• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.476-488
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• 2016

This study reviewed factors and causes that affect on reliability and accuracy of transportation demand forecasting. In general, the causes of forecasting errors come from variety and irregularity of trip behaviors, data limitation, data aggregation and model simplification. Theoretical understanding about the inevitable errors will be helpful for reasonable decision making for practical transportation policies. The study especially focused on traffic assignment with the KTDB data, and described the factors and causes of errors by classifying six categories such as (1) errors in input data, (2) errors due to spacial aggregation and representation method of network, (3) errors from representing values for variations of traffic patterns, (4) errors from simplification of traffic flow model, and (5) errors from aggregation of route choice behavior.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.8 no.2
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• pp.14-26
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• 2009

This study presented a novel method to estimate travel times under incident conditions. Predictive travel time information was defined and evaluated with the proposed method. The proposed method utilized individual vehicle speeds obtained from global positioning systems (GPS) and inter-vehicle communications(IVC) for more reliable real-time travel times. Individual vehicle trajectory data were extracted from microscopic traffic simulations using AIMSUN. Market penetration rates (MPR) and IVC ranges were explored with the accuracy of travel times. Relationship among travel time accuracy, IVC ranges, and MPR were further identified using regression analyses. The outcomes of this study would be useful to derive functional requirements associated with traffic information systems under forthcoming ubiquitous transportation environment

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.19 no.2
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• pp.74-88
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• 2020

A Cooperative Intelligent Transportation System (CITS) provides useful information on upcoming hazards in order to prevent vehicle collisions. In addition, the availability of individual vehicle travel information obtained from the CITS infrastructure allows us to identify the level of road safety in real time and based on analysis of the indicators representing the crash potential. This study proposes a methodology to derive road safety content, and presents evaluation results for its applicability in practice, based on simulation experiments. Both jerk and Stopping Distance Index (SDI) were adopted as safety indicators and were further applied to derive road section safety information. Microscopic simulation results with VISSIM show that 5% and 20% samples of jerk and SDI are sufficient to represent road safety characteristics for all vehicles. It is expected that the outcome of this study will be fundamental to developing a novel and valuable system to monitor the level of road safety in real time.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.3 s.74
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• pp.109-125
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• 2004

In recent decades, microscopic simulation models have become powerful tools to analyze traffic flow on highways and to assist the investigation of level of service. The existing microscopic simulation models simulate an individual vehicle's speed based on a constant free-flow speed dominantly specified by users and driver's behavior models reflecting vehicle interactions, such as car following and lane changing. They set a single free-flow speed for a single vehicle on a given link and neglect to consider the effects of highway design elements to it in their internal simulation. Due to this, the existing models are limitted to provide with identical simulation results on both curved and tangent sections of highways. This paper presents a model developed to estimate the change of free-flow speeds based on highway design elements. Nine neural network models were trained based on the field data collected from seven different freeway curve sections and three different locations at each section to capture the percent changes of free-flow speeds: 100 m upstream of the point of curve (PC) and the middle of the curve. The model employing seven highway design elements as its input variables was selected as the best : radius of curve, length of curve, superelevation, the number of lanes, grade variations, and the approaching free-flow speed on 100 m upstream of PC. Tests showed that the free-flow speeds estimated by the proposed model were statistically identical to the ones from the field at 95% confidence level at each three different locations described above. The root mean square errors at the starting and the middle of curve section were 6.68 and 10.06, and the R-squares at these points were 0.77 and 0.65, respectively. It was concluded from the study that the proposed model would be one of the potential tools introducing the effects of highway design elements to free-flow speeds in simulation.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.5D
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• pp.611-617
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• 2009

With advanced technologies applied to transportation, realtime traffic information has been necessary for not only drivers but also agencies. In normal, traffic conditions have been represented to three levels according to congestion: "free", "slow", and "jammed". Those categories and criteria are set up for traffic management even though traffic information is provided for drivers. This study examines how drivers feel current congestion levels and delves into traffic categories and criteria which they recognize. To collect data for drivers' recognition, a survey of freeway travellers is conducted answering the question about traffic flow speed from video image on a freeway section. In the result of the survey, the surveyee preferred a 4-level traffic condition including "delayed" to 3-level traffic condition. As its criteria, 20 km/h, 50 km/h, and 75 km/h were obtained. These results are expected to contribute to building more appropriate traffic information for drivers and providing an operational guideline for Traffic Monitering Centers.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.43-52
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• 2013

A roundabout is a form of circular intersection in which traffic travels counterclockwise around a central island and in which entering traffic must yield to circulating traffic. It has been known that a roundabout provides substantially better operational and safety characteristics than other intersections including rotaries. Recently, a roundabout has started to be constructed due to its efficiency, safety, and other advantages of a roundabout comparing other intersections in Korea. However, there has been no guideline to be used to decide appropriate intersection types considering given conditions of the intersections. To solve this problem, the guideline with traffic volume to choose the suitable intersection types was developed based on analysis results using the SIDRA software which is generally used to analyze operational effects of roundabouts. It was found that a roundabout is more efficient than signalized intersection when the traffic volume is between 125 and 450 veh/h on one lane road and roundabout is not recommended when there are more than 30% left turn traffic. The optimal traffic volume provided in this research will be usefully used in planing and designing roundabouts in Korea.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.27 no.3
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• pp.59-70
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• 2009

This study presents a novel traffic information system which is capable of detecting unsafe traffic events leading to accident occurrence and providing warning information to drivers for safer driving. Unsafe traffic events are captured by a vehicle image processing-based detection system in real time. Surrogate safety measures (SSM) representing quantitative accident potentials were derived, and further utilized to develop a data processing algorithm and analysis techniques in the proposed system. This study also defined 'emergency warning area' and 'general warning area' for more effective provision of warning information. In addition, methodologies for determining thresholds to trigger warning information were presented. Technical issues and further studies to fully exploit the benefits of the proposed system were discussed. It is expected that the proposed system would be effective for better management of traffic flow to prevent traffic accidents on freeways.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.28 no.6
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• pp.109-120
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• 2010

This study aims to develop mathematical models for estimating saturation flow rates at the stop line of signalized intersection due to Workzones in the vicinity, since the saturation flow rate is the most critical parameter in capacity analysis for signalized intersections. It was found by reference review that saturation flow rates are sensitively influenced by the location of Workzone, the number of lanes, cycle length and effective green time. Extensive microscopic simulation runs were also performed and compared to the those of mathematical models for model verification. Mathematical models were developed based on traffic flow theory and dualizing them by the location of workzones. And then each result produced by changing important parameter values was carefully examined and analyzed. Small but consistent differences in saturation flow rate values between mathematical models and simulations exist. However, the pattern of changes in saturation flow rates depending on each variable was similar.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.6
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• pp.145-157
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• 2004

Microscopic freeway simulation models project the uncertain values of performance measures for subject traffic conditions by explaining drivers' driving behavior with lane changing and car-following models. However, the existing lane changing models are limited to gap acceptance oriented passive behavior of drivers and not able to capture more-or-less aggressive driving behavior(e.g. cut-in lane changing) ordinarily obseved in field. This paper suggests the definition of cut-inlane changing and presents its characteristics based on the findings from two different freeway on- and off-ramp sections. In addition, this paper proposes a new lane changing model capable of handling both passive and active drivers' driving behavior for better performance of simulations. The proposed lane changing model was tested with Hanyang Simulatin (HYTSIM), a microscopic freeway simulation program developed for this study. The HYTSIM simulation results reflecting the performance of the proposed lane changing model were compared against the field data. The test results showed that the distribution of gaps collected when vehicles change lanes were statistically identical to the field data at 95% confidence level.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.11 no.2 s.23
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• pp.9-17
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• 2005

In the present maritime traffic conditions of Gwangyang harbor, there exists many hazardous factors which may lead to huge accidents including marine oil pollution. To mitigate the danger to vessels in Gwangyang harbor and to secure the safety of maritime environment, we established one way traffic between No.3 Route and No.4 Route, Designed of deep water line on No.3 route, Extended one-way route for Myo-Do Passage etc.