• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.1-13
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• 2015

Traffic volume data is basic information that is used in a wide variety of fields. Existing missing traffic volume data imputation method did not take the effect on the rainfall. This research analyzed considering of the rainfall effect in missing traffic volume data imputation method. In order to consider the effect of rainfall, established the following assumption. When missing of traffic volume data generated in rainy days it would be more accurate to use only the traffic volume data of the past rainy days. To confirm this assumption, compared for accuracy of imputed results at three kinds of imputation method(Unconditional Mean, Auto Regression, Expectation-Maximization Algorithm). The analysis results, the case on consideration of the rainfall effect was more low error occurred.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.1 s.94
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• pp.121-132
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• 2007

Up to now Permanent traffic volumes have been counted by Automatic Vehicle Classification (AVC) on National Highways. When counted data have missing items or errors, the data must be revised to stay statistically reliable This study was carried out to estimate correct data based on outoregression and seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). As a result of verification through seasonal ARIMA, the longer the missed period is, the greater the error. Autoregression results in better verification results than seasonal ARIMA. Traffic data is affected by the present state mote than past patterns. However. autoregression can be applied only to the cases where data include similar neighborhood patterns and even in this case. the data cannot be corrected when data are missing due to low qualify or errors Therefore, these data shoo)d be corrected using past patterns and seasonal ARIMA when the missing data occurs in short periods.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.33 no.5
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• pp.2009-2019
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• 2013

Traffic volumes are the important basic data which are directly used for transportation network planning, highway design, highway management and so forth. They are collected by two types of collection methods, one of which is the continuous traffic counts and the other is the short duration traffic counts. The continuous traffic counts are conducted for 365 days a year using the permanent traffic counter and the short duration traffic counts are conducted for specific day(s). In case of the continuous traffic counts the missing of data occurs due to breakdown or malfunction of the counter from time to time. Thus, the diverse imputation methods have been developed and applied so far. In this study the applied exponential smoothing method, in which the data from the days before and after the missing day are used, is proposed and compared with other imputation methods. The comparison shows that the applied exponential smoothing method enhances the accuracy of imputation when the coefficient of traffic volume variation is low. In addition, it is verified that the variation of traffic volume at the site is an important factor for the accuracy of imputation. Therefore, it is necessary to apply different imputation methods depending upon site and time to raise the reliability of imputation for missing traffic values.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.49-59
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• 2001

In the transportation planning process, origin and destination(O-D) trip matrix is one of the most important elements. There have been developments and applications of the methodology to adjust old matrices using link traffic counts. Commonly, the accuracy of an adjusted O-D matrix depends very much on the reliability of the input data such as the numbers and locations of traffic counting points in the road network. In the real application of the methodology, decisions on the numbers and locations of traffic counting points are one of the difficult problems, because usually as networks become bigger, the numbers of traffic counting points are required more. Therefore, this paper investigates these issues as an experiment using a nationwide network in Korea. We have compared and contrasted the set of link flows assigned by the old and the adjusted O-D matrices with the set of observed link flows. It has been analyzed by increasing the number of the traffic counting points on the experimental road network. As a result of these analyses, we can see an optimal set of the number of counting links through statistical analysis, which are approximately ten percentages of the total link numbers. In addition, the results show that the discrepancies between the old and the adjusted matrices in terms of the trip length frequency distributions and the assigned and the counted link flows are minimized using the optimal set of the counted links.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.277-283
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• 2021

Traffic data by vehicle classification are important data used as basic data in various fields such as road and traffic design. Traffic data is collected through permanent and temporary surveys and is provided as an annual average daily traffic (AATD) in the statistical yearbook of road traffic. permanent surveys are collected through traffic collection equipment (AVC), and the AVC consists of a loop sensor that detects traffic volume and a piezo sensor that detects the number of axes. Due to the nature of the buried type of traffic collection equipment, missing data is generated due to failure of detection equipment. In the existing method, it is corrected through historical data and the trend of traffic around the point. However, this method has a disadvantage in that it does not reflect temporal and spatial characteristics and that the existing data used for correction may also be a correction value. In this study, we proposed a method to correct the missing traffic volume by calculating the axis correction coefficient through the accumulated number of axes acquired by using a piezo sensor that can detect the axis of the vehicle. This has the advantage of being able to reflect temporal and spatial characteristics, which are the limitations of the existing methods, and as a result of comparative evaluation, the error rate was derived lower than that of the existing methods. The traffic volume correction system using axis count is judged as a correction method applicable to the field system with a simple algorithm.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.109-121
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• 2007

In this study, an imputation model using circular probability distribution was developed in order to overcome problems of missing data from a traffic survey. The existing ad-hoc or heuristic, model-based and algorithm-based imputation techniques were reviewed through previous studies, and then their limitations for imputing missing traffic volume data were revealed. The statistical computing language 'R' was employed for model construction, and a mixture of von Mises probability distribution, which is classified as symmetric, and unimodal circular probability were finally fitted on the basis of traffic volume data at survey stations in urban and rural areas, respectively. The circular probability distribution model largely proved to outperform a dummy variable regression model in regards to various evaluation conditions. It turned out that circular probability distribution models depict circularity of hourly volumes well and are very cost-effective and robust to changes in missing mechanisms.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.22 no.7 s.78
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• pp.17-23
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• 2004

교통정책을 평가하기 위해 기본적으로 요구되는 Data 중 가장 근본이 되는 것이 OD이다. 기존의 교통정책을 평가함에 있어서 일반적으로 사용되고 있는 OD는 AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) OD이다. 계절별 평일/주말 교통량의 분산이 매우 크다는 것은 기존 조사나 연구로 익히 알려진 사실이며, 또한 사회 경제적인 여건의 변화 및 주 5일제 근무제의 시행 등으로 여가통행의 비중이 높아짐에 따라 평일과 주말의 교통량의 분산은 더욱 커질 것으로 예상된다. 따라서 교통정책을 평가하는 방법도 AADT OD의 일률적인 적용이 아닌 교통량의 계절별 평일/주말의 분산을 적용시킨 OD를 가지고 교통정책을 평가하는 방법이 교통정책을 결정함에 있어 오류를 범할 가능성을 적게 될 것으로 예상된다. 기존 연구에서는 이러한 교통량의 분산의 보정을 지점교통량에 한정하여 보정하고 있어 실질적인 네트워크 분석에 적용하기에는 무리가 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 관측된 TCS Data를 이용하여 계절별 평일/주말의 OD 교통 패턴을 분석하여 계절별 평일/주말의 OD 교통패턴을 반영할 수 있는 보정계수를 산출하고 산출된 보정계수에 따라 AADT OD를 보정하여 네트워크 분석의 기초 자료를 구축하였다. 수정된 OD 교통량의 검증을 위하여 기존의 AADT OD의 인구당 통행발생비율과 계절별 평일/주말 OD의 통행발생량을 비교하였다. 그 결과 소수점 두 자리수에서 오차가 발생하여 비교적 합리적인 OD가 추정되었다. 또한 기존의 AADT OD를 이용하여 정책 결정을 할 때의 오류 가능성을 보이기 위하여 각 계절별 평일/주말 OD 교통량과 기존의 AADT OD를 입력 자료로 각각의 네트워크 분석 후 총통행시간의 차이를 분석하였다. 그 결과 정책 결정에 영향을 미칠 수 있을 정도의 차이가 있는 것으로 분석되었다.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.20 no.6
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• pp.1-13
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• 2021

In this study, a time series analysis technique was applied to calibrate and predict traffic data for various purposes, such as planning, design, maintenance, and research. Existing algorithms have limitations in application to data such as traffic data because they show strong periodicity and seasonality or irregular data. To overcome and supplement these limitations, we applied the SARIMA model, an analytical technique that combines the autocorrelation model, the Seasonal Auto Regressive(SAR), and the seasonal Moving Average(SMA). According to the analysis, traffic volume prediction using the SARIMA(4,1,3)(4,0,3) 12 model, which is the optimal parameter combination, showed excellent performance of 85% on average. In addition to traffic data, this study is considered to be of great value in that it can contribute significantly to traffic correction and forecast improvement in the event of missing traffic data, and is also applicable to a variety of time series data recently collected.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.10-20
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• 2012

This study shows how to estimate AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) on temporary count data using new grouping method. This study deals with clustering permanent traffic counts using monthly adjustment factor, daily adjustment factor and a percentage of hourly volume. This study uses a percentage of hourly volume comparing with other studies. Cluster analysis is used and 5 groups is suitable. First, make average of monthly adjustment factor, average of daily adjustment factor, a percentage of hourly volume for each group. Next estimate AADT using 24 hour volume(not holiday) and two adjustment factors. Goodness of fit test is used to find what groups are applicable. MAPE(Mean Absolute Percentage Error) is 8.7% in this method. It is under 1.5% comparing with other method(using adjustment factors in same section). This method is better than other studies because it can apply all temporary counts data.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.101-111
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• 1998

현재 고속도로 교통관리시스템(FTMS)에 사용되고 있는 차량 검지기는 주로 루프 식 검지기가 이용되고 있으나, 유지관리에 많은 어려움이 있다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제 점을 갖고 있는 루프 검지기를 대체하기 위한 대체 검지기를 개발하는데 그 목적이 있다. 자기 검지기 신뢰도 평가는 현장 실험으로 이루어지며 비디오 촬영 및 루프 검지기, test car를 이용하여 교통량·속도·점유율의 기준자료를 마련하고 자기 검지기 자료와 비교·분석 및 통계적 검정을 실시하였다. 1차 실험과 2차 실험의 결과, 교통량과 속도는 실측자료와 유사했으나 점유율은 실측치와 다소 차이가 발생함을 보였다. 향후 점유율에 대한 보정이 이루어진다면 현재 사용중인 루프 검지기를 대체할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.