• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다층 수평 예측

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Temporal Fusion Transformers and Deep Learning Methods for Multi-Horizon Time Series Forecasting (Temporal Fusion Transformers와 심층 학습 방법을 사용한 다층 수평 시계열 데이터 분석)

  • Kim, InKyung;Kim, DaeHee;Lee, Jaekoo
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 2022
  • Given that time series are used in various fields, such as finance, IoT, and manufacturing, data analytical methods for accurate time-series forecasting can serve to increase operational efficiency. Among time-series analysis methods, multi-horizon forecasting provides a better understanding of data because it can extract meaningful statistics and other characteristics of the entire time-series. Furthermore, time-series data with exogenous information can be accurately predicted by using multi-horizon forecasting methods. However, traditional deep learning-based models for time-series do not account for the heterogeneity of inputs. We proposed an improved time-series predicting method, called the temporal fusion transformer method, which combines multi-horizon forecasting with interpretable insights into temporal dynamics. Various real-world data such as stock prices, fine dust concentrates and electricity consumption were considered in experiments. Experimental results showed that our temporal fusion transformer method has better time-series forecasting performance than existing models.

The Behavior and Capacity of Lateral Loaded Rigid Pile Characteristics in Multi-layered Soil Conditions (다층지반에 관입된 강성말뚝의 수평 거동 및 수평 지지력 특성)

  • Kyung, Doo-Hyun;Kang, Beong-Joon;Hong, Jung-Moo;Lee, Jun-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.77-90
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    • 2009
  • In this study, experimental analysis was performed about lateral load capacity and behavior of laterally loaded-bored rigid piles in muti-layered soil conditions. Lateral pile load tests were performed for muti-layerd soils consisting of different relative density. Ultimated lateral load capacities were measured from lateral load-displacement curves and compared with estimated values using theoretical methods. Bending moments and unit lateral capacity distribution of surrounding piles were measured from attached strain gauges and earth pressure sensors on the pile. It was found that ultimated lateral load capacities were different from the muti-layered soil conditions, and measured values were lower than estimated values. The bending moment distributions of the pile were similar all the time. Unit lateral capacity distributions were a little different from muti-layered soil conditions, but basically similar to the distribution proposed by Prasad and Chari (1999).

Multi-horizon Time Series Forecasting Using Temporal Fusion Transformer (Temporal Fusion Transformer 모델을 활용한 다층 수평 시계열 데이터 분석)

  • Kim, Inkyung;Kim, Daehee;Lee, Jaekoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2021.05a
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    • pp.479-482
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    • 2021
  • 시계열 형태의 데이터는 다양한 분야에서 수집되고 응용되기 때문에 정확한 시계열 예측은 많은 분야에서 운영 효율성을 높일 수 있는 중요한 분석 방법으로 고려된다. 그중 다층 수평 예측은 사용자에게 전반적인 시계열 데이터 경향성을 제공할 수 있다. 하지만 다양한 정보를 포함하는 시계열 데이터는 데이터에 내재한 이질성(heterogeneity)까지 포괄적으로 고려한 방법을 통해서만 정확한 예측을 할 수 있다. 하지만 지금까지 많은 시계열 분석 모델들이 데이터의 이질성을 반영하지 못했다. 이러한 한계를 보완하고자 우리는 Temporal Fusion Transformer 모델을 사용하여 실생활과 밀접한 관련이 있는 데이터에 적용하여 이질성을 고려한 향상된 예측을 수행하였다. 실제, 주식 데이터와 미세 먼지 데이터와 같은 실생활 시계열 데이터에 적용하였고 실험 결과 기존 모델보다 Mean Squared Error(MSE)가 0.3487 낮은 것을 확인하였다.

Deformation and Stress Distribution on Multi-Layered Foundation with Different Rigidity (강성(剛性)이 다른 다층토(多層土) 지반(地盤)의 변형(變形) 및 응력전달(應力傳達))

  • Park, Byong Kee;Chang, Yong Chai;Park, Jong Cheon;Park, Seon Bae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.205-215
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    • 1992
  • Load tests for fourteen small-scale foundation models combined with geotextile, sand mat and rigid mat were conducted to study the effect of geotextile(G/T), sand mat(S/M), and foundation types on deformation of foundation soils. In addition, the experimental results were compared with those obtained from numerical analysis using a software program. The main conclusions were summarized as follows: 1. The restraint effect on G/T is more outstanding on the lateral displacement than on the vertical one. 2. The single use of S/M has better effect on the restraint of vertical displacement than lateral one. 3. The use of both S/M and G/T is required for the restraint of lateral and vertical displacement. 4. Multi-layered foundation with large rigidity shows similar tendency to that of foundation reinforced with S/M and G/T.

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Analysis of the Rotational Behavior of Piles under Lateral Loading Installed in Multi Layered Soil (다층지반에 근입된 수평재하 말뚝의 회전거동 분석)

  • Kang, Beong-Joon;Kyung, Doo-Hyun;Hong, Jung-Moo;Lee, Jun-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2009
  • One of the important use of piles is to furnish lateral support and nowadays it is getting highlighted due to the increase of skyscrapers, transmission towers, wind turbines, and other lateral action dependent structures. After Broms (1964), many researchers have suggested methods for estimating lateral capacity of pile. But each method assumes different earth pressure distribution and lateral earth pressure coefficient causing confusion on the part of pile designers. Lateral earth pressure, essential in lateral capacity estimation, is influenced by pile's rotational behavior under lateral load. Prasad and Chari (1999) assumed the rotation point of pile and suggested an equation of ultimate lateral load capacity. In this study, we investigate the depth of rotation point in both homogeneous soil and multi layered soil, and compare with the estimation value by previous research. Test results show that measured rotation point and estimated value by Prasad and Chari's equation show good agreement and multi layered condition affects the location of rotation point to be changed.

A Study on the Application of Lateral Earth Pressure to Earth Retaining Wall Considering Ground Characteristics in Jeju I - Case of Strut Construction - (제주 지역의 지반 특성을 고려한 흙막이벽의 측방토압 적용에 관한 연구 I -스트럿 공법 시공 사례)

  • Do-Hyeong Kim;Dong-Wook Lee;Hee-Bok Choi;Kwon-Moon Ko
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2023
  • This paper describes the comparative results of measured and predicted values for the horizontal displacement of earth retaining wall based on two field cases, In order to examine the application of lateral earth pressure to the earth retaining wall considering the typical ground characteristics (clinker layer) in Jeju. The prediction of the lateral earth pressure causing the horizontal displacement of the retaining wall was performed by elasto-plastic analysis using Rankine earth pressure, Terzaghi & Peck modified lateral earth pressure, and Tschebotarioff lateral earth pressure. As a result, it was confirmed that the maximum horizontal displacement predicted at site A was about 5 times larger than the measured value, and the ground with maximum horizontal displacement occurred by the prediction was found to be the clinker layer. In the case of site B, the predicted value was 4 to 7 times larger than the measured value. In addition, the ground with maximum horizontal displacement and the tendency of horizontal displacement were very different depending on the prediction method. This means that research on lateral earth pressure that can consider regional characteristics needs to be continued, because it is due to the multi-layered ground characteristics of the Jeju area in which bedrock layers and clinker layers are alternately distributed,

Estimation of Tensile Strain Effect Factor of Layer Interface Considering Lateral Loads of Moving Vehicle (주행차량의 수평하중을 고려한 층 경계면의 인장변형률 영향계수 개발)

  • Seo, Joo Won;Choi, Jun Seong;Kim, Soo Il
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.6D
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    • pp.951-960
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    • 2006
  • Structural pavement analysis considering lateral loads of moving vehicle was carried out in order to simulate passing vehicle loads under various interface conditions. To verify of existing multi-layer elastic analysis of layer interface effect parameters, this study compared outputs by using ABAQUS, a three dimensional finite element program and KENLAYER, multi-layer elastic analysis as vertical load was applied to the surface of asphalt pavements. Pavement performance depending on interface conditions was quantitatively evaluated and fundamental study of layer interface effect parameters was performed in this study. As results of the study, if only vertical loads of moving vehicle is applied, subdivision of either fully bonded or fully unbonded is enough to indicate interface effect parameters. On the other hand, when lateral loads are applied with vertical loads, pavement behavior and performance are greatly changed with respect to layer interface conditions. The thinner thickness of the asphalt layer is and the smaller elastic moduli of the asphalt layer is, the more pavement behavior is influenced by interface conditions. In addition, regression analysis equation analytically computing tensile strain which was considered thicknesses and elastic moduli of the asphalt layer and layer interface effect parameters at the bottom of the asphalt layer was presented using database from numerical analyses on national pavement model sections.

Nonlinear Consolidation Analysis Considering Radial Drainage (수평배수를 고려한 비선형 압밀해석)

  • Lee, Song;Chae, Young-Su;Hwang, Koou-Ho;Jeon, Je-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2000
  • 본 연구는 현실에 부합하는 연약지반의 압밀거동을 예측하기 위한 연구로서, 일단 3차원 배수 조건하에서 지반의 자중 및 압축성과 투수성의 비선형적 성질이 고려된 비선형 압밀모델을 구성하였다. 또한 연직 배수재의 시공과정에서 발생할수 있는 지반의 교란현상 및 다양한 이질층의 구성, 점증적인 하중재하 조건, 연직배수재의 부분관입 조건에 대한 고려가 가능하도록 비선형 압밀모델을 수정, 보완하였다. 이상의 연구결과를 바탕으로 유한차분방법에 의한 수치해석을 실시하였고 최종적으로 각종 희귀분석과정을 도입한 3차원 비선형 압밀해석 프로그램을 개발하였다. Ska-Edeby의 시험시공 사례를 통한 개발 프로그램의 검증을 실시하였는데, 시험시공 사례의 경우, 현장에서 측정한 깊이별 침하량 및 간극수압 결과를 개발 프로그램에 의한 예측결과와 비교, 분석하였다. 또한 개발 프로그램을 이용하여 다층지반 해석과 관련된 기존 해석방법의 문제점 및 지반의 교란효과와 연직배수재의 부분관입조건, 점증적인 하중재하 조건등이 지반의 압밀거동에 미치는 영향에 대해 살펴보았다.

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Determination of the Groundwater Yield of horizontal wells using an artificial neural network model incorporating riverside groundwater level data (배후지 지하수위를 고려한 인공신경망 기반의 수평정별 취수량 결정 기법)

  • Kim, Gyoo-Bum;Oh, Dong-Hwan
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.583-592
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    • 2018
  • Recently, concern has arisen regarding the lowering of groundwater levels in the hinterland caused by the development of high-capacity radial collector wells in riverbank filtration areas. In this study, groundwater levels are estimated using Modflow software in relation to the water volume pumped by the radial collector well in Anseongcheon Stream. Using the water volume data, an artificial neural network (ANN) model is developed to determine the amount of water that can be withdrawn while minimizing the reduction of groundwater level. We estimate that increasing the pumping rate of the horizontal well HW-6, which is drilled parallel to the stream direction, is necessary to minimize the reduction of groundwater levels in wells OW-7 and OB-11. We also note that the number of input data and the classification of training and test data affect the results of the ANN model. This type of approach, which supplements ANN modeling with observed data, should contribute to the future groundwater management of hinterland areas.

A Study for Safety Management on the Basis of Lateral Displacement Rates of Anchored In-situ Walls by Collapse Case Histories (붕괴 사례를 통한 앵커지지 가설흙막이벽체의 수평변위속도에 의한 안전관리 연구)

  • Chung, Dae-Seouk;Lee, Yong-Beom
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.367-378
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: The objective of this study is to present a reasonable safety management of the anchored in-situ wall systems constructed in the ground conditions consisting of multi-layered soils underlain by bedrocks in the urban area of Korea. Method: Field measurements collected from collapse case histories with deep excavations were analyzed for the safety management of the wall systems supported by the earth anchors in terms of lateral displacement rates. Results: The average maximum lateral displacement rate in a collapsed zone of the in-situ wall significantly increased upon the completion of the excavation. Particularly, the collapse of the in-situ wall system due to the sliding occurring along the discontinuities of the rock produced a considerably large lateral displacement rate over a relatively short period. Conclusion: For predicting and preventing the collapse of the wall system during or after the excavation work, the utilization of the safety management criteria of the in-situ wall system by the lateral displacement rate was found to be much more reasonable in judging the safety of earthworks than the application of the quantitative management criteria which have been commonly used in the excavation sites.