• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교통사고 예측모형

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Suggestion of Installation Criteria on Intersection Notification Divice (교차로 알림이 설치기준 제시에 관한 연구)

  • Jin, Tae-Hee;Kwon, Sung-Dae;Oh, Seok-Jin;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2019
  • Traffic Safety and efficient Road Traffic Policy of Traffic management came into effect over the certain size of the road like main road. Comparatively, Safety for Living street is deteriorated. Especially, Vehicle are usually priority to the life-zone street, even though Safety for the Passengers are essential to the life-zone street in the residential area. Improvement for the Living street has not been achieved In this study, To suggest Intersection Notifications standard of installation in Living Street, We execute on-site survey in priority to Gwangju Metropolitan City. Furthermore, After We suggest experimental value for the Intersection Notifications' standard of installation Prediction model in the Living street, Intersection Notifications compare & veritfy experimental value to the installation point's value to suggest the standard of installation in the living street. As a result, We can prevent frequent traffic accident in the Living Street. Furthermore, We are judged by installation of intersection Notifications considering stability and convenience to the passengers who are using the living street.

Elderly Driver-involved Crash Analysis and Crash Data Policy (기계학습을 활용한 고령운전자 교통사고 분석 및 교통사고 데이터 정책 제언)

  • Kim, Seunghoon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.90-102
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    • 2022
  • Currently, in our society with a substantial and increasing fraction of the elderly population, transport safety for elderly drivers is becoming the center of attention. However, deficient data on vehicle crashes in South Korea limits the growth of traffic accident research pertaining to the country. So, we complemented South Korean vehicle crash data by examining USA vehicle crash data, especially the data of Ohio State, and analyzing the influential factors of elderly driver-involved crashes of the State. Subsequently, we suggested a way of improving the South Korean dataset. Notably, our study showed that the influential factors were vehicle speed, posted speed, and following other vehicles too close and provided them in the South Korean dataset.

Development of Freeway Incident Duration Prediction Models (고속도로 돌발상황 지속시간 예측모형 개발)

  • 신치현;김정훈
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 2002
  • Incident duration prediction is one of the most important steps of the overall incident management process. An accurate and reliable estimate of the incident duration can be the main difference between an effective incident management operation and an unacceptable one since, without the knowledge of such time durations, traffic impact can not be estimated or calculated. This research presents several multiple linear regression models for incident duration prediction using data consisting of 384 incident cases. The main source of various incident cases was the Traffic Incident Reports filled out by the Motorist Assistant Units of the Korea Highway Corporation. The models were proposed separately according to the time of day(daytime vs. nighttime) and the fatality/injury incurred (fatality/injury vs. property damage only). Two models using an integrated dataset, one with an intercept and the other without it, were also calibrated and proposed for the generality of model application. Some findings are as follows ; ?Variables such as vehicle turnover, load spills, the number of heavy vehicles involved and the number of blocked lanes were found to significantly affect incident duration times. ?Models, however, tend to overestimate the duration times when a dummy variable, load spill, is used. It was simply because several of load spill incidents had excessively long clearance times. The precision was improved when load spills were further categorized into "small spills" and "large spills" based on the size of vehicles involved. ?Variables such as the number of vehicles involved and the number of blocked lanes found not significant when a regression model was calibrated with an intercept. whereas excluding the intercept from the model structure signifies those variables in a statistical sense.

A GIS Based Technique for Analyzing Traffic Accidents (GIS를 이용한 교통사고의 분석 기법 개발)

  • Choi, Kee-Choo;Park, In-Chol;Oh, Sei-Chang
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.6 no.1 s.11
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    • pp.35-51
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    • 1998
  • This article aims at presenting a new framework for traffic accident analysis by proposing a new methodology for the management of the accident data and by establishing the relationship between accidents and roadway characteristics within it For the first issue, authors introduced geographic information system (GIS) into the analysis framework of the accident data since it is believed that analysis based on GIS seems to provide more effective information in reducing accidents. Point-based, line-based, and polygon (grid)-based approaches were set of along with concrete examples. Especially, the location-based scores such as localization, specialization coefficients, and Tress score have been added to identify the intensity of certain accident types within study area or grids. The second issue addressed the equation formulation of accident and fatality numbers with roadway characteristics like number of intersections and road length in a grid with a sense that (1) accidents on roadways are the function of the roadway physical characteristics rather than the socio-economical secondary data (2) the equation can be applied to the any 'suggested' area, not just region or nation, and (3) the accident forecasting model should emphasize the accident location itself more than any other factors. Some equations based on those assumption have been derived along with some future research agenda.

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Green Score : Developing a Measurement Model for Sustainable Pedestrian-Friendly Environment (그린스코어 : 지속가능 친보행 환경을 위한 측정 모형 개발)

  • Joo, Young-Jin;Lee, Soo-Il;Ha, Eun-Ji;Jun, Chul-Min
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.147-148
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    • 2010
  • 최근 타 교통수단으로 인해 발생하는 교통사고나 환경오염 등의 문제들을 보완하는 녹색 교통수단의 하나로써 보행교통에 대한 관심과 연구가 활발하게 증가되고 있다. 하지만 차량교통에 관한 연구에 비해 보행 교통에 관한 연구는 미미하며, 특히 우리나라 여건에 맞는 보행 환경의 서비스 수준과 보행 안전도 등에 대한 객관적 평가 모형의 개발이 필요한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 도시 내 보행 환경 요소를 정량적으로 계산하고 측정할 수 있는 평가 지표인 그린 스코어(Green Score)를 개발하고자 하였다. 본 논문에서 제시한 그린 스코어 측정 모형은 실제 물리적인 보행공간을 기반으로 가상의 시스템에 적용되어 보행 이동 패턴의 가시화, 보행 환경의 쾌적성과 편의성 평가 예측에 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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An Economic Approach for Improvement of Radius for Hazarouds Road (위험도로 곡선반경 개선의 경제적 접근에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Tae-Jun;Kim, Jeong-Hyun;Yoon, Pan;Park, Je-Jin;Kim, Young-Woon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2003
  • The Government presented improvement plans such as "Traffic Accident Frequent Point" and "Hazardous Roads" to reduce traffic accidents on the increase after 1980s. In case of the hazardous roads, they are expressed by grades which are marked by geometric elements such as width, radius, grade. sight distance. and other environmental factors. As each business for improving roads goes by only focusing on improvement of geometric elements, excessive expense can be invested too much nowadays causing economical waste. Therefore, as improvement plans approached by economic access are needed, this paper shows the cost-effective improvement of the business to keep safety related to traffic accident and economical waste. The hazardous roads which authorized by Gwang-ju National Road Preservation Office of Construction and Transportation Ministry in 1995 for business for improvement of roads, were investigated before 1999. First of all, estimating traffic accident models are presented by using existed data statistically. The models help to maximize traffic accident decrease through control of the presented factor. Secondly, optimum construction cost of improvement is presented to prevent overcapitalization. However, this paper is limited because it was difficult to sort the data with various areas and to approach various ways.

Development and validation of Accident Modification Factors of Two-Lane Rural Roadways (지방부 2차로 도로의 사고예측계수 개발 및 검증)

  • Kim, Eung-Cheol;Choe, Eun-Jin;Lee, Dong-Min;Kim, Do-Hun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.131-143
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    • 2010
  • This study has aimed to develop accident modification factor(AMF) for rural two-lane roadway segments. Accident Modification Factor is a coefficient to assess roadway safety as reflecting characteristics of homogeneous roadway. It estimates accident frequency of roadway segments with developed base model and exposure. We found on items of such factors as crosswalk, driveway density, topography characteristic, land use and median through statistical models and literature review. To develop accident modification factors, we used statistical model methods and analyses of applicability and expert judgement method were practiced to validate it. Although expert judgement for land use item was questionable, most items were rated acceptable. Result of comparative analysis revealed crash frequencies of IHSDM and KHSEM were most similar with actual. However, accident distribution of KHSEM was more proper than IHSDM. Also overall estimated values of RSDS were found to be overestimated.

A Study on Application Standard of At-grade Intersection Considering Both Delay and Accident (지체와 사고를 고려한 평면교차로 적용기준에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Je Jin;Jung, Hyung Mo;Ha, Tae Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.3D
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    • pp.295-306
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    • 2008
  • The Intersection is inner traffic facilities and the space where the roads are intersected and connected. And also, the Intersection is the decision-making section for drivers to select the route according to the geometric structure and operation method. However decision-making section cause to raise car accidents rate because it imposes a heavy burden on drivers. In that reason, many countries such as Europe use the Roundabouts to reduce the numbers of decision making and collision. In Korea, the kinds of method are just introduced and it is using now but there are no exact standards. Hence, this study suggests the process to evaluate and determine the types of Intersection which are based on the traffic flow (congestion) and traffic safety (accidents). Firstly, this study presents the number of accident at each Intersection which is depended on the traffic volume. Secondly, this study calculates and analysis the accident at signalized Intersection, non-signalized Intersection and Roundabout by TSIS-NETSIM program. Thirdly, this study concludes the best suitable Intersection type through the materials which are mentioned before.

A Study on The New Level of Service for Rural Two-Lane Highways (지방부 2차로도로의 새로운 서비스수준 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Je-Jin;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2008
  • Two-Lane Highway of Korea is important, Because it has the largeest portion of all roads of Korea. But it has only one lane for one direction. So, If Delays are happened by low-speed vehicles, high-speed vehicles should over-take through the other side of the road. This over-takings can generate the high possibility of traffic accidents and the severity of traffic accidents by over-takings is very high. Because it generates a head-on collision. But the level of Service that indicates the operation states of Two-Lane Highway is defined as a conception that explains the operation conditions of traffic safety etc. Whencalculating the Level of service. It is considered by only delays. So, in this paper, first, this author wants to present the calculation of delay-time by Total-Delay Rate. Second, by multiplying this delay-time by the costs of delays wants to present the method of calulates the total delay costs. Third, to consider the traffic accidents, After predicting the number of traffic accidents, As multipling this by the average of costs of traffic accidents. want to present the method to calculate Total traffic accidents costs. Forth, present the operation costs.