platform. This is why an SSL model is needed to predict the default risk by using not only information from labeled loans(fully paid or defaulted) but also information from unlabeled loans. The results showed that in terms of default risk prediction and despite the use of a small number of labeled data, the SSL method achieved a much better default risk prediction performance than the SL method trained using a much larger set of labeled data.

Evaluating the Success Factors of Microfinance : A Case Study of Grameen Bank (마이크로파이넨스 성공요인 연구 : 그라민 은행 사례)

  • Nargis, Farhana;Lee, Sang-Ho;Kwon, Kyung-Sup
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2012
  • Microfinance has been an important tool for the economic growth and poverty alleviation. But the success factors and risk factors have not been synthesized in academic literature. This article has paid attention to success factors and potential risk of the Grameen Bank. Grameen Bank methodology is almost the reverse of the conventional banking methodology. Conventional banking is based on the principle that the more you have, the more you can get. Founder of Grameen Bank, Professor Yunus pointed out that, "The least you have the highest you have the priority to receive a loan". On the basis of theoretical literature, there have been different kinds of success factors of microfinance observed in this paper. Key success factors of Grameen Bank are like these: innovation, strict administrative structure, adaptation and learning practice, incentive system. Complementary services such as business consulting and brokerage will contribute to borrowers' economic performance development.

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The Effect of Parental Financial Support and Housing Loan on Newlyweds' Housing Tenure (부모의 경제적 지원과 주택자금대출이 신혼부부의 주택점유형태에 미치는 영향)

  • Cheong, Kwan Seok;Lee, Jae Woo
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.7-22
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    • 2018
  • This study aimed to empirically analyze the factors that influence newlyweds' housing tenure. For this, a questionnaire survey was conducted among newlyweds living nationwide who had been married for 5 years or less and were under the age of 40. The results of the survey were empirically analyzed by applying various variables. With regard to parental financial support among the factors influencing newlyweds' housing tenure, the analysis results showed that the probability of owner occupancy was high among the households with parental financial support than among those with none, and the larger the size of the parental financial support was, the higher the probability that the newlyweds owned the house they were occupying. As for the housing loan variable, it was found that the probability of owner occupancy was high among the newlyweds with a housing loan than among those with none, and the larger the amount of the newlyweds' housing loan was, the higher the probability that they owned the house they were occupying. As opposed to what is generally recognized, however, the survey showed that the higher the ratio of dual earners is, the lower the owner occupancy probability due to the probability of job transition, etc. In addition, it was found that the probability of owner occupancy for the newlyweds living in Seoul was lower than that for the newlyweds living in other regions in South Korea. Accordingly, this study showed that appropriate levels of parental economic indicators should also be reflected in the stable housing support and loan policies for newlyweds in the context that the succession to their parents' fortunes is generalized.

The Effect of Financial Condition in Saving Banks on Loan Portfolio (저축은행 재무상황이 대출포트폴리오에 미치는 영향)

  • Bae, Soo Hyun
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.379-384
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of individual savings banks' financial conditions on their loan portfolio after savings bank restructuring. The analysis results are as follows. First, it was estimated that the relationship between the rate of change in the NPL Ratio and the ratio of household loans has a significant positive value. Second, it was estimated that the interaction effect between the rate of change in the ratio of fixed and below loans and the spread of the deposit-to-deposit rate has a significant negative (-) value with the household loan weight. Third, the relationship between the asset size and the proportion of household loans was estimated to have a significant positive (+) value. In other words, it was analyzed that the financial situation of the savings bank affects the loan portfolio, and it should provide important implications for establishing policies for each financial situation of the savings bank. Depending on the financial situation in the future, there is a need to avoid excessive asset expansion of specific loans and preemptive soundness management.

Analysis of Borrows Demand for Books in Public Libraries Considering Cultural Characteristics (문화적 특성을 고려한 공공도서관 도서 대출수요 분석 : 대구광역시 시립도서관을 사례로)

  • Oh, Min-Ki;Kim, Kyung-Rae;Jeong, Won-Oong;Kim, Keun-Wook
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2021
  • Public libraries are a space where residents learn a wide range of knowledge and ideologies, and as they are directly connected to life, various related studies have been conducted. In most previous studies, variables such as population, traffic accessibility, and environment were found to be highly relevant to library use. In this study, it can be said that the difference from previous studies is that the book borrow demand and relevance were analyzed by reflecting the variables of cultural characteristics based on the book borrow history (1,820,407 cases) and member information (297,222 persons). As a result of the analysis, it was analyzed that as the increase in borrows for social science and literature books compared to technical science books, the demand for book borrows increased. In addition, various descriptive statistical analyzes were used to analyze the characteristics of library book borrow demand, and policy implications and limitations of the study were also presented based on the analysis results. and considering that cultural characteristics change depending on the location and time of day, it is believed that related research should be continued in the future.

A Recognition Analysis on Activation of Housing Reverse Mortgage Loans and Mortgage Loans (주택연금과 주택담보대출의 활성화 방안 인식분석)

  • Lee, Chan Ho;Shin, Yeong Mi
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.197-203
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    • 2014
  • This study deals with a comparative analysis on reverse mortgage loans and mortgage loans in order to pave a path for activation of real estate financing. The fact-revealing analysis was conducted through surveys based on theoretical consideration and advanced researches, which has drawn a range of findings. As the results of this study, the important findings concerning the improvement on the activation of practical housing reverse mortgages are applicable to all real estate, diversifying the tax benefits, and deregulation of 1 house, etc. and findings concerning the improvement to activate mortgage loans are diversifying types of interest rates, diversifying types of repayment, tax benefits for less than 15 years maturity period, and granting benefits(low interest rates, higher loan limits) to low-income households, etc. This study has a significance for providing basic materials in order to accomplish advanced finance policies along with social welfare services as suggesting measures to improve and activate real estate financing through the findings out of the fact-revealing analysis conducted as above.