• Title/Summary/Keyword: 논문추세

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Determining the existence of unit roots based on detrended data (추세 제거된 시계열을 이용한 단위근 식별)

  • Na, Okyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.205-223
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we study a method to determine the existence of unit roots by using the adaptive lasso. The previously proposed method that applied the adaptive lasso to the original time series has low power when there is an unknown trend. Therefore, we propose a modified version that fits the ADF regression model without deterministic component using the adaptive lasso to the detrended series instead of the original series. Our Monte Carlo simulation experiments show that the modified method improves the power over the original method and works well in large samples.

The Study for Comparative Analysis of Software Failure Time Using EWMA Control Chart (지수 가중 이동 평균 관리도를 이용한 소프트웨어 고장 시간 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2008
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss exponentially weighted moving average chart, in measuring failure time. In control, exponentially weighted moving average chart's uses are efficiency case of analysis with knowing information, Using real software failure time, we are proposed to use exponentially weighted moving average chart and comparative analysis of software failure time.

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Linear Detrending Subsequence Matching in Time-Series Databases (시계열 데이터베이스에서 선형 추세 제거 서브시퀀스 매칭)

  • Gil, Myeong-Seon;Kim, Bum-Soo;Moon, Yang-Sae;Kim, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.586-590
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    • 2010
  • In this paper we formally define the linear detrending subsequence matching and propose its efficient index-based solution. To this end, we first present the notion of LD-windows. We eliminate the linear trend from a subsequence rather than each window itself and obtain LD-windows by dividing the subsequence into windows. Using the LD-windows we present a lower bounding theorem of the index-based solution and formally prove its correctness. Based on this lower bounding theorem, we then propose the index building and subsequence matching algorithms, respectively. Finally, we show the superiority of our index- based solution through experiments.

The Publication Output and Contribution Rate of SCI Korean Medical Papers: 1990-1995 (SCI 한국 의학논문 발표실적과 기여도: 1990년-1995년)

  • 이춘실
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.137-156
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    • 1999
  • The DIALOG's SCISearch database was searched, and the number of SCI Korean medical papers in each medical specialty was measured by document type and by publication year for the 1990-1995 period. The growth of SCI Korean medical papers was examined during this period. The percentage contribution of Korean medical papers to SCI database. and the SCI(mainstream) publication productivity ratio were analyzed for each medical specialty. The data obtained in this study for the early 1990s was compared with the data representing the 1980s. In addition, the fame research methodology was applied to the SCI Korean chemistry papers, and the result was compared with medicine. The purpose of these analysis is to investigate the extent and growth of mainstream publication activity of Korean medicine.

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A Composite Trend Test with Symptom Occurrence and Severity Symptom Scores (증상 발현과 증상 심각성을 병합한 추세검정법)

  • Choi, Se-Mi;Yang, Soo;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1045-1054
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    • 2011
  • During clinical trials a researcher is frequently able to observe a disease symptom in a subject as well as a severity score for those who experienced a symptom after a fixed length of treatment. The traditional method to evaluate a decreasing trend in proportion, when there is an intrinsic order in the treatment groups (for example control and two or more treatment groups) is a Cochran-Armitage test, while the method to evaluate a decreasing trend in continuous non-normal data is a Jonckheere-Tersptra test. The Cochran-Armitage test emphasizes the dichotomous data of symptom occurrence and the Jonckheere-Tersptra test emphasizes the continuous non-normal data of severity symptom scores. In this paper we propose new test statistics that consider the combined evidence from a symptom occurrence and disease severity score. We illustrate these methods with example data of schizophrenic inpatients that demonstrated antipsychotic-drug induced constipation. A small-scale simulation is conducted to compare the new trend tests with other trend tests.

The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Time Series Analysis. (시계열 분석을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2011
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing, For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. In this study, time series analys is used in the simple moving average and weighted moving averages, exponential smoothing method for predict the future failure times, Empirical analysis used interval failure time for the prediction of this model. Model selection using the mean square error was presented for effective comparison.

The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using ARIMA AR(1) (ARIMA AR(1) 모형을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2008
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. The used software failure time data for forecasting failure time is random number of Weibull distribution(shaper parameter 1, scale parameter 0.5), Using this data, we are proposed to ARIMA(AR(1)) and simulation method for forecasting failure time. The practical ARIMA method is presented.

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The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Curve Regression Analysis (곡선 회귀모형을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2012
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing. For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offers information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. In this study, we predict the future failure time by using the curve regression analysis where the s-curve, growth, and Logistic model is used. The proposed prediction method analysis used failure time for the prediction of this model. Model selection using the coefficient of determination and the mean square error were presented for effective comparison.

Trends and Implications of Global Game Rating Systems (세계 게임심의제도의 추세 및 함의점)

  • Park, Tae-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2011
  • This article inspected 16 game rating systems in the world to find out the trends of those. Mainly the perspective of freedom of expression is used to find out the implications of the trends. As the position of game becomes higher, the increase of game specialty rating institutions, the augmentation of self regulations rating institutions, the enlargement of freedom of expression in the area of game are revealed as trends. These trends are in the natural order of events that match with the development of game. We could know that rapid change and innovation is much needed.

"기술혁신"지를 통해 본 북한의 기술 추세

  • Lee, Chun-Geun
    • Journal of Scientific & Technological Knowledge Infrastructure
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    • s.11
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    • pp.38-43
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    • 2002
  • 본 글에서는 90년대 북한의 전반적인 학술활동 추세를 간단히 살펴본 후, "기술혁신"을 중심으로 각 산업분야별, 기관별 논문투고 동향을 상세히 분석한다. 이를 통해 90년대 북한의 산업동향과 연구계 동향을 살펴보고 우리에게 주는 시사점과 정책대안을 간단히 모색한다.

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