• Title/Summary/Keyword: 광역모형

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The Policy Effect of Minimum Housing Standards: Differences-in-Differences Estimation (최저주거기준 설정의 정책 효과: 이중차분법 추정)

  • Yi, Gunmin
    • 한국사회정책
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.25-59
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    • 2016
  • This paper analyses the policy effect of minimum housing standards, using the fact that Seoul set the minimum housing standards in 1998. Because the whole country except Seoul did not set the minimum housing standards in 1998, we could find this situation as a quasi-experiment. In order to identify the policy effect of minimum housing standards, I compare decreasing amounts in the number of households below the threshold between Seoul and comparison regions from 1995 to 2000, using Differences-in-Differences method. I draw estimate of one-to-one comparison, using Gyeonggi province as a comparison region, and OLS estimate, utilizing the whole nation except Seoul as a comparison region, respectively, and compare two estimates. The former and the latter suggest that the setting of Seoul minimum housing standard in 1998 account for decreasing the number of households under the minimum housing standard, by about 216,638 and 325,149, respectively. The latter is statistically significant at the 0.001 level and the former is in the 95% confidence level of the latter. Therefore we could conclude that the setting of minimum housing standards contributes significantly to achieve the policy objectives, a decrease in the number of households, which are below the threshold.

Establishment of a Estimation Model of On-Road and Off-Road Parking Demand Based on the Total Floor Area of Buildings (건축물 연면적에 따른 노상·노외 주차수요 산정 모형 구축)

  • Je mo Nam;Young woo Lee
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.44-53
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    • 2023
  • Recently, serious parking problems are occurring due to the difficulty of securing sufficient parking space, and it may lead to other traffic or social problems. In order to solve the parking problem in areas and districts beyond a certain range, a study on-roads and off-street parking lots reflecting regional characteristics is necessary. Therefore, this study establishing a parking demand calculation model for use as a basic study in establishing on-road and off-road characteristics. In order to conduct the study, Dong-fu, Daegu Metropolitan City was divided into dongs, and parking facilities and parking demand were investigated. The survey time was divided into daytime and nighttime on weekdays, and the types of vehicles were divided into three types: passenger car, small trucks and buses, large trucks and buses. As explanatory variables for calculating parking demand, the total floor area of buildings for each of six purposes was used, including detached houses, apartment houses, neighborhood living facilities, cultural and assembly facilities, business facilities, and sales facilities. As a result of the correlation analysis, among the six explanatory variables, the total area of neighborhood living facilities showed a significant correlation with on- and off-street parking demand. A regression analysis model was constructed using the total area of neighborhood living facilities as an explanatory variable, and statistically significant results were obtained.

Flood Risk Mapping with FLUMEN model Application (FLUMEN 모형을 적용한 홍수위험지도의 작성)

  • Cho, Wan Hee;Han, Kun Yeun;Ahn, Ki Hong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.2B
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 2010
  • Recently due to the typhoon and extreme rainfall induced by abnormal weather and climate change, the probability of severe damage to human life and property is rapidly increasing. Thus it is necessary to create adequate and reliable flood risk map in preparation for those natural disasters. The study area is Seo-gu in Daegu which is located near Geumho river, one of the tributaries of Nakdong river. Inundation depth and velocity at each time were calculated by applying FLUMEN model to the target area of interest, Seo-gu in Daegu. And the research of creating flood risk map was conducted according to the Downstream Hazard Classification Guidelines of USBR. The 2-dimensional inundation analysis for channels and protected lowland with FLUMEN model was carried out with the basic assumption that there's no levee failure against 100 year precipatation and inflow comes only through the overflowing to the protected lowland. The occurrence of overflowing was identified at the levee of Bisan-dong located in Geumho watershed. The level of risk was displayed for house/building residents, drivers and pedestrians using information about depth and velocity of each node computed from the inundation analysis. Once inundation depth map and flood risk map for each region is created with this research method, emergency action guidelines for residents can be systemized and it would be very useful in establishing specified emergency evacuation plans in case of levee failure and overflowing resulting from a flood.

Effects of High-Speed Train on Regional Population In-Migration - Focusing on Shrinking City and Demographic Structure - (고속철도가 지역 인구 이동에 미치는 영향 -지방소멸 위험과 인구 구조를 중심으로-)

  • Eunji Kim;Heeyeun Yoon
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.91-106
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    • 2024
  • Around the world, many countries experiencing the issue of shrinking cities are continually expanding high-speed rail networks to enhance regional accessibility and address imbalances. This study analyzed the effects of high-speed train operations on the age-specific population migration in South Korean municipalities from 2012 to 2019, taking into account the risk levels of shrinking cities. For this purpose, an analysis was conducted using age-specific net in-migration population as the dependent variable, employing the spatial panel autoregressive model. The research results indicated that the influence of high-speed rail on regional population inflow varies depending on the risk level of shrinking city. In other words, high-speed railway operations had positive effects on population inflow in the capital areas and some major cities, while explained population outflow in the other regions. High-speed railways particularly exerted a significant impact on the inflow of the young and middle-aged population, representing the working age, but this effect was also limited to regions with a low risk of shrinkage. The findings of this study emphasize the importance of considering planned population and industrial attraction when installing high-speed rail with the goal of achieving regional balanced development and mitigating shrinkage. The results of this study also suggest the need for subsequent research to explore factors that positively influence population structure and inflow based on the level of shrinkage risk in each region, as well as the introduction of new policies tailored to the specific situations of each local government.

A Study on the Relationship between Bus Operation Environment and Level of Service of Intra-City Bus - In the place of Ulsan Metropolitan Area - (시내버스 운행여건과 서비스 수준에 관한 연구 - 울산광역시 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Beom-Ryong;Choi, Yang-Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.1309-1320
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    • 2015
  • This study made an attempt to analyse the relationship between operation environment and fleet size per route which represents the level of service for inner-city bus service. Regression analysis method has been adopted as main analysis tool and 98 routes of bus operation status in Ulsan city as of 2013 has also been selected for analysis target. Correlation analysis was performed to identify the relationship between dependent and independent variables. There are three types of model for whole sample, type operation, and bus route operation system. These are the results of the current study. 1. The model developed for whole sample of 98 routes is as follows. Y(Fleet Size)=$-4.532+0.00002877*X_1$(Revenue). This model shows that it is necessary to have more than 140 passengers per day to increase fleet size of each bus route in Ulsan. 2. Models developed by type of operation (which are standard, express, and middle sized) are shown below. Stand Bus : Y(Fleet Size)=$-10.954+0.00004283*X_1$(Revenue). It is identified that more than 153 passengers need to use standard bus to increase fleet size per each standard bus, Middle Sized Bus : Y(Fleet Size)=-0.859+0.00001438*X1(Revenue). For middle sized bus, at least 52 daily passengers are needed to increase number of bus in each route. 3. Models developed for each route operation systems are as belows. Joint Operation Group : Y(Fleet Size)=$-4.786+0.00003028*X_1$(Revenue). Individual Operation Group : Y(Fleet Size)=$-2.339+0.00002030*X_1$(Revenue). These model provide similar result which 140 people is the minimum number of passenger to raise the number of vehicles in each route. This result shows that the route operation systems does not affect the raise number of cars significantly.

Development of disaster severity classification model using machine learning technique (머신러닝 기법을 이용한 재해강도 분류모형 개발)

  • Lee, Seungmin;Baek, Seonuk;Lee, Junhak;Kim, Kyungtak;Kim, Soojun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.261-272
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    • 2023
  • In recent years, natural disasters such as heavy rainfall and typhoons have occurred more frequently, and their severity has increased due to climate change. The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) currently uses the same criteria for all regions in Korea for watch and warning based on the maximum cumulative rainfall with durations of 3-hour and 12-hour to reduce damage. However, KMA's criteria do not consider the regional characteristics of damages caused by heavy rainfall and typhoon events. In this regard, it is necessary to develop new criteria considering regional characteristics of damage and cumulative rainfalls in durations, establishing four stages: blue, yellow, orange, and red. A classification model, called DSCM (Disaster Severity Classification Model), for the four-stage disaster severity was developed using four machine learning models (Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, and XGBoost). This study applied DSCM to local governments of Seoul, Incheon, and Gyeonggi Province province. To develop DSCM, we used data on rainfall, cumulative rainfall, maximum rainfalls for durations of 3-hour and 12-hour, and antecedent rainfall as independent variables, and a 4-class damage scale for heavy rain damage and typhoon damage for each local government as dependent variables. As a result, the Decision Tree model had the highest accuracy with an F1-Score of 0.56. We believe that this developed DSCM can help identify disaster risk at each stage and contribute to reducing damage through efficient disaster management for local governments based on specific events.

Comparison of Sediment Disaster Risk Depending on Bedrock using LSMAP (LSMAP을 활용한 기반암별 토사재해 위험도 비교)

  • Choi, Won-il;Choi, Eun-hwa;Jeon, Seong-kon
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2017
  • For the purpose of the study, of the 76 areas subject to preliminary concentrated management on sediment disaster in the downtown area, 9 areas were selected as research areas. They were classified into three stratified rock areas (Gyeongsan City, Goheung-gun and Daegu Metropolitan City), three igneous rock areas (Daejeon City, Sejong Special Self-Governing City and Wonju City) and three metamorphic rock areas (Namyangju City, Uiwang City and Inje District) according to the characteristics of the bedrock in the research areas. As for the 9 areas, analyses were conducted based on tests required to calculate soil characteristics, a predictive model for root adhesive power, loading of trees and on-the-spot research. As for a rainfall scenario (rainfall intensity), the probability of rainfall was applied as offered by APEC Climate Center (APCC) in Busan. As for the prediction of landslide risks in the 9 areas, TRIGRS and LSMAP were applied. As a result of TRIGRIS prediction, the risk rate was recorded 30.45% in stratified rock areas, 41.03% in igneous rock areas and 45.04% in metamorphic rock areas on average. As a result of LSMAP prediction based on root cohesion and the weight of trees according to crown density, it turned out to a 1.34% risk rate in the stratified rock areas, 2.76% in the igneous rock areas and 1.64% in the metamorphic rock areas. Analysis through LSMAP was considered to be relatively local predictive rather than analysis using TRIGRS.

An Estimation of Appropriate Standby Space for Mechanical Parking Lot by Prediction of Parking Queue (주차대기행렬 예측을 통한 기계식 주차장 적정 대기규모 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Jin, Tae-Hee;Park, Je-Jin;Park, Jin-Man;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.321-330
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to present the appropriate standby space for the mechanical parking lot considered parking queue. This analysis is based on the field-study by results of the influential factors on the parking queue of mechanical parking lots in the commercial area of Gwang-ju metropolitan city. In this study, the parking queue was analized through the simple modeling using Vissim based on average service rate and average arrival rate from the result of field-study. As a result of applying the field survey products to the theoretical queue model, no significant result was obtained when the traffic intensity exceeded 1. Therefore, parking queue was analyzed through simple modeling using Vissim, and the model for calculating the proper parking queue size of the mechanical parking lot by size was derived. The model for estimating of an appropriate mechanical parking standby space considering parking queue presented in this study is expected to be a criterion for considering the appropriate parking space of a new building, and also it can be used to minimized the traffic impact due to the parking queue by the lack of standby space.

Analysis on the Ordinance and Implementation of Labor Conditions Improvement of Social Worker:Focused on Busan Metropolitan City and its 16 Subregions (사회복지사 처우개선 관련 조례 및 이행여부 연구 부산광역시 및 부산 16개 구·군을 중심으로)

  • Kweon, Sin-Jung;Cho, Sunyoung
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.204-211
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    • 2020
  • This study investigates the 17 ordinances on the improvement of labor condition and status of social workers in the metropolitan city of Busan that has 16 administrative borough, or gu, and a central headquarter, and further verifies its implementation. Researchers identified the presence of 9 articles in each ordinances, followed by data request being made to all the administrative offices for their implementation. As a result, the articles on obligation, research on the actual condition, support plan and committee establishment have been excluded in many gus, which were in default of implementation or slower than ordinances stipulate. It is suggested that statements about the obligation of the head officers, preceding research on the actual condition before support plan and committee establishment should be made in the independent articles. Regarding its implementation, ordinances are required to have a regulatory power through penalty, reflect the actual demands of social workers in the field and go through a regular evaluation and monitoring on its implementation in order for purpose accomplishment.

Regional Economic Effect of the Management Social Welfare Foundation - focused on Daegu Metropolitan City (사회복지법인 운영이 지역 경제에 미치는 파급효과 -대구광역시를 중심으로-)

  • Chae, Hyun-Tak;Im, Woo-Hyun;Kim, Young-Kil
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.7
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    • pp.375-383
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    • 2018
  • This study was carried out to grasp the economic effects of the social welfare foundation by establishing and operating it. For this purpose, the effects of the social welfare law of Daegu Metropolitan City on the regional economy were analyzed using the input-output analysis model. As a result, the effects of GDP was 43,445 billion won, the total value-added effect was 1,940 billion won, and the total employment inducement effect was 37,411. Based on these results, the future direction of the social welfare corporation is suggested as follows. First, it is necessary to shift the perception of consumer-oriented welfare toward welfare that contributes to the activation of the local economy. Second, efforts should be made to continuously expand employment linked to social welfare services, to create an environment where jobs can be created from a long-term perspective, and to establish a separate support system. Third, the value-added created by the social welfare foundation should be newly recognized and sought to be expanded in various fields. Fourth, efforts should be made to secure the legitimacy of social service provision and ensure accountability by appropriately promoting the economic ripple effects of social welfare foundation to the local community.