• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기상예측자료

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Development of Growth Models as Affected by Cultivation Season and Transplanting Date and Estimation of Prediction Yield in Kimchi Cabbage (재배시기, 정식일에 따른 배추의 생육 모델 개발 및 생산량 예측 평가)

  • Lee, Jin Hyoung;Lee, Hee Ju;Kim, Sung Kyeom;Lee, Sang Gyu;Lee, Hee Su;Choi, Chang Sun
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.235-241
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    • 2017
  • This study was carried out to estimate growth characteristics of Kimchi cabbage cultivated in two different growing seasons and three transplanting dates in the greenhouses, and to create a predicting model for the production of Kimchi cabbage based on the growth parameters and climatic elements. Kimchi cabbages were transplanted three times at intervals of two weeks in spring and autumn growing seasons. Sigmoidal models for the estimation of fresh weight (Fw) was designed with days after transplanting, which were Fw=4451.5/[1+exp{-(DAT-34.1)/3.6}]($R^2=0.992$) and Fw=7182.0/[1+exp{-(DAT-53.8)/11.6}] ($R^2=0.979$), respectively. The relationship between fresh weight of Kimchi cabbage and growing degree days (GDD) was highly correlated, and the regression model represented by Fw=4451.5/[1+exp{-(GDD-34.1)/3.6}] ($R^2=0.992$) in spring growing season. The yield of Kimchi cabbage under spring and autumn growing season were estimated 11348.3kg/10a and 15128.2kg/10a, respectively, which were much different than outdoor culture each growing season, while greenhouse cultivation have shown similar results. To estimate the efficacy of prediction yield in Kimchi cabbage, we will need to supplement a predicting model, which was based on the parameters and climatic elements by the field cultivation.

Present Status and Future Prospect of Satellite Image Uses in Water Resources Area (수자원분야의 위성영상 활용 현황과 전망)

  • Kim, Seongjoon;Lee, Yonggwan
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.105-123
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    • 2018
  • Currently, satellite images act as essential and important data in water resources, environment, and ecology as well as information of geographic information system. In this paper, we will investigate basic characteristics of satellite images, especially application examples in water resources. In recent years, researches on spatial and temporal characteristics of large-scale regions utilizing the advantages of satellite imagery have been actively conducted for fundamental hydrological components such as evapotranspiration, soil moisture and natural disasters such as drought, flood, and heavy snow. Furthermore, it is possible to analyze temporal and spatial characteristics such as vegetation characteristics, plant production, net primary production, turbidity of water bodies, chlorophyll concentration, and water quality by using various image information utilizing various sensor information of satellites. Korea is planning to launch a satellite for water resources and environment in the near future, so various researches are expected to be activated on this field.

Review of applicability of Turbidity-SS relationship in hyperspectral imaging-based turbid water monitoring (초분광영상 기반 탁수 모니터링에서의 탁도-SS 관계식 적용성 검토)

  • Kim, Jongmin;Kim, Gwang Soo;Kwon, Siyoon;Kim, Young Do
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.12
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    • pp.919-928
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    • 2023
  • Rainfall characteristics in Korea are concentrated during the summer flood season. In particular, when a large amount of turbid water flows into the dam due to the increasing trend of concentrated rainfall due to abnormal rainfall and abnormal weather conditions, prolonged turbid water phenomenon occurs due to the overturning phenomenon. Much research is being conducted on turbid water prediction to solve these problems. To predict turbid water, turbid water data from the upstream inflow is required, but spatial and temporal data resolution is currently insufficient. To improve temporal resolution, the development of the Turbidity-SS conversion equation is necessary, and to improve spatial resolution, multi-item water quality measurement instrument (YSI), Laser In-Situ Scattering and Transmissometry (LISST), and hyperspectral sensors are needed. Sensor-based measurement can improve the spatial resolution of turbid water by measuring line and surface unit data. In addition, in the case of LISST-200X, it is possible to collect data on particle size, etc., so it can be used in the Turbidity-SS conversion equation for fraction (Clay: Silt: Sand). In addition, among recent remote sensing methods, the spatial distribution of turbid water can be presented when using UAVs with higher spatial and temporal resolutions than other payloads and hyperspectral sensors with high spectral and radiometric resolutions. Therefore, in this study, the Turbidity-SS conversion equation was calculated according to the fraction through laboratory analysis using LISST-200X and YSI-EXO, and sensor-based field measurements including UAV (Matrice 600) and hyperspectral sensor (microHSI 410 SHARK) were used. Through this, the spatial distribution of turbidity and suspended sediment concentration, and the turbidity calculated using the Turbidity-SS conversion equation based on the measured suspended sediment concentration, was presented. Through this, we attempted to review the applicability of the Turbidity-SS conversion equation and understand the current status of turbid water occurrence.

Development of Spatial Statistical Downscaling Method for KMA-RCM by Using GIS (GIS를 활용한 KMA-RCM의 규모 상세화 기법 개발 및 검증)

  • Baek, Gyoung-Hye;Lee, Moun-Gjin;Kang, Byung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.136-149
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    • 2011
  • The aim of this study is to develop future climate scenario by downscaling the regional climate model (RCM) from global climate model (GCM) based on IPCC A1B scenario. To this end, the study first resampled the KMA-RCM(Korea meteorological administration-regional climate model) from spatial resolution of 27km to 1km. Second, observed climatic data of temperature and rainfall through 1971-2000 were processed to reflect the temperature lapse rate with respect to the altitude of each meteorological observation station. To optimize the downscaled results, Co-kriging was used to calculate temperature lapse-rate; and IDW was used to calculate rainfall lapse rate. Fourth, to verify results of the study we performed correlation analysis between future climate change projection data and observation data through the years 2001-2010. In this study the past climate data (1971-2000), future climate change scenarios(A1B), KMA-RCM(Korea meteorological administration-regional climate model) results and the 1km DEM were used. The research area is entire South Korea and the study period is from 1971 to 2100. Monthly mean temperatures and rainfall with spatial resolution of 1km * 1km were produced as a result of research. Annual average temperature and precipitation had increased by $1.39^{\circ}C$ and 271.23mm during 1971 to 2100. The development of downscaling method using GIS and verification with observed data could reduce the uncertainty of future climate change projection.

Health and environmental risk assesment of air pollutants in Gyeongju and its vicinities(I) (경주 주변지역 대기오염물질의 보건.환경 위해성 평가(I))

  • Jung, Jong-Hyeon;Choi, Won-Joon;Leem, Heon-Ho;Park, Tong-So;Shon, Byung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.10 no.12
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    • pp.3740-3747
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    • 2009
  • To protect the citizens' health of Gyeongju and to secure basic data for the assessment of health and environmental risk, distribution characteristics of meteorological elements were investigated and numerical simulation of wind field using RAMS model was carried out. In addition, measurement and analysis of air pollutants, forecasting the behavior air pollutants using ISC-AEROMOD view, and health and environmental risk-influenced zones were defined through managing air polluting materials to prevent health damage and property damage. According to the survey results of air pollution in Gyeongju and surroundings, average annual concentration of air pollutants in Gyeongju was slightly lower than that in Pohang and Ulsan areas, but concentration of particulate matters and nitrogen dioxide at Gyeongju Station Square and Yonggang Crossing were sometimes higher than that in Pohang and Ulsan areas. Results of the modeling of moving and diffusion of air pollutants that affect citizens' health showed that parts of the 1st through 4th industrial complexes together with POSCO were included in particulate matters and sulfur dioxide influenced areas in Pohang Steel Complex area, and that Haedo-dong, Sangdae-dong, Jecheol-dong and Jangheung-dong in Pohangnam-gu represented locally worsened air quality due to a quantity of air pollutant emission from dense steel industries and large scale industrial facilities.

Susceptibility Mapping of Umyeonsan Using Logistic Regression (LR) Model and Post-validation through Field Investigation (로지스틱 회귀 모델을 이용한 우면산 산사태 취약성도 제작 및 현장조사를 통한 사후검증)

  • Lee, Sunmin;Lee, Moung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.33 no.6_2
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    • pp.1047-1060
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, global warming has been continuing and abnormal weather phenomena are occurring frequently. Especially in the 21st century, the intensity and frequency of hydrological disasters are increasing due to the regional trend of water. Since the damage caused by disasters in urban areas is likely to be extreme, it is necessary to prepare a landslide susceptibility maps to predict and prepare the future damage. Therefore, in this study, we analyzed the landslide vulnerability using the logistic model and assessed the management plan after the landslide through the field survey. The landslide area was extracted from aerial photographs and interpretation of the field survey data at the time of the landslides by local government. Landslide-related factors were extracted topographical maps generated from aerial photographs and forest map. Logistic regression (LR) model has been used to identify areas where landslides are likely to occur in geographic information systems (GIS). A landslide susceptibility map was constructed by applying a LR model to a spatial database constructed through a total of 13 factors affecting landslides. The validation accuracy of 77.79% was derived by using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the logistic model. In addition, a field investigation was performed to validate how landslides were managed after the landslide. The results of this study can provide a scientific basis for urban governments for policy recommendations on urban landslide management.

Work plan for flood disaster management considering climate changes (기후변화를 고려한 풍수해 재난관리 업무방향)

  • Shim, Kee-Oh;Yoo, Byung-Tae;Park, Kyoung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.337-341
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    • 2009
  • 지구의 평균기온이 지속적으로 상승함에 따라 지구온난화로 인한 기후변화는 지구에 분포되어 있는 극지방의 빙하들을 녹임으로써 지구의 물 순환시스템을 교란시켜 집중호우와 태풍, 가뭄, 낙뢰 등 예측을 불허하는 극한 기상변화를 발생시키고 있다. 기후변화로 인해 바다의 수온이 상승함에 따라 빙하가 녹거나 바닷물이 팽창하여 해수면이 상승하게 되는 바, 1990년 대비 2000년대에 동해바다에서는 상승률이 0.07cm/yr이던것이 0.20cm/yr로 나타났으며, 서해바다에서는 0.14cm/yr이던 것이 0.18cm/yr로 나타났고, 남해바다에서는 0.32cm/yr이던 것이 0.34cm/yr 로 평균상승률이 1990년대에 비해 증가하는 것으로 관측되었다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화로 인한 자연재해 피해를 최소화하기 위해 소방방재청의 현행 업무를 중심으로 재해를 예방하기 위한 풍수해 업무별 추진해야할 연구과제들을 조사 제시하고자 하였다. 기후변화에 따른 재난분야의 정책과 관련된 연구적인 측면의 분야를 제시하기 위하여 최근에 나타난 자연재난 피해현상에 대한 원인 및 대책을 기초로 하여, 재난관리분야에서 추진하고 있는 업무를 계승 발전시킴으로써 기후변화로 인한 피해를 예방 또는 최소화 할 수 있는 방향으로 제시하고자 하였다. 기후변화에 따른 소방방재청의 풍수해 재난관리 분야 종합계획을 제시하기 위해 본 연구에서는 기후변화 관련 최근 국내 외의 동향을 먼저 살펴보았다. 1977년부터 2006년까지 우리나라 최근 30년간의 재해연보에 제시되어 있는 시설물별 피해액을 조사하여 시설물 중 피해액이 많은 순으로 주요피해 시설물을 파악하였다. 여기에서 주요피해 시설물로는 하천, 도로, 소하천, 수리, 농경지, 사방 등의 순으로 나타났다. 이러한 주요시설물에 대한 피해현황을 파악하기 위하여 대규모 풍수해 피해에 대한 현황, 원인분석 및 대책이 제시되어 있는 각종 피해조사 보고서, 연구보고서 및 전문 학술지 기사들을 수집 분석하였으며, 수집된 자료를 토대로 각각의 재해피해현상에 대하여 시설물의 피해현상, 원인 및 대책을 분류하여 분석하고자 한다. 재난관리 분야 중 우수유출저감시설 관련 제시된 업무방향을 보면 침투 저류를 위한 우수유출저감시설의 개발연구, 침수위험지구의 지정기준 등급별 방재대책 방안연구, 유역별 재해위험 저감능력의 평가기준 개발, 단위구역별 우수유출저감시설의 확보기준 연구, 우수유출저감시설의 국내 표준화 방안 연구, 우수유출저감시설 설치자에 대한 인센티브 도입방안 연구, 피해지역의 매입을 통한 저류지화 방안 연구, 우수유출저감시설 설치효과의 교육 홍보 및 우수유출저감시설의 국제 표준화 기준 제정 추진 등이 필요할 것으로 조사되었다. 여기에서 제시된 재난관리 업무분야별 많은 연구과제들이 향후 연구할 수 있는 재원확보로 이어져 재난관리의 업무발전에 도움이 될 수 있도록 하여야 하겠으며, 주요 결론으로는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 우리나라는 기후변화에 대해서는 기존에 소극적으로 대응하였으나 기후변화대책기획단을 만들어 적극적으로 대처하고 있으므로 기후변화와 관련된 여러분야가 활성화 될 것으로 판단된다. 둘째, 국외의 기후변화 대응사례에서 보면 시설물의 규모를 볼 때 큰 규모의 예산을 투입하는 것으로 판단되는바, 이는 향후의 불확실한 기후변화에 대비하는 선진적인 판단으로 검토되어야 할 것이다. 셋째, 풍수해 관련 주요업무 8가지에 대하여 추진해야할 업무방향 48개를 선정 제시하였다.

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Analysis of runoff speed depending on the structure of stormwater pipe networks (우수관망 구조에 따른 유출 속도 분석)

  • Lee, Jinwoo;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.2
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2018
  • Rainfall falling in the impervious area of the cities flows over the surface and into the stormwater pipe networks to be discharged from the catchment. Therefore, it is very important to determine the size of stormwater pipes based on the peak discharge to mitigate urban flood. Climate change causes the severe rainfall in the small area, then the peak rainfall can not be discharged due to the capacity of the stormwater pipes and causes the urban flood for the short time periods. To mitigate these type of flood, the large stormwater pipes have to be constructed. However, the economic factor is also very important to design the stormwater pipe networks. In this study, 4 urban catchments were selected from the frequently flooded cities. Rainfall data from Seoul and Busan weather stations were applied to calculate runoff from the catchments using SWMM model. The characteristics of the peak runoff were analyzed using linear regression model and the 95% confidence interval and the coefficient of variation was calculated. The drainage density was calculated and the runoff characteristics were analyzed. As a result, the drainage density were depended on the structure of stormwater pipe network whether the structures are dendritic or looped. As the drainage density become higher, the runoff could be predicted more accurately. it is because the possibility of flooding caused by the capacity of stormwater pipes is decreased when the drainage density is high. It would be very efficient if the structure of stormwater pipe network is considered when the network is designed.

Prediction Skill of East Asian Precipitation and Temperature Associated with El Niño in GloSea5 Hindcast Data (GloSea5의 과거기후 모의자료에서 나타난 El Niño와 관련된 동아시아 강수 및 기온 예측성능)

  • Lim, So-Min;Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Yeh, Sang-Wook
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we investigate the performance of Global Seasonal Forecasting System version 5 (GloSea5) in Korea Meteorological Administration on the relationship between El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ and East Asian climate for the period of 1991~2010. It is found that the GloSea5 has a great prediction skill of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ whose anomaly correlation coefficients of $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ indices are over 0.96 during winter. The eastern Pacific (EP) El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ and the central Pacific (CP) El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ are considered and we analyze for EP El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$, which is well simulated in GloSea5. The analysis period is divided into the developing phase of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ summer (JJA(0)), mature phase of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ winter (D(0)JF(1)), and decaying phase of El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ summer (JJA(1)). The GloSea5 simulates the relationship between precipitation and temperature in East Asia and the prediction skill for the East Asian precipitation and temperature varies depending on the El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ phase. While the precipitation and temperature are simulated well over the equatorial western Pacific region, there are biases in mid-latitude region during the JJA(0) and JJA(1). Because the low level pressure, wind, and vertical stream function are simulated weakly toward mid-latitude region, though they are similar with observation in low-latitude region. During the D(0)JF(1), the precipitation and temperature patterns analogize with observation in most regions, but there is temperature bias in inland over East Asia. The reason is that the GloSea5 poorly predicts the weakening of Siberian high, even though the shift of Aleutian low is predicted. Overall, the predictability of precipitation and temperature related to El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ in the GloSea5 is considered to be better in D(0)JF(1) than JJA(0) and JJA(1) and better in ocean than in inland region.

Analysis of Heavy Rain Hazard Risk Based on Local Heavy Rain Characteristics and Hazard Impact (지역 호우특성과 재해영향을 고려한 호우재해위험도 분석)

  • Yoon, Jun-Seong;Koh, June-Hwan
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.47 no.1
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    • pp.37-51
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    • 2017
  • Despite the improvement in accuracy of heavy rain forecasting, socioeconomic costs due to heavy rain hazards continue to increase. This is due to a lack of understanding of the effects of weather. In this study, the risk of heavy rain hazard was analyzed using the concepts of hazard, vulnerability, and exposure, which are key concepts of impact forecast presented by WMO. The potential impacts were constructed by the exposure and vulnerability variables, and the hazard index was calculated by selecting three variables according to the criteria of heavy rain warning. Weights of the potential impact index were calculated by using PCA and hazard index was calculated by applying the same weight. Correlation analysis between the potential impact index and damages showed a high correlation and it was confirmed that the potential impact index appropriately reflects the actual damage pattern. The heavy rain hazard risk was estimated by using the risk matrix consisting of the heavy rain potential impact index and the hazard index. This study provides a basis for the impacts analysis study for weather warning with spatial/temporal variation and it can be used as a useful data to establish the local heavy rain hazard prevention measures.