• Title/Summary/Keyword: 공간회귀모형

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The Effects of Regional Education Environment on the Private Education Expenditure of the Households (지역의 교육환경이 사교육비 지출에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sun-Young;Ma, Kang-Rae
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 2015
  • In Korea, the private education spending of the households accounted for about 3% of GDP and such a education fever has been associated with the financial burden of households. The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of regional education environment on the private education expenditure of the households using the Korean Labor and Income Panel Survey(KLIPS) data. The quantile regression model is used to examine whether the effects of regional education environment such as the degree of education fever differ across the 'quantiles' in the conditional distribution of private education expenditure. The empirical results showed that the amount of private education expenditure is under the influence of the regions where the households reside. In addition, it was found that the private education spending of the households in the upper quantile groups are more likely to be affected by the regional education environments than those in the lower quantile groups.

A study on Forecasting The Operational Continuous Ability in Battalion Defensive Operations using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망을 이용한 대대전투간 작전지속능력 예측)

  • Shim, Hong-Gi;Kim, Sheung-Kown
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.25-39
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this study is to forecast the operational continuous ability using Artificial Neural Networks in battalion defensive operation for the commander decision making support. The forecasting of the combat result is one of the most complex issue in military science. However, it is difficult to formulate a mathematical model to evaluate the combat power of a battalion in defensive operation since there are so many parameters and high temporal and spatial variability among variables. So in this study, we used company combat power level data in Battalion Command in Battle Training as input data and used Feed-Forward Multilayer Perceptrons(MLP) and General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) to evaluate operational continuous ability. The results show 82.62%, 85.48% of forecasting ability in spite of non-linear interactions among variables. We think that GRNN is a suitable technique for real-time commander's decision making and evaluation of the commitment priority of troops in reserve.

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Inundation Pattern Analysis by Applying Flood Routing Model with Random Forest Regression (하도홍수추적 모형과 랜덤포레스트 회귀를 이용한 침수양상 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Kim, Byung Hyun;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.398-398
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    • 2020
  • 대도시 상류부에 위치한 댐의 과도한 방류 또는 급작스러운 붕괴는 대규모의 인명 또는 재산피해를 야기할 수 있으며, 다양한 댐 유입량 조건에 따른 침수양상을 파악하는 것은 수재해 대응능력 향상에 필수적이다. 그러나 다양한 과다한 댐 방류 또는 붕괴유량에 따른 침수 범위는 도시의 내수침수와 달리 매우 넓은 지형조건을 고려하며 침수 범위가 광범위하게 나타날 수 있다. 이는 다양한 댐 유입량 조건에 따른 침수 지도를 생성 및 파악하는데 어려움을 가중시키며, 특히 댐 운영에 따른 침수양상을 실시간으로 파악하는데 어려움을 가중시킨다. 본 연구에서는 저빈도부터 PMF(Probable Maximum Flood) 조건까지의 다양한 댐 유입량자료를 바탕으로, 1차원 하천홍수해석을 실시하였다. 연구 대상으로 팔당댐에 대한 댐 해석을 실시하였으며, 팔당댐 하류에 위치한 서울시에 대한 영향을 분석하였다. 1차원 해석 결과로 산정되는 각하도 단면 별 홍수위자료와 GIS을 연계하여 다양한 발생빈도를 나타내는 유입량에 대한 침수지도를 생성하였으며, 기존에 제시된 발생빈도에 따른 침수지도 외에 임의 빈도의 침수지도를 실시간으로 생성할 수 있는 랜덤포레스트 회귀 모형을 구축하였다. 위의 과정들을 통해 다양한 유입량 조건에 따른 연구대상 지역에서의 침수예상도를 분석할 수 있었으며, 서울시 전반적으로 나타날 수 있는 침수심의 공간적 분포를 파악할 수 있었다. 주어진 침수 지도를 이용하여 서울시에 대한 인구 및 건축물의 경제적 가치 자료를 이용하여 추가적인 홍수 위험도 분석이 가능할 것으로 보이며, 임의 빈도에 대하여 실시간으로 침수를 예측할 수 있는 랜덤포레스트와 연계할 수 있다. 제시된 방법론은 댐의 과다한 방류량과 붕괴 현상을 재현하며, 도시의 수재해 대응능력 향상을 위한 기초자료를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 보인다.

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Relationships Between Urban Infrastructure and Travel by the Elderly: Based on the Public Transit Trip Attraction Model for Dong (도시기반시설과 고령자 통행의 상관관계 분석: 행정동 단위 대중교통 통행유입 모형을 중심으로)

  • LEE, Soong-bong;JUNG, Dongjae;CHANG, Justin S.
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.268-275
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    • 2015
  • As Korea is predicted to be a super-aged society in the near future, transport policies that internalize the elderly have also drawn attentions. Even though some studies have examined the travel by the elderly with various motives, it is, however, difficult to find references that deal with the unique spatio-temporal characteristics of senior trips. For example, the models by time period have represented the temporal property while a set of independent variables associated with urban infrastructure have addressed the spatial feature. This study was conducted under a trip attraction model for transit. The result shows that transit facilities, commercial areas, and hospitals are the dominant factors to explain the travel by the elderly, particularly during 09:00-17:00.

Autologistic models with an application to US presidential primaries considering spatial and temporal dependence (미국 대통령 예비선거에 적용한 시공간 의존성을 고려한 자기로지스틱 회귀모형 연구)

  • Yeom, Ho Jeong;Lee, Won Kyung;Sohn, So Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.215-231
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    • 2017
  • The US presidential primaries take place sequentially in different places with a time lag. However, they have not attracted as much attention in terms of modelling as the US presidential election has. This study applied several autologistic models to find the relation between the outcome of the primary election for a Democrat candidate with socioeconomic attributes in consideration of spatial and temporal dependence. According to the result applied to the 2016 election data at the county level, Hillary Clinton was supported by people in counties with high population rates of old age, Black, female and Hispanic. In addition, spatial dependence was observed, representing that people were likely to support the same candidate who was supported from neighboring counties. Positive auto-correlation was also observed in the time-series of the election outcome. Among several autologistic models of this study, the model specifying the effect of Super Tuesday had the best fit.

A comparison analysis of factors to affect pedestrian volumes by land-use type using Seoul Pedestrian Survey data (토지이용유형별 보행량 영향 요인 비교·분석 - 서울시 유동인구 조사자료를 바탕으로)

  • Jang, Jin-Young;Choi, Sung-Taek;Lee, Hyang-Sook;Kim, Su-Jae;Choo, Sang-Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.39-53
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    • 2015
  • The paper analyzes factors to affect pedestrian volumes by land-use type using 2012 Seoul Pedestrian Survey. First of all, five groups were classified based on land-use types around survey points such as residential, commercial, industrial and green uses, using k-average cluster analysis. Then, differences in average pedestrian volumes by group were compared for a day and time of day. In addition, multiple regression analysis was employed to identify factors to affect pedestrian volumes, considering physical features, land use types, public transportation accessibility, and socio-economic indices as independent variables by spatial hierarchy. Model results show that the walkway width positively influenced on pedestrian volumes for all groups, whereas other variables differently affected by group. Our results can be used as basic data for establishing polices with respect to pedestrian road design and improvement as well as estimating pedestrian demand by land-use type.

Exploring NDVI Gradient Varying Across Landform and Solar Intensity using GWR: a Case Study of Mt. Geumgang in North Korea (GWR을 활용한 NDVI와 지형·태양광도의 상관성 평가 : 금강산 지역을 사례로)

  • Kim, Jun Woo;Um, Jung Sup
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2013
  • Ordinary least squares (OLS) regression is the primary statistical method in previous studies for vegetation distribution patterns in relation to landform. However, this global regression lacks the ability to uncover some local-specific relationships and spatial autocorrelation in model residuals. This study employed geographically weighted regression (GWR) to examine the spatially varying relationships between NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) patterns and changing trends of landform (elevation, slope) and solar intensity (insolation and duration of sunshine) in Mt Geum-gang of North-Korea. Results denoted that GWR was more powerful than OLS in interpreting relationships between NDVI patterns and landform/solar intensity, since GWR was characterized by higher adjusted R2, and reduced spatial autocorrelations in model residuals. Unlike OLS regression, GWR allowed the coefficients of explanatory variables to differ by locality by giving relatively more weight to NDVI patterns which are affected by local landform and solar factors. The strength of the regression relationships in the GWR increased significantly, by showing regression coefficient of higher than 70% (0.744) in the southern ridge of the experimental area. It is anticipated that this research output will serve to increase the scientific and objective vegetation monitoring in relation to landform and solar intensity by overcoming serious constraints suffered from the past non-GWR-based approach.

A Study on the Moderating Factors of the Relationship between Artwork Color Series and Visitor Satisfaction in Commercial Spaces (상업공간에서 미술품 색 계열과 방문객 만족도 관계의 조절요인에 관한 연구)

  • Wang, YeunJu;Lee, SeungHyun;Bae, JiHye;Kim, SunYoung
    • Korean Association of Arts Management
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    • no.58
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    • pp.121-152
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    • 2021
  • This study attempted to analyze the effect of the color series of artworks installed as environmental stimuli in commercial spaces on the satisfaction of visitors and the moderating effect of the relationship. To this end, based on the SOR model of Stimulate-Organism-Response applied to burial environment research in the field of environmental psychology, and the preceding research using the SOR model, artwork color series(S)-mood and spaace amenity(O)-A research framework for satisfaction(R) was developed. In the experiment, an online questionnaire was conducted for domestic college students and graduate students by producing images with two conditions depending on the case where warm colors and cold colors were installed for the color series of artworks. As a result of verifying the difference in satisfaction of respondents corresponding to the two conditions through regression analysis, it was found that the warm color(vs. cold color) of the artwork color series induces higher visitor satisfaction. In addition, as a result of verifying the controlling factors of mood and space amenity variables in this relationship of influence, a significant moderating effect was found when the positive mood of warm colors(vs. cold colors) in the artwork color series was felt higher than the average. And, of the four types of space amenity, it was found that a significant moderating effect appeared when only comfort and aesthetics were measured as moderating variables. The result of this study proves that the warm color series of artworks that stimulate the physical environment of commercial spaces has a more positive effect on the satisfaction of visitors than the cold color series, and this is reinforced by positive mood, comfort, and aesthetics. It adds understanding and provides useful implications for marketing strategies for building an effective spatial image.

Change Prediction of Future Forestland Area by Transition of Land Use Types in South Korea (로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 우리나라 산지면적의 공간변화 예측에 관한 연구)

  • KWAK, Doo-Ahn;PARK, So-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 2021
  • This study was performed to predict spatial change of future forestland area in South Korea at regional level for supporting forest-related plans established by local governments. In the study, land use was classified to three types which are forestland, agricultural land, and urban and other lands. A logistic regression model was developed using transitional interaction between each land use type and topographical factors, land use restriction factors, socioeconomic indices, and development infrastructures. In this model, change probability from a target land use type to other land use types was estimated using raster dataset(30m×30m) for each variable. With priority order map based on the probability of land use change, the total annual amount of land use change was allocated to the cells in the order of the highest transition potential for the spatial analysis. In results, it was found that slope degree and slope standard value by the local government were the main factors affecting the probability of change from forestland to urban and other land. Also, forestland was more likely to change to urban and other land in the conditions of a more gentle slope, lower slope criterion allowed to developed, and higher land price and population density. Consequently, it was predicted that forestland area would decrease by 2027 due to the change from forestland to urban and others, especially in metropolitan and major cities, and that forestland area would increase between 2028 and 2050 in the most local provincial cities except Seoul, Gyeonggi-do, and Jeju Island due to locality extinction with decline in population. Thus, local government is required to set an adequate forestland use criterion for balanced development, reasonable use and conservation, and to establish the regional forest strategies and policies considering the future land use change trends.

Estimation of Climatological Standard Deviation Distribution (기후학적 평년 표준편차 분포도의 상세화)

  • Kim, Jin-Hee;Kim, Soo-ock;Kim, Dae-jun
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2017
  • The distribution of inter-annual variation in temperature would help evaluate the likelihood of a climatic risk and assess suitable zones of crops under climate change. In this study, we evaluated two methods to estimate the standard deviation of temperature in the areas where weather information is limited. We calculated the monthly standard deviation of temperature by collecting temperature at 0600 and 1500 local standard time from 10 automated weather stations (AWS). These weather stations were installed in the range of 8 to 1,073m above sea level within a mountainous catchment for 2011-2015. The observed values were compared with estimates, which were calculated using a geospatial correction scheme to derive the site-specific temperature. Those estimates explained 88 and 86% of the temperature variations at 0600 and 1500 LST, respectively. However, it often underestimated the temperatures. In the spring and fall, it tended to had different variance (e.g., increasing or decreasing pattern) from lower to higher elevation with the observed values. A regression analysis was also conducted to quantify the relationship between the standard deviation in temperature and the topography. The regression equation explained a relatively large variation of the monthly standard deviation when lapse-rate corrected temperature, basic topographical variables (e.g., slope, and aspect) and topographical variables related to temperature (e.g., thermal belt, cold air drainage, and brightness index) were used. The coefficient of determination for the regression analysis ranged between 0.46 and 0.98. It was expected that the regression model could account for 70% of the spatial variation of the standard deviation when the monthly standard deviation was predicted by using the minimum-maximum effective range of topographical variables for the area.