• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.29 no.7
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• pp.1329-1346
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• 2016

Korea Health Panel (KHP) data and Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) data are collected by self-assess and self-report for individual's health status and medical use. Previous studies have claimed that the reliability for prevalence rates and health life expectancies obtained from these data should be validated. National Health Insurance Services in Korea recently released a sample cohort DB that contain all data related to the use of medical facilities for all entire Korea citizens. It has been shown that disease-specific prevalence rates calculated from these data are representative and reliable for the entire population. In this paper, we evaluate the reliability of prevalence rates derived from self-reported data such as KHP and KNHANES by comparing to the prevalence rates from the sample cohort DB. We found that both KHP and KNHANES underestimate prevalence rates and in turn overestimate health life expectancies. Moreover, the general trends of health life expectancies might be distorted (except for the sample cohort DB) because of sampling and non-sampling errors.

• Survey Research
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.109-123
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• 2000

In order to make statistically valid inferences for survey data based on complex probability sample designs, survey researchers must incorporate the sample design in the data analysis If this in not the case the variance estimates of survey statistics derived under the usual simple random sampling assumptions from an infinite population generally underestimate the true variance, which results in high Type l error level. In this article we introduce new software packages dedicated to analyze complex survey data In particular, we summarize analysis capabilities on SUDAAN Version 7.5 and SAS Version 8.

• Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.74-88
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• 2016

Predicting and estimating the disaster characteristics are very important for disaster planning such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery. Especially, if we can predict the flood damage before flooding, the predicted or estimated damage will be a very good information to the decision maker for the response and recovery. However, most of the researches, have been performed for calculating disaster damages only after disasters had already happened and there are few studies that are related to the prediction of the damages before disaster. Therefore, the objective of this study was to predict and estimate the flood damages rapidly considering the damage scale and effect before the flood disaster, For this the relationship of rainfall and damage had been suggested using nonlinear regression equation so that it is able to predict the damages according to rainfall. We compared the estimated damages and the actual ones. As a result, the damages were underestimated in 14.16% for Suwon-city and 15.81% for Yangpyeong-town but the damage was overestimated in 37.33% for Icheon-city. The underestimated and overestimated results could be occurred due to the uncertainties involved in natural phenomenon and no considerations of the 4 disaster steps such as prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery which were already performed.. Therefore, we may need the continuous study in this area for reducing various uncertainties and considering various factors related to disasters.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.3-25
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• 2012

Generally speaking, firms, faced with a regulatory environment, are likely to use more or less inputs than optimal level due to allocative inefficiency of inputs. This paper, first, tests allocative efficiency of fuel inputs and calculates the divergence between the actual and optimal levels of each fuel input conditional on the optimal level of capital stock in Korean thermal power industry. Then, given that each fuel is efficiently allocated. potential reduction of $CO_2$ is estimated over the period 1987~2008. The null hypothesis of allocative efficiency with respect to all fuels is rejected, indicating that thermal power plants fail to attain cost minimization subject do market prices. Allocative efficiency between each pair of fuels is also tested; efficient uses of fuels relative to each other are all rejected. Empirical results indicate that coal and gas are used more and oil is used less than optimal level. On average, more than 10 million tons of $CO_2$ per year could be reduced by achieving allocative efficiency of fuels.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.108-115
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• 2002

Pollutants discharge modeling was carried out in the watershed of Mankyung and Dongjin rivers. The watershed and pollutants source information extracted and analysed by the GIS tool was used as the model input parameters. This model was calibrated by comparison of the measured and computed monthly freshwater discharge and water quality(WQ) concentration. The compared WQ data are the ten-year-mean WQ concentration and monthly WQ concentration in 1999. The results show that the watershed runoff is underestimated in summer season, although the seasonal trends are relatively well estimated. The WQ concentrations were also relatively well estimated except Iksancheon. The computed concentration was much lower than the observed concentration in Iksancheon because of the effect of polluted sediment. Thus, the effects of polluted sediment on water column need further study through measuring and analysing the degree of the sediment contamination.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.41 no.5
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• pp.415-420
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• 2017

Underactuated prosthetic hands are relatively light and economical. In this work, an economical grasping force control system is proposed for underactuated prosthetic hands with adaptive grasp capability. The prosthetic hand is driven by a main cable based on a set of electromyography sensors on the forearm of a user. Part of the main cable tension related to grasping force is fed back to the user by a skin-mounted vibrator. The proper relationship between the grasping force and the vibrator drive voltage was established and prototype tests were performed on a group of users. Relatively accurate grasping force control was achieved with minimal training of users.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.981-999
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• 2017

In the standard control chart assuming a simple random model, we estimate the process variance without considering the between-sample variance. If the between-sample exists in the process, the process variance is under-estimated. When the process variance is under-estimated, the narrower control limits result in the excessive false alarm rate although the sensitivity of the control chart is improved. In this paper, using the variance component model to incorporate the between-sample variance, we set the control limits using both the within- and between-sample variances, and evaluate the efficiency of the control chart in terms of the average run length (ARL). Considering the most widely used control chart types such as ${\bar{X}}$, EWMA and CUSUM control charts, we compared the differences between two cases, Case I and Case II, where the between-sample variance is ignored and considered, respectively. We also considered the two cases when the process parameters are given and estimated. The results showed that the false alarm rate of Case I increased sharply as the between-sample variance increases, while that of Case II remains the same regardless of the size of the between-sample variance, as expected.

• Journal of Conservation Science
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• v.37 no.5
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• pp.567-578
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• 2021

In this study, the physicochemical properties of 21 wall fragments and rooftile pieces excavated from Jeseoksa Dump-site were analyzed, and the possibility of heat exposure, such as the fire reported in the literature, was investigated by estimating the firing temperature. From the results, it was estimated that the rooftiles were composed of refined materials, and the walls were composed of materials having different particle sizes depending on the layer. Unlike ordinary rooftiles and walls, they exhibited an uneven surface with traces of bloating phenomenon in the cross section. It was estimated from the blackening of some portions that firing was not performed in a controlled state in a constant firing environment. In addition, the estimated firing temperature showed that the non-overfired rooftiles had endured a firing temperature of 900℃ or less, but the over-fired samples were subjected to a temperature of 1,000℃ or higher and were fired at a temperature higher than the manufacturing temperature at that time. Additionally, the rooftiles probably became defective during firing or molding at the time of production, but the non-overfired rooftiles exhibited an intact shape and showed the possibility of heat exposure due to fire. Therefore, the analytical results of this study confirm that the defective architectural components damaged by the fire, as reported in the literature, were discarded in the Jeseoksa dump-site.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.38 no.12 s.161
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• pp.1039-1049
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• 2005

The objective of this study is to produce optimal radar-derived rainfall for hydrologic utilization. The ground clutter and beam blockage effects from Mt. Kwanak station (E.L 608m) are removed from radar reflectivities by POD analysis. The reflectivities are used to produce radar rainfall data in the form of rain rates (mm/h) by the application of the Marshall-Palmer reflectivity versus rainfall relationship. However, these radar-derived rainfall are underestimated in temporal and spatial scale compared with observed one, so it is necessary to hire a correction scheme based on the gauge-to-radar (G/R) statistical adjustment technique. The selected watershed for studying the real-time correction of radar-rainfall estimation is the Soyang dam site, which is located approximately 100km east of Kwanak radar station. The results indicate that adjusted radar rainfall with the gauge measurement have reasonal G/R ratio ranged on 0.95-1.32 and less uncertainty with that mean standard deviation of G/R ratio are decreased by $9-28\%$. Mean areal precipitation from adjusted radar rainfall are well agreed to the observed one on the Soyang River watershed. It is concluded that the real-time bias adjustment scheme is useful to estimate accurate basin-based radar rainfall for hydrologic application.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.280-280
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• 2023

강수의 정확한 시·공간적 추정은 홍수 대응, 가뭄 관리, 수자원 계획 등 수문학적 모델링의 핵심 기술이다. 우주 기술의 발전으로 전지구 강수량 측정 프로젝트(Global Precipitation Measurement, GPM)가 시작됨에 따라 위성의 여러 센서를 이용하여 다양한 고해상도 강수량 자료가 생산되고 있으며, 기후변화로 인한 수재해의 빈도가 증가함에 따라 준실시간(Near-Real-Time) 위성 강수 자료의 활용성 및 중요성이 높아지고 있다. 하지만 준실시간 위성 강수 자료의 경우 빠른 지연시간(latency) 확보를 위해 관측 이후 최소한의 보정을 거쳐 제공되므로 상대적으로 강수 추정치의 불확실성이 높다. 이에 따라 본 연구에서는 앙상블 머신러닝 기반 수집된 위성 강수 자료들을 관측 자료와 병합하여 보정된 준실시간 강수량 자료를 생성하고자 한다. 모형의 입력에는 시단위 3가지 준실시간 위성 강수 자료(GSMaP_NRT, IMERG_Early, PERSIANN_CCS)와 방재기상관측 (AWS)의 온도, 습도, 강수량 지점 자료를 활용하였다. 지점 강수 자료의 경우 결측치를 고려하여 475개 관측소를 선정하였으며, 공간성을 고려한 랜덤 샘플링으로 375개소(약 80%)는 훈련 자료, 나머지 100개소(약 20%)는 검증 자료로 분리하였다. 모형의 정량적 평가 지표로는 KGE, MAE, RMSE이 사용되었으며, 정성적 평가 지표로 강수 분할표에 따라 POD, SR, BS 그리고 CSI를 사용하였다. 머신러닝 모형은 개별 원시 위성 강수 자료 및 IDW 기법보다 높은 정확도로 강수량을 추정하였으며 공간적으로 안정적인 결과를 나타내었다. 다만, 최대 강수량에서는 다소 과소추정되므로 이는 강수와 관련된 입력 변수의 개수 업데이트로 해결할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 따라서 불확실성이 높은 개별 준실시간 위성 자료들을 관측 자료와 병합하여 보정된 최적 강수 자료를 생성하는 머신러닝 기법은 돌발성 수재해에 실시간으로 대응 가능하며 홍수 예보에 신뢰도 높은 정량적인 강수량 추정치를 제공할 수 있다.