• Title/Summary/Keyword: 교차검증 실험계획

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Candidate Points and Representative Cross-Validation Approach for Sequential Sampling (후보점과 대표점 교차검증에 의한 순차적 실험계획)

  • Kim, Seung-Won;Jung, Jae-Jun;Lee, Tae-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.31 no.1 s.256
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2007
  • Recently simulation model becomes an essential tool for analysis and design of a system but it is often expensive and time consuming as it becomes complicate to achieve reliable results. Therefore, high-fidelity simulation model needs to be replaced by an approximate model, the so-called metamodel. Metamodeling techniques include 3 components of sampling, metamodel and validation. Cross-validation approach has been proposed to provide sequnatially new sample point based on cross-validation error but it is very expensive because cross-validation must be evaluated at each stage. To enhance the cross-validation of metamodel, sequential sampling method using candidate points and representative cross-validation is proposed in this paper. The candidate and representative cross-validation approach of sequential sampling is illustrated for two-dimensional domain. To verify the performance of the suggested sampling technique, we compare the accuracy of the metamodels for various mathematical functions with that obtained by conventional sequential sampling strategies such as maximum distance, mean squared error, and maximum entropy sequential samplings. Through this research we team that the proposed approach is computationally inexpensive and provides good prediction performance.

Mean-Variance-Validation Technique for Sequential Kriging Metamodels (순차적 크리깅모델의 평균-분산 정확도 검증기법)

  • Lee, Tae-Hee;Kim, Ho-Sung
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.541-547
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    • 2010
  • The rigorous validation of the accuracy of metamodels is an important topic in research on metamodel techniques. Although a leave-k-out cross-validation technique involves a considerably high computational cost, it cannot be used to measure the fidelity of metamodels. Recently, the mean$_0$ validation technique has been proposed to quantitatively determine the accuracy of metamodels. However, the use of mean$_0$ validation criterion may lead to premature termination of a sampling process even if the kriging model is inaccurate. In this study, we propose a new validation technique based on the mean and variance of the response evaluated when sequential sampling method, such as maximum entropy sampling, is used. The proposed validation technique is more efficient and accurate than the leave-k-out cross-validation technique, because instead of performing numerical integration, the kriging model is explicitly integrated to accurately evaluate the mean and variance of the response evaluated. The error in the proposed validation technique resembles a root mean squared error, thus it can be used to determine a stop criterion for sequential sampling of metamodels.

A Study on the Searching Behavior of OPAC Users (온라인 열람목록의 이용행태에 관한 연구)

  • Sakong Bok-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Library and Information Science
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.165-208
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the characteristics of user interface that affect the searching behavior of OPAC users. and then to propose how to design user-friendly interfaces of OPACS. An experiment was conducted on two systems with different interfaces to grasp the effect of user interface to search process and search outcome. A $2\times2$ cross-over design was used for the experiment. Sixty five searchers participated in the experiment. Several statistical techniques such as carry-over effect and system effect of a $2\times2$ cross-over design, $\chi^2$ test, t- test, McNemar test, test of marginal homogeneity through maximum likelihood method, factor analysis, regression analysis, and analysis of variance were applied according to the hypotheses tested and the data analyzed.

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A Path-based Traffic Flow Simulation Model for Large Scale Network (기종점 기반 대규모 가로망 교통류 시뮬레이션 모형)

  • 조중래;홍영석;손영태
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.115-131
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    • 2001
  • The Purpose of this study is to develop a simulation model for large-scale network with interrupted flow as well as uninterrupted flow. The Cell Transmission(CT) theory is used to simulate traffic flow. Flow transition rules have been newly developed to simulate traffic flows at merging and diverging sections, and signalized intersections. In the model, it is assumed that dynamic OD table is exogenously given. Simulation results for toy network shows that the model can explain queue dynamics not only in signalized intersections of urban arterials, but also in merging and diverging sections of freeway. In case study, the model successfully simulated traffic flows of 145,000 vehicles on CBD network of city of Seoul with 74 traffic zones, 133 signalized intersections among 395 nodes and 1110 links.

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ITER HCCR TBM 헬륨냉각계통 개발을 위한 헬륨공급장치 구축 및 실험계획

  • Lee, Eo-Hwak;Kim, Seok-Gwon;Jin, Hyeong-Gon;Yun, Jae-Seong;Jo, Seung-Yeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2014.02a
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    • pp.465-465
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    • 2014
  • 증식블랑켓모듈(TBM, Test Blanket Module)을 개발하여 왔다. 이 두 증식블랑켓모듈은 모두 헬륨냉각을 기반으로 개발 되어왔으며 이에 따라, 헬륨순환기, 헬륨히터 및 헬륨열교환기 등에 대한 기본적인 연구가 수행되었다. 이후 2012년 고체형 증식블랑켓모듈을 ITER TBM 개념으로 주도하기로 결정함에 따라, HCCR (Helium Cooled Ceramic Reflector) TBM의 보조계통인 하나인 헬륨냉각계통(HCS, Helium Cooling System)에 대한 개발이 본격적으로 이루어졌다. 한국원자력연구원에서는 HCCR TBM의 냉각성능을 만족하기 위하여 8 MPa, 1.5 kg/s 및 $300/500^{\circ}C$ (입구/출구 온도)의 운전조건을 갖는 헬륨냉각계통의 설계를 완료하였다. 설계된 헬륨냉각계통은 HCCR TBM에서 회수된 약 $450^{\circ}C$의 헬륨을 열회수기(recuperator)기와 냉각기를 통해 상온으로 냉각시킨 후, 필터를 통해 헬륨을 여과시킨다. 여과된 헬륨은 헬륨순환기에 의해 가압되어 열회수기를 다시 지나 $300^{\circ}C$ 이상으로 가열된다. 가열된 헬륨은 열회수기를 지나지 않는 상온의 헬륨과 혼합되어 최종적으로 HCCR TBM의 입구온도 조건인 $300^{\circ}C$로 맞추어 HCCR TBM에 공급된다. 이러한 열회수기 중심으로 '${\infty}$' 모양의 자가 교차로 설계된 헬륨냉각계통은 고온영역과 저온영역으로 냉각회로를 구분하여 순환기, 필터 및 각종 계측기의 운전온도 환경을 상온으로 유지시킬 수 있어 운전 및 유지보수 관점에서 이점이 있다. HCCR TBM의 헬륨냉각계통 설계 및 핵심 기기를 실증하고, 운전 경험을 쌓기 위하여 헬륨공급장치(HeSS, Helium Supply System)를 헬륨유량기준 1/3 규모(0.5 kg/s)로 구축하였으며, '14년까지 HeSS를 실증규모로 업그레이드 하기 위하여 80기압 환경에서 압축비 1.1, 유량 1.5 kg/s의 성능을 내는 헬륨순환기를 설치할 예정이다. 현재 구축된 1/3 규모 HeSS는 국내 구축된 전자빔 고열부하 시험 장비인 KoHLT-EB (Electron Beam)와 연계되어 HCCR TBM의 일차벽(플라즈마 대향부품)을 검증할 예정이며, 이를 통해 얻어진 열수력 DB는 현재 개발중인 핵융합로 안전해석코드인 GAMMA-FR 검증에 활용될 계획이다.

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Study on Experimental Modeling and Estimation of Roughness of Nanoscale Lapping Surface Based on Laser Scattering Patterns (레이저산란패턴 기반 나노 래핑 표면 거칠기의 실험적 모델링 및 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Yeon-Ki;Kim, Gyung-Bum
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2011
  • In this study, a correlation between the roughness of nanoscale lapping surface and its laser scattering pattern has been identified experimentally. The characteristics of laser scattering on a reflected surface are investigated, and a laser scattering mechanism is newly designed by adopting the dark-field method. Laser scattering patterns resulting from nanoscale lapping shape are in the shape of crossed irregular lattice. In addition, optimum laser scattering images are obtained by the design of experiment, and the roughness of nanoscale lapping surface is estimated using regression analysis certain useful features of the laser scattering patterns. The results of fifty experiments on three types of nanoscale lapping surfaces show that the roughness of nanoscale lapping surfaces can be accurately estimated by the proposed mathematical modeling method.

Analysis of Characteristics and Optimization of Photo-degradation condition of Reactive Orange 16 Using a Box-Behnken Method (실험계획법 중 Box-Behnken(박스-벤켄)법을 이용한 반응성 염료의 광촉매 산화조건 특성 해석 및 최적화)

  • Cho, Il-Hyoung;Lee, Nae-Hyun;Chang, Soon-Woong;An, Sang-Woo;Yonn, Young-Han;Zoh, Kyung-Duk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.28 no.9
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    • pp.917-925
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    • 2006
  • The aim of our research was to apply experimental design methodology in the optimization of photocatalytic degradation of azo dye(Reactive orange 16). The reactions were mathematically described as a function of parameters amount of $TiO_2(x_1)$, and dye concentration($x_2$) being modeled by the use of the Box-Behnken method. The results show that the responses of color removal(%)($Y_1$) in photocatalysis of dyes were significantly affected by the synergistic effect of linear term of $TiO_2(x_1)$ and dye concentration($x_2$). Significant factors and synergistic effects for the $COD_{Cr}$, removal(%)($Y_2$) were the linear term of $TiO_2(x_1)$ and dye concentration($x_2$). However, the quadratic term of $TiO_2(x_1^2)$ and dye concentration($x_2^2$) had an antagonistic effect on $Y_1$ and $Y_2$ responses. Canonical analysis indicates that the stationary point was a saddle point for $Y_1$ and $Y_2$, respectively. The estimated ridge of maximum responses and optimal conditions for $Y_1:(X_1,\;X_2)$=(1.11 g/L, 51.2 mg/L) and $Y_2:(X_1,\;X_2)$=(1.42 g/L, 72.83 mg/L) using canonical analysis was 93% and 73%, respectively.

Microbiological Evaluation for HACCP System Application of Green Vegetable Juice Containing Lactic Acid Bacteria (유산균을 함유한 녹즙의 HACCP 시스템 적용을 위한 미생물학적 위해도 평가)

  • Kwon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.4924-4931
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    • 2011
  • This research performed to evaluate a production processes reporting by the HACCP system of green vegetable juice products, containing lactic acid bacteria, stage of processing raw materials agricultural products and production facilities of general bacteria and pathogenic micro organism. General bacteria are found from four samples of storage of agricultural products at process stage and water was detected 8.67~14.67 CFU/ml. However, all samples were detected less than 105 CFU/ml as a legal standards after the process of UV sterilization. For the outcome of experiment of E.coli, E.coli O157:H7, B.cereus, L.moonocytogenes, Salmonella spp, Staph.aureus as the food poisoning bacterial, E.coli was detected until UV pre-step process in storage process and B.cereus was detected partly till 1st washing. Since all bacterial, Yeast and Mold are detected in main materials, pre-control method is a necessary to establish for decreasing with a number of initial bacteria of main materials and it is considered to establish the effective ways of washing and sterilization such as production facilities for cross contamination prevention of bacteria and Sthaphylococcus. Based on above results, the process of UV sterilization should be managed with CCP as an important process to reduce or eliminate the general and food poisoning bacterial of green vegetable juice products, including lactic acid bacteria. Therefore, it is considered to need an exhaustive HACCP plan such as control manual of UV sterilization, solution method, verification, education and training and record management.