• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다기준 의사결정분석

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Priority Scheduling of Digital Evidence in Forensic (포렌식에서 디지털 증거의 우선순위 스케쥴링)

  • Lee, Jong-Chan;Park, Sang-Joon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.2055-2062
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    • 2013
  • Digital evidence which is the new form of evidence to crime makes little difference in value and function with existing evidences. As time goes on, digital evidence will be the important part of the collection and the admissibility of evidence. Usually a digital forensic investigator has to spend a lot of time in order to find clues related to the investigation among the huge amount of data extracted from one or more potential containers of evidence such as computer systems, storage media and devices. Therefore, these evidences need to be ranked and prioritized based on the importance of potential relevant evidence to decrease the investigate time. In this paper we propose a methodology which prioritizes order in which evidences are to be examined in order to help in selecting the right evidence for investigation. The proposed scheme is based on Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making, in which uncertain parameters such as evidence investigation duration, value of evidence and relation between evidence, and relation between the case and time are used in the decision process using the aggregation function in fuzzy set theory.

Development of an Inundation Risk Evaluation Method Based on a Multi Criteria Decision Making (다기준 의사결정기법을 기반으로 하는 침수위험 평가기법의 개발)

  • Park, Moo-Jong;Choi, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.365-377
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    • 2008
  • In this study, PROMETHEE(Preference Ranking Organization METHod for Enrichment Evaluations) which is one of the multi criteria decision making methods is applied to estimate the relative inundation risk of the urban subcatchment. For this purpose, several factors which have an effect on the inundation risk are selected and used to perform PROMETHEE. Those are elevation average, slope average, density of conduit, population and sediment yields per unit area of each subcatchment. Based on them, PROMETHEE is performed and the relative inundation risk for each subcatchment is estimated. For the validation of the suggested method, the results from the suggested method are compared with the historical inundation records occured on 1998 and the relative inundation risk estimated by the method considering sediment yields per unit area only. From the comparison, it is found that the suggested method may generate better results to estimate the relative inundation risk of each subcatchment than the method considering sediment yields per unit area only. Also, it can be applied to establish a rehabilitation order of subcatchments for mitigating the inundation risk.

Application of Multi Criiteria Decision Making for Vulnerability Analysis of Nakdong River Basin (낙동강 유역의 취약도 분석을 위한 다기준의사결정법의 적용)

  • Kim, Tae-Hyung;Kwak, Yung-Min;Park, Se-Jin;Han, Ku- Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.453-453
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    • 2011
  • 21세기에 들어 홍수의 규모가 대형화 되었고, 그 발생빈도 및 강도도 증가하고 있다. 최근에는 지구온난화가 지속화되면서 전 세계적으로 높은 강도의 기상이변들이 속출하고 있고, 이러한 이상기후에 따른 태풍, 집중호우 등의 대규모 호우로 인해 댐 및 제방 등의 수공구조물 붕괴와 같은 비상상황이 초래 될 수 있다. 이와 같은 피해들을 통해 홍수 침수 범위의 예측, 분석을 통한 홍수위험 및 다양한 홍수위험지도 작성의 필요성이 대두되었고, 실제로 국가 차원의 홍수위 험지도가 제작되고 있다. 특히, 홍수 위험도 분석에 있어서 홍수에 노출된 지역의 인구수, 홍수에 노출된 지역에서의 경제적 활동의 형태, 홍수가 발생했을 때 2차적 피해를 불러올 수 있는 설비 등을 나타내는 홍수 취약도(Flood Vulnerability)에 대한 정량적 평가는 홍수위험지표 및 홍수위험강도 등에 의한 Flood Risk 개념을 기반으로 한 홍수위험지도 제작을 위해 매우 중요한 사항이라 할 수 있다. 그러나 현재까지의 홍수취약도 산정방법은 방법론적인 면에 있어 다소 단순하고, 직관에 의한 위험도의 분류가 이루어지고 있는 실정이다. 또한 취약도 지표의 산정과정이 전문가의 의견에 의존하는 경우가 많아 홍수 취약도 선정과정과 가중치 결정과정에 전문가들의 주관이 개입되는 등 홍수위험지표의 정량화에 어려움을 겪는 경우가 많다. 본 연구에서는 위와 같은 문제를 극복하기 위해 Flood Risk Mapping 기술의 적용에 있어 중요한 요소인 홍수취약도를 다기준의사결정법에 의해 산정하고, 국내 낙동강 유역에 대해 행정구역별로 세분화된 홍수위험지도 제작을 위한 취약도 지표를 산정하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 다기준의사결정법중의 하나 인 PROMEETEE와 ELECTRE를 이용하여 민감도, 노출도, 저감성 지표를 낙동강 유역에 대해 정량화하여 도시하였다. 본 연구결과를 통해 홍수위험지표 및 지수들의 결합에 대한새로운 방법론을 제시하고, 그에 따른 지도화 기법을 확립할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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A Evaluation Model of AHP Results Using Monte Carlo Simulation (Depending on the Case Studies of Road and Rail) (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통한 AHP결과 해석모형개발 (도로 및 철도부문 사례를 중심으로))

  • Sul, You-Jin;Chung, Sung-Bong;Song, Ki-Han;Chon, Kyung-Soo;Rhee, Sung-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2008
  • Multi-Criteria Analysis is one method for optimizing decisions that include numerous characteristics and objective functions. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used as a general Multi-Criteria Analysis considering many critical issues. However, since validation procedures for the decision reliability of AHP valuers had been left off existing methodologies, a new methodology including such validation procedures is required to make more reliable decisions. In this research, idea decision results are derived using Monte Carlo Simulation in cases where AHP valuers do not have expertise in the specific project, and these results are compared with the results derived from experts to develop a new analysis model to make more reliable decisions. Finally, this new analysis is applied to various field case studies of road and rail carried out by the Korea Development Institute (KDI) between 2003 and 2006 to validate the new analysis model. The study found that approximately 20% of decisions resulting from the existing methodology are considered prudent. In future studies, the authors suggest analyzing the correlation between initial weights and final results since final results are enormously influenced by the initial weight.

Spatial prioritization of climate change vulnerability using uncertainty analysis of multi-criteria decision making method (다기준 의사결정기법의 불확실성 분석기법을 이용한 기후변화 취약성에 대한 지역별 우선순위 결정)

  • Song, Jae Yeol;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2017
  • In this study, robustness index and uncertainty analysis were proposed to quantify the risk inherent in the process of climate change vulnerability assessment. The water supply vulnerability for six metropolitan cities (Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, and Ulsan), except for Seoul, were prioritized using TOPSIS, a kind of multi-criteria decision making method. The robustness index was used to analyze the possibility of rank reversal and the uncertainty analysis was introduced to derive the minimum changed weights of the criteria that determine the rank reversal between any paired cities. As a result, Incheon and Daegu were found to be very vulnerable and Daegu and Busan were derived to be very sensitive. Although Daegu was relatively vulnerable against the other cities, it can be largely improved by developing and performing various climate change adaptation measures because it is more sensitive. This study can be used as a preliminary assessment for establishing and planning climate change adaptation measure.

A Study on the Corporate Portfolio Risk Management for Multinational Construction Company (대형건설업체의 해외건설공사 포트폴리오 리스크 관리에 관한 연구)

  • Han Seung-Heon;Lee Young;Kim Hyung-Jin;Ock Jong-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.2 no.2 s.6
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    • pp.68-80
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    • 2001
  • While opportunities for international construction firms have been growing with globalization, the risk of international construction projects is significantly increasing in severity and complexity. However, the traditional risk management approach in the construction industry has maintained a profit focus. In addition, this approach has not considered the overall risk at the corporate level, but rather has focused only on the risk of individuals at the project level. Corporate risk management should be implemented from the initial stages of new project selection. This paper suggests the Multi-criteria Integrated Systematic Analysis as a strategic decision-making tool for international construction contractors. The model integrates the multi-criteria of risk, return, and efficiency to choose the optimal set of new portfolios at the corporate level. This model also introduces the Value at Risk (VaR) concept to the international construction industry to present the total risk at the corporate level. To validate this model, this paper tested an experimental case study using the historical data of a global general contractor.

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AHP-based Priority Decision Method for Enterprise Ontology System (기업 온톨로지 구축을 위한 AHP기법 기반의 시스템 우선 순위선정 방법)

  • Choi, Byoung-Jin;Kim, Jin-Hyung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.06c
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    • pp.299-302
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    • 2007
  • 최근 기업 정보에 대한 온톨로지 구축 필요성이 대두되면서 기업의 투자 비용과 시간을 고려한 온톨로지 구축 대상 선정을 위한 효율적인 기법이 요구되고 있다. 그러나 기존의 온톨로지 구축 방법론에서 제시한 대상선정 기법은 전체를 대상으로 하거나, 특정 영역만을 대상으로 한다는 한계가 있다. 본 논문에서는 정성적요소를 포함하는 다기준 의사결정에서 정량적인 평가를 지원하는 의사결정지원기법인 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process:계층화분석법)기법을 온톨로지 구축 대상 선정에 적용하는 방법을 제안한다. 이러한 방법을 통해 온톨로지 적용대상의 우선순위를 결정지을 수 있으며, 기업의 온톨로지 구축시 목표와 전략에 맞는 대상선정의 정량적 기준을 제공할 수 있다.

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A Study on the Development of Optimization Procedure for Radiological Protection (방사선 방어의 최적화 절차론 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Jong-Soon
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1994
  • Considering the variety of application and other factors in performing the optimization of radiological protection, it is necessary to use well-structured optimization procedure. In this study, an optimization procedure for design stage of nuclear power plant was proposed, and applied in the selection of alternatives for reducing occupational radiation exposure. As an aiding technique for decision-making, multi-criteria technique was used. As a result, priorities of alternatives are determined, and a problem of applying this result to real situation is reviewed. The developed procedure for optimization can be extended to other areas such as radioactive waste management, medical use of radiation, etc.

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MCDM Approach for Flood Vulnerability Assessment using TOPSIS Method with α Cut Level Sets (α-cut Fuzzy TOPSIS 기법을 적용한 다기준 홍수취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Gyumin;Chung, Eun-Sung;Jun, Kyung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.10
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    • pp.977-987
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to develop a multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) approach for flood vulnerability assessment which considers uncertainty. The flood vulnerability assessment procedure consists of three steps: (1) use the Delphi process to determine the criteria and their corresponding weights-the adopted criteria represent the social, economic, and environmental circumstances related to floods, (2) construct a fuzzy data matrix for the flood vulnerability criteria using fuzzification and standardization, and (3) set priorities based on the number of assessed vulnerabilities. This study uses a modified fuzzy TOPSIS method based on ${\alpha}$-level sets which considers various uncertainties related to weight derivation and crisp data aggregation. Further, Spearman's rank correlation analysis is used to compare the rankings obtained using the proposed method with those obtained using fuzzy TOPSIS with fuzzy data, TOPSIS, and WSM methods with crisp data. The fuzzy TOPSIS method based on ${\alpha}$-cut level sets is found to have a higher correlation rate than the other methods, and thus, it can reduce the difference of the rankings which uses crisp and fuzzy data. Thus, the proposed flood vulnerability assessment method can effectively support flood management policies.

Study on location selection of integrated depot of warehouse stores utilizing AHP method (AHP법을 활용한 창고형 매장의 통합 Depot 위치선정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Byoung-Jun;Nam, Tae-Hyun;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2019
  • The importance of logistics of warehouse stores has increased as their prices are cheaper and more convenient than those of large supermarkets. However, few studies on integrated depot location selection of warehouse stores have been conducted. In this regard, this study aims to derive factors for integrated depot location selection and calculate weights and select the location priority of target candidates by introducing an analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The analysis results exhibited that the most important selection factor was the cost reduction in transportation and delivery (0.198) followed by distance reduction in transportation and delivery (0.168), and time reduction in transportation. This study quantified the reduction in cost and increase in efficiency if depots were integrated and operated thereby presenting more realistic foundational data to hands-on workers. For the future study, the analysis model will be needed to be advanced through additional investigation on the factors in the analysis.