• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다기준 의사결정법

Search Result 55, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

The Application of Fuzzy DHP in MIS Project Selection (퍼지 DHP를 이용한 정보시스템 프로젝트의 선정)

  • 정희진;이승인
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.3 no.2
    • /
    • pp.189-199
    • /
    • 1998
  • This study presents a FZOGP(fuzzified zero-one goal programming) model and a DHP (Delphic Hierarchy Process) that can be used to help information systems(IS) managers decides which IS projects should be selected. Delphic method is conducted prior to AHP so that not only can the objectives to be considered in analysis be determined, but the opinions of all decision makers can also be incorporated in problem formulation. While the DHP provides an ideal ranking process for the selection of IS Projects, it does not consider real constraints that exists in decision making process. Then this study intends to show how the DHP can be used to establish a priority structure for use within a FZOGP model. The advantages of FZOGP model are as follows: the imprecise aspiration level for each objective can be considered in FZOGP model. And, the common features between the new FZOGP and the GP models are that the objective functions in both models are minimized and the structure of their formulations are the same.

  • PDF

수량화 분석과 AHP를 이용한 산사태 예측모형 개발

  • Nam, Eun-Mi;Jun, Kyoung-Ho;Yu, Hyu-Kyong;Na, Jong-Hwa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Industrial Systems Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.114-119
    • /
    • 2009
  • 본 논문에서는 수량화 방법과 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) 기법을 사용하여 산사태 발생에 대한 통계적 예측모형을 구축하는데 목적이 있다. 수량화(Quantification) 방법은 질적변수에 수량을 부여하는 통계적 방법으로, 기 조사된 자료에 기반하여 분석을 수행하는 방법이다. 본 논문에서는 서구의 다변량분석 기법인 정준상관분석의 결과를 토대로 수량화 과정을 구체적으로 제안한다. 데이터에 기반한 수량화 방법과는 달리 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) 기법은 일종의 다기준 의사결정을 위해 사용되는 기법으로, 설문자료에 기반한 분석법이다. 실제자료에 대한 분석으로 산사태 발생여부를 측정한 자료(한국지질자원연구원 제공)와 전문가 설문을 통해 수집된 자료를 이용하였다. 이들 자료에 대해 수량화 분석과 AHP분석을 통해 산사태 발생여부를 예측할 수 있는 두 종류의 평가표와 함께 로지스틱 회귀를 통한 통계적 예측모형을 개발하였으며, 두 모형간의 성능비교와 안정성 평가를 수행하였다.

  • PDF

A patent analysis method for identifying core technologies: Data mining and multi-criteria decision making approach (핵심 기술 파악을 위한 특허 분석 방법: 데이터 마이닝 및 다기준 의사결정 접근법)

  • Kim, Chul-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.213-220
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study suggests new approach to identify core technologies through patent analysis. Specially, the approach applied data mining technique and multi-criteria decision making method to the co-classification information of registered patents. First, technological interrelationship matrices of intensity, relatedness, and cross-impact perspectives are constructed with support, lift and confidence values calculated by conducting an association rule mining on the co-classification information of patent data. Second, the analytic network process is applied to the constructed technological interrelationship matrices in order to produce the importance values of technologies from each perspective. Finally, data envelopment analysis is employed to the derived importance values in order to identify priorities of technologies, putting three perspectives together. It is expected that suggested approach could help technology planners to formulate strategy and policy for technological innovation.

An Approach to Drought Vulnerability Assessment using Multi Criteria Decision Making Method (다기준 의사결정기법을 적용한 가뭄취약성 평가 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hyung Jin;Lee, Gyu Min;Lee, Jae Nam;Kwon, Min Sung;Kang, Mun Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2020.06a
    • /
    • pp.385-385
    • /
    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 가뭄과 연관되는 다양한 관련 요인을 포함한 가뭄취약성 평가방안을 수립하고 이를 적용하는 것을 목표로 하였다. 평가기법은 평가인자와 가중치 선정, 평가자료 데이터베이스 구축, 평가자료와 가중치를 조합한 평가의 세 단계로 구성되었으며 평가인자 및 가중치 선정에는 Delphi 조사기법을 적용하고 평가기법으로는 최근 널리 적용되고 있는 MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) 방법인 TOPSIS (Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) 기법을 활용하였다. 평가인자는 기상분야(Meteorological factors), 농업분야(Agricultural factors), 사회경제분야(Socioeconomic factors), 환경분야(Natural System)로 구성하였으며 선정된 인자에 대한 데이터베이스를 구성하기 위하여 기상청, 농어촌공사, 수자원공사 등의 관계기관이 관리하는 자료를 수집하였다. 수립한 가뭄취약성 평가방안을 2016년 3월부터 2019년 9월까지 우리나라 시군구 행정구역 단위, 총 167개 지역이며 순위법, 비율법, fuzzy 등 가중치 선정방법에 따라 결과에 약간의 차이가 나타난다. 가뭄예보결과와 취약성 평가결과를 비교해 보면 충청남도 홍성군이 동기간 동안 가뭄예경보 발령 횟수가 가장 많았으며, 충청남도 보령시와 서산시도 매우 높은 빈도로 확인되었다. 평가 결과, 충청북도, 경상남도, 전라남도에 가뭄 취약지역이 다수 도출 되어 이들 지역에 대한 가뭄 대응 방안 수립이 필요한 것으로 분석되었다.

  • PDF

A Study on the GIS-based Deterministic MCDA Techniques for Evaluating the Flood Damage Reduction Alternatives (확정론적 다중의사결정기법을 이용한 최적 홍수저감대책 선정 기법 연구)

  • Lim, Kwang-Suop;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Hwang, Eui-Ho;Lee, Sang-Uk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.44 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1015-1029
    • /
    • 2011
  • Conventional MCDA techniques have been used in the field of water resources in the past. A GIS can offer an effective spatial data-handling tool that can enhance water resources modeling through interfaces with sophisticated models. However, GIS systems have a limited capability as far as the analysis of the value structure is concerned. The MCDA techniques provide the tools for aggregating the geographical data and the decision maker's preferences into a one-dimensional value for analyzing alternative decisions. In other words, the MCDA allows multiple criteria to be used in deciding upon the best alternatives. The combination of GIS and MCDA capabilities is of critical importance in spatial multi-criteria analysis. The advantage of having spatial data is that it allows the consideration of the unique characteristics at every point. The purpose of this study is to identify, review, and evaluate the performance of a number of conventional MCDA techniques for integration with GIS. Even though there are a number of techniques which have been applied in many fields, this study will only consider the techniques that have been applied in floodplain decision-making problems. Two different methods for multi-criteria evaluation were selected to be integrated with GIS. These two algorithms are Compromise Programming (CP), Spatial Compromise Programming (SCP). The target region for a demonstration application of the methodology was the Suyoung River Basin in Korea.

Assessing water use vulnerability under future climate and socioeconomic scenarios in a Han river basin (미래사회경제 및 기후 변화에 따른 한강유역의 물이용 취약성 평가)

  • Cho, Kyeungwoo;Kim, Heey Jin;Park, Hyesun;Mehboob, Muhammad Shafqat;Kim, Yeonjoo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.172-172
    • /
    • 2018
  • 물이용의 기후변화 취약성은 기후변화 뿐 아니라 이의 직, 간접적 영향으로 인한 물수요량 변화 등의 다양한 요소에 의한 영향을 받기 때문에 그 정도를 파악하기가 어렵다. 또한 기존의 대부분의 물이용 취약성 평가 연구는 단순 기후요소의 변화만 고려한 경우가 대부분이고 사회경제적 요소의 변화를 반영하지 않았다는 한계가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 강 유역에서 미래 기후 변화와 사회경제적 변화에 따른 물이용 취약성 평가방법을 개발하고, 한강에 적용함으로서 다양한 사회경제시나리오에 따른 강유역의 물이용 취약성이 어떠한 영향을 받는지에 대한 이해에 주안점을 맞췄다. 개발한 평가방법은 지표기반 접근법으로, 다기준 의사결정기법인 Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution(TOPSIS)를 사용하였다. 이 방법은 IPCC의 취약성분석 방법에 사용되고 있으며, 취약성에 대한 정의에 따라 결과 값이 적응능력, 노출, 민감도로 구성되어있다. 사용된 지표 자료는 통계청 등 다양한 국가 통계자료를 기반으로 한 자료뿐 아니라, 일부분은 수문모형인 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)모델로부터 모의된 결과를 포함한다. 기후시나리오로 Representative Concentration Pathways(RCPs), 사회경제시나리오로는 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways(SSPs)를 사용하였다. 본 연구의 물이용 취약성 평가결과는 사회경제적 요소의 변화를 기존의 평가방법에 추가 반영하여 미래 전망을 제시하는 향후 수자원 정책 방향에 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

  • PDF

A Study on the Development of Driving Risk Assessment Model for Autonomous Vehicles Using Fuzzy-AHP (퍼지 AHP를 이용한 자율주행차량의 운행 위험도 평가 모델 개발 연구)

  • Siwon Kim;Jaekyung Kwon;Jaeseong Hwang;Sangsoo Lee;Choul ki Lee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.192-207
    • /
    • 2023
  • Commercialization of level-4 (Lv.4) autonomous driving applications requires the definition of a safe road environment under which autonomous vehicles can operate safely. Thus, a risk assessment model is required to determine whether the operation of autonomous vehicles can provide safety to is sufficiently prepared for future real-life traffic problems. Although the risk factors of autonomous vehicles were selected and graded, the decision-making method was applied as qualitative data using a survey of experts in the field of autonomous driving due to the cause of the accident and difficulty in obtaining autonomous driving data. The fuzzy linguistic representation of decision-makers and the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP), which converts uncertainty into quantitative figures, were implemented to compensate for the AHP shortcomings of the multi-standard decision-making technique. Through the process of deriving the weights of the upper and lower attributes, the road alignment, which is a physical infrastructure, was analyzed as the most important risk factor in the operation risk of autonomous vehicles. In addition, the operation risk of autonomous vehicles was derived through the example of the risk of operating autonomous vehicles for the 5 areas to be evaluated.

Environmental Assessment for Decision Making in Water Resources Projects (수자원사업 의사결정 지원을 위한 환경성 평가 방안)

  • Kim, Gil-Ho;Kim, Woo-Chan;Yeo, Gyu-Dong;Yi, Choong-Sung
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.291-306
    • /
    • 2011
  • It is important to evaluate the environmental effect before performing the project and it should be tried to minimize the negative effects through the project planning based on the evaluation. This study aimed to determine environmental criteria and suggest the procedure for evaluating and scoring the environmental change through water resources projects. In evaluation criteria it was involved in water quality, landscape and ecosystem. And we suggested a valuation indicator and utility functions using MAUT in each criteria determined. In assessment procedure, it is involved in quantitative or qualitative estimation at before and after of project. Meanwhile, we suggested that it is desirable to determine the relative weighting of criteria whenever individual project's assessment performed for considering characteristics of the project. To this end, we verified the applicability of the procedure suggested on case. From this study, it will be used in decision making process of water resource project involved in environmental attributes.

A Hybrid Recommender System based on Collaborative Filtering with Selective Use of Overall and Multicriteria Ratings (종합 평점과 다기준 평점을 선택적으로 활용하는 협업필터링 기반 하이브리드 추천 시스템)

  • Ku, Min Jung;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.85-109
    • /
    • 2018
  • Recommender system recommends the items expected to be purchased by a customer in the future according to his or her previous purchase behaviors. It has been served as a tool for realizing one-to-one personalization for an e-commerce service company. Traditional recommender systems, especially the recommender systems based on collaborative filtering (CF), which is the most popular recommendation algorithm in both academy and industry, are designed to generate the items list for recommendation by using 'overall rating' - a single criterion. However, it has critical limitations in understanding the customers' preferences in detail. Recently, to mitigate these limitations, some leading e-commerce companies have begun to get feedback from their customers in a form of 'multicritera ratings'. Multicriteria ratings enable the companies to understand their customers' preferences from the multidimensional viewpoints. Moreover, it is easy to handle and analyze the multidimensional ratings because they are quantitative. But, the recommendation using multicritera ratings also has limitation that it may omit detail information on a user's preference because it only considers three-to-five predetermined criteria in most cases. Under this background, this study proposes a novel hybrid recommendation system, which selectively uses the results from 'traditional CF' and 'CF using multicriteria ratings'. Our proposed system is based on the premise that some people have holistic preference scheme, whereas others have composite preference scheme. Thus, our system is designed to use traditional CF using overall rating for the users with holistic preference, and to use CF using multicriteria ratings for the users with composite preference. To validate the usefulness of the proposed system, we applied it to a real-world dataset regarding the recommendation for POI (point-of-interests). Providing personalized POI recommendation is getting more attentions as the popularity of the location-based services such as Yelp and Foursquare increases. The dataset was collected from university students via a Web-based online survey system. Using the survey system, we collected the overall ratings as well as the ratings for each criterion for 48 POIs that are located near K university in Seoul, South Korea. The criteria include 'food or taste', 'price' and 'service or mood'. As a result, we obtain 2,878 valid ratings from 112 users. Among 48 items, 38 items (80%) are used as training dataset, and the remaining 10 items (20%) are used as validation dataset. To examine the effectiveness of the proposed system (i.e. hybrid selective model), we compared its performance to the performances of two comparison models - the traditional CF and the CF with multicriteria ratings. The performances of recommender systems were evaluated by using two metrics - average MAE(mean absolute error) and precision-in-top-N. Precision-in-top-N represents the percentage of truly high overall ratings among those that the model predicted would be the N most relevant items for each user. The experimental system was developed using Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications (VBA). The experimental results showed that our proposed system (avg. MAE = 0.584) outperformed traditional CF (avg. MAE = 0.591) as well as multicriteria CF (avg. AVE = 0.608). We also found that multicriteria CF showed worse performance compared to traditional CF in our data set, which is contradictory to the results in the most previous studies. This result supports the premise of our study that people have two different types of preference schemes - holistic and composite. Besides MAE, the proposed system outperformed all the comparison models in precision-in-top-3, precision-in-top-5, and precision-in-top-7. The results from the paired samples t-test presented that our proposed system outperformed traditional CF with 10% statistical significance level, and multicriteria CF with 1% statistical significance level from the perspective of average MAE. The proposed system sheds light on how to understand and utilize user's preference schemes in recommender systems domain.

Priority Decision of Cross-Compliance of Public-Benefit Direct Payment for Agriculture and Rural Area (농업·농촌 공익형 직불제 상호준수의무 우선순위 결정)

  • Chae, Hong-Gi;Kim, Se-Hyuk;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.218-225
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the priorities of the cross-compliance items of public-benefit direct payment using an Analytic Hierarchy Process and Fuzzy Decision Making Analysis. The valuation criteria are policy efficiency, farm acceptability, and feasibility, and the valuation targets are the basic and additional cross-compliance items. The survey was performed by targeting 50 experts from each class, and conducted for about a month starting from the beginning of July 2019. The results show that the weight of the valuation criteria is higher in the order of farm acceptability, feasibility, and policy efficiency. Compliance with PLS standards, compliance with disposal standards of waste vinyl and pesticides, soil testing, compliance with toxic substance standards, education, etc. are comparatively evaluated to be higher cross-compliance items in basic cross-compliance. Disposing of an abandoned well, jointly collecting and disposing of agricultural by-products, common area care and cleaning, maintenance of empty houses and poor facilities, growing green manure crops during the fallow period, etc. are comparatively evaluated to be higher cross-compliance items for the additional cross-compliance. The results of this study are expected to contribute to the government's policy related to the cross-compliance of public-benefit direct payment.