• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다항회귀모형

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Selection of extra support points for polynomial regression (다항회귀모형에서의 추가받힘점 선택)

  • Kim, Young-Il;Jang, Dae-Heung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1491-1498
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    • 2014
  • The major criticism of optimal experimental design is that it depends heavily on the model and its accompanying assumption that often leads the number of support points equal to the number of parameters in the model. Often in the past, a polynomial model of higher degree is assumed to handle the experimental design for the polynomial regression of lower degree. In this paper we searched the possible set of designs which are robust to the departure of the assumed model. The designs are categorized with respect to D-efficiency. The approach by O'Brien (1995) was discussed in univariate polynomial regression model setting.

Improving Polynomial Regression Using Principal Components Regression With the Example of the Numerical Inversion of Probability Generating Function (주성분회귀분석을 활용한 다항회귀분석 성능개선: PGF 수치역변환 사례를 중심으로)

  • Yang, Won Seok;Park, Hyun-Min
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.475-481
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    • 2015
  • We use polynomial regression instead of linear regression if there is a nonlinear relation between a dependent variable and independent variables in a regression analysis. The performance of polynomial regression, however, may deteriorate because of the correlation caused by the power terms of independent variables. We present a polynomial regression model for the numerical inversion of PGF and show that polynomial regression results in the deterioration of the estimation of the coefficients. We apply principal components regression to the polynomial regression model and show that principal components regression dramatically improves the performance of the parameter estimation.

An Application of Response Surface Experiments to Control the Quality of Industrial Products : Model Fitting and Prediction of Responses (공업제품의 질을 관리하기 위한 반응표면 실험의 응용 - 통계적 모형 적합과 반응의 예측을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Seong-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.14-17
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    • 1978
  • In response surface experiments, a polynomial regression model is often used to fit the response surface to explore the functional relationship between a response variable and several independent variables, and to determine the optimum operating conditions, which would be desirable to control the quality of industrial products. The problem considered in this paper is that of selecting subsets of polynomial terms from a given polynomial model so as to achieve "improved" response surfaces in estimation of the response. Such improvement in fitting the response surfaces would be very helpful to determine the optimum operating conditions and to explore the functional relationship with better precision. A criterion is proposed for selection of polynomial terms and illustrated with an industrial example.

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Special-Days Load Handling Method using Neural Networks and Regression Models (신경회로망과 회귀모형을 이용한 특수일 부하 처리 기법)

  • 고희석;이세훈;이충식
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.98-103
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    • 2002
  • In case of power demand forecasting, the most important problems are to deal with the load of special-days. Accordingly, this paper presents the method that forecasting long (the Lunar New Year, the Full Moon Festival) and short(the Planting Trees Day, the Memorial Day, etc) special-days peak load using neural networks and regression models. long and short special-days peak load forecast by neural networks models uses pattern conversion ratio and four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models. There are using that special-days peak load data during ten years(1985∼1994). In the result of special-days peak load forecasting, forecasting % error shows good results as about 1 ∼2[%] both neural networks models and four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models. Besides, from the result of analysis of adjusted coefficient of determination and F-test, the significance of the are convinced four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models. When the neural networks models are compared with the four-order orthogonal polynomials regression models at a view of the results of special-days peak load forecasting, the neural networks models which uses pattern conversion ratio are more effective on forecasting long special-days peak load. On the other hand, in case of forecasting short special-days peak load, both are valid.

Estimating Moving Object`s Uncertain Position using Polynomial Regression Function (다항회귀함수를 이용한 이동객체의 불확실한 위치 추정)

  • 양은주;안윤애;오인배;류근호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.310-312
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    • 2001
  • 샘플링되지 않은 불확실한 이동객체의 위치값을 추정하기 위한 기존의 연구방범 중 가장 보편적으로 사용하고 있는 방법은 선형 보간법이다. 선형 보간법을 사용할 경우 샘플링 구간은 좁게하여 오차를 줄일 수 있고 계산 시간을 단축할 수 있지만, 연속적인 이동객체의 경로는 직선이라기 보다는 곡선으로 나타내어지므로 샘플링되지 않은 이동객체의 위치값에 대해 불확실한 위치정보를 사용자에게 반환하게 된다. 따라서 이 논문에서는 샘플링된 이동객체의 위치값에 오차가 없다는 가정하에서 모든 위치점을 지나는 보간 다항식을 구해서 처리하는 선형 보간법 대신 이동객체의 위치값 자체의 오차범위까지 고려하는 다항회귀모형(polynomial regression model)을 이용한 이동객체의 불확실한 이동위치 추정방법을 제시한다. 다항회지모형은 이용할 경우 선형 보간법 보다 추정된 위치값에 대한 오차를 줄일 수 있으며, 이동객체의 과거 및 미래 위치값을 사용자에게 반환해 줄 수 있는 장점을 가진다.

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Minimum Bias Design for Polynomial Regression (다항회귀모형에 대한 최소편의 실험계획)

  • Jang, Dae-Heung;Kim, Youngil
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.1227-1234
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    • 2015
  • Traditional criteria for optimum experimental designs depend on the specifications of the model; however, there will be a dilemma when we do not have perfect knowledge about the model. Box and Draper (1959) suggested one direction to minimize bias that may occur in this situation. We will demonstrate some examples with exact solutions that provide a no-bias design for polynomial regression. The most interesting finding is that a design that requires less bias should allocate design points away from the border of the design space.

A Calculation Method of Typical Day for the Optimal Use of Solar Energy (태양에너지 최적 이용을 위한 Typical Day 산출에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, D.K.;Chun, I.S.;Lee, T.K.
    • Solar Energy
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2000
  • In this research, the intensity of solar energy, which was injected to the different angle plane every hour day by day, was technically documented and quantitatively analyzed through actual observations. In order to group every days into days with similar intensity, graph was drawn with respect to time for every day and each area value under the curve was calculated. Then, the search for grouped days having similar intensity curve patterns was carried out. In order to maximize the efficiency of solar energy systems, the optimum incident angle of absorber plate was derived.

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Comparison of Goodness-of-Fit Tests using Grouping Strategies for Multinomial Logit Regression Model (다항 로짓 회귀모형에서의 그룹화 전략을 이용한 적합도 검정 방법 비교)

  • Song, Mi Kyung;Jung, Inkyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.889-902
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    • 2013
  • Several goodness-of-fit test statistics have been proposed for a multinomial logit regression model; however, the properties of the proposed tests were not adequately studied. This paper evaluates three different goodness-of-fit tests using grouping strategies, proposed by Fagerland et al. (2008), Bull (1994), and Pigeon and Heyse (1999). In addition, Pearson (1900)'s method is also examined as a reference. Simulation studies were conducted to evaluate the four methods in terms of null distribution and power. A real data example is presented to illustrate the methods.

Comparison of Multinomial Logit and Logistic Regression on Disability Pensioners' Characteristic (다범주 자료의 다항로짓 모형과 로지스틱 회귀모형 비교;장애연금 특성분석 중심으로)

  • Kim, Mi-Jung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.589-602
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    • 2008
  • This article studies on disability pensioners' characteristic with multinomial logit and logistic regression model. Seven factors are examined on whether each factor is reflected in degree of disability in the disability pension. By incorporating multinomial logit and logistic regression model, effectiveness and characteristic of the seven factors are investigated on the degree of disability. Result shows all the seven factors are significant on the degree of disability, while among the seven, five factors, age, sex, type of coverage, type of category, insured duration show a trend in degree of disability and the other two, cause of disability and class of standard monthly income are not effective on trend in degree of disability. Results from analyses might be useful for disability pension management.

A polychotomous regression model with tensor product splines and direct sums (연속형의 텐서곱과 범주형의 직합을 사용한 다항 로지스틱 회귀모형)

  • Sim, Songyong;Kang, Heemo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.19-26
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we propose a polychotomous regression model when independent variables include both categorical and numerical variables. For categorical independent variables, we use direct sums, and tensor product splines are used for continuous independent variables. We use BIC for varible selections criterior. We implemented the algorithm and apply the algorithm to real data. The use of direct sums and tensor products outperformed the usual multinomial logistic regression model.