• 제목/요약/키워드: 교통모형

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A Study to Predict the Traffic Accident Severity Level Applying Neural Network at the Signalized Intersections (인공신경망을 적용한 신호교차로 교통사고심각도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jae-Won;Kim, Seong-Ho;Cho, Jun-Han;Kim, Won-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.3 s.74
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2004
  • 교차로 안전성 진단과 관련된 기존의 연구는 교차로 상에서 발생한 사고 자료에 기초하여 교차로 기하구조 요소, 교통량 및 신호운영방법 등과 관련된 요인을 변수로 사용하여 교통사고건수 예측모형 개발에 관한 연구가 대부분이다. 그러나, 분석하고자 하는 대상 교차로의 사고건수 예측모형을 개발하기 위해 필요한 교통사고 자료의 경우 단 기일에 걸쳐 획득되지 않으며 몇 년간의 사고 자료를 요구할 수도 있다. 이러한 자료를 이용하더라도 사고 발생 기간동안 교차로 사고에 영향을 미치는 요인(교차로 운영방법, 기하구조 등)이 변화될 수도 있다는 문제점을 지닌다. 이와 같은 이유로 교차로 안전성을 진단하는데 있어 기존 교통사고 자료는 언제나 절대적인 자료가 될 수 없다. 이에 대한 보완책으로, 3일에서 5일정도의 조사 자료만으로도 안전성 진단이 가능한 상충자료를 이용하여 교차로 안전성 진단을 할 수 있다. 본 연구는 기존사고 자료를 이용하여 사고 발생에 기인하는 여러 변수들을 교통사고심각도와의 상관관계를 분석하고, 상관관계가 높은 변수를 이용하여 신경망 사고심각도 예측모형을 개발하였으며, 모형 검증을 위해 다중회귀사고심각도 예측모형을 개발하여 비교 평가한 결과 신경망 사고심각도 예측모형의 예측력이 우수한 것으로 나타났다. 현장에서 조사된 상충자료를 신경망 사고심각도 예측모형에 적용하여 상충이 사고로 연결 될 경우 사고심각도를 예측하였으며, 예측된 사고심각도에 가중치를 부여하여 대상 교차로 위험우선순위를 결정한 결과 사고비용에 기초한 위험우선순위 결정법과 같은 순위의 결과를 도출하였다.

Signal Optimization Model Considering Traffic Flows in General Traffic Networks (일반적인 네트워크에서의 신호최적화모형 개발 연구)

  • 신언교;김영찬
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 1999
  • Most existing progression bandwidth models maximize the single or multi weighted sum of bandwidths in the both directions to improve traffic mobility on an arterial, but they cannot be applied to general networks. Even though a few models formulating a looped network problem cannot be applied to networks have not loops. Also they have some defects in optimizing phase sequences. Therefore, the objective of this study is to develope a mathematical formulation of the synchronization problem for a general traffic network. The goal is achieved successfully by introducing the signal phasing for each movement and expanding the mixed integer linear programming of MAXBAND. The experiments indicate that the proposed model can formulate the general traffic network problem mere efficiently than any other model. In conclusion, this model may optimize signal time to smooth progression in the general networks.

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Model Specification and Estimation Method for Traveler's Mode Choice Behavior in Pusan Metropolitan Area (부산광역권 교통수단선택모형의 정립과 모수추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ik-Ki;Kim, Kang-Soo;Kim, Hyoung-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.3 s.81
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    • pp.7-19
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    • 2005
  • Mode choice Analysis is essential analysis stage in transportation demand forecasting process. Therefore, methods for calibration and forecasting of mode choice model in aspect of practical view need to be discussed in depth. Since 1980s, choice models, especially Logit model, are spread widely and rapidly over academic area, research institutes and consulting firms in Korea like other developed countries in the world. However, the process of calibration and parameter estimation for practical application was not clearly explained in previous papers and reports. This study tried to explain clearly the calibration process of mode choice step by step and suggested a forecasting mode choice model that can be applicable in real policy analysis by using household survey data of Pusan metropolitan are. The study also suggested a way of estimating attributes which was not observed during the household survey commonly such as travel time and cost of unchosen alternative modes. The study summarized the statistical results of model specification for four different Logit models as a process to upgrade model capability of explanation for real traveler's choice behaviors. By using the analysis results, it also calculated the value of travel time and compared them with the values of other previous studies to test reliability of the estimated model.

Development of Saturation Flow Rate Estimation Models Considering Workzone in the Vicinity of Signalized Intersections (도시부 신호교차로 인근 도로점용공사를 고려한 포화교통류율 산정모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Eo, Hyo-Gyeong;Sin, Chi-Hyeon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to develop mathematical models for estimating saturation flow rates at the stop line of signalized intersection due to Workzones in the vicinity, since the saturation flow rate is the most critical parameter in capacity analysis for signalized intersections. It was found by reference review that saturation flow rates are sensitively influenced by the location of Workzone, the number of lanes, cycle length and effective green time. Extensive microscopic simulation runs were also performed and compared to the those of mathematical models for model verification. Mathematical models were developed based on traffic flow theory and dualizing them by the location of workzones. And then each result produced by changing important parameter values was carefully examined and analyzed. Small but consistent differences in saturation flow rate values between mathematical models and simulations exist. However, the pattern of changes in saturation flow rates depending on each variable was similar.

Estimating O-D Trips Between Sub-divided Smaller Zones Within a Traffic Analysis Zone (대존 세분화에 따른 내부 소존 간의 O-D 통행량 추정 방법)

  • KIM, Jung In;KIM, Ikki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.575-583
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    • 2015
  • The Korea Transport Institute (KOTI) builds the origin and destination(O-D) trip data with relatively smaller zone size such as Eup, Myeon, Dong administration unit districts in metropolitan area. Otherwise, O-D trip data was built by bigger size of traffic analysis zone(TAZ) such as Si, Gun, Gu administration unit districts for rural area. In some cases, it is needed to divide a zone into several sub-zones for rural area in order to analyze travel distribution pattern in detail for a certain highway and rail project. The study suggested a method to estimate O-D trips for sub-zones in the larger-size zones in rural area. Two different distribution models, direct demand model and gravity model, were calibrated for sub-zone's intra-zonal O-D trip pattern with metropolitan area O-D data which has smaller zone-size (sub-zone) data categorized by low, middle and high population density. The calibration results were compared between the two models. The gravity model with impedance function of power functional form was selected with better explanation for all groups in the metropolitan area. The adjusted $R^2$ was 0.7426, 0.6456 and 0.7194 for low, middle and high population density group, respectively. The suggested O-D trip estimating method is expected to produce enhanced trip patterns with sub-divided small zones.

The Role of Geographic Information System and Its Functional Intergration Strategy in the Conventional Transportation Planning Process (전통교통계획과정에 있어서 GIS의 역할 및 기능적 통합방안에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Kee-Choo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.1 no.1 s.1
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    • pp.127-140
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    • 1993
  • The purpose of this paper is to examine the possible benefits of combining transportation planning models with geographic information systems (GIS) in the hope that intergrating these systems can alleviate the inherent problems of transportation planning models such as user unfriendliness, labor intensiveness, and theoretical limitations. Specially, this paper focuses on the issue of incompatiblity between GIS and the conventional transportation planning models in dealing with network topologies. Resolving this conflict in topologies is a conerstone for eliminating the user-unfriendliness and labor-intensiveness issues. This paper presents the development of an algorithm that converts GIS topology into transportation network topology. The FORTRAN-based topology conversion algorithm generates transportation networks from the GIS cartographic file and establishes a communication charmel between the two systems.

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A Study on Change of Travel Patterns According to Public Transportation Reform (A Case Study of Gyeongsan City) (대중교통체계 개편에 따른 대중교통 이용자들의 통행패턴 변화에 관한 연구 (경산시를 사례로))

  • Yun, Dae-Sik;Park, Hyeon-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2010
  • The main objective of this paper is to analyze change of travel patterns according to public transportation reform. The paper uses data collected from Gyeongsan City. So far few researches, especially using before-and-after individual travel survey, have been conducted on analyzing effects of public transportation reform. For this research, some descriptive statistical analyses and statistical hypotheses tests were conducted. Furthermore, some empirical logit models were estimated for analyzing the individual effects of the public transportation reform. Finally, some important foundings, policy implications, and limitations of this research are discussed.

A Study on the Applications of a Geographic Information Systems To A Transportation Planning Model (교통모형에서의 지리정보시스템 활용방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Ho;Park, Jin-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.1 no.2 s.2
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 1993
  • This article contains three objectives. First it is to revise unnecessary procedures of a transportation models and transform results of a model into an image. Second objectives is to develop an operational structures which automatically input all data needed from arc-node topology to link-node topology of transportation network. By solving the network discrepancy, time and money for constructing to transportation can be saved. In addition, the rate of errors that my caused during data input process can be reduced. Conclusively, it is found that the integration package may provide user friendliness and reduce the rate of errors. The package can extract informations such as distance between zones and nodes, lane numbers, and hierarchy from arc-node topology for executing SDI. Another advantage of integration is the ability of spatial analysis. The integrated package may provide adequate arrangements of traffic facilities and checking systems of the shortest path. Finally, the database function of GIS package provides various information about study area for transportation analysis.

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Evaluation of Fuel Consumption Models for Eco-friendly Traffic Operations Strategies (친환경 교통운영전략을 위한 차량 연료소모량 예측모형 평가)

  • PARK, Sangjun;LEE, Jung-Beom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.234-247
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    • 2016
  • As the necessity of the evaluation of environmentally-friendly traffic operations strategies becomes obvious, the characteristics of fuel consumption models should be comprehended in advance. This study selected three fuel consumption models developed in Korea and another three models widely used in North America, and compared their applicabilities. Specifically, the national institute of environmental research (NIER) drive modes and the VISSIM software were utilized to model various driving patterns, and their fuel consumptions were estimated using the fuel consumption models. Based on the results, all the models showed the similar results in the analysis of the most fuel efficient cruising speed. On the other hand, caution should be taken when using the KR-1 and KR-2 models in microscopic analyses because they are not sensitive to instantaneous power requirements of vehicles.

A Study on Assessment of Merging Volume at Freeway Merging Area (고속도로 합류부의 합류교통량 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 김상구;김유진;전경수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.105-127
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    • 1997
  • 합류구간은 다양한 교통특성을 분석하는데 어려움으로 인하여 그 동안 체계적인 연구가 거의 수행되지 않았다. 본 연구는 고속도로 합류부의 교통특성 측면에서 연결로 교 통량의 영향을 분석하고 평가하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 선형회귀 모형식이 연결로 교통량의 영향을 평가하기 위하여 개발되었고 기존의 모형식들과 비교되었다. 이러한 모형식은 본선 교통량과 연결로 교통량과의 상호 관계로 규명하는데 사용되었고 합류교통량에 대하여 연결 로 교통량이 본선교통량보다 더 많은 영향을 나타내는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 교통와해 시점의 교통량 자료를 추정하기 위해 사용한 교통량 누적 감산법(the Background Flow Count Reduction Method)은 직접적으로 자료를 수집하기 어려운 지점의 자료를 추정하는 데 있어 유용한 방법임을 알 수 있었다. 향후에는 연결로 교통량의 영향을 고려한 합류부 운영방안이 필요하고 이를 통한 효율적인 합류부 운영이 이루어질 수 있을 것이다.

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