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Development on Prediction Technology of Tsunami Hazard using Scientific Interpolation (과학적 보간법을 활용한 지진해일 위험도 예측기술 개발)

  • Kim, Dong Hyun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.238-238
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    • 2018
  • 2011년 동일본 대지진으로 발생된 지진해일로 인해 막대한 경제적 손실과 인명피해가 발생하였고, 2차적 사회적 피해가 지속되고 있다. 또한 국내에서도 최근 경주와 포항지역에서 지진이 발생하여 피해가 발생함에 따라 재난의 불확실성에 대한 대비의 중요성이 강조되고 있고, 과거 안전하다고 했던 재난에 대한 위험성에 대해 국민들의 관심이 증대되었다. 피해사례가 2차례 있는 지진해일의 경우도 동일본 대지진 이후로 전 세계적으로 해일에 대한 위험성이 재평가되고 있다. 지진해일은 해저에서 발생하는 지진에 의한 것으로 발생지점 및 강도 등을 예측하기가 쉽지 않으므로, 지진발생에 대한 가상 시나리오를 이용한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 가상 시나리오를 활용하여 현재까지 많은 침수예상도가 제작되었으나, 다양한 시나리오 대해서 검토되지 않았다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 과학적 보간법을 이용하여 수치모형을 수행하지 않고 기수행된 연구 DB를 활용하여 지진해일 피해를 예측하는 기술을 개발하였다. 연구 DB는 국립재난안전연구원에서 수행된 지진해일 자료를 활용하였고, 전국단위를 기반으로 지진규모 7.0~9.0 내에 지진해일을 유발하는 지진에 대해 지진해일의 피해를 예측할 수 있는 기술을 개발하였다. 기술을 검증하기 위해 5개의 진원지에 대하여 과거 발생 지진규모부터 극한의 지진규모를 가정한 수치모의 결과와 본 연구의 결과를 비교하였다. 본 연구는 격자 1km인 광역모형의 모의결과를 활용하였으므로 실제로 해안지역의 침수양상의 정확도가 높지 않지만 향후 고정밀 공간해상도에 대하여 모의를 수행한다면 지진해일로 발생하는 범람 및 침수를 보다 정밀하게 예측할 수 있을 것이라 기대된다.

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Evaluating the Efficiency of Models for Predicting Seismic Building Damage (지진으로 인한 건물 손상 예측 모델의 효율성 분석)

  • Chae Song Hwa;Yujin Lim
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.217-220
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    • 2024
  • Predicting earthquake occurrences accurately is challenging, and preparing all buildings with seismic design for such random events is a difficult task. Analyzing building features to predict potential damage and reinforcing vulnerabilities based on this analysis can minimize damages even in buildings without seismic design. Therefore, research analyzing the efficiency of building damage prediction models is essential. In this paper, we compare the accuracy of earthquake damage prediction models using machine learning classification algorithms, including Random Forest, Extreme Gradient Boosting, LightGBM, and CatBoost, utilizing data from buildings damaged during the 2015 Nepal earthquake.

Difference in biomasses depending on apllication of speed over the ground and speed through the water during biomass estimation of Metapenaeus joyneri via swept area methods (소해면적법에 의한 중하(Metapenaeus joyneri) 자원량 추정 시 대지속력과 대수속력 사용에 따른 자원량 차이)

  • Young-Hwan JOO;Min-Son KIM;Hyun-Su JO
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2024
  • The towing distance, which is speed over the ground, and the water flow quantity, which is speed through the water, were used when estimating the amount of Metapenaeus joyneri resources that rose to the surface at night using the swept area method in order to compare and analyze the difference. It was conducted using a shrimp dredge, trial fishing gear for catching Metapenaeus joyneri. Catch during the entire survey period was 188.9 kg. Monthly catch ranged from 3.1 to 109.2 kg, highest in June and lowest in September. The swept volume calculated using the speed over the ground was about 13% higher than using the speed through the water. Metapenaeus joyneri resources estimated using the towing distance ranged from 320.1 to 14,649.8 kg. Resources estimated using the water flow quantity ranged from 278.5 to 12,886.3 kg. Therefore, the amount of Metapenaeus joyneri resources estimated using the speed over the ground was about 14% higher than the method using the speed through the water, indicating that the amount of resources was overestimated.

Taxonomical Classification and Genesis of Jeju Series in Jeju Island (제주도 토양인 제주통의 분류 및 생성)

  • Song, Kwan-Cheol;Hyun, Byung-Geun;Moon, Kyung-Hwan;Jeon, Seung-Jong;Lim, Han-Cheol;Lee, Shin-Chan
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.230-236
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    • 2010
  • Jeju Island is a volanic island which is located about 96 km south of Korean Peninsula. Volcanic ejecta, and volcaniclastic materials are widespread as soil parent materials throughout the island. Soils on the island have the characteristics of typical volcanic ash soils. This study was conducted to reclassify Jeju series based on the second edition of Soil Taxonomy and to discuss the formation of Jeju series in Jeju Island. Morphological properties of typifying pedon of Jeju series were investigated, and physico-chemical properties were analyzed according to Soil survey laboratory methods manual. The typifying pedon has dark brown (10YR 3/3) silt clay loam A horizon (0~22 cm), strong brown (7.5YR 4/6) silty clay BAt horizon (22~43 cm), brown (7.5YR 4/4) silty clay Bt1 horizon (43~80 cm), brown (7.5YR 4/6) silty clay loamBt2 horizon (80~105 cm), and brown (10YR 5/4) silty clay loam Bt3 horizon (105~150 cm). It is developed in elevated lava plain, and are derived from basalt, and pyroclastic materials. The typifying pedon contains 1.3~2.1% oxalate extractable (Al + 1/2 Fe), less than 85%phosphate retention, and higher bulk density than 0.90 Mg $m^{-3}$. That can not be classified as Andisol. But it has an argillic horizon from a depth of 22 to 150 cm, and a base saturation (sum of cations) of less than 35% at 125 cm below the upper boundary of the argillic horizon. That can be classified as Ultisol, not as Andisol. Its has 0.9% or more organic carbon in the upper 15 cm of the argillic horizon, and can be classified as Humult. It dose not have fragipan, kandic horizon, sombric horizon, plinthite, etc. in the given depths, and key out as Haplohumult. A hoizon (0~22 cm) has a fine-earth fraction with both a bulk density of 1.0 Mg $cm^{-3}$ or less, and Al plus 1/2 Fe percentages (by ammonium oxalate) totaling more than 1.0. Thus, it keys out as Andic Haplohumult. It has 35% or more clay at the particle-size control section, and has thermic soil temperature regime. Jeju series can be classified as fine, mixed, themic family of Andic Haplohumults, not as ashy, thermic family of Typic Hapludands. In the western, and northern coastal areas which have a relatively dry climate in Jeju Island, non Andisols are widely distributed. Mean annual precipitation increase 110 mm, and mean annual temperature decrease $0.8^{\circ}C$ with increasing elevation of 100m. In the western, and northern mid-mountaineous areas Andisols, and non Andisols are distributed simultaneously. Jeju series distributed mainly in the western and northern mid-mountaineous areas are developed as Ultisols with Andic subgroup.

The Morphology, Physical and Chemical Characteristics of the Red-Yellow Soils in Korea (우리나라 전토양(田土壤)의 특성(特性) (저구릉(低丘陵), 산록(山麓) 및 대지(臺地)에 분포(分布)된 적황색토(赤黃色土)를 중심(中心)으로))

  • Shin, Yong Hwa
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.35-52
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    • 1973
  • Red Yellow Soils occur very commonly in Korea and constitute the important upland soils of the country which are either presently being cultivated or are suitable for reclaiming and cultivating. These soils are distributed on rolling, moutain foot slopes, and terraces in the southern and western parts of the central districts of Korea, and are derived from granite, granite gneiss, old alluvium and locally from limestone and shale. This report is a summary of the morphology, physical and chemical characteristics of Red Yellow Soils. The data obtained from detailed soil surveys since 1964 are summarized as follows. 1. Red-Yellows Soils have an A, Bt, C profile. The A horizon is dark colored coarse loamy or fine loamy with the thin layer of organic matter. The B horizon is dominantly strong brown, reddish brown or yellowish red, clayey or fine loamy with clay cutans on the soil peds. The C horizon varies with parent materials, and is coarser texture and has a less developed structure than the Bt horizon. Soil depth, varied with relief and parent materials, is predominantly around 100cm. 2. In the physical characteristics, the clay content of surface soil is 18 to 35 percent, and of subsoil is 30 to 90 percent nearly two times higher than the surface soil. Bulk density is 1.2 to 1.3 in the surface soil and 1.3 to 1.5 in the subsoil. The range of 3-phase is mostly narrow with 45 to 50 percent in solid phase, 30 to 45 percent in liquid one, and 5 to 25 percent in gaseous state in the surface soil; and 50 to 60 solid, 35 to 45 percent liquid and less than 15 percent gaseous in the subsoil. Available soil moisture capacity ranges from 10 to 23 percent in the surface soil, and 5 to 16 percent in the subsoil. 3. Chemically, soil reaction is neutral to alkaline in soils derived from limestone or old fluviomarine deposits, and acid to strong acid in other ones. The organic matter content of surface soil varying considerably with vegetation, erosion and cultivation, ranges from 1.0 to 5.0 percent. The cation exchange capacity is 5 to 40 me/100gr soil and closely related to the content of organic matter, clay and silt. Base saturation is low, on the whole, due to the leaching of extractable cations, but is high in soils derived from limestone with high content of lime and magnesium. 4. Most of these soils mainly contain halloysite (a part of kaolin minerals), vermiculite (weathered mica), and illite, including small amount of chlorite, gibbsite, hematite, quartz and feldspar. 5. Characteristically they are similar to Red Yellow Podzolic Soils and a part of Reddish Brown Lateritic Soils of the United States, and Red Yellow Soils of Japan. According to USDA 7th Approximation, they can be classified as Udu Its or Udalfs, and in FAO classification system to Acrisols, Luvisols, and Nitosols.

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Fragility Curve of PSC Box Girder Bridge using Isolator (면진 받침을 사용한 PSC Box Girder 교량의 손상도 곡선)

  • Lee, Jongheon;Kim, Woonhak;Seo, Sangmok
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.36-46
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    • 2012
  • After the east Japan earthquake last March 2011, social interests are intensified in the area of increasing the earthquake resistant ability and the necessity of design method that can minimize the damage from earthquake. If bridges are damaged or collapsed, the social and economic effects are so severe that the evaluation of earthquake resistant ability becomes very important. The reviewing methods for earthquake resistant ability are many, but majority of these methods are deterministic. Thus, for the safety assessment of structures for earthquake, the method for evaluating fragility according to the stage of damage is necessary. In this paper, the fragility curves for PSC Box Girder bridge using LRB and RFPB are constructed for PGA, PGV, SA, SV, SI and the two isolators are compared.

A Study on the Layout Patterns of Public Schools in Manhattan - Focused on Relationship between Manhattan Grid Plan and Open Space - (뉴욕시 공립학교에 나타난 배치 특성에 관한 연구 - 맨하튼 가로체계와 외부공간의 관계를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Pil-Soo;Jeon, You-Chang
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Educational Facilities
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.3-14
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze patterns of public school building layout types, open space and relationship with communities in the Manhattan grid plan. The study illustrates how building layout patterns of school facilities are influenced by societal demands in the urban grid environment. During the nineteenth century, the Island of Manhattan was transformed into a physical representation of the Cartesian coordinate system via the development of the grid street plan. In order to take advantage of streets as urban space, it is quite important to understand characteristics of communities and open space relationships between buildings and streets. Moreover, the strategic planning of schools' outdoor space vitalizes public streets as a critical community anchor. This research reviews 118 Manhattan public schools and categorizes them by (1) building layout type, (2) site type, (3) circulation and public open space, which are the biggest factors that determine the layout patterns of the public schools in Manhattan. As a result of analysis, the layout patterns are classified into seven types : "ㅡ", "L", "ㄷ", "ㅁ", "H", "T" and "other" type. Of these, "ㅡ" type and "L" type occur most frequently, because these configurations most flexibly fit into the limited grid-locked blocks, the various types of site & topography, and adapt most dynamically to the open spaces created by using avenues and streets. The ultimate objective of this study is to provide a case study for future efforts to plan open spaces for campuses that effectively utilize the streets in proximity.

Research about Similarities in Interior Space of Rem Koolhaas and Painting Theory of Gilles Deleuze (렘 콜하스의 실내공간과 질 들뢰즈 회화론의 유사점 연구)

  • Kim, Suk-Young
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.138-147
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    • 2012
  • Recently, significant tries appeared in the spatial design field were appreciated as tries to find crossing between space formation and discourse. This study is to find spatial clues from Gilles Deleuze, the modern philosopher's literature where he developed his discourse analyzing paintings of Francis Bacon, and reveal common characteristics with the contemporary spatial design. According to the analysis of Deleuze, Bacon's paintings are separated into frame-aplat, shape-figure, and contour-track. From these three elements, I extracted spatially analyzing languages of 'occurrence of shape-accident', 'space of track-sense', and 'interaction of aplat-background.' Then with these analyzing languages, I analyzed latest works of Rem Koolhaas. Deleuze Space Theory confirmed in works of Rem Koolhaas is the application of accident-focused occurred between the user and space, the space that induces accident, and differentiation between the user and space or space and site. As a result, I could confirm the common characteristic that both modern discourse and spatial design are understood as 'difference' from life and movement.

Smoke Control Performance of a Serial Structure Using "CONTAM" (CONTAM을 이용한 직렬형태 구조의 제연성능 구현에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Mi-Seon;Seo, Dong-Gil;Gu, Seon-Hwan;Yoo, Young-Min;Song, Young-Joo
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2019
  • A recent trend shows that more buildings are being constructed as mixed-use (residential and commercial) properties for efficient land use. This has led to an increased frequency in the occurrence of fires and the associated potential risks. In particular, in case of high-rise apartments, at least one of the elevators in each building is installed for evacuation purposes separately from the emergency elevator; therefore, for a combined ancillary room and emergency elevator platform situation, the structure is inevitably in series with the evacuation elevator platform. Thus, a proposal for a new type of ventilation zone based on existing national fire safety codes is required to achieve smoke control performance. To this end, the air egress velocity and differential pressure of each ventilation zone are checked using the "CONTAM" software; further, an alternative is proposed to secure smoke control performance for series structures.

A Study on distribution and change of NDVI with Land-Cover change in City of Sungnam (토지피복 변화에 따른 식생지수(NDVI)분포 및 변화에 관한 연구: 성남시를 중심으로)

  • 성효현;박옥준
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.275-288
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze relationship between the NDVI change pattern and landcover change pattern in the City of Sungnam during 1985 and 1996. The results of this study are as follows; (1) NDVI of the level 6 and 7 is decreased and the level 5 is increased in the area where Forst area changed to the other land cover during 1985 and 1996. (2) In the area where Agricultural-Pasture changed to forest, NDVI level became higher certainly during that time. But in the area where there has been changed from Agricultural-Pasture to Urban or built-up, Agricultural-Pasture to Barren land, the level of NDVI is decreased. (3) In the Urban or built-up to other land, or built-up the level of NDVI is increased. (4) In the area where Barren land changed to other land cover, the level of NDVI is increased.

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