• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간 내삽

Search Result 90, Processing Time 0.036 seconds

A Development of Multi-site Rainfall Simulation Model Using Piecewise Generalize Pareto Distribution (불연속 분포를 이용한 다지점 강수모의발생 기법 개발)

  • So, Byung-Jin;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2012.05a
    • /
    • pp.123-123
    • /
    • 2012
  • 일강수량은 수공구조물 설계 및 수자원계획을 수립하기 위한 입력 자료로 이용된다. 일반적으로 수자원계획은 장기적인 목적을 가지고 수행되어지며, 장기간의 일강수량 자료를 필요로 한다. 하지만 장기간의 일강수량 자료의 획득의 어려움으로 단기간의 일강수량자료를 이용하여 모의한 장기간 강수자료를 이용하게 된다. 이처럼 수자원계획의 수립에 있어서 일강수량 모의기법의 성능은 수자원계획의 신뢰성 및 결과에 큰 영향을 준다. 일강수량 모의기법은 국내외적으로 매우 활발하게 이루어지고 있으며, 수자원계획 및 수공구조물 설계 외에도 매우 다양한 목적으로 활용되어 지고 있다. 일강수량을 모의기법 중 강수계열의 단기간의 기억(memory)을 활용한 Markov Chain 모형이 가장 일반적이지만, 기존 Markov Chain 모형을 통한 일강수량 모의는 극치강수량을 재현하기 어렵다는 문제점이 있다. 또한, 일강수량 모의 기법의 목적인 수자원계획 및 수공구조물 설계 등의 입력자료로 활용되어지기 위해서는 모의 결과가 유역내 지점별 공간 상관성을 재현함으로써 모형의 우수성과 자료결과의 신뢰성을 확보할 수 있어야 하겠다. 이러한 점에서 본 연구에서는 내삽에서 우수한 재현능력을 갖는 핵 밀도함수와 극치강수량 재현에 유리한 GPD분포의 특징을 함께 고려할 수 있는 불연속 Kernel-Pareto Distribution 기반에 공간상관성 재현 알고리즘을 결합한 일강수량모의기법을 개발하였다. 한강유역의 18개 강수지점에 대해서 기존 Gamma분포를 사용한 Markov Chain 모형과 본 연구에서 제안한 방법을 적용하여 모형을 평가해 보고자 한다. Gamma 분포기반 Markov Chain 모형의 경우 일강수량 모의 시 1차모멘트인 평균과 2-3차 모멘트 모두 효과적으로 재현하지 못하는 문제점이 나타났다. 그러나 본 연구에서 적용한 다지점 불연속 Kernel-Pareto 분포 모형은 강수계열의 평균적인 특성뿐만 아니라 표준편차 및 왜곡도의 경우에도 관측치의 통계특성을 매우 효과적으로 재현하며, 100년빈도 강수량 모의결과 기존 모의모형의 문제점을 보완할 수 있는 개선된 결과를 보여주었다. 본 연구에서 제시한 방법론은 유역내의 공간상관성을 재현하며, 평균 및 중간값 등 낮은 차수의 모멘트 등 일강수량 분포특성을 더욱 효과적으로 모의할 수 장점을 확인하였다.

  • PDF

Estimation of Evapotranspiration with SEBAL Model in Miho River Basin (SEBAL Model을 이용한 미호천 유역의 증발산량 추정)

  • Na, Sang-Il;Park, Jong-Hwa
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.1125-1130
    • /
    • 2009
  • 우리나라 연간 총수자원 1240억$m^3$ 가운데 42%에 해당하는 517억$m^3$는 증발산을 통해서 하늘로 올라가고 나머지 58%인 723억$m^3$는 하천으로 흘러간다(국토해양부, 2008). 이와 같이 증발산량은 지구 표면에서 대기로의 수증기 이동 현상으로 강수와 더불어 대기의 물 순환 및 수분 이동의 파악에 매우 중요한 지표로 사용되고 있다. 현재 기상청에서는 세계기상기구의 관측 기준에 따라 증발산량을 측정하고, 점추정 자료를 내삽법을 이용하여 유역면적 전체에 적용시키고 있다. 그러나 자연상태에서 증발산에 영향을 주는 요인이 매우 다양하기 때문에 점추정 자료를 통해 유역면적 전체에 대한 증발산량을 추정하는 방법은 많은 오차를 가져올 수 있다(유진웅, 2003). 이를 극복하기 위한 방법으로 RS 기법에 의한 증발산량 추정 방법과 함께 위성으로부터 획득할 수 있는 지표 및 대기 정보를 이용하여 광범위한 지역 내에서 공간적으로 불균일한 수분 분포를 추정하기 위하여 많은 알고리즘이 제안되었다. 본 연구에서는 위성영상을 이용하여 증발산량을 추정하는 모형가운데 SEBAL(Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land) Model을 상용소프트웨어에서 구현하고 충청북도에 위치한 미호천 유역에 대해 모형을 적용하여 증발산량을 추정하였다. 위성자료로는 2006년 9월 22일의 Landsat 5 TM 영상을 사용하였으며, DEM은 USGS DEM, 기상자료로는 청주시 기상연보를 활용하였다.

  • PDF

Development of Multi-dimensional Limiting Process for Multi-dimensional Compressible Flow (다차원 압축성 유동 해석을 위한 MLP 기법의 개발)

  • 윤성환;김종암;김규홍
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.34 no.7
    • /
    • pp.1-11
    • /
    • 2006
  • Through the analysis of conventional TVD limiters, a new multi-dimensional limiting function is derived for an oscillation control in multi-dimensional flows. Then, Multi-dimensional Limiting Process (MLP) is developed with the multi-dimensional limiting function. The major advantage of MLP is to prevent oscillations across a multi-dimensional discontinuity, and it is readily compatible with more than 3rd order spatial interpolation. Moreover, MLP shows a good convergence characteristic in a steady problem and it is very simple to be implemented. Through numerical test cases, it is verified that MLP substantially improves accuracy, efficiency and robustness both in continuous and discontinuous flows.

Accuracy Comparison of Air Temperature Estimation using Spatial Interpolation Methods according to Application of Temperature Lapse Rate Effect (기온감률 효과 적용에 따른 공간내삽기법의 기온 추정 정확도 비교)

  • Kim, Yong Seok;Shim, Kyo Moon;Jung, Myung Pyo;Choi, In Tae
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
    • /
    • v.5 no.4
    • /
    • pp.323-329
    • /
    • 2014
  • Since the terrain of Korea is complex, micro- as well as meso-climate variability is extreme by locations in Korea. In particular, air temperature of agricultural fields is influenced by topographic features of the surroundings making accurate interpolation of regional meteorological data from point-measured data. This study was carried out to compare spatial interpolation methods to estimate air temperature in agricultural fields surrounded by rugged terrains in South Korea. Four spatial interpolation methods including Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), Spline, Ordinary Kriging (with the temperature lapse rate) and Cokriging were tested to estimate monthly air temperature of unobserved stations. Monthly measured data sets (minimum and maximum air temperature) from 588 automatic weather system(AWS) locations in South Korea were used to generate the gridded air temperature surface. As the result, temperature lapse rate improved accuracy of all of interpolation methods, especially, spline showed the lowest RMSE of spatial interpolation methods in both maximum and minimum air temperature estimation.

Optimization of PRISM Parameters and Digital Elevation Model Resolution for Estimating the Spatial Distribution of Precipitation in South Korea (남한 강수량 분포 추정을 위한 PRISM 매개변수 및 수치표고모형 최적화)

  • Park, Jong-Chul;Jung, Il-Won;Chang, Hee-Jun;Kim, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.36-51
    • /
    • 2012
  • The demand for a climatological dataset with a regular spaced grid is increasing in diverse fields such as ecological and hydrological modeling as well as regional climate impact studies. PRISM(Precipitation-Elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) is a useful method to estimate high-altitude precipitation. However, it is not well discussed over the optimization of PRISM parameters and DEM(Digital Elevation Model) resolution in South Korea. This study developed the PRISM and then optimized parameters of the model and DEM resolution for producing a gridded annual average precipitation data of South Korea with 1km spatial resolution during the period 2000-2005. SCE-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution-University of Arizona) method employed for the optimization. In addition, sensitivity analysis investigates the change in the model output with respect to the parameter and the DEM spatial resolution variations. The study result shows that maximum radius within which station search will be conducted is 67km. Minimum radius within which all stations are included is 31km. Minimum number of stations required for cell precipitation and elevation regression calculation is four. Optimizing DEM resolution is $1{\times}1km$. This study also shows that the PRISM output very sensitive to DEM spatial resolution variations. This study contributes to improving the accuracy of PRISM technique as it applies to South Korea.

Variation of time-dependent convection beat transfer coefficients in beat transfer analysis at various initial beating rates of tunnel fire scenarios (요소제거모델을 활용한 열전달해석에서 터널 화재이력곡선의 초기가열구배에 따른 대류열전달계수의 변화)

  • Choi, Soon-Wook;Chang, Soo-Ho;Lee, Jun-Hwan;Ahn, Sung-Yol
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
    • /
    • v.12 no.3
    • /
    • pp.223-237
    • /
    • 2010
  • The initial heating rate is well known as one of the most influencing factors on the occurrence of spalling and the loss of strength in concrete after fire initiation. In this study, a series of fire tests were carried out at different initial heating rates to find out its effects on the deterioration of tunnel structural members. Heat transfer analyses combined with an element elimination model were also carried out to verify its applicability in the same conditions as the fire tests. Moreover, the convection heat transfer coefficients compatible with fire test results were derived from parametric studies. In this course, their time-dependent variations were also analyzed at different initial heating rates. Finally, a numerical formula to estimate the heat transfer coefficients at the various initial heating rates was proposed by the interpolation of the results of numerical analyses.

An Application of Statistical Downscaling Method for Construction of High-Resolution Coastal Wave Prediction System in East Sea (고해상도 동해 연안 파랑예측모델 구축을 위한 통계적 규모축소화 방법 적용)

  • Jee, Joon-Bum;Zo, Il-Sung;Lee, Kyu-Tae;Lee, Won-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
    • /
    • v.40 no.3
    • /
    • pp.259-271
    • /
    • 2019
  • A statistical downscaling method was adopted in order to establish the high-resolution wave prediction system in the East Sea coastal area. This system used forecast data from the Global Wave Watch (GWW) model, and the East Sea and Busan Coastal Wave Watch (CWW) model operated by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). We used the CWW forecast data until three days and the GWW forecast data from three to seven days to implement the statistical downscaling method (inverse distance weight interpolation and conditional merge). The two-dimensional and station wave heights as well as sea surface wind speed from the high-resolution coastal prediction system were verified with statistical analysis, using an initial analysis field and oceanic observation with buoys carried out by the KMA and the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency (KHOA). Similar to the predictive performance of the GWW and the CWW data, the system has a high predictive performance at the initial stages that decreased gradually with forecast time. As a result, during the entire prediction period, the correlation coefficient and root mean square error of the predicted wave heights improved from 0.46 and 0.34 m to 0.6 and 0.28 m before and after applying the statistical downscaling method.

Error analysis of areal mean precipitation estimation using ground gauge precipitation and interpolation method (지점 강수량과 내삽기법을 이용한 면적평균 강수량 산정의 오차 분석)

  • Hwang, Seokhwan;Kang, Narae;Yoon, Jung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1053-1064
    • /
    • 2022
  • The Thiessen method, which is the current area average precipitation method, has serious structural limitations in accurately calculating the average precipitation in the watershed. In addition to the observation accuracy of the precipitation meter, errors may occur in the area average precipitation calculation depending on the arrangement of the precipitation meter and the direction of the heavy rain. When the watershed is small and the station density is sparse, in both simulation and observation history, the Thiessen method showed a peculiar tendency that the average precipitation in the watershed continues to increase and decrease rapidly for 10 minutes before and after the peak. And the average precipitation in the Thiessen basin was different from the rainfall radar at the peak time. In the case where the watershed is small but the station density is relatively high, overall, the Thiessen method did not show a trend of sawtooth-shaped over-peak, and the time-dependent fluctuations were similar. However, there was a continuous time lag of about 10 minutes between the rainfall radar observations and the ground precipitation meter observations and the average precipitation in the basin. As a result of examining the ground correction effect of the rainfall radar watershed average precipitation, the correlation between the area average precipitation after correction is rather low compared to the area average precipitation before correction, indicating that the correction effect of the current rainfall radar ground correction algorithm is not high.

Optimization of PRISM parameters using the SCEM-UA algorithm for gridded daily time series precipitation (시계열 강수량 공간화를 위한 SCEM-UA 기반의 PRISM 매개변수 최적화)

  • Kim, Yong-Tak;Park, Moonhyung;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.53 no.10
    • /
    • pp.903-915
    • /
    • 2020
  • Long-term high-resolution hydro-meteorological data has been recognized as an essential element in establishing the water resources plan. The increasing demand for spatial precipitation in various areas such as climate, hydrology, geography, ecology, and environment is apparent. However, potential limitations of the existing area-weighted and numerical interpolation methods for interpolating precipitation in high altitude areas remains less explored. The proposed PRISM (Precipitation-Elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) model can produce gridded precipitation that can adequately consider topographic characteristics (e.g., slope and altitude), which are not substantially included in the existing interpolation techniques. In this study, the PRISM model was optimized with SCEM-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution Metropolis-University of Arizona) to produce daily gridded precipitation. As a result, the minimum impact radius was calculated 9.10 km and the maximum 34.99 km. The altitude of coastal weighted was 681.03 m, the minimum and maximum distances from coastal were 9.85 km and 38.05 km. The distance weighting factor was calculated to be about 0.87, confirming that the PRISM result was very sensitive to distance. The results showed that the proposed PRISM model could reproduce the observed statistical properties reasonably well.

Estimation of Spatial Evapotranspiration Using Terra MODIS Satellite Image and SEBAL Model - A Case of Yongdam Dam Watershed - (Terra MODIS 위성영상과 SEBAL 모형을 이용한 공간증발산량 산정 연구 - 용담댐 유역을 대상으로 -)

  • Lee, Yong-Gwan;Kim, Sang-Ho;Ahn, So-Ra;Choi, Min-Ha;Lim, Kwang-Suop;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.18 no.1
    • /
    • pp.90-104
    • /
    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to build a spatio-temporal evapotranspiration(ET) estimation model using Terra MODIS satellite image and by calibrating with the flux tower ET data from watershed. The fundamentals of spatial ET model, Surface Energy Balance Algorithm for Land(SEBAL) was adopted and modified to estimate the daily ET of Yongdam Dam watershed in South Korea. The daily Normalized Distribution Vegetation Index(NDVI), Albedo, and Land Surface Temperature(LST) from MODIS and the ground measured wind speed and solar radiation data were prepared for 2 years(2012-2013). The SEBAL was calibrated with the forest ET measured by Deokyusan flux tower in the study watershed. Among the model parameters, the important parameters were surface albedo, NDVI and surface roughness in order for momentum transport during calculation of sensible heat flux. As a result of the final calibration, the monthly averaged albedo and NDVI were used because the daily values showed big deviation with unrealistic change. The determination coefficient($R^2$) between SEBAL and flux data was 0.45. The spatial ET reflected the geographical characteristics showing the ET of lowland areas was higher than the highland ET.