• Title/Summary/Keyword: 대기모형

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Development of Oceanic General Circulation Model for Climate Change Prediction (기후변화예측을 위한 해양대순환모형의 개발)

  • Ahn, Joong-Bae;Lee, Hyo-Shin
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.16-24
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    • 1998
  • In this study, Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM) has been developed as a counterpart of Atmospheric General Circulation (AGCM) for the study of coupled ocean-atmosphere climate system. The oceanic responses to given atmospheric boundary conditions have been investigated using the OGCM. In an integration carried out over 100 simulated years with climatological monthly mean data (EXP 1), most parts of the model reached a quasi-equilibrium climate reproducing many of the observed large-scale oceanic features remarkably well. Some observed narrow currents, however, such as North Equatorial Counter Current, were inevitably distorted due to the model's relatively coarse resolution. The seasonal changes in sea ice cover over the southern oceans around Antarctica were also simulated. In an experiment (EXP 2) under boundary condition of 10-year monthly data (1982-1991) from NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis Project model properly reproduced major oceanic changes during the period, including El Ni$\tilde{n}$os of 1982-1983 and 1986-87. During the ENSO periods, the experiment showed eastward expansion of warm surface waters and a negative vertical velocity anomalies along' the equator in response to expansion of westerly current velocity anomalies as westerly wind anomalies propagated eastward. Simulated anomalous distribution and the time behavior in response to El Ni$\tilde{n}$o events is consistent with that of the observations. These experiments showed that the model has an ability to reproduce major mean and anomalous oceanic features and can be effectively used for the study of ocean-atmosphere coupling system.

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Goal Programming as a Modern Management Technique (현대 경영관리기법으로서의 목표계획법)

  • 노부호
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.5-9
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    • 1982
  • 우리나라 경영학계 내지는 기업경영에 경영과학(Management Science)의 여러가지 기법이 정식으로 소개되기 시작한 것은 70년대 후반이라고 생각된다. 경영과학의 기법에는 선형계획법·재고관리모형·대기행렬모형·모의(Simulation) 모형·네트웍(Network) 모형 등 여러가지가 있지만, 이중 선형계획법이 우리에게 가장 익숙한 모형이고 기업의 실제 문제해결에도 가장 많이 이용되고 있다. 지금 소개하고자 하는 목표계획법도 경영과학기법의 하나로 모형계획법과 매우 유사한 기법이다.

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Developing a Method for Estimating Urban Environmental Impact Using an Integrated Land Use-Transport Model (토지이용-교통 통합 모형을 활용한 도시 환경 영향 예측 방법론 개발)

  • HU, Hyejung;YANG, Choongheon;YOON, Chunjoo;KIM, Insu;SUNG, Junggon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.294-303
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    • 2015
  • This paper describes a method that can be used for estimating future carbon emissions and environmental effects. To forecast future land use and transportation changes under various low carbon policies, a DELTA and OmniTRANS combination (a land use-transport integrated model) was applied. Appropriate emission estimation methods and dispersion models were selected and applied in the method. It was designed that the estimated emissions from land use and transportation activity as well as the estimated concentrations of air pollutants and comprehensive air quality index (CAI) are presented on a GIS-based map. The prototype was developed for the city of Suwon and the outcome examples were presented in this paper; it demonstrates what kinds of analysis results are presented in this method. It is expected that the developed method will be very useful for decision makers who want to know the effect of environmental policies in cities.

Variable Emission Factor Prediction Model for An Air Quality Assessment of Transportation Projects (교통사업의 대기질 평가를 위한 가변적 배출계수 예측모형)

  • Lee, Gyu-Jin;Choe, Gi-Ju;Yu, Jeong-Hun;O, Se-Chang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 2011
  • In this study, a model is developed to predict emission factors, which aims to objectively evaluate the impact of transport projects on air quality. Two emission prediction models for the years of 2015 and 2030 are developed using the historical trends in vehicle aging and vehicle deterioration factors. The analysis results show that the emission factors under the operating speed of 30km/h for the year 2030 are 5~37% and 2~83% less than those used in the current studies for passenger cars and bus/trucks, respectively. The statistically validated experiment results demonstrate the applicability of the proposed model to evaluation of the impact of transport policies on air quality.

Developing a Transit Assignment Model Considering Waiting Time Variation and Line Capacity (대기시간변동 및 용량을 고려한 대중교통 통행배정모형)

  • Kim, Jin Howan;Kim, Dong Sun;Kim, Ji Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.1525-1534
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    • 2014
  • In recent years, the passengers are likely to decide their route on impulse due to the development of the integrated public transport system, and real-time information system. Especially, public transport fare integration in Seoul Metropolitan area, 2004 makes them not to have resistance about changing the modes or routes and their route choice is most effected by the degree of congestion. Assignment model have limitations to describe route changes by congestion. In this study, the concept of a link cost function used in road assignment and Effective frequency is introduced to describe the passengers' behavior when the capacity of public transport is over and the waiting time variation. Two situations, new transit line operation and accident, are set up to validate the model, as a result of the transit assignment by this model, the traffic on networks is not over the capacity. It is expected that this study will be of help to reflect the various behaviors in transit assignments.

Reinforcement Learning based Job Dispatching Model for Single Machine with Sequence Dependent Setup Time (순서 의존적 작업 준비시간을 갖는 단일기계 작업장을 위한 강화학습 기반 작업 배정 모형)

  • Jin-Sung Park;Jun-Woo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2023.01a
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    • pp.327-329
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    • 2023
  • 순서 의존적 준비시간을 갖는 단일기계 생산라인에서 주어진 작업들을 효율적으로 수행하기 위해서는 최대한 동일하거나 유사한 유형의 작업물들을 연속적으로 처리하여 다음 번 작업물의 처리를 시작하기 전에 발생하는 준비시간을 최소화하여야 한다. 따라서, 대기 중인 것들 중 기계에 투입할 작업물을 적절히 선택하는 것이 중요하며, 이를 위해 작업 배정 규칙과 같은 휴리스틱을 사용할 수도 있지만, 이러한 해법들은 일반적으로 다양한 상황을 동적으로 고려하지 못하는 한계점을 갖는다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 상용 3D 시뮬레이션 소프트웨어인 FlexSim을 사용하여 모형을 구성한 다음, 강화학습을 적용하여 대기 중인 작업물 중 최적의 후보를 선택하기 위한 작업 배정 모형을 개발하고자 한다. 세부적으로는 강화학습의 상태 및 보상을 달리 설정하면서 학습된 모형의 성능을 비교하고자 한다. 실험 결과를 통해 적절한 시뮬레이션 모형 구성과 강화학습의 파라미터 변수들을 적절히 조합하여 적절한 작업 배정 모형의 개발이 가능하다는 점을 알 수 있었다.

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Queue Detection using Fuzzy-Based Neural Network Model (퍼지기반 신경망모형을 이용한 대기행렬 검지)

  • KIM, Daehyon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2003
  • Real-time information on vehicle queue at intersections is essential for optimal traffic signal control, which is substantial part of Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS). Computer vision is also potentially an important element in the foundation of integrated traffic surveillance and control systems. The objective of this research is to propose a method for detecting an exact queue lengths at signalized intersections using image processing techniques and a neural network model Fuzzy ARTMAP, which is a supervised and self-organizing system and claimed to be more powerful than many expert systems, genetic algorithms. and other neural network models like Backpropagation, is used for recognizing different patterns that come from complicated real scenes of a car park. The experiments have been done with the traffic scene images at intersections and the results show that the method proposed in the paper could be efficient for the noise, shadow, partial occlusion and perspective problems which are inevitable in the real world images.

A Study of Traffic Flow Characteristics for Estimating Queue-Length in Freeway (고속도로 대기행렬길이 산정모형 개발을 위한 연속류 특성 분석)

  • 노재현;손봉수;도철웅;신치현
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.179-191
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    • 1999
  • To device effective freeway traffic flow control strategies and freeway traffic information dissemination strategies, it is very important to estimate real physical queue length on the freeway. Shock wave theory and queueing theory have limitation to be used to estimate the queue length. The primary objective of this study is to develop a reliable method for estimating the physical queue length and level of congestion. Queueing propagation processes were analysed by using such traffic data as main line traffic volume, ramp volume, density. speed, and physical queue length collected by video photographing on Olympic Freeway. As a result of analysis, it has been confirmed that the real queue length can be estimated by using the traffic counts arriving the congested region and passing a bottleneck location. Further more, a reliable method for estimating the level of congestion could be developed on the basis of real-time traffic counts.

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The Effects of Local Government Capacities on the Improvement of Air Pollution in China (중국 지방정부 역량이 대기오염 개선성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Hong, Zhe;Park, In Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.29-42
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    • 2017
  • This study aims to analyze the effect of local government capacities on the improvement of air pollution. For this purpose, we construct a dynamic panel model using a data set for air pollutants such as $SO_2$, $CO_2$, and particulate matters and the local governments' capacities for Chinese Provinces in the period of 2007 - 2014. The results show that of the three types of capacities, the organizational capacity measured by environmental personnel, environmental expenditures, and average size of environmental institutions is very important, while the institutional capacity and social capacity have a insignificant impact on the air quality improvement. Among the local government capacities, other than the organizational capacity, only the activity of environmental organizations, which is a social capacity, partially affects the improvement of air pollution. Regarding local conditions, vertical dependence of financial resources, GRDP per capita, and population density have a negative impact on improving air pollution. These findings provide implications for local governments in China as to what capacities they should improve to improve air pollution.

An Inference Method of a Multi-server Queue using Arrival and Departure Times (도착 및 이탈시점을 이용한 다중서버 대기행렬 추론)

  • Park, Jinsoo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.117-123
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents inference methods for inner operations of a multi-server queue when historical data are limited or system observation is restricted. In a queueing system analysis, autocorrelated arrival and service processes increase the complexity of modeling. Accordingly, numerous analysis methods have been developed. In this paper, we introduce an inference method for specific situations when external observations exhibit autocorrelated structure and and observations of internal operations are difficult. We release an assumption of the previous method and provide lemma and theorem to guarantee the correctness of our proposed inference method. Using only external observations, our proposed method deduces the internal operation of a multi-server queue via non-parametric approach even when the service times are autocorrelated. The main internal inference measures are waiting times and service times of respective customers. We provide some numerical results to verify that our method performs as intended.