• Title/Summary/Keyword: 기대일치 모델

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Accuracy review of inundation prediction using CRITIC method (CRITIC 기법을 활용한 침수예측 정확도 검토)

  • Kim, Young In;Kim, Dong Hyun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.120-120
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    • 2019
  • 국내에서는 예측 불가능한 재난으로 인한 침수 피해 발생사례가 증가하였다. 따라서 침수 피해 예측이 더욱 중요해지고 있는 실정이다. 기존에는 주로 수치모형을 통한 침수예측을 하였고, 정보통신기술도 발달해왔지만 아직까지 수치모의에 많은 시간이 소요되기 때문에 침수 피해의 실시간 예측이 힘든 상황이다. 이에 국립재난안전연구원(2017)에서 침수예측을 위한 보간 모델인 SIND(Scientific Interpolation for Natural Disaster) Model을 개발하였다. 이는 보간을 이용한 모델이기 때문에 그동안 사용해왔던 물리 모형보다 간단하다. 그러나 정확한 값이 아닌 보간을 이용한 모델이기 때문에 정확도를 검토할 필요가 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 Mapping분야에서 사용하는 CRITIC(CRiteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation) 기법을 활용하여 지도의 정확도 검토를 수행하였다. CRITIC은 형상기준, 위치기준, 면적기준을 이용하여 형상유사도를 산정하는 방법이며, 이 기법을 활용하여 국가가 제공한 침수예상도(국립해양조사원, 2010)와 SIND모델 결과 지도를 비교하였다. 형상기준은 지도의 형상을 나타내는 형상지수를 비교하고, 위치기준은 지도의 무게중심의 일치정도, 면적기준은 형상 면적을 비교하는 것이다. 지도는 총 300여개의 매칭 객체 쌍을 가지고 수행하였고, 위험도 등급은 Grade 1부터 Grade 5 까지 분류하여 나타내었다. 연구 대상지역은 ${{\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}}$시이다. 그 결과, 형상유사도는 약 200여개의 매체쌍이 0.80 이상의 값을 나타냈고, 나머지 매체 쌍은 0.75이하의 값을 나타내었다. 위험도 등급이 낮을수록 형상유사도 값은 크게 나타나고, 위험도 등급이 높을수록 형상유사도 값이 작게 나타나는 경향을 보였다. 이는 위험도 등급이 높은 곳의 경우, 해안선의 복잡한 지형형태 때문으로 판단된다. Mapping 분야에서 형상유사도 적합성 기준이 0.75이므로 결과는 60%이상이 정확하다고 판단할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서 검토를 수행했던 간단한 방정식을 이용한 SIND 모델은 정확하다고 판단할 수 있다. 다만, 복잡한 지형과 현재 고려되고 있는 영향인자 외에 다양한 구조물 등을 고려한다면 형상유사도가 향상될 것이라 기대된다.

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Comparison of models for sound propagation of low frequency wind turbine noise (풍력발전기의 저주파 소음 전파 모델 비교)

  • SungSoo Jung;Taeho Park;ByungKwon Lee;JinHyeong Kim;TaeMuk Choi
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.162-167
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    • 2024
  • Low frequency noise emitted by wind turbines is one of the most noise complaints. In this study, the reliability of the models was examined by comparing the measured sound pressure levels with the predicted levels based on Denish model and commercial programs of the SounPLAN and the ENPro based on ISO 9613. As a result of applying it to representative 3 MW wind turbines, on lnad, the measured and the predicted values differed within a maximum of 5 dB in the frequency range of 12.5 Hz to 80 Hz. It may be due to the change in the acoustic power levels because the wind turbines have been in operation for more than 7 years. However, considering that the Boundary Element Method (BEM) predicted value, which is known to be the most accurate in the low frequency band, the predicted values are well matched within 2.5 dB, the models of this study are expected to be used as deviation within 3 dB.

Development of 2.5D Photon Dose Calculation Algorithm (2.5D 광자선 선량계산 알고리즘 개발)

  • 조병철;오도훈;배훈식
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 1999
  • In this study, as a preliminary study for developing a full 3D photon dose calculation algorithm, We developed 2.5D photon dose calculation algorithm by extending 2D calculation algorithm to allow non-coplanar configurations of photon beams. For this purpose, we defined the 3d patient coordinate system and the 3d beam coordinate system, which are appropriate to 3d treatment planning and dose calculation. and then, calculate a transformation matrix between them. For dose calculation, we extended 2d "Clarkson-Cunningham" model to 3d one, which can calculate wedge fields as well as regular and irregular fields on arbitrary plane. The simple Batho's power-law method was implemented as an inhomogeneity correction. We evaluated the accuracy of our dose model following procedures of AAPM TG#23; radiation treatment planning dosimetry verifications for 4MV of Varian Clinac-4. As results, PDDs (percent depth dose) of cubic fields, the accuracy of calculation are within 1% except buildup region, and $\pm$3% for irregular fields and wedge fields. And for 45$^{\circ}$ oblique incident beam, the deviations between measurements and calculations are within $\pm$4%. In the case of inhomogeneity correction, the calculation underestimate 7% at the lung/water boundary and overestimate 3% at the bone/water boundary. At the conclusions, we found out our model can predict dose with 5% accuracy at the general condition. we expect our model can be used as a tool for educational and research purpose.. purpose..

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The Statistical Analysis of Differential Probability Using GPGPU Technology (GPGPU 기술을 활용한 차분 확률의 통계적 분석)

  • Jo, Eunji;Kim, Seong-Gyeom;Hong, Deukjo;Sung, Jaechul;Hong, Seokhie
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.477-489
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we experimentally verify the expected differential probability under the markov cipher assumption and the distribution of the differential probability. Firstly, we validate the expected differential probability of 6round-PRESENT of the lightweight block cipher under the markov cipher assumption by analyzing the empirical differential probability. Secondly, we demonstrate that even though the expected differential probability under the markov cipher assumption seems valid, the empirical distribution does not follow the well-known distribution of the differential probability. The results was deduced from the 4round-GIFT. Finally, in order to analyze whether the key-schedule affects the mis-matching phenomenon, we collect the results while changing the XOR positions of round keys on GIFT. The results show that the key-schedule is not the only factor to affect the mis-matching phenomenon. Leveraging on GPGPU technology, the data collection process can be performed about 157 times faster than using CPU only.

The Study on Consistency of Simulation Logic about Close Combat Damage Assessment among Constructive Models : Based on Combined Arms Integrated Interoperability System (워게임모델간 근접전투 피해평가 모의논리 일치에 관한 연구 : 제병협동통합연동체계를 중심으로)

  • Moon, Ho-Seok;Kim, Hyung-Se;Hwang, Myung-Sang;Bae, Hyun-Wung;Lee, Dong-Keun
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.87-97
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose a new close combat expert system to overcome the difference of combat damage assessments between combat units belong to their own model in Combined Arms Integrated Interoperability System(CAIIS) which will be deployed in the early future. When it happens to engage in a battle among combat units belong to their own model in CAIIS, the result of damage assessment is different severely. This is related to CAIIS's confidence and need to be overcome. We propose the expert system for close combat damage assessment with a decision tree. Simulation results show that the proposed expert system is valid well. Because the proposed expert system is made not as an independent system but as an inner module type of CAIIS, CAIIS will be simpler system than we expect. And we will hope to reduce the cost of CAIIS.

The IM Model of 3 Port RF Passive Component (3 포트 RF 수동부품의 IM 모델)

  • 차영찬;이진택;양기덕;조영송;김상태;신철재
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.14 no.7
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    • pp.692-698
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents IM model which is produced in 3 port RF passive component. We calculated forward and reflect PIM of 3 port component by using the model. And they are reasonable agreement with measurement result like below. In the case of forward IM, calculated result is -122 dBc(at 43 dBm), which differ 2.5 dB with measurement result. And reflected IM, the average calculated result is -130 dBc(at 43 dBm), which differ 3 dB with measurement result. The results which are calculated and measured under various condition(IM source level, frequency sweep, contour length, etc.) show that forward method gets more fixed result than that of reflect. Consequently, PIM of 3 port component is predicted and analyzed for desensitizing by the proposed model.

Radiation characteristics analysis of Langevin transducer having a rim-fixed circular plate (주위가 고정된 원형 평판을 가진 란주반 트랜스듀서의 방사 특성 해석)

  • Jungsoon Kim;Jiwon Yoon;Moojoon Kim
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.391-399
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    • 2024
  • In order to analyze the distribution of sound fields radiating from a circular plate vibrated by a Langevin transducer, a theoretical analysis model was derived. The boundary conditions of the driving area and fixed boundary area were appropriately applied to the equation of motion of the vibrating plate, which was derived by L. Rayleigh. By calculating the vibration displacement distributed on the surface of the vibrating plate using the derived analysis model and then calculating the sound field formed by the ultrasonic waves radiating from it, it was confirmed that the radiation characteristics vary significantly depending on the area of the vibrating plate. For comparison, a simulation of the same system was performed using the COMSOL program, a finite element method, and showed good agreement with the theoretical calculation results, confirming the effectiveness of the theoretical analysis model derived in thisstudy. It is expected that the theoretical analysis model derived from this study can be used in the design and development of related devices, such as in the ultrasonic chemistry field.

Information Security Investment Model and Level in Incomplete Information (불완전 정보 하의 정보보호 투자 모델 및 투자 수준)

  • Lee, Yong-pil
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information Security & Cryptology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.855-861
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    • 2017
  • Gordon & Loeb[1] suggested that the optimal level of investment decision of an enterprise is the point that the marginal benefit(MB) of information security investment is equal to the marginal cost(MC). However, many companies suffering from information security incidents are not aware of the fact that they are experiencing information security accidents and can not measure how much they are affected. In this paper, I propose a model of information security investment decision making under the incomplete information situation by modifying the Gordon & Loeb[1] model and compare the differences in investment level. Under the incomplete information situation the expected return from the information security investment tends to be lower than that of actual information security investment, and the level of investment is also less. This shows that if a third party such as the government gives accurate information such as the rate of incidents of information security accidents and the amount of damages, companies can expand their investment in information security.

Aircraft 4D Trajectory Model for Air Traffic Control Simulator (항공교통관제 시뮬레이션을 위한 항공기 4D 궤적모델 개발)

  • Jung, Hyuntae;Lee, Keumjin
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.264-271
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents air traffic control simulation model for generating 4D trajectory, and aircraft dynamic model based on 4D trajectory information. With aircraft parameters from BADA and Total Energy Model, the trajectory is defined through modified Bezier curve and the simulation supports two aircraft control methods based on controlled time of arrival (CTA) or airspeed. The simulation results shown that flight time and path were almost identical to the defined trajectory, and derived the differences of each control methods according to wind conditions. Based on the simulation model developed in this study, it is expected to be applied to various air traffic management researches. Future studies will focus on applying optimization techniques in order to minimize the difference between generated trajectories and actual flight routes. This work will increase utilization of developed simulation futhermore.

Determinants of the User's Satisfaction and Continued Usage Intention in IPTV Services (IPTV 서비스 이용자의 만족과 지속이용의도에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Jung, Chul-Ho;Chung, Young-Soo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.137-146
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the influecing factors on the user's satisfaction and continued usage intention in IPTV services. For this purpose, a research model and hypotheses are developed based on the relevant literature reviews. Data have been collected from 310 users who have used IPTV and the research hypotheses were tested by covariance structural model analysis. The results of this empirical study are summarized as follows. First, perceived enjoyment was confirmed to have a positive effect on user's satisfaction and continued usage intention, however, we found no evidence of a statistically significant relationship between perceived enjoyment and perceived usefulness. Second, perceived ease of use was found to positve influence perceived usefulness, however, we found no evidence of a statistically significant influece on user's satisfaction. Third, confirmation was found to positively influence satisfaction and continued usage intention. Fourth, perceived usefulness had a positive influence on continued usage intention, and both perceived usefulness and satisfaction had a positive influence on continued usage intention. Based on these findings, we suggested the implications and further research directions.