• Title/Summary/Keyword: 구조적 실업

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주택경기전망

  • 한국주택협회
    • 주택과사람들
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    • s.168
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    • pp.46-58
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    • 2004
  • >>> 시장여건 분석 $\blacktriangleright$ 주택수급 상황 $\cdot$ 신규입주물량은 46만호로 올해보다 크게 감소하나 아파트입주물량은 32만호로 증가. 특히, 주거용 오피스텔 입주가 본격화되면서 전체적으로 공급과잉구조로 전환 $\cdot$ 가수요는 물론 실수요도 위축되면서 미분양 증가, 입주후 공가가 주요이슈로 대두 $\blacktriangleright$주택정책 여건 $\cdot$양도세,재산세 중과, 주택거래신고제, 종합부동산세 등 10.29종합대책의 후속조치가 본격화되고, 토지거래허가대상 확대 및 개발이익환수 등 2차 대책 시행가능성 상존 $\cdot$ 분양원가 공개, 후분양제 도입, 신행정수도 이전계획의 향방에 따른 불안요인도 내재 $\blacktriangleright$거시경제 전망 $\cdot$ 경기회복으로 금리가 상승세로 돌아설 경우 투자수요 위축 불가피 $\cdot$ 경제성장률이 $5\%$대로 개선되고 시중유동성도 풍부하나, 가계부실과 실업 증가로 수요증가효과는 제한적 >>> 향후 시장전망 $\cdot$ 저금리기조와 각종 개발호재에 따른 시장불안요인은 상존하나 정부의 강력한 투기억제 의지를 감안할 때 단기 조정 후 추가 하락하는 전형적인 경기후퇴국면에 진입할 전망 $\cdot$매매가격은 서울아파트가격이 크게 하락하면서 전국평균-$2\%$ 내외의 하락률을 보이고, 전세가격도 국지적 불안 가능성은 있으나 $-1\%$ 내외의 하향안정세가 이얼질 전망. 분양시장은 청약률 둔화와 미분양 증가의 침제양상이 이어지면서 주택건설실적도 각종 사업여건 악화로 50만호 안팎에 머물 것으로 예상. 지가상상률은 투기대책과 주택시장 위축으로 올해보다는 소폭 낮아지나 각종 개발 호재에 힘입어 개발예정지역을 중심으로 $3\%$ 내외의 높은 상승세가 지속될 전망

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A Timeseries Study on the Determinants Behind the Changes of Korean Welfare State (한국 복지국가 지출변화 결정요인 분석)

  • Ahn, Sang-hoon;Baek, Seung-ho
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • no.37
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    • pp.117-144
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    • 2008
  • This is a timeseries study on the riving forces behind the changes of Korean welfare state. There are a few previous studies on the determinants of korean welfare state. These previous studies have some limitations in terms of reliability of the data source and validity of the statistical method used. Using the Comparative Social Policy Data-set(CSPD), we try to overcome the limitation of these previous studies. And adapting the time series regression, we examine the hypotheses about the changes of korean welfare state. In this study, four dependent variables are examined: the ratio of public social welfare expenditure to the GDP(WELGDP), the ratio of public social welfare expenditure to the government budget(WELGOV), the ratio of social expenditure to the GDP(SOCX), social welfare expenditure per capita. And independent variables were selected based on the theoretical background on the changes of welfare state. The results of this study as follows: First, the variables based on structural functionalism (industrialization) are the major driving forces behind the changes of korean welfare state since 1960s. Second, the effect of unemployment variable may be reasonably interpreted as reflecting the residual characteristics of korean welfare state. Third, the politics of the left based on power resource theory should be restrictedly interpreted. Ultimately, korean welfare state is still at rudimentary stage where the theory of industrialization is well applied as a driving forces behind the changes of welfare state.

Analysis of Determinants of Employment Retention Rate (고용유지율 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Sikyoon
    • Korean Journal of Labor Studies
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.169-193
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzed the determinants that affect employment retention rate in order to diagnose dynamic employment stability in Korea. For this analysis, we constructed multi-level hierarchical data linking Workplace panel survey data and employment insurance job history data. And the determinants were analyzed using a multi-level analysis model suitable for these data. As result of the analysis, it is estimated that the employment stability is very low in Korea due to the widespread existence of the marginal sectors with low wage level and high level of nonstandard employment. In addition, the results of this analysis show that employment structure of Korea occupies considerable area of short-term employment where employment and unemployment are repeated, and overall employment stability is weak. This fact is likely to be a limiting factor for continued growth, as there is limited opportunity for skill development and skills formation at the corporate and individual levels. According to the results of this analysis, it is required to improve the quality of the employment structure for continuous growth and skill formation.

Occupational Mobility Patterns and Determinants among Youth Wage Workers in the Local Labor Market, Korea (지역노동시장 수준에서 청년층 임금근로자의 직업이동 패턴과 영향요인 분석)

  • Changhyun Song;Up Lim
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 2023
  • This study investigates the occupational mobility patterns of young wage employees at the local level of the labor market and empirically examines the interplay between worker-level and local labor market-level determinants between 2010 and 2020. The 4th to 14th waves of the Youth Panel 2007 were integrated with the Korea Network for Occupations and Workers and the Local Area Labor Force Survey for estimation using hierarchical linear model. Our results indicate that Gross Regional Domestic Product per capita is key determinant of occupational upward mobility. Also, Estimates of employment size, population density, and the unemployment rate of local labor market have different effects depending on the education level and occupational location of youth workers, suggesting that the effects of structural factors of local labor market may not be distributed equally among all youth wage workers. The findings have policy implications regarding the recent rise in inequality and polarization in local labor markets.

A Cohort Study of Mental, Physical and Behavioral Impacts of Early(at Age 55) Compulsory Retirement in Korea (조기 정년퇴직자의 정신. 육체. 행위적 경향연구)

  • Duk-Sung Kim;Sae-Kwon Kong;Kong-Kyun Ro
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.204-229
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    • 1988
  • This paper documents and discusses trends and differentials in youth's participation in the labor force and employment. Youth in this study is defined asthe young aged 15-29. Youth passes through a series of life-course transitions,which include school completion own family formation(marriage and childbirth) .mandatory service in the army (by males) , and their economic activities are affectedby those life-course events. Accordingly we show how and to what extent youth'slabor force participation and employment varies with age and how the age patternhas changed over time.Throughout the 1980's and 1990's, youth's labor force participation showeddifferent trends by age group Labor fDrce participation rate of the 15-19 agedsteeply decreased, while that of the 25-29 steadily increased during the twodecades, the rate fsr the 20-24 aged showing not much variation. The former is dueto the increased rate of school enrollment among the age group, while the lattercould be attributed, in part, to the young women s increased and more steadyparticipation in the labor force over time.While labor force participation could be considered as a result of one's choicesand preferences, employment opportunities are more or less restricted by labormarket structure and institutions . This study documents how the structuralconstraints have interacted with individual and group attributes to differentiateemployment opportunities between individuals (educational background) and groups(especially sex diffrences) . One of the most salient feature of youth's em[ploymentstructure is the recent high unemployment rate of the college graduates. We discusshow that is related to the'credential society'in which one's educational credentials and it's social status play major role in determining who gets what in terms of job opportunities. Also is discussed the discordance between school and labor marketsupply and demand system, which is apparent in the prolonged oversupply of thecollege graduates, which is due to the consistently high rate of college entranceobserved since the early 1980's. Theoretically the job market for college graduates isviewed not as the'neoclassical'wage competition market but as job competition market in which one's (good) job opportunity is determined by one s position in thejob queue, which is in turn heavily dependent on from which college one get shis/her college degree as well as one's sex.

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Fun Labor and User Identity of Virtual Worlds (가상세계의 재미노동과 사용자 정체성)

  • Lyou, Chul-Gyun;Shin, Sae-Mi
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.7 no.8
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    • pp.182-190
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    • 2007
  • Virtual world is the 3D graphical interactive environment that networked by electronic communications. Virtual Worlds offered flow experience for a long time to their users. They blur the boundaries of work and play, so bring out the concept of Fun Labor. If we can accept the principle of equivalence between Fun Labor and Real Labor, the Fun Labor may be one of the solutions of the large unemployment problem in the information society. And the Fun Labor is the new type of labor that corresponds the subjectivity of users who want interesting experience as much as they spend money and times. This situation means that the users of Virtual worlds are structuring the identities as the Residents who act the Fun Labor. It'll be very important to examine the social effects of this situation.

Effect of University Students' Perceived Organizational Support and Employment Preparation Activities for their Awareness of Good Job (대학생의 조직지원인식과 취업준비활동이 좋은 일자리 인식에 미치는 영향)

  • Bea, Sung-Sook;Chang, Sug-In
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.59-80
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    • 2017
  • Due to the recent deepening youth unemployment aftereffect, government, companies and universities seek a youth unemployment resolution method and jobs creating measures. But there are indications that the Good Job the university students prefer are limited and sudden rise of the youth unemployment rate mirrors the situation in Japan 20 years ago. Thus, based on the preceding research, this research attempted to perform comparative analysis on Korean and Japanese university students' employment preparation activities and perceived organizational support affect their Awareness of Good Job. To achieve the goal, 2013 GOMS 5,380 copies provided by Korea Employment Information Service are used in the case of Korea and total 5,636 copies within 256 questionnaires targeted to Japanese university students are used in the case of Japan. The results of analysis are as follows. The effect relationship between the perception of organizational support and awareness of Good Job showed a positive influence both in Korea and Japan. The effect relationship between employment preparation activities and awareness of Good Job showed a meaningful effect in Korea whereas it showed no effect in Japan. In the relationship between activities of employment preparation and awareness of Good Job, moderating effect of gender and major field of study didn't show any effect either in Korea or Japan. The results of this research are as follows. First, because it is verified that the support of university has positive influence on the university students' awareness of Good Job, it seems that universities need to intensify the support for the students' welfare enhancement, education satisfaction and the structural support system. Second, the gap of attitude of employment preparation activities and awareness of Good Job between Korea and Japan occurred due to the levels of social structure, welfare and wage differences in the two countries. Therefore, if measures of policy to resolve the welfare and wage gaps between conglomerates and smaller enterprises are enacted, the awareness of younger generations to the Good Job will show a corresponding effect.

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The Effect of Government Intership Program on Accumulation of the Human Capital (미취업 이공계 석·박사 지원정책의 경제적 효과분석 : 인적자본 투자수익률을 중심으로)

  • Hong, Sung-Pyo;Lee, Sung-Kyu
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.29-47
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    • 2003
  • The study analyzes how effective the Government Internship Program has been on accumulation of the human capital. The Program was designed under the foreign exchange crisis to support the new, but unemployed graduates with MA or Ph.D degree in the science and the engineering fields. The survey data is collected from the participants in the Program. The Tobit model is estimated to find the economic effects of the Program in terms of the rate of return of investment in the human capitals of the intern researchers. Considering that the Program is tentative and that the human capitals of the participants are easily obsolescent, the rate of return is observed to be substantially large. These results imply that the Internship Program has been successful in terms of providing not only the researchers with the opportunity to accumulate the human capital by means of the on-the-job-training, but also the institutes or the firms with the opportunity to utilize the high-quality researchers at the low cost.

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The Study on New Poverty and Change of Poverty Policy in Korea (한국의 신빈곤현상과 탈빈곤정책에 관한 연구: 근로빈곤층(the working poor)의 실태를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Young-Lan
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.41-70
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    • 2005
  • The object of the study is to examine the change of social-economic structure and poverty-shape to escape poverty. In Korea, the working poor have been increased by flexibility and division of labor market since the economic crisis in 1997, and are faced with hard conditions due to the vulnerable welfare system. Especially the workers who engage in irregular jobs were increased by restructure of labor market. Besides they are in unstable employment terms such as low payment, low-skill and exclusion from welfare-benefit. Many small independent businessmen are also in danger of poverty for enterprises trend to move abroad by globalization. Poverty policy in our country was focused on the absolute poor class that has relation with old age, unemployment, disable, disease etc, so they were the object of welfare policy. The poverties, however, are increasing rapidly after the economic crisis, and they work so hard but are still poor, that is, participation in labor market doesn't become an element to escape poverty. Thus the emergence of new poverties whose core consists of the working poor becomes to need new poverty policy. The study is to survey change of their economic conditions, their welfare conditions, their experiences and responses of social dangers after the economic crisis, then to explore the policy to escape poverty. As the result of the study, it shows that the working poor experienced many kinds of social dangers like unemployment, decrease of income etc. In their welfare conditions as their responses to the social dangers, the benefit of social insurance, enterprise welfare like legal retirement pay and paid leave and private welfare such as private pension and insurance are low. The working poor are faced with social dangers, moreover, they don't have skill or education for adapting themselves to information society. The study says that it needs variable policies for the working poor to escape poverty, and suggests payment & tax policies as stable income policy, occupational discipline and skill-education for promoting the quality of employment, moreover, social insurance as expansion of social welfare policy and housing & education policies whose objects are the working poor.

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University Student's Beliefs, Attitudes and Intention with Regard to Applying for Jobs in SME (중소기업 취업에 관한 대학생들의 신념, 태도 및 취업의도에 관한 연구)

  • Moon, Sun-Jung
    • Korean small business review
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.57-76
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    • 2017
  • While the unemployment rate is rising rapidly due to recent economic recession at home and abroad, university students' reluctance to apply for jobs in Small and Medium Enterprises (SME's) causes instability in manpower supply and demand and social unrest. To provide insights for solving the problem, this study explores how beliefs and attitudes of university students influence their intention to apply for jobs in SME's using Theory of Planned Behavior proposed by Icek Ajzen. This study followed the 2-stage survey methodology suggested by Ajzen. In the first stage of pilot study, a small sample of university students was used to illicit readily accessible behavioral outcomes, normative referents, and control factors. In the second stage of main study, the standard questionnaire was designed and administered and data were collected and analysed using the PLS Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) technique. PLS-SEM was used instead of Covariance Based (CB)- SEM considering the exploratory nature of this study. In overall, the results showed that TPB is very effective in explaining and predicting the university student's intention to apply for jobs in SEM's. Gender turned out to be a significant moderator variable in the relations between intention and its influence factors. Student's scholastic performance showed a negative correlation with intention. More research efforts need to be exerted to better understand university student's job seeking behavior.