• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기상 인자

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Analysis of the Relation between Weather Conditions and Agricultural Water Use (기상조건과 농업용수 이용 관계 분석)

  • Moon, Jang-Won;Yang, So-Hye;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1688-1692
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    • 2009
  • 유역 내에서 효율적인 물관리를 수행하기 위해서는 하천을 중심으로 이루어지는 물 이용량에 대한 파악이 선행되어야 한다. 현재 우리나라에서는 홍수통제소를 중심으로 하천수 사용 관련 허가 및 실적 관리업무가 이루어지고 있으며, 이를 통해 하천수 이용에 대한 관리를 수행하고 있다. 하천수 이용 허가 관련 시설물 중 절반 이상은 농업용수 공급을 위한 시설물이며, 수자원장기종합계획 등 수자원 관련 계획을 살펴보면 우리나라 용수 이용량의 절반 이상이 농업용수 이용량인 것으로 나타나고 있다. 따라서 농업용수 이용량에 대한 파악은 한정된 수자원의 효율적 활용 및 관리 측면에서 매우 중요한 요소라 할 수 있다. 하지만 농업용수 이용량에 대한 모니터링은 거의 이루어지고 있지 않으며, 농업용수 용도의 하천수 취수량에 대해서만 하천수사용실적관리시스템을 통해 월 1회 사용량 보고가 이루어지고 있는 실정이다. 농업용수는 그 특성상 강수 등 기상상황의 영향을 크게 받는다. 즉, 강수량이 풍부할 경우 하천으로부터 인위적으로 취수하는 양은 상대적으로 적으며, 무강우가 오래 지속될 경우 하천수에 대한 의존도가 크게 높아진다. 이러한 농업용수 이용 특성을 고려하여 기상조건과의 관계를 정량화할 경우 농업용수 이용량에 대한 개략적인 추정이 가능할 수 있다. 농업용수 이용량에 대한 추정은 평저수기 및 갈수기 효율적인 하천수 관리 업무 수행을 위해 필수적인 사항이라 할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 강수량 등의 기상조건과 농업용수 이용량 간의 관계를 분석하여 제시함으로써 기상조건에 따른 농업용수 이용량 추정 방안을 검토하여 제시하였다. 농업용수 이용량 추정 방안은 상대적으로 강수량의 영향을 크게 받는 논 용수 이용량에 대해서만 검토하였으며, 반순별 이용량을 바탕으로 관계 분석을 수행하였다.

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Interpretation of Diameter Growth Pattern and Correlation of Climatic Factors with Diameter Growth for Quercus Species Based on Tree-Ring Measurement (연륜해석에 의한 참나무류의 직경생장과 기상요인과의 상관관계)

  • Shin Chang-Seob
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.145-151
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the relationship between the annual variation in diameter growth of Quercus spp. and climatic factors such as monthly temperature, precipitation and solar radiation in central and northern Korea. Annual diameter growth was measured by using stem cores of 262 Quercus trees, and the correlation between the diameter growth and the climatic factors was analyzed. Mean diameter growth of Quercus spp. in Jungwangsan was larger than that in Woraksan, and mean diameter growth by the species was large in order of Q. serrata>Q. variablis>Q. mongolica>Q. dentata. The diameter growth pattern of Quercus spp. in Woraksan was different from that in Jungwangsan. Positive correlations between diameter growth of Quercus trees and temperature or the solar radiation during July were found in Jungwangsan. Significant correlations between diameter growth and solar radiation during March and precipitation during June were found in Woraksan. It is suggested that climatic factors similarly affect the diameter growth of Quercus spp. in a mountainous terrain, but influences of the climatic factors depend on other environmental conditions such as altitude, topography and soil depth.

Evaluating Impact Factors of Forest Fire Occurrences in Gangwon Province Using PLS-SEM: A Focus on Drought and Meteorological Factors (PLS-SEM을 이용한 강원도 산불 발생의 영향 요인 평가 : 가뭄 및 기상학적 요인을 중심으로)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Han, Jeongwoo;Kim, Dongwoo;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.209-217
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    • 2021
  • Although forest fires are more often triggered by artificial causes than by natural causes, the combustion conditions that spread forest fire damage over a large area are affected by natural phenomena. Therefore, using partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM), which can analyze the dependent and causal relationships between various factors, this study evaluated the causal relationships and relative influences between forest fire, weather, and drought, taking Gangwon Province as our sample region. The results indicated that the impact of drought on forest fires was 27 % and that of the weather was 38 %. In addition, forest fires in spring accounted for about 60 % of total forest fires. This indicatesthat along with meteorological factors, the autumn and winter droughts in the previous year affected forest fires. In assessing the risk of forest fires, if severe meteorological droughts occur in autumn and winter, the probability of forest fires may increase in the spring of the following year.

Comparative analysis of spatial interpolation methods of PM10 observation data in South Korea (남한지역 PM10 관측자료의 공간 보간법에 대한 비교 분석)

  • Kang, Jung-Hyuk;Lee, Seoyeon;Lee, Seung-Jae;Lee, Jae-Han
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.124-132
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    • 2022
  • This study was aimed to visualize the spatial distribution of PM10 data measured at non-uniformly distributed observation sites in South Korea. Different spatial interpolation methods were applied to irregularly distributed PM10 observation data from January, 2019, when the concentration was the highest and in July, 2019, when the concentration was the lowest. Four interpolation methods with different parameters were used: Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW), Ordinary Kriging (OK), radial base function, and scattered interpolation. Six cases were cross-validated and the normalized root-mean-square error for each case was compared. The results showed that IDW using smoothing-related factors was the most appropriate method, while the OK method was least appropriate. Our results are expected to help users select the proper spatial interpolation method for PM10 data analysis with comparative reliability and effectiveness.

A Study on the Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast(HQPF) based on Machine Learning for Rainfall Impact Forecasting (호우 영향예보를 위한 머신러닝 기반의 수문학적 정량강우예측(HQPF) 연구)

  • Choo, Kyung-Su;Shin, Yoon-Hu;Kim, Sung-Min;Jee, Yongkeun;Lee, Young-Mi;Kang, Dong-Ho;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.63-63
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    • 2022
  • 기상 예보자료는 발생 가능한 재난의 예방 및 대비 차원에서 매우 중요한 자료로 활용되고 있다. 우리나라 기상청에서는 동네예보를 통해 5km 공간해상도의 1시간 간격 초단기예보와, 6시간 간격 정량강우예보(Quantitative Precipitation Forecast, QPF)의 단기예보 정보를 제공하고 있다. 그러나 이와 같은 예보자료는 강우량의 시·공간변화가 큰 집중호우와 같은 기상자료를 활용한 수문학적인 해석에는 한계가 있다. 예보자료를 수문학에 활용하기 위한 시·공간적 해상도 개선뿐만 아니라 방대한 기상 및 기후 자료의 예측성능을 개선하기 위한 다양한 연구가 진행되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기상청이 제공하는 지역 앙상블 예측 시스템(Local ENsemble prediction System, LENS)와 종관기상관측시스템(ASOS) 및 방재기상관측시스템(AWS) 관측 데이터 및 동네예보에 기계학습 방법을 적용하여 수문학적 정량적 강수량 예측(Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast, HQPF) 정보를 생산하였다. 전처리 과정을 통해 모든 데이터의 시간해상도와 공간해상도를 동일한 해상도로 변환하였으며, 예측 변수의 인자 분석을 통해 기계학습의 예측 변수를 도출하였다. 기계학습 방법으로는 처리속도와 확장성을 고려하여 XGBoost(eXtreme Gradient Boosting) 방식을 적용하였으며, 집중호우에서의 예측정확도를 높이기 위해 확률매칭(PM) 방식을 적용하였다. 생산된 HQPF의 성능을 평가하기 위해 2020년에 발생한 14건의 호우 사상을 대상으로 태풍형과 비태풍형으로 구분하여 검증을 수행하였다.

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Analysis of Future Demand and Utilization of the Urban Meteorological Data for the Smart City (스마트시티를 위한 도시기상자료의 미래수요 및 활용가치 분석)

  • Kim, Seong-Gon;Kim, Seung Hee;Lim, Chul-Hee;Na, Seong-Kyun;Park, Sang Seo;Kim, Jaemin;Lee, Yun Gon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.241-249
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    • 2021
  • A smart city utilizes data collected from various sensors through the internet of things (IoT) and improves city operations across the urban area. Recently substantial research is underway to examine all aspects of data that requires for the smart city operation. Atmospheric data are an essential component for successful smart city implementation, including Urban Air Mobility (UAM), infrastructure planning, safety and convenience, and traffic management. Unfortunately, the current level of conventional atmospheric data does not meet the needs of the new city concept. New and innovative approaches to developing high spatiotemporal resolution of observational and modeling data, resolving the complex urban structure, are expected to support the future needs. The geographic information system (GIS) integrates the atmospheric data with the urban structure and offers information system enhancement. In this study we proposed the necessity and applicability of the high resolution urban meteorological dataset based on heavy fog cases in the smart city region (e.g., Sejong and Pusan) in Korea.

A Development of Simultaneous Stochastic Simulation Model for Precipitation, Temperature, Humidity and Radiation (강수-온도-습도-일조량 연동 추계학적 모의기법 개발)

  • So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Park, Sae-Hoon;Moon, Young-Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.386-386
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    • 2011
  • 다양한 연구 분야에서 강수량, 온도, 습도, 일조량은 연구에 필요한 기후 인자로써 사용되어져 왔다. 외국의 경우 기후 인자들과의 관계를 도출해 내는 연구가 이루어 졌지만 국내의 경우는 이러한 연구가 이루어지지 않고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 인자들과의 관계를 강수-온도-습도-일조량이 연동되어 모의되는 기법을 개발하고자 한다. 기존 국내외 연구결과들은 지수함수식의 형태를 가지는 모형을 이용하여 온도-일조량(radiation), 온도-습도, 습도-일조량, 온도와 강수-일조량과 습도를 개별적으로 추정하는 연구들이 있었다. 그러나 온도, 강수량, 습도, 일조량 등은 기상학적 관점에서 모두 연관성을 가지고 각 변량들에 영향을 주고 있다. 이러한 점에 착안하여 본 연구에서는 4가지 변량들이 가지는 관계를 규명하고 각 변량간의 상관관계뿐만 아니라 4가지 변량이 동시에 상관성을 갖도록 모형을 구축하고자 한다. 일반적으로 각 변량들 간의 확률적인 거동을 동시에 고려할 수 있는 Network 모형이 많이 이용된다. 본 연구에서는 Bayesian Network 모형을 활용하여 4가지 변량 간에 Bayesian Network를 구성하고, 통계적 모형으로 발전시켜 기후변화 연구에 활용하고자 한다. 제안된 방법론에 대한 적합성을 평가하기 위해, 서울지점을 대상으로 온도, 강수, 습도, 일조량 값을 이용하였다. 기후변화에 따른 수문순환모형에서 이들 4가지 변량은 기본 입력자료로 이용되고 있으나, 현재까지는 강수 및 온도를 사용한 모형 개발이 이루어지고 있다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구의 결과는 기후변화에 따른 물순환 변동성을 평가하는 기본 자료로서 활용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Characteristics of Meteorological and Marine Environments for the Red Tide Occurrence of Mid-South Sea in Korea (한국 남해중부해역의 적조발생에 관한 기상 및 해양환경 특성)

  • 윤홍주;김승철;박일흠
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.845-852
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    • 2003
  • This study deals with the relationship between the red tide occurrence and the meteorological and marine factors, the prediction of areas where the red tide is likely to occur based on the information, and the satellite monitoring for the red tide in mid-South Sea of Korea. From 1990 to 2001, the red tide was observed every year and the number of occurrences increased as well. The red tide mostly occurred in July, August, and September. The most important meteorological factor governing the mechanisms of the increase in the number of red tide occurrences is found to be a heavy precipitation. It was found that the favorable marine environmental conditions for the red tide formation are some of marine factors such as the warm water temperature, the low salinity, the high suspended solid, the low phosphorus, and the low nitrogen. The necessary conditions for the red tide occurrence are found to be the heavy precipitation (23.4-54.5 mm) for 2∼4 days, the warm temperature $(24.6∼25.9^{\circ}C)$, proper sunshine (2∼10.3 h), and light winds (2∼4.6 m/s & SW) for the day in red tide occurrence. It was possible to monitor the spatial distributions and concentration of the red tide using the satellite images. It was found that the likely areas for red tide occurrence in August 2000 were Yosu - Dolsan coast, Gamak bay, Namhae coast, Marado coast, Goheung coast, and Deukryang bay.

Characteristics of Meteorological and Marine Environments for the Red Tide Occurrence in Mid-South Sea of Korea (한국 남해중부해역의 적조발생에 관한 기상 및 해양환경 특성)

  • 윤홍주;김승철;박일흠
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.323-328
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    • 2003
  • This study deals with the relationship between the red tide occurrence and the meteorological and marine factors, the prediction of areas where the red tide is likely to occur based on the information, and the satellite monitoring for the red tide in mid-South Sea of Korea. From 1990 to 2001, the red tide was observed every year and the number of occurrences increased as well. The red tide mostly occurred in July, August, and September. The most important meteorological factor governing the mechanisms of the increase in the number of red tide occurrences is found to be a heavy precipitation. It was found that the favorable marine environmental conditions for the red tide formation are some of marine factors such as the warm water temperature, the low salinity, the high suspended solid, the low phosphorus, and the low nitrogen. The necessary conditions for the red tide occurrence are found to be the heavy precipitation (23.4∼54.5 mm) for 2∼4 days, the warm temperature (24.64-25.85 $^{\circ}C$), proper sunshine (2∼10.3 h), and light winds (2∼4.6 m/s & SW) for the day in red tide occurrence. It was possible to monitor the spatial distributions and concentration of the red tide using the satellite images. It was found from this study that the likely areas for red tide occurrence in August 2000 were Yosu ∼ Dolsan coast, Gamak bay, Namhae coast, Marado coast, Goheung coast, and Deukryang bay.

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Forecasting Monthly Agricultural Reservoir Storage and Estimation of Reservoir Drought Index (RDI) Using Meteorological Data Based Multiple Linear Regression Analysis (기상자료기반 다중선형회귀분석에 의한 농업용 저수지 월단위 저수율 예측 및 저수지 가뭄지수(RDI) 추정)

  • LEE, Ji-Wan;KIM, Jin-Uk;JUNG, Chung-Gil;KIM, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.19-34
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate monthly agricultural reservoir storage with multiple linear regression model(MLRM) based on reservoir storage and meteorological data. The regression model was developed using 15 years(2002 to 2016) of 3,067 reservoirs by KRC(Korea Rural Community) and 63 meteorological stations by KMA (Korean Meteorological Administration), and the MLRM showed the determination coefficient($R^2$) of 0.51~0.95. The MLRM was applied to 9 selected reservoirs among the whole reservoirs and validated with $R^2$ of 0.44~0.81. The ROC(Receiver Operating Characteristics) analysis of Reservoir Drought Index(RDI) classified by comparing the present reservoir storage with normal year(1976~2005 average) reservoir storage showed average value of 0.64 for 2 years(2015~2016) with the highest value of 0.70 for winter period, lowest value of 0.58 for summer period. If 1 to 3 months weather forecasting data such as Glosea5 produced by KMA are applied, the predicted monthly reservoir storage from the MLRM can be a useful information for agricultural drought pre-preparation.