• Title/Summary/Keyword: 능력평가 방법론

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Development and Application of a Methodologyfor Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment-Sea Level Rise Impact ona Coastal City (기후변화 취약성 평가 방법론의 개발 및 적용 해수면 상승을 중심으로)

  • Yoo, Ga-Young;Park, Sung-Woo;Chung, Dong-Ki;Kang, Ho-Jeong;Hwang, Jin-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.185-205
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    • 2010
  • Climate change vulnerability assessment based on local conditions is a prerequisite for establishment of climate change adaptation policies. While some studies have developed a methodology for vulnerability assessment at the national level using statistical data, few attempts, whether domestic or overseas, have been made to develop methods for local vulnerability assessments that are easily applicable to a single city. Accordingly, the objective of this study was to develop a conceptual framework for climate change vulnerability, and then develop a general methodology for assessment at the regional level applied to a single coastal city, Mokpo, in Jeolla province, Korea. We followed the conceptual framework of climate change vulnerability proposed by the IPCC (1996) which consists of "climate exposure," "systemic sensitivity," and "systemic adaptive capacity." "Climate exposure" was designated as sea level rises of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 meter(s), allowing for a simple scenario for sea level rises. Should more complex forecasts of sea level rises be required later, the methodology developed herein can be easily scaled and transferred to other projects. Mokpo was chosen as a seaside city on the southwest coast of Korea, where all cities have experienced rising sea levels. Mokpo has experienced the largest sea level increases of all, and is a region where abnormal high tide events have become a significant threat; especially subsequent to the construction of an estuary dam and breakwaters. Sensitivity to sea level rises was measured by the percentage of flooded area for each administrative region within Mokpo evaluated via simulations using GIS techniques. Population density, particularly that of senior citizens, was also factored in. Adaptive capacity was considered from both the "hardware" and "software" aspects. "Hardware" adaptive capacity was incorporated by considering the presence (or lack thereof) of breakwaters and seawalls, as well as their height. "Software" adaptive capacity was measured using a survey method. The survey questionnaire included economic status, awareness of climate change impact and adaptation, governance, and policy, and was distributed to 75 governmental officials working for Mokpo. Vulnerability to sea level rises was assessed by subtracting adaptive capacity from the sensitivity index. Application of the methodology to Mokpo indicated vulnerability was high for seven out of 20 administrative districts. The results of our methodology provides significant policy implications for the development of climate change adaptation policy as follows: 1) regions with high priority for climate change adaptation measures can be selected through a correlation diagram between vulnerabilities and records of previous flood damage, and 2) after review of existing short, mid, and long-term plans or projects in high priority areas, appropriate adaptation measures can be taken as per this study. Future studies should focus on expanding analysis of climate change exposure from sea level rises to other adverse climate related events, including heat waves, torrential rain, and drought etc.

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A Jittering-based Neural Network Ensemble Approach for Regionalized Low-flow Frequency Analysis

  • Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.382-382
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    • 2020
  • 과거 많은 연구에서 다수의 모형의 결과를 이용한 앙상블 방법론은 인공지능 모형 (artificial neural network)의 예측 능력에 향상을 갖고 온다 논하였다. 본 연구에서는 미계측유역의 저수량(low flow)의 예측을 위하여 Jittering을 기반으로 한 인공지능 모형을 제시하고자 한다. 기본적인 방법론은 설명변수들에게 백색 잡음(white noise)를 삽입하여 훈련되는 자료를 증가시키는 것이다. Jittering을 기반으로 한 인공지능 모형에 대한 효과를 검증하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 Multi-output neural network model을 기반으로 모형을 구축하였다. 다음으로 Jittering을 기반으로 한 앙상블 모형을 variable importance measuring algorithm과 결합시켜서 유역특성치와 예측되는 저수량의 특성치들의 관계를 추론하였다. 본 연구에서 사용되는 방법론들의 효용성을 평가하기 위해서 미동북부에 위치하고 있는 총 207개의 유역을 사용하였다. 결과적으로 본 연구에서 제시한 Jittering을 기반으로 한 인공지능 앙상블 모형은 단일예측모형 (single modeling approach)을 정확도 측면에서 우수한 것으로 확인되었다. 또한, 적은 숫자의 앙상블 모형에서도 그 정확성이 단일예측모형보다 우수한 것을 확인하였다. 마지막으로 본 연구에서는 유역특성치들의 효과가 살펴보고자 하는 저수량의 특성치들에 따라서 일관적으로 영향을 미치거나 그 중요도가 변화하는 것을 확인하였다.

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A Study on Models for Technical Security Maturity Level Based on SSE-CMM (SSE-CMM 기반 기술적 보안 성숙도 수준 측정 모델 연구)

  • Kim, Jeom Goo;Noh, Si Choon
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2012
  • The SSE-CMM model is how to verify the level of information protection as a process-centric information security products, systems and services to develop the ability to assess the organization's development. The CMM is a model for software developers the ability to assess the development of the entire organization, improving the model's maturity level measuring. However, this method of security engineering process improvement and the ability to asses s the individual rather than organizational level to evaluate the ability of the processes are stopped. In this research project based on their existing research information from the technical point of view is to define the maturity level of protection. How to diagnose an information security vulnerabilities, technical security system, verification, and implementation of technical security shall consist of diagnostic status. The proposed methodology, the scope of the work place and the current state of information systems at the level of vulnerability, status, information protection are implemented to assess the level of satisfaction and function. It is possible that measures to improve information security evaluation based on established reference model as a basis for improving information security by utilizing leverage.

An Assessment of Groundwater Contamination Vulnerability and Priority Areas for Groundwater Management Using GIS and Analytic Hierarchy Process (GIS 및 계층분석법을 이용한 지하수 오염 취약성 평가 및 관리 우선 대상 지역 평가)

  • LEE, Moung-Jin;HYUN, Yun-Jung;HWANG, Sang-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.35-51
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to improve the previous groundwater contamination vulnerability assessment method, apply it to the study area, and select priority areas for groundwater management based on the quantitative analysis of groundwater contamination vulnerability. For this purpose, first, the previous 'potential contamination' based on groundwater contamination vulnerability assessment method was upgraded to the methodology considering 'adaptation capacity' which reduced contamination. Second, the weight of groundwater contamination vulnerability assessment factors was calculated based on the analytical hierarchy process(AHP) and the result of survey targeting groundwater experts. Third, Gyeonggi-do was selected as the study area and the improved methodology and weight were implemented with GIS and actual groundwater contamination vulnerability assessment was carried out. Fourth, the priority area for groundwater contamination management was selected based on the quantitative groundwater contamination vulnerability assessment diagram. The improved detailed groundwater contamination vulnerability assessment factors in this study were a total of 15 factors, and 15 factors were analyzed as new and improved weight with higher 'adaptation capacity' than the assessment factor corresponding to the previous 'potential contamination' in the weight calculation result using AHP. Also, the result of groundwater contamination vulnerability assessment in Gyeonggi Province using GIS showed that Goyang and Gwangmyeong which were adjacent to Seoul had a high groundwater contamination vulnerability and Pocheon and Yangpyeong County had a relatively low groundwater contamination vulnerability. In this study, the previous groundwater contamination vulnerability assessment was improved and applied to study areas actually. The result of this study can be utilized both directly and indirectly for the groundwater management master plan at national and local government level in the future.

An Analysis of the Object-Oriented Visual Programming Education Using Alice Programming (Alice 프로그래밍을 통한 객체지향 시각 프로그래밍 교육의 유용성 분석)

  • Jung, Min-Po;Cho, Hyuk-Gyu;Lho, Young-Uhg;Jung, Deok-Gil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2012.10a
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    • pp.343-346
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    • 2012
  • 학생들이 프로그래밍 교육에서 학습에 어려움을 겪고 있는 객체지향 프로그램 개발 능력을 향상시킬 수 있는 교육방법으로서 이 논문에서는 시각 프로그래밍 교육 방법론과 교과과정을 도입한다. 3D 프로그래밍 환경을 제공하여 게임 형태의 프로그램을 객체지향 프로그래밍 방식으로 쉽게 작성할 수 있는 Alice 언어를 정규 교과과정에 도입하여 학생들의 프로그래밍 언어에 대한 이해도의 향상과 프로그래밍에 대한 학습 의욕을 고취하여 능력 있는 프로그래머의 양성에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 시각 프로그래밍 교육 방법의 도입에 대한 성과를 분석하기 위하여 프로그래밍 교육의 유용성을 분석할 수 있는 평가 지표를 제시하고 학생들의 프로그래밍 학습 효과를 분석한다.

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Modern Methodologies of Personalized e-Learning (개인 맞춤형 이러닝의 현대적 방법론)

  • Oh, Yong-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.569-572
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    • 2010
  • 맞춤형 이러닝은 학습효과의 증진을 위한 방안으로 개인 맞춤형, 개인화 혹은 적응화 등의 개념이 제안되고 확장되었다. 본 논문에서는 초기 선호도, 흥미도 혹은 검색습관을 고려하는 방식으로부터, 특정한 학습객체를 자율 선택하여 반복 학습할 수 있도록 개념단위를 적용한 방식, 학습자의 능력을 고려한 최적 난이도 학습객체를 제공하는 방식 등 다양하게 제안되고 있는 현대적 개인 맞춤형 이러닝 체계들을 비교 분석한다. 개별 시스템에 따라 '평가'에 국한되거나 '평가'와 '학습'을 연계하는 경우가 존재하며, 이에 따른 적용에 의하여 학습환경과 맞춤형 제공방식 및 학습효과를 상호 연계할 수 있음을 밝힌다.

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A note on fuzzy knowledge spaces

  • Jang, Lee-Chae;Kim, Taek-Yun;Jeon, Jong-Duek
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.97-101
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    • 2003
  • 최근 수학구조 및 교수-학습과 관련된 연구에 지식공간 이론을 응용하고자하는 논문들이 많이 나오고 있다. 실제로 유의미 학습과 관련된 수행평가와 수학문제를 푸는 능력에 관한 평가를 연구하는데 지식구조가 응용되고 있지만 이를 활용하는데는 많은 애로사항이 있으며 이를 보완하기 위한 여러 가지 방법이 연구되어오고 있다. 특히, Schrepp교수는 스피드문제의 경우로 제한하여 지식공간론을 응용한 일반화된 수학구조의 연구방법을 제시하였다. 본 논문에서는 주관적 지식의 평가를 하게되는 수학구조 및 공간에 관한 연구를 하는데 효과적으로 응용될 수 있는 퍼지지식공간론에 관한 전반적인 기초 이론을 정의하고 그 성질들을 연구하고자한다.

A Critical Review of Research on the Economic Valuation of Libraries (도서관 경제성 평가 연구의 비평적 분석)

  • Ko, Young-Man;Shim, Won-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.27-52
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    • 2011
  • The value of the library has always been recognized positively. Economic valuation of libraries and their services uses a concrete methodology that enables the quantification of library value and communication of said value among library stakeholders. This paper presents a comprehensive review of literature on economic valuation of the library based on a total of 89 studies conducted over the last quarter-century. Research on library valuation began in the mid-1990's with the formal exploration of the value of public libraries from a theoretical point of view. In the 2000's, various theories and methodologies were reviewed and put into actual measurement studies. The comprehensive review and analysis point to the need for the development of consistent and reliable set of methods, which will facilitate further application of methods and comparison of results.

Developing a Prototype of Learning Epistemic Frame using Computer based Learning System: Learning Analytics (인식론적 프레임 학습을 위한 컴퓨터 기반 교육프로그램 프로토타입 개발: 학습분석 중심으로)

  • Choi, Younyoung;Seo, Donggi
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2018
  • There is a growing interest in computer based learning system that can learn a new concept of epistemic frames in response to the demands of $21^{st}$ century Skills. However, there is little research on the theoretical models for the epistemic frames applicable in the changing educational environment and the measurement theories (Psychometric theory, Learning Analytics) that can be evaluated. Therefore, in this study, we propose the core elements of the learning system prototype that can educate the epistemic frames in the practical community. Furthermore, this study explores and suggests an appropriate psychometric measurement theory (learning analytics) that allows us to measure, infer, and evaluate a learner.

Evaluation of hydropower dam water supply capacity (II): estimation of water supply yield range of hydropower dams considering probabilistic inflow (발전용댐 이수능력 평가 연구(II): 확률론적 유입량을 고려한 발전용댐 용수공급능력 범위 산정)

  • Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun;Kim, Dong Hyun;Lee, Seung Oh;Kim, Taesoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.7
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    • pp.515-529
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    • 2022
  • Identifying the available water resources amount is an essential process in establishing a sustainable water resources management plan. Dam facility is a major infrastructure storing and supplying water during the dry season, and the water supply yield of the dam varies depending on dam inflow conditions or operation rule. In South Korea, water supply yield of dam is calculated by reservoir simulation based on observed historical dam inflow data. However, the water supply capacity of a dam can be underestimated or overestimated depending on the existence of historical drought events during the simulation period. In this study, probabilistic inflow data was generated and used to estimate the appropriate range of the water supply yield of hydropower dams. That is, a method for estimating the probabilistic dam inflow that fluctuates according to climatic and socio-economic conditions and the range of water supply yield for hydropower dams was presented, and applied to hydropower dams located in the Han river in South Korea. It is expected that the understanding water supply yield of the hydropower dams will become more important to respond to climate change in the future, and this study will contribute to national water resources management planning by providing potential range of water supply yield of hydropower dams.