• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교통사고 발생빈도

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A Study on Discriminant.Classification Model of Impact Factors about Understanding of Traffic Accident Causes and Acknowledgement to Decrease Traffic Accidents (교통사고 발생원인 인식과 감소대책 인지 영향요인 판별.분류에 관한 연구)

  • 고상선;배기목;이원규;정헌영
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.143-153
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 교통사고의 발생원인에 대한 인식유형과 감소대책에 대한 인지 유형별 영향요인의 정도를 분석하기 위하여 수량화이론 II류와 CHAID 분석법을 이용하여 분류모델과 판별모델을 구축하였다. 수량화이론 II류에 의한 교통사고 발생원인에 대한 인식 유형별 영향요인 판별모델은 전체 적중률이 78.4%로 매우 높게 나타났다. 편상관계수는 설명변수의 항목 중 학력, 성별, 운전경력 년 수, 소유 차종의 순으로 영향을 미치고 외적 변수인 교통사고 발생원인에 대한 유형에서는 기여 정도가 교통단속 부재 > 교통체계 미비 > 승용차 과다 사용 >잘못된 의식 때문의 순으로 나타났다. 교통사고 감소 대책에 대한 인지유형별 영향요인 판별모델은 전체 적중률이 59.9%로 높게 나타났으며, 편상관 계수는 학력, 성별, 운전경력 연수, 연령의 순으로 영향을 미치고 있고, 외적 변수인 교통사고 감소 대책에 대한 유형에서는 기여 정도가 교통단속 강화 > 대중교통수단 이용 유도 > 교통체계 개선 > 의식 개혁의 순으로 나타났다. 또한 CHAID 분석법에 의한 교통사고 발생원인에 대한 인식 유형별 영향요인 분류모델에 있어서는 예측변수로 학력, 연령, 성별, 통행수단의 네 가지 변수가, 교통사고의 감소 대책에 대한인지 유형별 영향요인 분류모델에 있어서는 학력, 운전경력 연수, 성별 그리고 통행수단의 네 가지 변수가 카이제곱 통계량 이 5%의 유의수준에서 유의한 것으로 판단되었다. 교통사고 발생원인 인식과 감소 대책의 인지 유형에 대한 빈도분석과 교차분석은 의식과 관련한 유형이 가장 높게 나타났으나 판별.분류모델에서는 교통단속과 관련한 유형이 기여 정도가 높고 의식 관련 유형이 상대적으로 낮게 나타나는 등 반대양상을 보이고 있어 심리적으로 내재되어 있고 표면에 잘 드러나지 않았던 의식 수준의 낮음이 분류모델을 통해서 명확하게 드러났다.

A Comparative Analysis on Accident Occurrences in Korea and Japan (한일 사고 발생 실태 비교 분석)

  • Lee Eui-Pyeong
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.19 no.3 s.59
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2005
  • June 1, 2004, National Emergency Management Agency was established, and one of its aims is to reduce the percentage of accident occurrence and damage scale to that of developed countries in 10 years. In this paper, Korea is compared with Japan in the view of actual conditions of accident occurrence in order to compare Korea with developed countries. In the case .of Korea, traffic accidents, fire accidents, careless accidents, drowning accidents, climbing accidents occur frequently. Decreasing these accidents is a major target to reduce the accident occurrence. Also, home accidents of babies and elders who are unable to avoid dangers are frequent. Studies focusing on those related accidents are required.

An Analysis of the Problems Related to Resource Mobilization in Disaster Response by Disaster type (재난유형별 재난대응 시 자원동원관련 문제점 분석)

  • Jang, Dae-Won;Kim, Ji-Yeong;Kim, Yon-Soo;Jeon, Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2017.11a
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    • pp.345-346
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    • 2017
  • 본 논문에서는 재난유형별 재난 대응시 재난관리자원 동원과 관련하여 발생한 문제점에 대하여 분석하였다. 재난 발생시 재난확산방지를 위하여 신속한 대응이 중요하나, 재난대응에 대한 문제점 분석이 미흡한 실정이다. 재난대응에 대한 분석을 위하여, 최근 20년(1996~2015년)동안 중앙재난안전대책본부 및 지역재난안전 대책본부가 운영된 사회재난 사례를 수집 분석하였다. 재난사례 중 자원동원관련 정보 확인이 가능한 사회재난에 대하여 재난유형을 분석하고, 발생빈도가 높은 재난유형에 대하여 재난 대응시 자원동원과 관련한 문제점을 분석하였다. 재난유형 분석결과, 화재사고가 34건으로 가장 많이 발생하였으며, 폭발사고가 14건, 교통사고가 10건으로 발생하였다. 재난유형 중 발생 건수가 많았던 화재, 폭발, 교통사고의 재난 대응시 자원과 관련하여 문제점을 분석한 결과, 전체적으로 초기대응 미흡으로 인한 자원동원 소요시간 증가문제가 가장 많이 발생하였으며, 그 다음으로 보유자원 부족으로 인한 문제가 많이 발생하였다.

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A Study of Accident Models for Highway Interchange Ramps (고속도로 연결로의 교통사고 추정모형 연구)

  • Roh, Chang-Gyun;Park, Chong-Seo;Son, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2008
  • Although a good understanding of the relationship between highway traffic accidents and highway geometric features is fundamental in highway design and safety, the relationship is not well understood quantitatively. The overall goal of this paper is to formulate a reliable statistical model fitting to historical highway accident data. The model can be used to estimate the effect of road design elements on safety for the practical purposes of highway design applications. En route to achieving this goal, a number of specific research objectives were accomplished: investigate the major design elements affecting highway safety; review the existing modeling approaches in order to assess the relationship between safety and highway design features; and formulate a statistical model fitting to the accident data in order to estimate the interchange ramp junction accident frequency of rural highways.

The Effects of Circadian Rhythm in Subjective Alertness on the Occurrence of Traffic Accidents (주관적 각성도의 일주기(日週期) 리듬이 교통사고 발생에 미치는 영향)

  • Yu, Bum-Hee;Cho, Doo-Young;Jeong, Do-Un
    • Sleep Medicine and Psychophysiology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.68-75
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    • 1994
  • In order to examine the effects of circadian rhythm in subjective alertness on the occurrence of traffic accidents, the authors investigated the occurrence rate of traffic accidents adjusted to traffic volume in Seoul and the relative rate of fatal accidents versus total traffic accidents in Korea at different times of day in 1991. We analyzed these data in relation with the circadian rhythm in subjective alertness. The results were as follows. Both the occurrence rate of traffic accidents adjusted to traffic volume and the relative rate of fatal accidents versus total traffic accidents were the highest at 3-4 a.m., known as the time period of the lowest subjective alertness. They were negatively correlated with subjective alertness (p<0.05, p<0.001). In conclusion, it is suggested that the circadian rhythm of subjective alertness should have a significant effect on the occurrence of traffic accidents despite many confounding factors such as driving environments.

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A Study on Traffic Accident Characteristics of Freeway Work Zones (고속도로 공사구간에서 발생하는 교통사고 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Tae-Hoon;Park, Je-Jin;Yoon, Pan
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2008
  • In these days, frequency of constructions on e freeway are increasing according as growing of the importance of e road maintenance and the road management. Work zone on the freeway where vehicles pass with high speed needs control method of lane closure and construction equipment. Because there are seldom researches in domestic study about reflecting characteristics of domestic road, sometimes we have applied for foreign cases to our traffic circumstance but it is not proper to apply for standard of other countries in our cases. foreign nation has different country square, condition of road, and level of people mind. Therefore, this study shows traffic accident characteristics in freeway work zones in Korea. At first, this study collected traffic accident data which include for 3 years $2003{\sim}2005$ in the whole freeway in Korea and then divided the data to five parts - level of the accident, type of the construction work, type of the accident, reason of the accident, according to geometric. According to comparing with non-work zones accident, this study found traffic accident characteristics in freeway work zones in Korea and suggested some alternative ideas for safety of work zones.

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Modeling Traffic Accident Characteristics and Severity Related to Drinking-Driving (음주교통사고 영향요인과 심각도 분석을 위한 모형설정)

  • Jang, Taeyoun;Park, Hyunchun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.577-585
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    • 2010
  • Traffic accidents are caused by several factors such as drivers, vehicles, and road environment. It is necessary to investigate and analyze them in advance to prevent similar and repetitive traffic accidents. Especially, the human factor is most significant element and traffic accidents by drinking-driving caused from human factor have become social problem to be paid attention to. The study analyzes traffic accidents resulting from drinking-driving and the effects of driver's attributes and environmental factors on them. The study is composed as two parts. First, the log-linear model is applied to analyze that accidents by drinking or non-drinking driving associate with road geometry, weather condition and personal characteristics. Probability is tested for drinking-driving accidents relative to non-drinking drive accidents. The study analyzes probability differences between genders, between ages, and between kinds of vehicles through odds multipliers. Second, traffic accidents related to drinking are classified into property damage, minor injury, heavy injury, and death according to their severity. Heavy injury is more serious than minor one and death is more serious than heavy injury. The ordinal regression models are established to find effecting factors on traffic accident severity.

Freeway Crash Frequency Model Development Based on the Road Section Segmentation by Using Vehicle Speeds (차량 속도를 이용한 도로 구간분할에 따른 고속도로 사고빈도 모형 개발 연구)

  • Hwang, Gyeong-Seong;Choe, Jae-Seong;Kim, Sang-Yeop;Heo, Tae-Yeong;Jo, Won-Beom;Kim, Yong-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.151-159
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a research result that was performed to develop a more accurate freeway crash prediction model than existing models. While the existing crash models only focus on developing crash relationships associated with highway geometric conditions found on a short section of a crash site, this research applies a different approach considering the upstream highway geometric conditions as well. Theoretically, crashes occur while motorists are in motion, and particularly at freeways vehicle speed at one specific point is very sensitive to upstream geometric conditions. Therefore, this is a reasonable approach. To form the analysis data base, this research gathers the geometric conditions of the West Seaside Freeway 269.3 km and six years crash data ranging 2003-2008 for these freeway sections. As a result, it is found that crashes fit well into Negative Binomial Distribution, and, based on the developed model, total number of crashes is inversely proportional to highway curve length and radius. Contrarily, crash occurrences are proportional to tangent length. This result is different from existing crash study results, and it seems to be resulted from this research assumption that a crash is influenced greatly by upstream geometric conditions. Also, this research provides the expected effects on crash occurrences of the length of downgrade sections, speed camera placements, and the on- and off- ramp presences. It is expected that this research result is useful for doing more reasonable highway designs and safety audit analysis, and applying the same research approach to national roads and other major roads in urban areas is recommended.

Driving Anomaly Pattern Detection System Based on Vehicle Internal Diagnostic Data Analysis (차량 내부 진단 데이터 분석 기반의 주행 이상 패턴 감지 시스템)

  • Tae-jeong Park;Ji-ho Park;Bo-yoon Seo;Jun-ha Shin;Kyung-hwan Choi;Hongseok Yoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2024.01a
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    • pp.299-300
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    • 2024
  • 첨단 기술의 발전과 함께 지능형 운전자 보조 시스템의 성능 및 교통 시스템 체계가 고도화됨에 따라 전반적인 교통사고 발생 건수는 줄어드는 추세지만 대한민국의 교통사고 발생 빈도는 아직 OECD 평균 대비 높은 실정이다. 특히, 2020년 경제 협력 개발 기구(OECD) 통계에 따르면 대한민국의 인구 10만 명당 교통사고 사망자 수는 회원국 36개 중 29위로 매우 높은 축에 속한다. 따라서, 본 논문에서는 교통사고 발생률을 낮추는 데 도움을 줄 수 있는 주행 이상 패턴 감지 시스템을 제안한다. 제안한 방법에서는 실시간 영상 분석을 통해 신호등 및 차선을 인식함과 동시 차량 내부 진단 데이터에 대한 시계열 분석을 기반으로 운전자의 운전 패턴을 분석한 후 평소와 다른 이상 징후를 발견하면 운전자에게 경고 알림을 제공하여 위험한 상황을 회피할 수 있도록 지원한다.

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Analysis on the Driving Safety and Investment Effect using Severity Model of Fatal Traffic Accidents (대형교통사고 심각도 모형에 의한 주행안전성 및 투자효과 분석)

  • Lim, Chang-Sik;Choi, Yang-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we discuss a fatal accident severity model obtained from the analysis of 112 crash sites collected since 2000, and the resulting relationship between fatal accidents and roadway geometry design. From the 720 times computer simulations for improving driving safety, we then reached the following conclusions:. First, the result of cross and frequency-analyses on the car accident sites showed that 43.7% of the accidents occurred on the curved roads, 60.7% on the vertical curve section, 57.2% on the roadways with radius of curvature of 0 to 24m, 83.9% on the roads with superelevation of 0.1 to 2.0% and 49.1% on the one-way 2-lane roads; vehicle types involved are passenger vehicles (33.0%), trucks (20.5%) and buses (14.3%) in order of frequency. The results also show that the superelevation is the most influencing factor for the fatal accidents. Second, employing the Ordered Probit Model (OPM), we developed a severity model for fatal accidents being a function of on various road conditions so as to the damages can be predicted. The proposed model possibly assists the practitioners to predict dangerous roadway segments, and to take appropriate measures in advance. Third, computer simulation runs show that providing adequate superelevation on the segment where a fatal accident occurred could reduce similar fatal accidents by at least 85%. This result indicates that the regulations specified in the Rule for Road Structure and Facility Standard (description and guidelines) should be enhanced to include more specific requirement for providing the superelevation.