• Title/Summary/Keyword: 관리 기간

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Analyzing the effect of global warming on the thermal stratification in Chungju reservoir (지구온난화가 충주호 수온 성층구조에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Yoon, Sung-Wan;Chung, Se-Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.133-133
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    • 2012
  • 기후변화에 관한 정부 간 패널 IPCC의 4차 보고서에 의하면 지난 100년간 지구 평균 기온의 선형추세선 기울기가 $0.74^{\circ}C$/년을 보이고 있으며 21세기말 지구의 평균기온은 최대 $6.3^{\circ}C$까지 더 상승할 것으로 전망하고 있다. 이러한 대기기온의 상승은 저수지 및 하천의 수온과 밀접한 관계를 지니는데, 저수지 표층 수온 및 유입 하천의 수온을 증가시켜 저수지 수온 성층형성시기를 앞당겨 성층화 기간을 증가시키고 또한 성층강도도 증가하게 된다. 이러한 수온성층기간 및 강도의 증가는 심수층의 용존산소 고갈과 이에 따른 퇴적층의 영양염류 용출량을 증가시켜 저수지 수질관리에 어려움을 야기할 것으로 전망되고 있다. 특히 온대기후대에 속하는 우리나라의 대부분의 대형 인공 저수지는 여름철 뚜렷한 수온성층구조가 확인되고 있어 대기기온 상승이 수온성층구조에 미치는 영향을 분석하는 것은 미래 기후변화에 대비한 저수지 수질관리 전략 수립을 위해 필요한 기초 연구라 판단되어진다. 본 연구에서는 2차원 횡방향 평균 수치모형(CE-QUAL-W2)을 활용하여 대기 온도 변화에 따른 충주호의 수온분포를 모의하고 수온 성층구조의 변동경향을 분석하였다. 지구 온난화 영향 모의에 앞서 2010년과 2008년의 충주호 수문조건에 모형을 적용하여 수온 성층구조의 재현성을 확인하였다. 미래 대기기온 자료는 국립기상연구소에서 제공하는 한반도 기후전망 모의자료(RCM) 중 충주댐 유역의 평균 기온자료를 수집하여 사용하였으며, 모의연도는 2011, 2040, 2070, 2100으로 하였다. 또한, 대기기온과 유입수온 자료를 제외한 모든 입력자료는 보정년도인 2010년과 동일하다고 가정하여 대기기온 변화의 영향만을 고려하였다. 2011년에 비해 2100년의 대기기온이 연평균 $2.44^{\circ}C$ 증가하였을 때 표층수온은 평균 $1.72^{\circ}C$, 최대 $4.31^{\circ}C$ 증가하는 것으로 나타났으며, 심층수온은 평균 $0.36^{\circ}C$, 최대 $1.33^{\circ}C$ 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 성층구조 형성기간의 비교를 위해 표층과 심층의 수온이 $5^{\circ}C$ 이상의 차이를 보이는 기간을 조사한 결과 2011년에 비해 2100년에서 5일 일찍 시작되어 11일 더 지속되는 것으로 나타났다.

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Future hydrological changes in Jeju Island based on AR6 climate change scenarios (AR6 기후변화 시나리오 기반 제주도의 미래 수문 변화 전망)

  • Chul-Gyum Kim;Jaepil Cho;Jeong Eun Lee;Sun Woo Chang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.293-293
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    • 2023
  • 2022년 발간된 IPCC (The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 6차 평가보고서(AR6)에서는 미래 사회경제변화를 기준으로 기후변화에 대한 미래의 완화와 적응 노력에 따라 5개의 시나리오로 구분된 SSP (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, 공통사회경제경로)를 제시하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 제주도 지역을 대상으로 SSP 시나리오에 따른 미래 수문학적 변화를 분석하였다. 제주도 지역의 독특한 기후 및 지질학적 특성, 간헐적 하천유출 특성 등을 모의할 수 있는 유역모델링(SWAT)을 기반으로, 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 수문 변화를 분석하였다. 기후모형에 따른 미래 전망의 불확실성을 최소화하기 위해 SSP 시나리오 4종(SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5)에 대해 18개의 Global Climate Models (GCMs) 자료를 분석에 사용하였다. 또한 지역별 공간적 특성을 충분히 반영하기 위해 하천구간과 고도 특성을 고려하여 총 299개 소유역으로 구분하여 모델링을 수행하였다. 각 GCM 및 SSP 시나리오별 산출된 유역모델링 모의자료를 기반으로 과거 historical 기간(1981~2010년)과 미래기간(2011~2100년)으로 구분하여 강수량, 유출량, 증발산량, 함양량 등에 대한 시공간적 변화를 분석하였다. 대체로 모든 GCM 및 모든 SSP 시나리오에서 미래기간으로 갈수록 강수량은 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 북부지역(제주시)보다는 남부지역(서귀포시)의 증가량이 많으며, SSP5-8.5 시나리오에서 상대적으로 변동폭이 큰 것으로 분석되었다. 기준증발산량 또한 기온의 증가에 따라 미래로 갈수록 기준증발산량이 증가하는 것으로 전망되었으며, SSP5-8.5 시나리오에서 가장 크게 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 기준증발산량의 절대값은 북부지역에서 더 크게 나타나며, SSP5-8.5에서 가장 큰 것으로 전망되었다. 과거기간 대비 변화율은 SSP5-8.5에서 가장 크게 증가하며, 최소 10% 이상 증가할 것으로 전망되었다.

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Advanced Construction Management through an Integrated Information Control Environment (통합 건설관리 환경과 일관된 정보처리 체계의 구현)

  • Moon Sung-Woo;Kim Yong-Beom;Kim Young-Do
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.137-142
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    • 2003
  • Construction CALS has been introduced with an aim to improve the effectiveness of construction management in the public sector. The objective of this paper is to provide an approach to implementing an integrated construction management environment. The environment described in this paper provides a methods for the owner and the contractor as well as designers and engineers to interact in a sing control scheme. This interaction represents the collaboration between the contractual parties for sharing construction information. XML technology has been applied as a basic technology for delivering data in the system. The XML-based forms are loaded on the system, whose data are stored in the central database right after review and approval. In future the integrated construction management environment can be further developed to the extend that the contractor's information system is directly interface with the owner's.

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Factors Relating to Quitting in the Small Industries in Incheon (인천지역 일부 소규모 사업장 근로자들의 이직요인(離職要因))

  • Ahn, Yeon-Soon;Roh, Jae-Hoon;Kim, Kyoo-Sang
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.28 no.4 s.51
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    • pp.795-807
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    • 1995
  • This study was carried out from 1993 to 1994 in the small industries in Incheon. The objectives of this study was in order to estimate the quitting rate, to identify its relating factors and to propose effective quitting management policy in the small industries. The results were as follows ; 1. The quitting rate of 266 study workers was 42.1%(112 workers). 2. Age, working duration, position, marrital status were significant difference between the quitting group and the non - quitting group. In the quitting group, mean age was young, working duration was short, general employees and unmarried workers were many compared with the non - quitting group. 3. In the industry characteristics, total assets, total assets, sales per person, establishment duration and occupational health and safely status were significant difference between the quitting group and the non - quitting group. In the quitting group, total assets, total sales and sales per person were little, establishment duration of company was short and occupational health and safety status were poor compared with the non - quitting group. 4. In the quitting group, worker's response to employer's disposal about health and safety was more passive and the relation to employer with employee was significantly poor compared with the non - quitting group. 5. Multiple logistic regression analysis of quitting against family income per person, working duration, relation to employer with employee, occupational health and safety status in industry, worker's response to employer's disposal about health and safety and sales per person was done. Working duration, occupational health and safety status, worker's response to employer'1 disposal about health and safety were significant explainatory variables for quitting. Above results showed that the quitting rate was high and it was significant difference between the quitting group and non : quitting group according to characteristics of workers and of industries. Especially, it suggested that working duration, occupational health and safety status and worker's response to employer's disposal about health and safety were significant quitting factor. Therefore, it should be reflected in the quitting management and the policy of steady employment.

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A Study on Substantiation Methodology for Extension of Time in International Mega-Project Claims (해외 대형건설공사 공기지연클레임의 공기연장기간 입증방법)

  • Kim, Young-jae;Kim, Tae-kyoung;Jo, Duk-sang;Lee, Hwang-ku
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2015
  • Recently many Korean large-sized construction companies as well as specialty contractors have been expanding their business in the overseas market to mitigate impacts from long-term stagnation in the domestic market. Such as a result, it has been arisen as a major issue that contractors effectively manage the delays which have been commonly faced with in international mega-projects. Therefore it can be said that the ability of the delays management leads a success of project. This paper presents a review of literature for delay analysis methods such as time impact analysis(TIA) and raises practical problems to rationally substantiate the duration of extension of time(EoT) in international mega projects which have wide scope of works as well as complicated and detailed contract baseline programs by taking theoretical approaches. We suggest the two improvement concepts to substantiate the EoT claims which are effectively applicable to practical projects. The first is to sort out dominant delays among numerous delays in advance of applying a delay analysis. The second is to set up the delay sections with the advanced concept for analysing delays' effects by TIA. This study performed a case study on an actual international mega-project. to confirm the effectiveness of improvement concepts that this practical approach is applicable for the assessment of EoT. In conclusion, this paper supposes to provide practitioner in charge for an EoT claim with an advanced substantiation methodogy when they not only analyse the construction delays by using TIA, but also negotiate with stakeholders about with the assessment of EoT.

An Economic Analysis of Agricultural Automated Water Management Project and an Study on the Enlargement Plan (농업용수관리자동화사업에 대한 경제효과 분석 및 발전방안 연구)

  • Jee, Yong-Geun;Kim, Sun-Joo;Kim, Phil-Shik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.953-957
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    • 2006
  • 농업용수관리자동화사업의 시행은 수자원관리 중에서 용수절약 및 유지관리비 절감을 위해 도입된 용수관리 개선방안 중의 하나이다. 현재 대부분의 수리시설이 수원공 관리인과 수로감시원의 인력에 의해 관리되고 있으며 2004년 수리시설물의 관리비 집행내역을 살펴보면 시설유지비 54.2 %, 개보수비 34.2 %, 적립금 및 기타 비용이 11.6 %를 차지하고 있다. 이 중의 시설유지비는 인거비의 상승으로 1999년 41.4 %에서 2004년 54.2%로 증가되었으나 개보수비는 같은 기간에 41.5 %에서 34.2 %로 감소된 것으로 나타났다(농업생산기반정비사업 통계연보, 2005). 따라서 농업용수관리자동화는 시설관리비와 개보수비의 절감 그리고 적정한 용수관리에 의한 용수절감을 위해서 더욱 확대 보급할 필요가 있다. 본 연구에서는 농업용수관리자동화 사업이 추진되어 운영되고 있는 충주지구를 선정하여 총사업비, 인건비, 유지관리비(통신료, 전력사용료 등), 수선유지비, 기타비용 등의 비용과 인력절감효과, 용수절감효과, 재해경감효과, 공익적효과 등의 편익을 분석하였다. 농업용수관리자동화시설에 대한 비용-편익 분석을 한 결과, 경제적인 효과가 있는 것으로 나타났으며 지속적인 사업의 시행을 위해서는 시설에 대한 교육, 전문인력의 보충, 운영 및 유지관리비의 투자가 병행되어야 한다고 판단된다.

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Performance Management through Time-Cost Integration in Construction Project (비용-일정 통합관리를 통한 건축공사 실적관리)

  • Kim Dong-Jin;Lim Hyoung Chul;Choi Jung Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.379-382
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    • 2001
  • In domestic construction industry, time and cost has been managed separately in most cases. Usually projects are managed focused on cost, so time is not yet managed systematically. Project performance in these managemental situation can not be assessed correctly. This would cause project delay, cost overrun, productivity loss. Therefore it is needed to adopt earned value concept, an approach used in the management and control of project costs and schedules. Using this EV concept through time-cost integration, project can be managed properly based on the consistency, predictability, and reliability of the performance data. This paper proposed time and cost integration process, proper PMT method, and practical performance management model through time and cost integration.

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The Analysis and Comparison of the Hedging Effectiveness for Currency Futures Markets : Emerging Currency versus Advanced Currency (통화선물시장의 헤징유효성 비교 : 신흥통화 대 선진통화)

  • Kang, Seok-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.155-180
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    • 2009
  • This study is to estimate and compare hedging effectiveness in emerging currency and advanced currency futures markets. Emerging currency futures includes Korea won, Mexico peso, and Brazil real and advanced currency futures is Europe euro, British pound, and Japan yen. Hedging effectiveness is measured by comparing hedging performance of the naive hedge model, OLS model, error correction model and constant condintional correlation bivariate GARCH(1, 1) hedge model based on rolling windows. Analysis data is used daily spot and futures rates from January, 2, 2001 to March. 10, 2006. The empirical results are summarized as follows : First, irrespective of hedging period and model, hedging using Korea won/dollar futures reduces spot rate's volatility risk by 97%. Second, Korea won/dollar futures market produces the best hedging performance in emerging and advanced currency futures markets, i.e. Mexico peso, Brazil real, Europe euro, British pound, and Japan yen. Third, there are no difference of hedging effectiveness among hedging models.

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Factors Affecting Length of Stay and Death in Tuberculosis Patients(2008-2017): Focus on the Korean National Hospital Discharge In-depth Injury Survey (결핵 환자의 재원기간과 사망에 영향을 미치는 요인(2008-2017): 퇴원손상자료를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hyun-Sook;Kim, Sang-Mi
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.487-497
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to identify factors affecting length of stay(LOS) and death in tuberculosis(TB) patients by disease type, patient characteristic, admission and disease characteristic, and hospital characteristic from 2008 to 2017. Survey data was using Korean national hospital discharge in-depth survey data produced by Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency. Study subjects were 10,634 inpatients with TB(A15, A16, A17, A18, A19, U88.0, U88.1, U84.30, U84.31) and analyzed frequency, chi-square test, Fisher's exact test, and logistic regression by using STATA 13.0. As a study result, the type of TB(extrapulmonary TB, multidrug-resistant TB, extensively drug-resistant TB), sex(woman), age(35-49, 50-64, 65-74, 75 years old or older), admission type(outpatient department), CCI(1-2 point, 3 point over), hospital location(metropolitan city) and bed size(300-499, 500-999, over 1000) were significantly influence LOS. Also, the type of TB(extrapulmonary TB, extensively drug-resistant TB), sex(woman), age(50-64, 65-74, 75 years old or older), residence(small town/rural), admission type(outpatient department), CCI(1-2 point, 3 point over), hospital location(provincial) were significantly influence death. In conclusion, the existing tuberculosis management has been patient management with rapid diagnosis and treatment following early detection. But other studies should be carried out for the system that identifies and supports high-risk groups of the long-term length of stay in hospital or high mortality rates as a result of treatment.

Time Series Analysis of Intellectual Structure and Research Trend Changes in the Field of Library and Information Science: 2003 to 2017 (문헌정보학 분야의 지적구조 및 연구 동향 변화에 대한 시계열 분석: 2003년부터 2017년까지)

  • Choi, Hyung Wook;Choi, Ye-Jin;Nam, So-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.89-114
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    • 2018
  • Research on changes in research trends in academic disciplines is a method that enables observation of not only the detailed research subject and structure of the field but also the state of change in the flow of time. Therefore, in this study, in order to observe the changes of research trend in library and information science field in Korea, co-word analysis was conducted with Korean author keywords from three types of journals which were listed in the Korea Citation Index(KCI) and have top citation impact factor were selected. For the time series analysis, the 15-year research period was accumulated in 5-years units, and divided into 2003~2007, 2003~2012, and 2003~2017. The keywords which limited to the frequency of appearance 10 or more, respectively, were analyzed and visualized. As a result of the analysis, during the period from 2003 to 2007, the intellectual structure composed with 25 keywords and 8 areas was confirmed, and during the period from 2003 to 2012, the structure composed by 3 areas 17 sub-areas with 76 keywords was confirmed. Also, the intellectual structure during the period from 2003 to 2017 was crowded into 6 areas 32 consisting of a total of 132 keywords. As a result of comprehensive period analysis, in the field of library and information science in Korea, over the past 15 years, new keywords have been added for each period, and detailed topics have also been subdivided and gradually segmented and expanded.