• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교통분포 모형식

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Development of Prediction Method for Highway Pavement Condition (포장상태 예측방법 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sang-Wook;Suh, Young-Chan;Chung, Chul-Gi
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.199-208
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    • 2008
  • Prediction the performance of pavement provides proper information to an agency on decision-making process; especially evaluating the pavement performance and prioritizing the work plan. To date, there are a number of approaches to predict the future deterioration of pavements. However, there are some limitation to proper prediction of the pavement service life. In this paper, pavement performance model and pavement condition prediction model are developed in order to improve pavement condition prediction method. The prediction model of pavement condition through the regression analysis of real pavement condition is based on the probability distribution of pavement condition, which set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50%, by condition of the pavement and traffic volume. The pavement prediction model presented from the behavior of individual pavement condition which are set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50% of probability distribution. The performance of the prediction model is evaluated from analyzing the average, standard deviation of HPCI, and the percentage of HPCI which is lower than 3.0 of comparable section. In this paper, we will suggest the more rational method to determine the future pavement conditions, including the probabilistic duration and deterministic modeling methods regarding the impact of traffic volume, age, and the type of the pavement.

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Comparing the Service Coverages of Subways and Buses and Estimating the Walking Distances of Their Users (지하철과 버스의 서비스권역 비교 및 이용자들의 도보거리 추정 - 부산시를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Kyung Whan;Lee, Deok Hwan;Choi, Jong Moon;Oh, Il Sung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.541-552
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    • 2010
  • The light rail transit (LRT) having bus lines as subsystem is being constructed or planned in the suburban area of metropolitans and medium size cities. However, there is difficulty in establishing the service coverage (SC) of the LRT because the LRT is a completely new transit mode in Korea. The purpose of this study is to provide the basic data and techniques to be used for establishing the SC of the future LRT by understanding the SC characteristics of buses and subways and building models to estimate the walking distances of their users. Busan City is selected as the study city and the SC's of buses and subways are surveyed simultaneously. A total of 9 variables for 82 stations are collected and the cluster analysis is conducted about the variables. The station areas are divided to three types of CBD (Central Business District), sub-CBD and regional center based on the analysis. A station in each area is selected as the study station. At the walking distance (WD) analysis for each mode, the 80 percentile WD of the subway is 672 m and that of the bus is 472 m. In comparing the SC's of both modes by the type of station areas, there are not significant differences between the SC's of sub-CBD and regional center except CBD. At analysis of the relationship between the personal attributes and the WD, for subway users the WD of female is longer than that of male and apartment residents use subway more positively than single house residents do. For the models to estimate the walking distances, the simple regression models were built employing the income as independent variable by dividing the stations into CBD abd non-CBD stations.

Numerical analysis of flow characteristics at the bifurcation channel by changing of discharge ratio using TELEMAC-2D (TELEMAC-2D를 적용한 개수로 분류부 유량비 변화에 의한 흐름특성 분석)

  • Jung, Daejin;Jang, Chang-Lae;Jung, Kwansue
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2019
  • This study investigates the flow characteristics, such as velocity distributions, size and location of recirculation zone, longitudinal flow change rates, and bifurcation discharge ratio in the bifurcation channel by TELEMAC-2D, a 2D numerical model. The numerical model is validated by previous experimental results and the numerical results are in relatively good agreement with the experimental results, such as the water surface elevation and velocity distribution in the channels. As the inertial force and moment in the main channel decrease, the bifurcation discharge ratio increases, and the relative high velocity distribution becomes wider and the reverse velocity of the main stream decreases in the branch channel. As the bifurcation discharge ratio increases, the size of the recirculation zone in the branch channel decreases and it can be more clearly calculated by determining the point where the longitudinal froude number $Fr{\approx}0$ as well as drawing the distribution of the streamline distribution.

The analysis of future land use change impacts on runoff characteristics in urbanized watershed using SWAT model (SWAT 모형을 이용한 도시유역 토지이용 변화가 유출특성에 미치는 영향연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Ho;Ha, Rim;Jung, Chung-Gil;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.159-159
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    • 2012
  • 유역의 도시화는 지체시간, 첨두유량 및 총 유출량 등 홍수 유출특성 뿐만 아니라 개발행위에 따른 토사유출특성 변화를 초래하는 등 다양한 문제를 유발하고 있다. 또한 인구증가, 산업발달, 교통량 증가로 인한 화석연료의 소비증가로 대기 중의 이산화탄소의 농도가 급증하여 기후변화에도 큰 영향을 미치고 있다. 이러한 지나친 도시화 진행을 억제하고 웰빙과 건강에 대한 관심 증대에 따라 저탄소 녹색사업의 일환으로 도시 녹지조성 계획이 진행되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 도시하천인 중랑천 ($288km^2$) 유역을 대상으로 도시화 진행에 따른 토지이용 변화가 강우-유출 특성에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 이를 위해, 중랑천 유역의 과거 (1975, 1980, 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000) 토지 이용도로부터 각 항목별 면적변화 추이를 분석한 결과, 17.8%의 도시지역 면적 증가가 나타났다. 미래토지이용 예측을 위하여 CLUE-s (Conversion of Land Use change and its Effects) 모델을 이용하였다. 과거 토지이용 변화 특성을 분석하여 토지피복의 변화와 전이 특성값을 결정하였고, 이를 바탕으로 토지면적 시나리오, 변화 제한지역, 회귀식 결과와 토지이용 변화 특성에 따른 CLUE-s 모델을 이용하여 미래 토지이용변화 (2040, 2080) 모의를 실시하였다. 이러한 토지이용 변화에 따른 유출특성변화 모의를 위해, 물리적 기반의 준분포형 강우-유출 모형인 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 모형을 이용하였다. 모형의 적용성 평가를 위해, 매개변수 민감도 분석에 따른 도시유역 최적의 유출관련 매개변수를 선정하고 중랑교 지점의 일별 유출량자료(2000~2009)를 이용하여 보정 및 검증을 실시하였다. SWAT 모형의 검보정 후, 예측된 미래 토지이용도를 적용하여 과거와 현재, 미래 토지이용변화에 따른 유출특성변화를 비교분석하였다.

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Experimental Study on the Determination of Critical Velocity for the Case of Fire in Long Traffic Tunnels (장대 교통터널 화재시 임계속도 결정에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Yoon Chanhoon;Yoon Sungwook;Yoo Yongho;Kim Jin
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.16 no.1 s.60
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2006
  • In this study, scaled model tests were carried out to decide the optimal critical velocity, to prevent back layering in the case of fire in a long traffic tunnel. Realistic estimates were made for the time required for people to escape ken the tunnel and far the time required by the ventilation operator to increase the system speed to full capacity. The analysis, predicts that the emergency ventilation will start about 240 seconds after the tunnel fire. It was also found that prevention of back layering would occur within 4 minutes after fan operation. To find out optimal critical velocity, a 1/50 scaled model tunnel(diameter : 0.2 m and length : 20 m) based on the Froude similarity technique was constructed. Changing $\beta$ values in the Tetzner's equation, smoke propagation was observed. From the experiment, it was concluded that using a $\beta$ value of 0.5 to prevent back layering successfully allowed time for safe evacuation.