• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.60-66
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• 2003

우리 생활 주변에 도로들이 일년 내내 파헤쳐 굴착되고 있어 교통도보 등 위험을 초래하고 특히 도심교통 유발요인이 되고 있음을 매체를 통해 접하게 된다. 이들 중 대부분은 배관공사 즉 가스배관, 수도배관, 하수도배관, 송유관 등 주요기반 공사에 해당된다. 역시 사고발생이 적지 않음을 알 수 있다.(중략)

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.37 no.1
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• pp.111-117
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• 2017

The purpose of forecasting the traffic accident is to reduce the traffic accident. Therefore, the goal of this study is to provide severity of the accident by Forecasting of Probability of Accident. In Korea, accident data are distributed to the public via internet that includes numbers of accident and fatality as well. And crude level of accident severity in accordance with weather information for metropolitan city level are available by weekly. However, It can not reflect personal needs at specific origin of the travel for a certain traveller. This study aims to consider 68 major intersections with precipitation data, and eventually introduces link based accident severity. In estimating the accident severity both dynamic data such as drivers' characteristics, driving conditions and static data such as geometry of road, intersection characteristics are considered. Also, we identifies accident severity according to the accident type - 'vehicle to vehicle,' 'vehicle to person.' Finally, the outcomes of this study suggests taylor-made accident severity information for a specific traveller for a certain route.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.2 s.95
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• pp.95-105
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• 2007

Speeding and drunken driving make drivers fail to detect hazards and cope with various driving situations. These behaviors also raise the possibility of being involved in traffic accidents and tend to increase the number of fatalities. The authors compared the driving behavior determinants of a rockless drivers group, consisting of individuals who have committed traffic accidents or offended regulations through drunken driving, with a normal drivers group. In the results, the reckless drivers group showed high scores of 'speeding' and 'drunken driving', and they also stated that they had more experiences of speeding, drunken driving and traffic accidents. In the path analysis study, it was found that the impacts of the rockless drivers group's 'risk sensitivity' and 'situational adaptability' on traffic accidents were stronger than those of normal drivers. This means 'risk sensitivity' and 'situational adaptability' can explain the origins of traffic accidents better in the reckless drivers group than accidents of the normal drivers group.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.21 no.6
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• pp.1081-1090
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• 2010

Most nations including Korean government make a great endeavor to realize low-carbon and green-growth world. We also work hard to expand bicycle facilities and bicycle road in order to increase bicycle transportation rate. Nowadays number of cyclists is increasing but fortunately, bicycle accidents also increase rapidly. Most data of bicycle accidents published by National Police Agency annually are represented as frequencies in two dimensional contingency tables. In this work, risk rates and characteristics of bicycle accidents are analyzed by using concepts of the probability and conditional probability. Especially with numbers of estimated cyclists and registered cars, risk rates of various kinds of bicycle accidents are obtained. Under the assumption of the conditional independence, probability of bicycle accident occurred at realistic situations could be estimated. Furthermore we discuss to reduce bicycle accidents with these results obtained in this work.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.46-52
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• 2017

During the transportation of chemicals, quantitative risk assessment for chemical leakage accidents caused by traffic accidents was carried out and the appropriateness of chemical transportation route was evaluated. The quantitative risk assessment method applied to the chemical leakage accidents that may occur in the chemical handling equipments installed in the workplace was presented and applied to the chemical transportation. By analyzing the number of traffic accidents in transportation vehicles, the probability of chemical leakage accidents during chemical transportation was predicted and applied to the quantitative risk assessment of chlorine gas leakage accidents that may occur when transporting liquified chlorine bombe using vehicles. As a result, the most appropriate route of transporting the liquefied chlorine bombe was suggested on the basis of risk.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2011.05a
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• pp.619-620
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• 2011

When we choose a car, must first choose the performance, design, price, reliability, ete. of the car regardless of the probability of occurrence of traffic accidents. This paper proposes the color of car that accident occurs in color from the highest probability to lowest probability. This is talking about the color difference of advancing color and receding color. The color of the accident-prone is many receding color that actually seem to be far more. Advanced color that seem to be closer than the actual color find out that accident is less.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 2000.04a
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• pp.597-600
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• 2000

계속적인 증가 추세를 보이고 있는 교통량으로 인해 환경 문제뿐 아니라 교통사고로 인한 사상자 및 물적피해가 상당량으로 집계되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 데이터융합 및 앙상블 클러스터링방법을 이용한 교통사고 심각도 분류분석방법을 제안함으로서 교통사고예방에 기여하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 신경망과 Decision-Tree기법을 이용하여 얻은 물적피해와 신체상해가 발생할 확률을 융합하는 전형적인 데이터 융합기법(템스터-쉐퍼, 베이지안 방법, 로지스틱융합방법)을 사용하였다. 또한, 분류정확도를 향상시키고자 Bootstrap 재추출 방법을 이용해 얻어진 여러 개의 분류예측 결과 중 다수의 분류결과를 선택하는 앙상블 (arcing, bagging)기법을 적용하였다. 더불어, 본 연구에서는 클러스터링 방법을 제시하고, 이 방법이 기존의 융합기법, 앙상블기법과 비교한 결과, 분류예측면에서 정확도가 향상됨을 보였다.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.10 no.2 s.21
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• pp.29-34
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• 2004

The marine traffic congestion has increased due to the expansion of vessel traffic volume in Korean coastal waterway these days. Heavy traffic could bring serious marine casualties which cause the loss of human lives, properties and marine pollution in coastal area. In this paper, the probability analysis of marine casualties in Korean coast. To achieve this aim, clears up the cause of accident and examines closely the mutual relations among marine casualties, weather condition, and marine traffic volume. These casualties are classified into several patterns or the point of view of ship's size, ship's type and ship's age and its characteristics of each pattern are described In detail.

• Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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• 2009.04a
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• pp.475-478
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• 2009

안개가 교통사고를 유발시키는 원인을 살펴보면 운전자의 시거와 밀접한 관련이 있다. 짙은 안개가 발생하게 되면 돌발상황이 발생하였을 때 도로를 주행하던 차량이 안전하게 정지하기 위해서 필요한 최소 정지거리가 증가하게 되나 안개로 인한 시정이 나빠지게 되어서 사고발생확률이 높은 것이다. 또한 안전한 시거가 확보되지 않기 때문에 단독사고 발생 후 뒤따르던 차량이 전방을 확인하지 못한 상황에서 연쇄 충돌하게 되어 사고가 대형화된다. 이에 본 연구에서는 IT기술인 RFID와 USN을 이용하여 안개로 인한 시정거리에 따라 도로에 있는 과속카메라가 도로주행 한계속도를 자기 스스로 판단하여 자동조절하게 만들고 변경된 한계속도를 그 도로를 이용하는 차량운전자 휴대폰에 문자로 전송해주고 도로전광판에서도 정확하게 주행속도정보를 볼 수 있게 한다. 그리하여 도로주행 한계속도를 어기는 차량에는 범칙금을 부과하게 만든다. 본 연구를 통해 안개에 대한 교통사고의 위험을 줄이고 사회적 경제적으로 이익이 되도록 하기위해 기상상태 변화에 따른 USN 기반의 도로주행 한계속도 지능적 조정 관리시스템을 제안하고자 한다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.135-144
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• 2009

This study estimates the expected number of accidents in Kyungbuk Province to capitalize on experience gained from four years of accident history using the Empirical Bayes (EB) Method. The number of accidents of each site in Kyungbuk Province is recalculated using the Equivalent Property Damage Only (EPDO) method to reflect the severities of the accidents. A cluster analysis is performed to determine similar sites and a unique Safety Performance Function (SPF) is established for each site. The overdispersion parameter is built to correct the difference between the actual number of accidents and the underlying probability distribution. To adjust for varying traffic characteristics of each site, a relative weight is applied and eventually estimates the expected number of accidents. The results show that the highest accident sites are Kimcheon, Youngcheon, and Chilgok, but on the other hand the lowest is Gunwi.