• Journal of the Korean Society of Child Welfare
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• no.54
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• pp.79-111
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• 2016

The purpose of this study was to examine the structural models in which early cumulative risk factors affect children's language(indicated by expressive vocabularies) and social development(indicated by peer competence) at age 3 thorough their effects on the home learning environment. To examine the hypothesized models, the data of 1,725 families from the second and the fourth waves of the Panel Study of Korean Children was used. Correlation analysis and structural equation modeling were conducted to test the models. First, the cumulative risk factors at age 1 and 3 were highly correlated, implying the stability of the risk factors over time. The more cumulative risk factors at age 1 predicted the lower level of the home learning environment at age 3, which, in turn, was significantly related to both language and social development at age 3. However, the early cumulative risk factors did not directly influence later developmental outcomes. Moreover, the cumulative risk factors at age 3 were directly related to the child's language development, but neither social development northe home learning environment. In addition, the mediational role of the home learning environment (i.e., cumulative risk factors at age 1${\rightarrow}$home learning environment${\rightarrow}$language and social development) was statistically supported. In conclusion, the early cumulative risk factors in infancy indirectly predicted children's development at age 3 through the home learning environment. The practical implications for the early intervention and support for the families with infants who are experiencing multiple risk factors were discussed.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Child Welfare
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• no.26
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• pp.61-86
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• 2008

This Study examines the relationship between Cumulative Risk and Behavioral Problem of children's in divorced family. The cumulative risk was Summed for each children to creative an cumulative scores. Scores on the index ranged from 0 to 12. Cumulative Risk was associated with Behavioral Problem. Moreover the analyses revealed positive, linear associated between Cumulative Risk and Behavioral Problem. Cumulative Risk predicted Problem Behavioral of Divorced Family's Children. Finding indicate that the amount of risk in Divorced Family's childrens lives was useful for determining the extent to which cumulative risk exposure plays an etiological role in Behavioral Problem. On the basis of these results, this article provided some suggestions for promoting of children welfare.

• Proceedings of the ESK Conference
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• 1997.10a
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• pp.136-141
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• 1997

누적외상성질환(Cumulative Trauma Disorders)의 발병 위험요인을 찾아내기 위한 기법의 하나로 체크 리스트가 활용된다. 이미 외국에서는 누적외상성질환의 예방을 위한 체크리스트 관련 연구가 상당히 진 척되었다. 체크리스트를 이용하여 누적외상질환의 위험요인을 발견하고 이에 대한 예방 대책을 세우기 위한 일환으로서, 본 연구에서는 우리 나라 제조업 현장의 누적외상성질환 예방을 위한 체크리스트의 개발 및 이의 과정, 목적과 활용에 대하여 연구하였으며, 앞으로 제조업 현장에서 활용이 가능한 체크리스트를 개발하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.443-443
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• 2015

자연적 및 인공적 조건들이 유출을 발생시키고, 발생시킨 유출수를 이동시키며, 특정지역에서 누적을 일으킬 수 있다. 이용 가능한 데이터베이스들은 쉽게 접근할 수 있고 사용할 수 있는 지리정보들로부터 구성된다. 이러한 자료를 이용해서 공간적 유출 위험 지도를 작성할 수 있다. 유출누적지도는 유출수에 의해 잠재적으로 침수되기 쉬운 지대들을 나타낸다. 침수지역은 원인지역의 규모, 원인지역의 형태와 경사, 천이점에 관련된 일시적인 감속과 누적들 및 토양의 침수상태와 같은 여러 요인들을 통해 발생된다. 유출에 대한 위험도 분석에서는 유출에 대한 누적위험도를 표현하기 위해 유출 과정에 유리한 요인들을 조합한다. 조합된 유출 민감도 지도는 유출민감도 값에 따라 등급화 된 형태로 표현된다. 5개의 민감도수준에 해당하는 요소들이 유출누적 지도에 사용되었는데, 여기서 민감도수준 1등급의 격자들은 누적에 유리하지 않고, 5등급은 물을 누적하는데 뛰어난 잠재력을 보여주고 있다. 본 연구에서는 안성천 유역의 유출누적지도를 작성하였으며, 이는 유역에서 유역 유출에 의한 홍수 위험도가 큰 지역을 탐지하는데 유용하며 이 자료를 기초로 하여 외수범람위험 지역과 합성하여 하천재해 위험지역을 도시하고 관리하는데 기여할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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• v.20 no.4
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• pp.444-453
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• 2014

Inequality of environmental impact is forecast to deepen due to the damage of environmental risk by the interaction between environmental and social inequalities causing more harms to environmentally vulnerable population. This study assessed the integrated cumulative impact of Seoul using Environmental Health Screening Tool developed by Environmental Protection Agency of California. In order to screen vulnerable area to environmental health, 10 indexes have been selected according to the environmental burden of exposure to environment and public health effects, population characteristics of sensitive populations and socio-economic factors. As a result of assessment conducted on cumulative impact of Seoul for years 2009~2011 through Environmental Health Screening Tool, risk factor for districts of Gangseo and Gangnam of Seoul showed high - Gangseo area indicated high risk factor both in environmental burden and population characteristics, while Gangnam area appeared high in environmental burden. The result of survey will be able to suggest scientific basis to push through fair and effective environmental policy in consideration of environment vulnerable population.

• Korea journal of population studies
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.1-23
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• 2009

This paper uses a survey data to analyze the age-specific fertility rates, age-specific cumulative fertility rates, and ages of marriage of the five birth cohorts of Korean women born in the 1940s and thereafter. It was found that later cohorts reach their highest age-specific fertility rate at higher ages than earlier cohorts. The age-specific cumulative fertility rates of the 1950s and 1960 cohorts were found to be much lower than those of the immediately preceding cohorts, while those of the 1970s and 1980s cohorts were not different from those of the 1960s cohorts. Women belonging to later cohorts were found to get married at relatively higher ages. The estimation results of the hazard model show that women belonging to later cohorts and those with more schooling have a tendency to get married at higher ages. The effect of the birth cohorts is thought to be due to the economic, social, and cultural changes in Korea during the late 50 years or so. The time interval between a woman‘s marriage and first birth was found not to be affected by either the year of marriage or that of her birth. Also, those who remained employed for some time around their marriage and those with low schooling were found to have a lower first child birth hazard, which implies that married women’s employment status and family income play an important role in their decisions on childbirth.

• Korean Journal of Child Studies
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• v.35 no.2
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• pp.43-61
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• 2014

The main purpose of this study was to investigate the paths from the cumulative risk factors to infant's development at 24 months of age via the mediation of maternal parenting behaviors. The data consisted of 3 year's worth of data harvested from 1802 families participating in the Panel Study on Korean Children (PSKC). The results revealed that cumulative family risk factors tended to stay in the family in relatively stable ways. Early risk factors significantly predicted later risk factors. Cumulative risk factors were negatively associated with the parenting styles of mothers, which in turn, significantly predicted the development of the infants concerned. Statistical tests supported the notion that mothers' parenting behavior is the mediator of the relation between family risk factors and infant's developmental outcomes.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.529-538
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• 2018

Tuberculosis causes high morbidity and mortality. However, Korea still has the highest tuberculosis (TB) incidence and mortality among OECD countries despite decreasing incidence and mortality due to the development of modern medicine. Korea has now implemented various policy projects to prevent and control tuberculosis. This study analyzes the effects of public-private mix (PPM) tuberculosis control program on treatment outcomes and identifies the factors that affecting the success of TB treatment. We analyzed 130,000 new tuberculosis patient cohort from 2012 to 2015 using data of tuberculosis patient reports managed by the Disease Control Headquarters. A cumulative incidence function (CIF) compared the cumulative treatment success rates for each factor. We compared the results of the analysis using two popular types of competition risk models (cause-specific Cox's proportional hazards model and subdistribution hazard model) that account for the main event of interest (treatment success) and competing events (death).

• Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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• v.46 no.3
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• pp.310-317
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• 2019

The purpose of this retrospective study was to evaluate the survival rate of composite resin restorations in permanent first molars in pediatric patients focusing on the influence of risk factors related to patients and teeth. 172 patients (6 - 12 years old) who had their permanent first molars restored with composite resin from July 2010 to July 2012 were investigated. From the dental records, the influence of the risk factors on the survival of restorations was assessed. Location of teeth, classification of cavities, patients' age and caries risk were included as risk factors in this study. The caries risks of patients were evaluated by the value of the decayed-missing-filled teeth index with the records of patients taken at 5 years old. Among 354 restorations, 272 restorations retained and 82 restorations were replaced. The overall cumulative survival rate at 5 years was 73.9%. The main reason for replacement of restorations was secondary caries (81.7%). Patients with older age group and with lower caries risk group showed higher survival rate of restorations. No statistically significant influence was detected between the survival rates and the possible risk factors : location of teeth, patients' age and caries risk. The survival rate of restorations was significantly affected by the classification of the cavities (p = 0.002).

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.17 no.5
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• pp.33-42
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• 1999

본 논문은 도로투자 사업성분석시 사업주체의 현금흐름을 결정하는 항목들을 고정값(Deterministic Value)이 아닌 확률적으로 추정함으로써, 사업의 재무적 변동으로 인한 위험도를 민간사업자의 견지에서 사업성분석과정에 내재화하는 모형을 개발하는 것이다. 즉, 확률적 비용추정기법으로 국소적으로 활용되던 위험도분석을 재무모형에 내재화함으로써 사업의 재무적 변동을 보다 포괄적으로 분석할 수 있는 틀을 제공한다. 본 연구에서는 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션기법을 이용한 위험도분석(Risk Analysis)을 적용하여 사업성 평가지표와 비용의 확률밀도함수(Probability Density Function : PDF), 누적확률분포함수(Cumulative Distribution Function : CDF)를 산출하고, 그 결과로 해당 사업의 위험도를 고려하여 사업성을 평가한다. 이 모형은 사업의 모든 변동요인을 복합적으로 추정하여 사업기간 내 사업주체의 현금흐름을 분석할 수 있다. 따라서 사업주체는 효용에 따라 합리적인 위험도 관리 목표값(Target Value)을 선정하고, 사업의 위험도를 고려하여 건설비, 예비비를 결정할 수 있다. 본 연구에서 정립된 모형을 서울외곽순환고속도로(일산-퇴계원 구간)와 대전당진고속도로를 대상으로 사례분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과, 대전당진고속도로의 경우 사업성이 없으며, 서울외곽순환고속도로의 경우, 일부 위험도 발생변수를 합리적으로 관리한다면, 사업성이 충분한 것으로 분석되었다. 본 사례분석은 사업의 위험도를 반영한 사업성분석 방법으로 우리나라 민자유치대상고속도로의 사업성분석의 하나의 지침이 될 것이다.