• 제목/요약/키워드: 균등화발전단가

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Economic Evaluation between Diesel vs Renewable Energy for Remote Islands (도서지역 기존 디젤과 신재생 전원의 경제성 비교 방안)

  • Kim, Bong-Suck;Jung, Jee-Hong;Kim, Hae-In;Beum, Yoon-Yong;Ryu, Je-Myun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2011.07a
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    • pp.584-585
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    • 2011
  • 우리나라 자가발전 도서 132개 중 10개 도서를 대상으로 디젤발전과 태양광 풍력의 경제성을 비교하였다. 도서별 전력수요 추정과 함께 발전원의 수명기간 동안 총 비용을 총 발전량으로 나눈 균등화발전단가(원/kWh)를 경제성 분석지표로 사용하였다. 도서별 실제 태양광과 풍황 등 자원량을 반영하지는 않았고 태양광 15%, 풍력 21% 이용률을 가정하였다. 그 결과 4개도서가 경제성 확보가 가능한 것으로 분석되었다. 향후 국가 차원의 손실 최소화 방안 및 국가적 편익 비용을 산출함으로서 향후 도서지역 중장기 경제적 전력공급을 위한 도서 전원 구성에 관한 정책적 방향을 제시할 예정이다.

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Power Generation Cost Comparison of Nuclear and Coal Power Plants in Year 2001 under Future Korean Environmental Regulations -Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis- (미래의 한국의 환경규제여건에 따른 2001년도의 원자력과 석탄화력 발전단가비교 -민감도와 불확실도 분석-)

  • Lee, Byong-Whi;Oh, Sung-Ho
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.18-31
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    • 1989
  • To analyze the impact of air pollution control on electricity generation cost, a computer program was developed. POGEN calculates levelized discounted power generation cost including additional air pollution control cost for coal power plant. Pollution subprogram calculates total capital and variable costs using governing equations for flue gas control. The costs are used as additional input for levelized discounted power generation cost subprogram. Pollution output for Rue Gas Desulphurization direct cost was verified using published cost data of well experienced industrialized countries. The power generation costs for the year 2001 were estimated by POGEN for three different regulatory scenarios imposed on coal power plant, and by levelized discounted power generation cost subprogram for nuclear power. Because of uncertainty expected in input variables for future plants, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis were made to check the importance and uncertainty propagation of the input variables using Latin Hypercube Sampling and Multiple Least Square method. Most sensitive parameter for levelized discounted power generation cost is discount rate for both nuclear and coal. The control cost for flue gas alone reaches additional 9-11 mills/kWh with standard deviation less than 1.3 mills/kWh. This cost will be nearly 20% of power generation cost and 40% of one GW capacity coal power plant investment cost. With 90% confidence, the generation cost of nuclear power plant will be 32.6-51.9 mills/kWh, and for the coal power plant it will be 45.5-50.5 mills/kWh. Nuclear is favorable with 95% confidence under stringent future regulatory requirement in Korea.

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Energy Transition Policy and Social Costs of Power Generation in South Korea (에너지 전환정책과 발전의 사회적 비용 -제7차와 제8차 전력수급기본계획 비교-)

  • Kim, Kwang In;Kim, Hyunsook;Cho, In-Koo
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.147-176
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    • 2019
  • This paper uses research on the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) in South Korea to conduct a simulation analysis on the impact of nuclear power dependency and usage rates on the social costs of power generation. We compare the $7^{th}$ basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand, which was designed to increase nuclear power generation, to the $8^{th}$ basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand that decreased nuclear power generation and increased renewable energy generation in order to estimate changes in social costs and electricity rates according to the power generation mix. Our environmental generation mix simulation results indicate that social costs may increase by 22% within 10 years while direct generation cost and electricity rates based on generation and other production costs may increase by as much as 22% and 18%, respectively. Thus we confirm that the power generation mix from the $8^{th}$ basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand compared to the $7^{th}$ plan increases social costs of generation, which include environmental external costs.

The Sensitivity Comparison of Each Risk Factors Analysis on Renewable Energy and Other Generating Technologies (신재생 에너지와 기존 발전기술과의 투자리스크 요인별 민감도 비교)

  • Koh, Kyung-Ho;Park, Se-Ik
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.10-17
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    • 2011
  • Recently, electricity industry is facing high market uncertainty which has ever had and which increase risks in power market. In this study, we analyze risk factors such as discount rates, initial investment (overnight cost), plant factor, fuel cost, carbon price, etc, for the perspective of investor. For the analysis of risk factors, we used LCOE method. The results of this study show that renewable energy is more affected by plant factor and overnight cost than other risk factors. First, Renewable energy has higher proportion of overnight cost in the total investment than that of other technologies. Second, renewable energy is free of fuel cost and carbon price so plant factor is the most important factor, in other words, competitiveness of renewable energy depends on plant factor. Furthermore, we conducted economic feasibility of wind power and PV in domestic case study. The minimum requirement condition to get profitability is that plant factor 15% and overnight cost \6,000,000/kW and 26%, \2,200,000/kW for PV and Wind Power, respectively.

Design Criteria Derivation of Supercritical Carbon Dioxide Power Cycle based on Levelized Cost of Electricity(LCOE) (전력단가추정기반 초임계 이산화탄소 발전 시스템 최적 설계 인자 도출)

  • Park, Sungho;Cha, Jaemin;Kim, Joonyoung;Shin, Junguk;Yeom, Choongsub
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.441-447
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    • 2017
  • The economic analysis for the power plant developed in the conceptual design phase is becoming more important and, research on process optimization for process development that meets the target economic is actively carried out. In the filed of power generation systems, economic assessment methods to predict the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) has been widely applied for comparing economic effect quantitatively. In this paper, the platform that design criteria of key component required to optimize economic of power cycle can be calculated reversely was established roughly and design criteria of the key equipment (Compressor, turbine, heat exchanger) required to meet the target LCOE (the LCOE of supercritical steam Rankine cycle) was derived when the supercritical $CO_2$ power cycle is applied to the coal-fired power plant.

Comparison of LCOE of the Southwest Offshore Wind Farm According to Types and Construction Methods of Supporting Structures (해상풍력 지지구조물 형식 및 시공 방법에 따른 서남해 해상풍력실증단지의 균등화발전비용 비교)

  • SeoHo Yoon;Sun Bin Kim;Gil Lim Yoon;Jin-Hak Yi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2023
  • In order to understand the economic feasibility of an offshore wind farm, this paper analyzed the differences in LCOE (levelized cost of energy) according to the support type and construction method of the substructure in terms of LCOE and sensitivity analysis was conducted according to the main components of LCOE. As for the site to be studied, the Southwest Offshore Wind Farm was selected, and the capital expenditures were calculated according to the size of the offshore wind farm and the installation unit. As a result of the sensitivity analysis, major components showed high sensitivity to availability, turbine related cost, weighted average cost of capital and balance of system related cost. Moreover, the post-piling jacket method, which was representatively applied to the substructure of the offshore wind farm in Korea, was selected as a basic plan to calculate the capital expenditures, and then the capital expenditures of the pre-piling jacket method and the tripod method were calculated and compared. As a result of analyzing the LCOE, it was confirmed that the pre-piling jacket method of the supporting structure lowers the LCOE and improves economic feasibility as the installation number of turbines increases.

Evaluation Study of LCOE for 8 MW Offshore Floating Wind Turbine in Ulsan Region (울산 앞바다 8 MW급 부유식 해상풍력터빈의 LCOE 연구 )

  • Dong Hoon Lee;Hee Chang Lim
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.5-13
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    • 2023
  • The commercialization has been of great importance to the clean energy research sector for investing the wind farm development, but it would be difficult to reach a social consensus on the need to expand the economic feasibility of renewable energy due to the lack of reliable and continuous information on levelized cost of Energy (LCOE). Regarding this fact, this paper presents the evaluation of LCOE, focusing on Ulsan offshore region targeting to build the first floating offshore wind farm. Energy production is estimated by the meteorology data combined with the Leanwind Project power curve of an exemplar wind turbine. This work aims to analyze the costs of the Capex depending on site-specific variables. The cost of final LCOE was estimated by using Monte-Carlo method, and it became an average range 297,090 KRW/MWh, a minimum of 251,080 KRW/MWh, and a maximum of 341,910 KRW/MWh. In the year 2021, the SMP (system marginal price) and 4.5 REC (renewable energy certificate) can be paid if 1 MWh of electricity is generated by renewable energy. Considering current SMP and REC price, the floating platform industry, which can earn around 502,000 KRW/MWh, can be finally estimated highly competitive in the Korean market.

Performance and Economic Analysis of Domestic Supercritical Coal-Fired Power Plant with Post-Combustion CO2 Capture Process (국내 초임계 석탄화력발전소에 연소 후 CO2 포집공정 설치 시 성능 및 경제성 평가)

  • Lee, Ji-Hyun;Kwak, No-Sang;Lee, In-Young;Jang, Kyung-Ryoung;Shim, Jae-Goo
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.365-370
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    • 2012
  • In this study, Economic analysis of supercritical coal-fired power plant with $CO_2$ capture process was performed. For this purpose, chemical absorption method using amine solvent, which is commercially available and most suitable for existing thermal power plant, was studied. For the evaluation of the economic analysis of coal-fired power plant with post-combustion $CO_2$ capture process in Korea, energy penalty after $CO_2$ capture was calculated using the power equivalent factor suggested by Bolland et al. And the overnight cost of power plant (or cost of plant construction) and the operation cost reported by the IEA (International Energy Agency) were used. Based on chemical absorption method using a amine solvent and 3.31 GJ/$tonCO_2$ as a regeneration energy in the stripper, the net power efficiency was reduced from 41.0% (without $CO_2$ capture) to 31.6% (with $CO_2$ capture) and the levelized cost of electricity was increased from 45.5 USD/MWh (Reference case, without $CO_2$ capture) to 73.9 USD/MWh (With $CO_2$ capture) and the cost of $CO_2$ avoided was estimated as 41.3 USD/$tonCO_2$.