• Title/Summary/Keyword: 균형오차

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Fast VQ Codebook Design by Sucessively Bisectioning of Principle Axis (주축의 연속적 분할을 통한 고속 벡터 양자화 코드북 설계)

  • Kang, Dae-Seong;Seo, Seok-Bae;Kim, Dai-Jin
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.422-431
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    • 2000
  • This paper proposes a new codebook generation method, called a PCA-Based VQ, that incorporates the PCA (Principal Component Analysis) technique into VQ (Vector Quantization) codebook design. The PCA technique reduces the data dimensions by transforming input image vectors into the feature vectors. The cluster of feature vectors in the transformed domain is bisectioned into two subclusters by an optimally chosen partitioning hyperplane. We expedite the searching of the optimal partitioning hyperplane that is the most time consuming process by considering that (1) the optimal partitioning hyperplane is perpendicular to the first principal axis of the feature vectors, (2) it is located on the equilibrium point of the left and right cluster's distortions, and (3) the left and right cluster's distortions can be adjusted incrementally. This principal axis bisectioning is successively performed on the cluster whose difference of distortion between before and after bisection is the maximum among the existing clusters until the total distortion of clusters becomes as small as the desired level. Simulation results show that the proposed PCA-based VQ method is promising because its reconstruction performance is as good as that of the SOFM (Self-Organizing Feature Maps) method and its codebook generation is as fast as that of the K-means method.

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Hedging effectiveness of KOSPI200 index futures through VECM-CC-GARCH model (벡터오차수정모형과 다변량 GARCH 모형을 이용한 코스피200 선물의 헷지성과 분석)

  • Kwon, Dongan;Lee, Taewook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1449-1466
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we consider a hedge portfolio based on futures of underlying asset. A classical way to estimate a hedge ratio for a hedge portfolio of a spot and futures is a regression analysis. However, a regression analysis is not capable of reflecting long-run equilibrium between a spot and futures and volatility clustering in the conditional variance of financial time series. In order to overcome such defects, we analyzed KOSPI200 index and futures using VECM-CC-GARCH model and computed a hedge ratio from the estimated conditional covariance-variance matrix. In real data analysis, we compared a regression and VECM-CC-GARCH models in terms of hedge effectiveness based on variance, value at risk and expected shortfall of log-returns of hedge portfolio. The empirical results show that the multivariate GARCH models significantly outperform a regression analysis and improve hedging effectiveness in the period of high volatility.

Analysis of Factors Affecting on the Freight Rate of Container Carriers (컨테이너 운임에 미치는 영향요인 분석)

  • Ahn, Young-Gyun;Ko, Byoung-Wook
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.159-177
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    • 2018
  • The container shipping sector is an important international logistics operation that connects open economies. Freight rates rapidly change as the market fluctuates, and staff related to the shipping market are interested in factors that determine freight rates in the container market. This study uses the Vector Error Correction Model(VECM) to estimate the impact of factors affecting container freight rates. This study uses data published by Clarksons. The analysis results show a 4.2% increase in freight rates when world container traffic increases at 1.0%, a 4.0% decrease in freight rates when volume of container carriers increases by 1.0%, a 0.07% increase in freight rates when bunker price increases by 1.0%, and a 0.04% increase in freight rates accompanying 1.0% increase in libor interests rates. In addition, if the current freight rate is 1.0% higher than the long-term equilibrium rate, the freight rate will be reduced by 3.2% in the subsequent term. In addition, if the current freight rate is 1.0% lower than the long-term equilibrium rate, the freight rate will decrease by 0.12% in the following term. However, the adjusting power in a period of recession is not statistically significant which means that the pressure of freight rate increase in this case is neglectable. This research is expected to contribute to the utilization of scientific methods in forecasting container freight rates.

Balancing control of one-wheeled mobile robot using control moment gyroscope (제어 모멘트 자이로스코프를 이용한 외바퀴 이동로봇의 균형 자세 제어)

  • Park, Sang-Hyung;Yi, Soo-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2017
  • The control moment gyroscope(CMG) can be used for essential balancing control of a one-wheeled mobile robot. A single-gimbal CMG has a simple structure and can supply strong restoring torque against external disturbances. However, the CMG generates unwanted directional torque also besides the restoring torque; the unwanted directional torque causes instability in the one-wheeled robot control system that has high rotational degrees of freedom. This study proposes a control system for a one-wheeled mobile robot by using a CMG scissored pair to eliminate the unwanted directional torque. The well-known LQR control algorithm is designed for robustness against modeling error in the dynamic motion equations of a one-wheeled robot. Computer simulations for 3D nonlinear dynamic equations are carried out to verify the proposed control system with the CMG scissored pair and the LQR control algorithms.

Statistical Tests and Applications for the Stability of an Estimated Cointegrating Vector (공적분벡터의 안정성에 대한 실증연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Hwang, Sung-Hye;Kim, Mi-Yun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.503-519
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    • 2005
  • Cointegration test is usually performed under the assumption that the cointegrating vector is constant for the whole sample period. Most previous studies have used conventional cointegration methods in testing for a stable long-run equilibrium relation among related variables. However they have overlooked that the long-run equilibrium may not the unique and the stable relation may not be guaranteed. This study develops the additional statistical tests for the stability of the estimated cointegrating vector. Three tests for the parameter stability of a cointegrated regression model are utilized and applied to identify the types of variations in the long-run relation between the domestic unemployment and the rotated macroeconomic variables of interest. The present paper finds that, there exists a stable but, time-varying long-run relation between those. The observed variation in cointegrating relations is generally characterized by a discrete one-time shift, rather than a gradually evolving random walk process which is attributable to the IMF financial and economic crisis.

An Analysis of Balassa-Samuelson Effect by Panel Cointegration Test (패널공적분검정을 통한 발라사-사무엘슨 효과 분석)

  • Choi, Yong-Jae
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.67-84
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the Balassa-Samuelson effect that real exchange rate could deviate from its long-run equilibrium. To analyze this effect, I estimated the long-run relationship between real exchange and productivity using the dynamic panel ordinary least square(DOLS) and panel error correction model(ECM) after conducting the unit root and cointegration test. The results show that all variables except for the real exchange rate have the unit root. Then I conducted the cointegration test to find out whether there exist the stable long-run relationships. The results show that the variables are cointegrated and significant statistically. The DOLS and ECM methods are used to estimate the coefficient of the cointegrated variables. The major finding are that the estimates are statistically significant and that they show the same sign as the economic theory predicts.

Effects of the Trade Insurance and Exchange Risk on Export: The Experience of Korea (무역보험과 환위험이 수출에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.77-95
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    • 2011
  • This paper investigates the relationship between export and economic variables such as trade insurance, world economy activity, relative price, unemployment rate, exchange rate volatility, using monthly data. I employ Johansen cointegration methodology since the model must be stationary to avoid the spurious results. The results indicate that there is a long-run relationship between export and variables. Also, the empirical analysis of cointegrating vector using the CCR, DOLS, FMOLS reveals that the increases of trade insurance has positive relations and the increases of exchange rate volatility have negative relations with export. Especially, DOLS based on Monte Carlo simulations, of this estimator being superior in small samples compared to a number of alternative estimators, as well as being able not only to accommodate higher orders of integration but also to account for possible simultaneity within regressors of a potential system. This paper also applies impulse-response functions to get the additional information regarding the responses of the export to the shocks of the variables. The result indicates that export positively to trade insurance and then decay fast compare with exchange rate volatility. Consequently, trade insurance plays the role of trade policy for export promotion in Korea. Whereas, increase of exchange risk result in reduction of export. Therefore, the support of trade insurance should be expanded and the stabilization of the foreign exchange market must be done for the export promotion.

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Import Patterns of Eyeglasses Industry (안경산업의 수입행태)

  • Hyun, Sung-Chul;Lim, Jun-Hyeong
    • Journal of Korean Ophthalmic Optics Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2009
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study is to provide an empirical overview of the import patterns of the Eyeglasses and Contactlens industry. Methods: This study used an Engle-Granger cointegration technique and Johansen's multivariate cointegraion methodology test to check the stationarity of the model. This paper also applies Rolling regression to our model, indicating that Eyeglasses and Contact Lens import is endogenous to the economic variable. Results: The empirical results show how the import in Eyeglasses and Contact Lens is related to the economic variables. Conclusions: This paper shows how the import of Eyeglasses and Contactlens is influenced by economic variables, such as exchange rate and industrial product, and seasonal factors.

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The Long-Run Demand for Monetary Indicator M2 and Liquidity Indicator L - Case in Korea - (한국의 광의통화(M2)와 광의유동성(L)에 대한 화폐수요의 장기적 안정성 검정)

  • Kim, Joung-Gu
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.171-194
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    • 2008
  • This paper analysis the long-run demand for monetary indicator M2 and Liquidity indicator L in Korea in the period from 1980:1 to 2006:3 by cointegration and error correction models. The empirical evidence that M2, L in Korea is meaningfully cointegrated with income, interest rate, exchange rate, inflation uncertainty, real effective exchange rate, exchange rate uncertainty and LIBOR, thus showing the existence of long-run demand function under open-economy framework.

Effects of Exchange Rate, GDP, ODI on Export to the East Asia: Application the Panel FMOLS Approach (환율, GDP, 해외직접투자가 한국의 대동아시아 수출에 미치는 영향: 패널 FMOLS기법의 적용)

  • Kim, Chang-Beom
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.307-322
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine determinants of export to the East Asia region, using panel unit root, panel cointegration framework, panel VECM (vector error correction model), panel FMOLS (fully modified OLS). Different panel unit root tests confirm that the data series are integrated processes with unit roots. When applying cointegration tests to long-run effect for aggregate panel data, a primary concern is to construct the estimators in a way that does not constrain the transitional dynamics to be similar among different countries of the panel. The regression equations are estimated by various panel cointegration estimators. The panel data causality results reveal that exchange rates has unidirectional effects on export and GDP, and there exists bidirectional causality between export and GDP. Also, the results from the panel FMOLS tests overwhelmingly reject the null hypothesis of zero coefficient. The panel cointegrating vectors show that the export has positive relationship with the GDP and ODI (overseas direct investment).

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