• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공사비 예측식 모형

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A Study on the Prediction-Formulas of Approximate Estimate Based on Actual Work Cost for Subway (실적공사비에 의한 지하철 공사비 예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jong-Hyuk;Jeon, Yong-Bae;Park, Hong-Tae
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2013
  • This study proposed cost prediction equation model by considering duration, construction, size, actual cost with the subway construction started by the actual cost system which was introduced since 2004. Costs - scale exponent n(confidence range: 0.5 to 0.7) for cost prediction of subway construction was drawn total cost(0.713), net cost(0.77) in point of the 11 subway construction data. The cost prediction equation model of the subway construction which was presented in this study is able to effectively apply to business planning, preliminary investigation, feasibility study, basic design stage to estimate the approximate cost in the future.

A Development for Construction Cost Prediction Model of Site Development Project (단지공사의 공사비 예측모형 개발 - 토공사를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee Won-Yong;Lee Tai-Sik;Park Jong-Hyun;Bae Keon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.419-422
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    • 2002
  • The features of modem construction industry can be summarized as specialization, complexity, and large-scale. Therefore, increasing uncertainty of construction project can not be effectively dealt with traditional method used for construction cost management. Cost overrun affects on successful execution of managing construction project in a negative way. Therefore, accurate estimation is a priori for effective cost management. First, this work analyzes the previous cost estimation model for the effective cost management. Then, a standard structure required for developing the cost estimation model for site development was presented. In addition, the cost estimation model which can be used in planning and design phases was introduced by analyzing real site development projects.

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A Study On Context Sensitive Highway Design Based On Improved Operating Speed Prediction Methods in National Roads (환경 친화적 도로 설계를 위한 기초 연구 (노선대 지형 및 지역 요소를 고려한 일반국도 주행속도 예측 모형))

  • Kim, Sang-Youp;Choi, Jai-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.7 s.85
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    • pp.17-33
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    • 2005
  • Highway design speed is a very important design element which determines highway design level. When determining highway design speed, one would estimate it utilizing the most likelihood of design speed and vehicle operating speed relationship. Existing operating speed prediction models only include highway geometric characteristics and their impacts on speed, which usually can not consider the impact of highway design speed on surrounding roadway environment and land use pattern. If this happens, excessive highway construction cost and huge environmental impact can occur. In this research project, a new vehicle operating speed prediction model was developed which can reflect the effect of surrounding roadway environment into vehicle speed prediction. The followings are the research findings : Firstly, highway terrain types and land use pattern on national roads were classified and integrated into drivers' visual recognition pattern. This was performed using a data management software. Secondly, the developed highway terrain types and land use pattern were related to vehicle speeds and it was found that there were significant statistical differences among vehicle speed for each different terrain and land use pattern. Thirdly. the General Linear Model analysis was employed to analyze the effects of highway geometric features, terrain types, and land use patterns. For two-lane highway and four-lane highway tested in this research project, it was found that R squares were 0.67 and 0.85, respectively. Additionally an optimal highway design speed range table, based on this research project. was proposed for practical use. This table can be reliably used on South Korean national road design, but discretion is required for applying this table to other types of highways including provincial roads and municipal roads.

An Economic Approach for Improvement of Radius for Hazarouds Road (위험도로 곡선반경 개선의 경제적 접근에 관한 연구)

  • Ha, Tae-Jun;Kim, Jeong-Hyun;Yoon, Pan;Park, Je-Jin;Kim, Young-Woon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2003
  • The Government presented improvement plans such as "Traffic Accident Frequent Point" and "Hazardous Roads" to reduce traffic accidents on the increase after 1980s. In case of the hazardous roads, they are expressed by grades which are marked by geometric elements such as width, radius, grade. sight distance. and other environmental factors. As each business for improving roads goes by only focusing on improvement of geometric elements, excessive expense can be invested too much nowadays causing economical waste. Therefore, as improvement plans approached by economic access are needed, this paper shows the cost-effective improvement of the business to keep safety related to traffic accident and economical waste. The hazardous roads which authorized by Gwang-ju National Road Preservation Office of Construction and Transportation Ministry in 1995 for business for improvement of roads, were investigated before 1999. First of all, estimating traffic accident models are presented by using existed data statistically. The models help to maximize traffic accident decrease through control of the presented factor. Secondly, optimum construction cost of improvement is presented to prevent overcapitalization. However, this paper is limited because it was difficult to sort the data with various areas and to approach various ways.

Development of regression curve to estimate runoff ratio in accordance with forecasted rainfall for decision making support of dam operations (홍수기 댐 운영 의사결정 지원을 위한 강우량별 유출율 예측 회귀식 개발)

  • Kim, Mi Eun;Kim, Hyeon Sik;Jang, Yong Hoon;Lee, Jong Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.39-39
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    • 2018
  • 우리나라는 전체 국토의 약 70%가 산악지형으로 이루어져 있고 연중 강우가 6월에서 9월에 집중되는 기후적 특성을 가지고 있다. 최근 기후변화의 영향까지 더해지면서 시간당 300mm 이상의 집중호우를 보이는 이상강우가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 대부분의 도시지역은 하천을 중심으로 발달되어 있어 인구 및 사회기반시설의 집약정도가 매우 높고 하천변 저지대 지역에 주거 및 상업시설이 밀집되어 있다. 기후적 지역적 특성으로 인한 홍수피해를 미연에 방지하고 피해를 최소화하기 위하여 치수 중심의 수자원 관리를 위해 노력하고 있다. 하지만 우리나라의 하천관리는 시기별 하천 수량의 급격한 변동으로 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이러한 어려움을 극복하고 효율적인 수자원 관리 및 홍수피해 저감을 위해 수계를 중심으로 20개의 다목적댐을 건설하여 운영 관리 중에 있다. 특히, 홍수기 시 댐 운영은 예상 강우에 따라 적절한 예비방류와 강우 시 효율적인 댐 운영계획이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 강우가 집중되는 홍수기 댐 운영 시에 예상 강우량에 따라 댐 유역 내 유량 증가에 기여하는 정도를 예측할 수 있는 유출율 예측 회귀식을 개발하였다. 유출율은 강우와 유출량의 비로 지역특성, 강우특성, 관개여부, 선행강우량, 강우이동 방향 등 다양한 요인에 의해 복잡한 메케니즘을 갖는다. 단순히 예상되는 총강우량에 따른 유출율 만으로 상호관계를 정의하기가 쉽지 않기 때문에 한국수자원공사에서 개발한 댐군 홍수조절 연계운영시스템(COSFIM)인 수문학적 연계운영모형을 활용하였다. 최근 10년간 홍수기에 발생한 강우사상별 시간단위의 수문자료(총강우량, 기저유량, 유출율, 무강우일수, 강우지속시간 등) 분석을 실시하였다. COSFIM 모형을 통한 결과를 토대로 고려항목 간 교차검증을 통해 사분위수범위의 이상치 경계를 설정하고 상관분석 결과에 따라 0.5 이상의 상관성이 높은 항목을 활용하여 예측 강우량에 따른 유출율 예측 회귀식을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 예측 강우에 따른 유출율 예측 산정식은 댐 유역에 예상되는 강우량에 대하여 하천의 유량 증가 예측 정도를 정량적으로 제시할 수 있으며, 실제 홍수기 댐 운영 시 예상 강우량에 따라 신속하고 적절한 수문 방류 계획 수립에서 용이하게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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Earth pressures acting on vertical circular shafts considering arching effects in c-$\phi$ soils : II. Lab. Model Tests (c-$\phi$ 지반에서의 아칭현상을 고려한 원형수직터널 토압 : II. 실내 모형실험)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon;Cha, Min-Hyuck;Lee, Dea-Su;Kim, Kyung-Ryeol;Lee, In-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.129-144
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    • 2010
  • The earth pressure acting on the vertical shaft is less than that acting on the retaining wall due to three dimensional arching effect. Thus, it might be essential to estimate the earth pressure actually acting on the shaft when designing the vertical shaft. In this paper, large-sized model tests were conducted as Part II of companion papers to verify the newly suggested earth pressure equation proposed by Kim et al. (2009: Part I of companion papers) that can be used when designing the vertical shaft in cohesionless soils as well as in c-$\phi$ soils and multi-layered soils. The newly developed model test apparatus was designed to be able to simulate staged shaft excavation. Model tests were performed by varying the radius of vertical shaft in dry soil. Moreover, tests on c-$\phi$ soils and on multi-layered soils were also performed; in order to induce apparent cohesion to the cohesionless soil, we add some water to the dry soil to make the soil partially-saturated before depositing by raining method. Experimental results showed a load transfer from excavated ground to non-excavated zone below dredging level due to arching effect when simulating staged excavation. It was also found that measured earth pressure was far smaller than estimated if excavation is done at once; the final earth pressure measured after performing staged excavation was larger and matched with that estimated from the newly proposed equation. Measured results in c-$\phi$ soils and in multi-layered soils showed reduction in earth pressures due to apparent cohesion effect and showed good matches with analytical results.

A Study on the Establishment of Governance for Water-Saving in Agricultural Water (농업용수의 물절약을 위한 거버넌스 구축 연구)

  • Lee, Seul Gi;Choi, Kyung Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.365-365
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    • 2021
  • 기후변화로 인하여 발생하는 자연재해는 수많은 인명 및 재산 피해를 일으키며, 그 중에서도 가뭄은 물과 식량의 안보를 위협하고 있다. 이에 OECD(2015)는 미래의 세계 인구 40%가 2050년까지 물이 부족한 강 유역에서 살 것이라 예측하고 있으며, 물의 다층적 거버넌스를 개발하여 물을 효과적으로 사용하기 위한 상향식 의사결정, 통합물관리 체제의 개념을 제시하기도 하였다. 우리나라 역시 가뭄으로 인한 피해발생이 빈번하고, 그 강도나 범위가 점차 증가하는 추세이다. 하지만 2000년부터 한국농어촌공사(출범은 '농업기반공사')가 농업용수를 관리해오고 있으며, 농업용 수리시설의 증축, 관리 등이 공적인 관리쳬계로 변화해오면서 자연스럽게 농업인의 물관리는 배제되었다. 또한, 농업용수는 무상·무제한 공공재라는 인식과 농업인 평균 연령이 높아짐에 따라 농업인의 물꼬관리 및 수로 훼손, 무단취수 행위 등에 대한 제제가 불가능한 실정이다. 본 연구에서 최근 농식품부의 「2019년 정부가뭄종합대책」에 포함되어 있는 물절약 거버넌스 구축 및 운영 내용을 바탕으로 농업용수 관리 및 사용구조를 고려하여 두 개 지역의 농어촌공사(여주이천지사, 경주지사) 주도 하에 거버넌스를 간담회 형식으로 운영하였다. 농업용수 물절약 거번넌스 이해관계자들은 각 지역별 공기업, 공무원, 농업인, 언론인, 학계 전문가 등이 참가하였으며, 거버넌스 운영 2회 및 설문조사를 실시하였다. 그 결과 각 이해관계자들은 농업용수 절약을 위한 현재 문제점 및 해결방안 등에 대한 의견을 제시하였으며, 설문조사를 통하여 농어촌공사의 신뢰도 및 중요도가 가장 높고, 높은 중요도에 비하여 농업인 및 지자체 등은 신뢰도가 낮은 것을 확인 할 수 있었다. 이러한 결과는 농업인이 농업용수에 대한 주인의식을 가지고, 적극적이고 자발적인 참여가 필요하다는 것을 보여주고 있으며, 본 연구를 통하여 이루어진 간담회 형식의 거버넌스보다 운영효과 및 지속성을 유지할 수 있는 형태의 거버넌스가 연구되어야한다. 향후 농촌형물 거버넌스 모형이 개발되기 위하여 본 연구는 기초자료로 활용할 수 있다.

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Effects of Physical Parameters on Water Quality in Agricultural Reservoirs (농업용 저수지의 물리적 인자가 수질에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong;Ham, Jong-Hwa;Kim, Ho-Il;Hwang, Soon-Jin;Yoon, Chun-Gyeong
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.35 no.1 s.97
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2002
  • The effect of physical parameters on water quality was analyzed using monitoring data of 193 agricultural reservoirs. The retention time of reservoirs ($t_d$) ranged between 10 and 140 days, and the ratio of drainage area (DA) to reservoir surface area (SA) was between 10 and 120. Both ratios of DA/SA and total area (TA)/ reservoir storage (ST) in Korean agricultural reservoirs were relatively greater than those in natural lakes in other countries. As retention time was plotted against DA/SA ratio, it was shorter in Korean reservoirs than natural lakes. The semi-logarithmic relationship between TA/SA and t>$t_d$ was $t_d\;=\;42.21(TA/ST)^{-1}$ (n = 50, $R^2\;=\;0.89$). While areal loading of total phosphorus (TP) was below $4\;gTP{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}yr^{-1}$ in general, it exceeded $10\;gTP{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}yr^{-1}$ in reservoirs where DA/SA ratio was greater than 100, which implies that areal loading of TP increases as DA/SA ratio increases. Chl-a concentration was positively related with the mean depth of reservoir, implying the higher Chl-a concentration with deeper the mean depth. Therefore, the deeper reservoir might be advantageous in water quality management perspective if other morphological conditions are similar. The empirical regression equation using physical parameters was also suggested in the estimation of TP concentration in the reservoirs. Combined information presented in this paper might be applicable to the water quality management in agricultural reservoirs.