• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다중회귀공식

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Development of Concentration Time and Storage Coefficient Considering Regional Trend in Urban Stream Watershed (지역적 성향을 고려한 도시하천 유역의 도달시간 및 저류상수 공식 개발)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Kim, Yong-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.6
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    • pp.479-489
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    • 2015
  • The objective of this study is to develop the equations for concentration time and storage coefficient considering regional trend in urban stream watershed for reliable hydrological analysis. The 13 basins located in Jungrang, Tan, Anyang, and Hongje stream are selected for the data collection and formula development in this study. The stepwise multiple-regression analysis is used for the development considering watershed, urban, and precipitation characteristic indices. The developed formulae are compared with the domestic and foreign empirical formulae and evaluated the accuracy in urban stream area. It shows the computed value from the equation developed in this study is more accurate than those from other empirical formulae. The error sum, average error and RMSE of computed values from the developed equations in this study are the lowest. The formulae considering the regional trend of urban stream watershed are worth in terms of showing better results than the domestic and foreign empirical formulae. It can be concluded the developed formulae can be useful in urban stream watershed.

The effects of latent classes in social exclusion on the economic instability of old age (사회적 배제 잠재유형이 노후의 경제적 불안에 미치는 영향: 주관적 계층의식의 조절효과)

  • Kim, Soo Jin;Kim, Ju Hyun;Ju, Kyong Hee
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.33-49
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to examine the latent classes in social exclusion and to analyse empirically the effects on the economic instability of old age by this type. And it also sought to look at whether the influence of old age anxiety varies with the subjective class consciousness of the elderly. Using the 14th data from the Korea General Social Survey (KGSS) in 2016, 1,041 adult males and females aged 18 years old were analyzed at the time of the survey. T-test, potential layer analysis (LCA), and multinomantic analysis of potential groups were conducted using the STATA14 and MPLUS 7 statistical programs. Finally, multi-regression analysis was performed to identify the moderate effect and effects among variables. According to the research, the types of social exclusion were three groups, followed by social exclusion group (49.3%), Multi-dimensional exclusion group (30.9%), and active social participation group (19.7%). The social exclusion group has the lowest possibility of economic, employment, and health exclusion, but the exclusion of formal and informal social activities seem to prominent, and the multi-dimensional exclusion group is more than 50% likely to experience exclusion in all areas. Active social participation are characterized by very active participation in informal social activities. By conducting multinominal logistic regression, it was observed that the social exclusion group included more young people than other groups, and that the multi-dimensional exclusion group included many elderly women without spouses. Finally, multiple regression analysis showed that social exclusion type interacts with subjective class consciousness and affects economic anxiety of old age.

Prediction of Scour Depth Using Incorporation of Cluster Analysis into Artificial Neural Networks (인공신경망모형과 군집분석을 이용한 교각 세굴심 예측)

  • Lee, Chang-Hwan;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Lee, Joo Heon;Kim, Tea-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2009
  • A local scour around a bridge pier is known as one of important factors of bridge collapse. Two approaches are usually used in estimating a scour depth in practice. One is to use empirical formulas, and the other is to use computational methods. But the use of empirical formulas is limited to predict a scour depth under similar conditions to which the formulas were derived. Computational methods are currently too expensive to be applied to practical engineering problems. This study presented the application of artificial neural networks (ANN) to the prediction of a scour depth around a bridge pier at an equilibrium state. This study also investigated various ANN algorithms for estimating a scour depth, such as Backpropagation Network, Radial Basis Function Network, and Generalized Regression Network. Preliminary study showed that ANN models resulted in very wide range of errors in predicting a scour depth. To solve this problem this study incorporated cluster analysis into ANN. The incorporation of cluster analysis provided better estimations of scour depth up to 42% compared with other approaches.

Development of a design width for the small streams (소하천 계획하폭 산정식 개발)

  • Jeong, Tae-Seong;Kim, Chang-Il;Ye, Seong-Je
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.17-17
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    • 2021
  • 계획하폭의 수리설계는 수문분석에 의하여 결정되는 설계홍수량을 주변지역 주택이나 농지 침수를 방지하지 않도록 하도내에서 수위를 과다하게 상승시키지 않은 상태에서 안전하게 하류로 소통시킬 수 있는 가장 경제적인 하도의 폭을 결정하는 것이라 할 수 있다. 현재 소하천 하폭의 수리설계는 지형 또는 현장 여건에 따라 계획홍수량을 결정하고, 경험식에 의한 방법 또는 도식에 의한 방법(방정식과 수리학 공식에 의한 방법)등을 이용하여 하류수위를 산정함으로써 이루어진다. 그러나 하도내 흐름이 자유수면을 가지는 개수로 흐름인 경우 도표 또는 간략화된 경험식을 이용해서는 정확한 하폭을 산정할 수 없다. 기존에 개발된 계획하폭 경험식은 홍수량에 기반한 단일 회귀식과 다양한 하천특성과 흐름특성을 이용한 다중 회귀식으로 구분된다. 그러나 현재 계획하폭 결정에 가장 많이 사용되는 경험식은 홍수량을 이용한 단일 회귀식인데, 이들은 자료수집의 어려움 때문에 지역과 하천특성을 고려하지 않고 모든 하천에 적용 가능하도록 개발되어 적용 시 세심한 주의가 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 경험식을 보완함으로써 적용성을 제고하기 위하여 전국 소하천을 지역에 따라 세분화하고 흐름특성과 하천특성 자료를 수집하였다. 이렇게 수집된 자료를 위치에 따라 세분화하고 기존에 개발된 경험식과 동일한 형태로 계획하폭 경험식을 개발하였다. 개발된 경험식을 검증하는 방법은 자료를 두 개의 그룹으로 분리하고 개발에 사용되지 않은 자료 그룹을 사용함으로써 검증의 신뢰성을 확보하였다. 더불어 기존의 경험식과 비교하는 방법으로 개발된 회귀식의 적용성을 검증하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 계획하폭 경험식은 지역특성과 흐름특성을 고려한 계획하폭 산정에 활용이 가능함으로써 홍수에 안전한 소하천 수리설계에 활용이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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Influence of Mentoring Type and Mentoring Function on the Organizational Commitment among the Security Organization (시큐리티조직의 멘토링유형과 멘토링기능이 조직몰입에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Chan-Sun
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2011
  • This study is to investigate how security organizational mentoring type and mentoring function affects organizatio nal commitment. This study had selected security from 5 different security organizations of 2010 which are located i n capital area. Using judgment sampling method, 198 security were drawn for the final study. The survey used in th is study is composed of 37 questions. To practice frequency analysis, factorial analysis, reliability analysis and regre ssion, a program called SPSSWIN 18.0 was used. The value of Cronbach's ${\alpha}$, which shows the reliability of the stud y, appeared to be over .622. The result is: First, security organizational mentoring type affects mentoring function. T hat is, when a systematic mentoring is activated, friendship protecting function, career managing function and sociopsychological function are promoted. Second, security organizational mentoring type affects organizational commitmen t. That is, when a systematic mentoring is activated, organizational commitment is promoted. Third, security organiz ational mentoring function affects organizational commitment. That is, increased friendship protecting function, career managing function, socio-psychological function and role model function results in increased organizational commitment.

Prediction of Pitting Corrosion Characteristics of AL-6XN Steel with Sensitization and Environmental Variables Using Multiple Linear Regression Method (다중선형회귀법을 활용한 예민화와 환경변수에 따른 AL-6XN강의 공식특성 예측)

  • Jung, Kwang-Hu;Kim, Seong-Jong
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.302-309
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    • 2020
  • This study aimed to predict the pitting corrosion characteristics of AL-6XN super-austenitic steel using multiple linear regression. The variables used in the model are degree of sensitization, temperature, and pH. Experiments were designed and cyclic polarization curve tests were conducted accordingly. The data obtained from the cyclic polarization curve tests were used as training data for the multiple linear regression model. The significance of each factor in the response (critical pitting potential, repassivation potential) was analyzed. The multiple linear regression model was validated using experimental conditions that were not included in the training data. As a result, the degree of sensitization showed a greater effect than the other variables. Multiple linear regression showed poor performance for prediction of repassivation potential. On the other hand, the model showed a considerable degree of predictive performance for critical pitting potential. The coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.7745. The possibility for pitting potential prediction was confirmed using multiple linear regression.

Application of Multiple Linear Regression to Predict Mechanical Properties of 316L Stainless Steel with Unspecified Pit Corrosion (불특정 공식손상을 가진 316L 스테인리스강의 기계적 물성치 예측을 위한 다중선형회귀 적용)

  • Kwang-Hu Jung;Seong-Jong Kim
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2023
  • The aim of this study was to propose a multiple linear regression (MLR) equation to predict ultimate tensile strength (UTS) of 316L stainless steel with unspecified pit corrosion. Tensile specimens with pit corrosion were prepared using a potentiostatic acceleration test method. Pit corrosion was characterized by measuring ten factors using a confocal laser microscope. Data were collected from 22 tensile tests. At 85% confidence level, total pit volume, maximum pit depth, mean ratio of surface area, and mean area were significant factors showing linear relationships with UTS. The MLR equation using these three significant factors at a 85% confidence level showed considerable prediction performance for UTS. Determination coefficient (R2) was 0.903 with training and test data sets. The yield strength ratio of 316L stainless steel was found to be around 0.85. All specimens with a pit corrosion presented a yield ratio of approximately 0.85 with R2 of 0.998. Therefore, pit corrosion did not affect the yield ratio.

Prediction of Continuous Positive Airway Pressure Level for Treatment of Obstructive Sleep Apnea (폐쇄성 무호흡의 치료시 지속적 기도 양압치의 예측)

  • Lee, Kwan Ho;Chung, Jin Hong;Lee, Hyun Woo
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.755-762
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    • 1996
  • Background : Continuous positive airway pressure(CPAP) is doubtlessly using as a medical treatment of choice for patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) syndrome. CPAP is effective in OSA patients as a physical "pneumatic pressure splint" mechanism. We have done this study for two purposes, first to seek for the factors to determine the optimal CPAP titer, second to predict the minimal CPAP titer using the determined factors. Methods: We studied a 72 OSA patients who were treated with CPAP. All of them were studied by using a two nights polysomnographic rests in hospital. We compared the patients requiring CPAP over $10cmH_2O$ with those who required CPAP under 5cm $H_2O$ to determine the factors affecting the minimal CPAP titer. Results : The high CPAP group is characterized by a significantly higher body mass index(BMI), apnea index(AI) and apnea and hyponea index(AHI) and significantly lower lowest $SaO_2$. Regression analysis using the optimal four variables resulted in the following prediction equation for CPAP titer. CPAPtiter=8.382 + 0.064 ${\times}$ BMI + 0.077 ${\times}$ AI - 0.004 ${\times}$ AHI - 0.077 ${\times}$ lowest $SaO_2$ When this regression equation was applied to the 72 patients, the mean CPAP titer as predicted by the above equation was $7.80{\pm}2.96$ mmHg. Compared this value with actually determined CPAPtiter, $7.93{\pm}4.00$mmHg, there was no significant difference between the two values. Conclusion: Obesity, apnea severity and lowest Sa02 were strongly correlated with CPAP titer. Linear regression equation for CPAP titer using these indices predicted very closely the actually measured values in the sleep laboratory.

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Statistical analysis of mobile internet news users' attributes affecting on opinion formation for social major issues (모바일 인터넷 뉴스 이용자의 속성이 정치, 경제, 사회적 주요 현안에 대한 의견 형성에 미치는 영향에 대한 통계적 분석)

  • Kim, Jaehee
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.57-74
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    • 2021
  • The proliferation of smart devices (such as smart phones and tablet PCs) has led to a marked increase in the use of mobile-based internet. As a result, the influence of the mobile internet has become important to make opinions on social issues. This study explores the effects of mobile internet news users' characteristics on formation of opinions about major political, economic and social issues. We used the data from the media audience awareness survey by the Korean Press Foundation in 2016 and 2017 in this analysis. The characteristics of the news users are gender, age, education, income, news usage days, news usage hours, media application usage days, news gathering application usage days, portal usage days, and media official website usage days. These characteristics are known as possible explanatory variables for the mobile internet news users. Multiple logistic regressions were done with interpretation to know which covariates affect on formation of major opinion.

Prediction Formulas of Pulmonary Function Parameters Derived from the Forced Expiratory Spirogram for Healthy Nonsmoking and Smoking Adults and Effect of Smoking on Pulmonary Function Parameters (비흡연 및 흡연 성년 한국인에서의 노력성호기곡선을 이용한 폐활량측정법 검사지표들의 추정상치 및 이에 대한 흡연의 효과)

  • Cho, Won-Kyoung;Kim, Eun-Ok;Myung, Seung-Jae;Kwak, Seung-Min;Koh, Youn-Suck;Kim, Woo-Sung;Lee, Moo-Song;Kim, Won-Dong
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.521-530
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    • 1994
  • Background : The past studies on prediction formulas of pulmonary function parameters in healthy nonsmoking Korean adults have been performed in relatively small number of subjects and the reported results were restricted on a few parameters. Also there was no systematic investigation into the effect of smoking on pulmonary function parameters in smokers who have no respiratory symptoms. Therefore we attempted to establish prediction formulas of pulmonary function parameters and examined the effect of smoking on pulmonary function parameters. Methods We analyzed the result of parameters derived from the forced expiratory spirogram in 1,067 nonsmoking subjects from June in 1990 to December in 1991. They consisted of 306 males and 761 females and had neither respitatory symptoms nor history of respiratory disease. We derived prediction formulas by multiple linear regression method from their age, heights, and weights in each sex. To examine the effect of smoking on pulmonary function parameters, we classified 383 smoking men into three groups according to the past amount of smoking as follows : i.e. group of smokers who have smoked below 10 pack-years, 10-20 pack-years and above 20 pack-years. Regarding each group of past smoking as an independent dummy variable, we analyzed pulmonary function parameters including nonsmoking men as a baseline by multiple linear regression. We evaluated the smoking effect on pulmonary function parameters according to estimated p-value. Result : 1) Prediction formulas for pulmonary function parameters in each sex were derived. 2) The past smoking less than 10 pack-years does not give any effect on pulmonary function parameters. The past smoking of 10~20 pack-years showed significant negative correlation with $FEV_1$/FVC and FEF 25~75%, and the smoking above 20 pack years showed negative correlation with $FEV_1$ and $FEV_1$/FVC. Conclusion : We have got prediction formulas of pulmonary function parameters which is driven from forced expiratory spirogram in nonsmoking Korean adults by multiple linear regression from age, heights and weights of subjects. The past smoking more than 10 pack-years showed negative correlation with some pulmonary function parameters of airflow obstruction.

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