• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간회귀모형

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A Study on the Clustering Method of Row and Multiplex Housing in Seoul Using K-Means Clustering Algorithm and Hedonic Model (K-Means Clustering 알고리즘과 헤도닉 모형을 활용한 서울시 연립·다세대 군집분류 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kwon, Soonjae;Kim, Seonghyeon;Tak, Onsik;Jeong, Hyeonhee
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.95-118
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    • 2017
  • Recent centrally the downtown area, the transaction between the row housing and multiplex housing is activated and platform services such as Zigbang and Dabang are growing. The row housing and multiplex housing is a blind spot for real estate information. Because there is a social problem, due to the change in market size and information asymmetry due to changes in demand. Also, the 5 or 25 districts used by the Seoul Metropolitan Government or the Korean Appraisal Board(hereafter, KAB) were established within the administrative boundaries and used in existing real estate studies. This is not a district classification for real estate researches because it is zoned urban planning. Based on the existing study, this study found that the city needs to reset the Seoul Metropolitan Government's spatial structure in estimating future housing prices. So, This study attempted to classify the area without spatial heterogeneity by the reflected the property price characteristics of row housing and Multiplex housing. In other words, There has been a problem that an inefficient side has arisen due to the simple division by the existing administrative district. Therefore, this study aims to cluster Seoul as a new area for more efficient real estate analysis. This study was applied to the hedonic model based on the real transactions price data of row housing and multiplex housing. And the K-Means Clustering algorithm was used to cluster the spatial structure of Seoul. In this study, data onto real transactions price of the Seoul Row housing and Multiplex Housing from January 2014 to December 2016, and the official land value of 2016 was used and it provided by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport(hereafter, MOLIT). Data preprocessing was followed by the following processing procedures: Removal of underground transaction, Price standardization per area, Removal of Real transaction case(above 5 and below -5). In this study, we analyzed data from 132,707 cases to 126,759 data through data preprocessing. The data analysis tool used the R program. After data preprocessing, data model was constructed. Priority, the K-means Clustering was performed. In addition, a regression analysis was conducted using Hedonic model and it was conducted a cosine similarity analysis. Based on the constructed data model, we clustered on the basis of the longitude and latitude of Seoul and conducted comparative analysis of existing area. The results of this study indicated that the goodness of fit of the model was above 75 % and the variables used for the Hedonic model were significant. In other words, 5 or 25 districts that is the area of the existing administrative area are divided into 16 districts. So, this study derived a clustering method of row housing and multiplex housing in Seoul using K-Means Clustering algorithm and hedonic model by the reflected the property price characteristics. Moreover, they presented academic and practical implications and presented the limitations of this study and the direction of future research. Academic implication has clustered by reflecting the property price characteristics in order to improve the problems of the areas used in the Seoul Metropolitan Government, KAB, and Existing Real Estate Research. Another academic implications are that apartments were the main study of existing real estate research, and has proposed a method of classifying area in Seoul using public information(i.e., real-data of MOLIT) of government 3.0. Practical implication is that it can be used as a basic data for real estate related research on row housing and multiplex housing. Another practical implications are that is expected the activation of row housing and multiplex housing research and, that is expected to increase the accuracy of the model of the actual transaction. The future research direction of this study involves conducting various analyses to overcome the limitations of the threshold and indicates the need for deeper research.

Changes in Physical and Mental Health as a Function of Substandard Housing Conditions and Unaffordable Housing (주거빈곤이 건강에 미치는 영향에 관한 종단연구)

  • Park, Jungmin;Heo, Yongchang;Oh, Ukchan;Yoon, Sookyung
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.67 no.2
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    • pp.137-159
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    • 2015
  • This longitudinal study examined the influence of substandard housing conditions and housing affordability on physical and mental health. Using data from the Korea Welfare Panel Study, this study followed 8,583 adults who continued to participate in the survey from 2009 to 2013. Multivariate analyses involved linear and logistic regression models with the hybrid method that incorporates both fixed and random effects. Results show that substandard housing conditions and excess housing cost burden had significant adverse effects on adults' mental health (e.g., depressive symptoms). About one fourth of the entire sample and one third of those in poverty reported having lived in substandard housing conditions. Additionally, nearly one fourth of those in poverty reported having experienced excess housing cost burden, which is 4 times greater than that of the entire sample. Our findings show that a substantial proportion of individuals, particularly among the poor, have a difficulty in accessing to decent, affordable housing, and that housing assistance may have additional benefits of improving the mental health of individuals with housing issues.

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A MORPHOMETRIC STUDY ON THE PRIMARY MOLARS AND PREFORMED STAINLESS STEEL CROWN (유구치 치관 및 기성금속관의 크기에 관한 계측학적 연구)

  • Choi, Ji-Eun;Cheong, Tae-Sung;Kim, Shin
    • Journal of the korean academy of Pediatric Dentistry
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.355-362
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    • 2001
  • Data derived from odontometric studies are useful in many areas. Especially crown diameter of primary teeth is important in not only anthropology but also clinical dentistry. The purposes of this study were to compare diameters of primary molars of Korean children with those of preformed stainless steel crown, and examine racial characteristics of primary molars of Korean children. The mesiodistal and buccolingual diameters of primary molars were measured on dental casts taken from 235 children(male 105, female 131), with digital calipers. And the data were compared with those of preformed stainless steel crowns. The results were as follows; 1. No significant difference was observed between the right and left members of antimeric teeth and all primary molars of male were larger than those of female. 2. The diameters of primary molars of Korean are smaller than those of Austrailian aborigines and there was significant difference between diameters of primary molars of Korean and those of other populations. 3. There were size differences between diameters of maxillary, mandibular first molar and preformed stainless steel crown than other primary molars, relatively.

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Analysis of Effects of Groundwater Abstraction on Streamflow for Sinduncheon Watershed (신둔천 유역에 대한 지하수 이용이 하천유량에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Lee, Jeongwoo;Chung, Il Moon;Sung, Gee Youne
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.12
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    • pp.1259-1273
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    • 2012
  • In this study, a watershed-based surface water and groundwater integrated model, SWAT-MODFLOW was used to quantify the stream flow depletion due to groundwater pumping for the Sinduncheon watershed. Complex water use conditions such as water taken from a stream, sewage disposal release, irrigation from agricultural reservoir, groundwater pumping were considered for simulations. In particular, the model was revised to reflect the effects of reservoir operation and return flow from the used groundwater on streamflow variation. The simulated results showed that the groundwater pumping at current status has induced the decrease of more than 10% in annual average streamflow and 40% in drought flow at the outlet of the Sinduncheon watershed, The simulated results also revealed that the vast water withdrawals at green house areas during winter season have dramatically changed streamflow from April to June. The streamflow depletion was mainly attributed to pumping wells located within the distance of 300 m from the stream for Sinduncheon watershed.

The Study on the Development of Flood Prediction and Warning System at Ungaged Coastal Urban Area - On-Cheon Stream in Busan - (미계측 해안 도시 유역의 홍수예경보 시스템 구축 방법 검토 - 부산시 온천천 유역 대상 -)

  • Shin, Hyun-Suk;Park, Yong-Woon;Hong, Il-Pyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.6 s.179
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    • pp.447-458
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the coastal urban flood prediction and warning system based on HEC-RAS and SWMM were investigated to evaluate a watershed of On-Cheon stream in Busan which has characteristics of costal area cased by flooding of coastal urban areas. The basis of this study is a selection of various geological data from the numerical map that is a watershed of On-Cheon stream and computation of hydrologic GIS data. Thiessen method was used for analyzing of rainfall on the On-Cheon stream and 6th regression equation, which is Huff's Type II was time-distribution of rainfall. To evaluate the deployment of flood prediction and warning system, risk depth was used on the 3 selected areas. To find the threshold runoff for hydraulic analysis of stream, HEC-RAS was used and flood depth and threshold runoff was considered with the effect of tidal water level. To estimate urban flash flood trigger rainfall, PCSWMM 2002 was introduced for hydrologic analysis. Consequently, not only were the criteria of coastal urban flood prediction and warning system decided on the watershed of On-Cheon stream, but also the deployment flow charts of flood prediction and warning system and operation system was evaluated. This study indicates the criteria of flood prediction and warning system on the coastal areas and modeling methods with application of ArcView GIS, HEC-RAS and SWMM on the basin. For the future, flood prediction and warning system should be considered and developed to various basin cases to reduce natural flood disasters in coastal urban area.

Comparison and discussion of water supply and demand forecasts considering spatial resolution in the Han-river basin (분석단위 세분화에 따른 한강권역의 물수급 분석 비교 및 고찰)

  • Oh, Ji-Hwan;Kim, Yeon-Su;Ryu, Kyong Sik;Bae, Yeong Dae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.7
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2019
  • Our country is making efforts to manage water resources efficiently. In the future, It is necessary to develop a plan after subdividing the basin considering regional problems and water use, topographical and climatic characteristics. This study constructed water supply and demand system based on the standard watershed unit for water shortage evaluation considering spatial resolution. In addition, water shortage were calculated and compared using the MODSIM model in the Han-river basin. As a result, the average water shortage occurring during the 49 years (1967-2015) was 129.98 million $m^3$ for the middle watershed unit and 222.24 million $m^3$ for the standard watershed unit, resulting in a difference of about 2.1 billion m3. However, the trends and distribution of water shortage occurrence were very similar. The reason for this is that, in the case of the Middle watershed unit analysis, water shortages are calculated for the demand for living, industrial, and agricultural water for the representative natural flow value, assuming that all the water can be used in basin. The standard basin unit analysis showed that the difference between the fractionated supply and demand resulted in a large water shortage due to the relatively small amount of available water, and that the main stream did not show water shortage due to the ripple effect of the return flow. If the actual water use system is considered in the model as well as the subdivision of the spatial unit, it will be possible to evaluate the water supply and demand reflecting the regional characteristics.

The Effect of Floating Location on Goodwill and Rent of Retail Shop -Focused on Seocho·Gangnam Commercial Area- (유동인구가 상가권리금과 임대료에 미치는 영향 -서초·강남구 상권을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Se-won;Noh, Seung-Chul;Park, Yong-Beom;Kim, Hyun-Deok
    • Journal of Cadastre & Land InformatiX
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.229-244
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors affecting the influence of the size and composition of the floating population on goodwill and Rent. First, the conceptual difference between location value and rent is clearly distinguished. Second, the value of land price is divided into fixed land value and floating land value. The empirical analysis utilized consulting data from 188 shops in Seocho and Gangnam-gu in 2013 ( restaurants, resting restaurants, drinking places, general stores, entertainment and sports). The results using linear regression analysis are as follows. Goodwill and rent have a positive correlation, but the evaluation system and factors are different. Especially the influence of the floating location factor is larger than the rent. And the fixed location factors such as building deterioration bus stops, were found to be significant influencing factors in the rents, but they did not affect goodwill. This result implies that the value of location of goodwill should be taken into consideration of a temporal and spatial concept. Since, in order to resolve disputes between the landlord and the tenant, it is necessary to accumulate data continuously and to study the objective evaluation system in the future.

Impact of Changes in Climate and Land Use/Land Cover Change Under Climate Change Scenario on Streamflow in the Basin (기후변화 시나리오하의 기후 및 토지피복 변화가 유역 내 유출량에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Jin Soo;Choi, Chul Uong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 2013
  • This study is intended to predict variations in future land use/land cover(LULC) based on the representation concentration pathway(RCP) storyline that is a new climate change scenario and to analyze how future climate and LULC changes under RCP scenario affects streamflow in the basin. This study used climate data under RCP 4.5 and 8.5 and LULC change scenario is created by a model that is developed using storyline of RCP 4.5 and 8.5 and logistic regression(LR). Two scenarios(climate change only and LULC change only) were established. The streamflow in future periods under these scenarios was simulated by the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT) model. Each scenario showed a significant seasonal variations in streamflow. Climate change showed that it reduced streamflow in summer and autumn while it increased streamflow in spring and winter. Although LULC change little affected streamflow in the basin, the pattern for increasing and decreasing streamflow during wet and dry climate condition was significant. Therefore, it's believed that sustainable water resource policies for flood and drought depending on future LULC are required.

A Study on the Disaster Prevention of the Royal Tomb Eureung in the Mountain Cheonjang - Estimation on Forest Fire Risk Considering Forest Type and Topography - (천장산 의릉의 방재대책에 관한 연구 - 임상과 지형인자를 고려한 산불위험성 평가 -)

  • Won, Myoung-Soo;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Choi, Jong-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Traditional Landscape Architecture
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the risk of the forest fire, considering the topography and the forest, for establishing disaster prevention measures of cultural heritage, Uireung, over in Cheonjang-mountain. To do that, we estimate the occurrence and spread of the forest fire over in Cheonjang-mountain through a forest fire probability model(logistic regression), using the space characteristic data($100m{\times}100m$). The factor, occurrence of the forest fire, are diameter class, southeast, southwest, south, coniferous, deciduous, and mixed forest. We assume the probability of the fire forest in each point as follow : [1+exp{-(-4.8081-(0.02453*diameter class)+(0.6608*southeast)+(0.507*southwest)+(0.7943*south)+(0.29498*coniferous forest)+(0.28897*deciduous forest)+(0.17788*mixed forest))}]$^{-1}$. To divide dangerous zone of the big forest fire, we make the basic materials for disaster prevention measures, through the map of coniferous forests, deciduous forests, and mixed forest. The damage of cultural heritage caused by a forest fire will be reduced through the effective preventive measures, by forecast a forest fire to using this study.

Impact of IPCC RCP Scenarios on Streamflow and Sediment in the Hoeya River Basin (대표농도경로 (RCP) 시나리오에 따른 회야강 유역의 미래 유출 및 유사 변화 분석)

  • Hwang, Chang Su;Choi, Chul Uong;Choi, Ji Sun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2014
  • This study is analyze future climate and land cover change affects behaviors for amount of streamflow and sediment discharge within basin. We used the climate forecast data in RCP 4.5 and 8.5 (2011-2100) which is opposite view for each other among RCP scenarios that are discussed for 5th report for IPCC. Land cover map built based on a social economic storyline in RCP 4.5/8.5 using Logistic Regression model. In this study we set three scenarios: one scenario for climate change only, one for land cover change only, one for Last both climate change and land cover change. It simulated amount of streamflow and sediment discharge and the result showed a very definite change in the seasonal variation both of them. For climate change, spring and winter increased the amount of streamflow while summer and fall decreased them. Sediment showed the same pattern of change steamflow. Land cover change increases the amount of streamflow while it decreases the amount of sediment discharge, which is believed to be caused by increase of impervious Surface due to urbanization. Although land cover change less affects the amount of streamflow than climate change, it may maximize problems related to the amount of streamflow caused by climate change. Therefore, it's required to address potential influence from climate change for effective water resource management and prepare suitable measurement for water resource.