• Title/Summary/Keyword: 고정효과모형

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An empirical study on the influence of product portfolio and interest rate on the lapse rate in the life insurance industry (생명보험산업에서 상품 판매비중과 금리가 해약률에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Se-Chang;Ouh, Seung-Cheol;Kang, Jung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to analyse the influence of product portfolio and interest rate on the lapse ratio. This issue is very important because of the recent introduction of IFRS and CFP. The fixed-effect model and the random-effect model are estimated with using panel data and the Hausman test is employed in order to select a model. The results of this study is summarized as follows. Firstly, the random effect model is selected. According to the model, the lapse rate increases as the portfolio of savings plan, sickness, and death increases and the interest rate is high. Secondly, health insurance and variable insurance product show a negative relationship with the lapse rate.

The Determinants of FDI Inflow after Reform-Opening of China (중국에서 개혁·개방이후 FDI유입에 영향을 미치는 요인들)

  • Choi, Won-Ick;Han, Jong-Soo
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.177-198
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    • 2016
  • China has retained economic growth rate of average 9% for more than ten years recently after China introduced capitalistic market economy system in 1979 by Deng Xiaoping. China has attracted foreign direct investment for a long time because it has retained very high economic growth rate, low labor cost, and various policies for foreign investors. This paper tries to analyse the determinants of foreign direct investment inflow after reform-opening of China with empirical analysis methods utilizing each province·city's specific characteristics by using the panel data from 1985 to 2013. For the empirical analysis we use random effect model, fixed effect model, pooled OLS, and random coefficient model. The results by pooled OLS and random coefficient model are presented for the comparison with the main results in the process of research. The research shows the results by fixed effect model are better than those by random effect model after doing Hausman's test. The results shows that GRDP, capital stock, and telecommunication exert a positive relationship with foreign direct investment, while express way variable exerts a negative one. China's education level surprisingly does not attract foreign direct investment even though it is not at a critical level. Therefore, the Chinese government should try to increase national income level as it symbolizes market size; encourage domestic investment; and construct high quality telecommunication infrastructure.

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Estimable functions of mixed models (혼합모형의 추정가능함수)

  • Choi, Jaesung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.291-299
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    • 2016
  • This paper discusses how to establish estimable functions when there are fixed and random effects in design models. It proves that estimable functions of mixed models are not related to random effects. A fitting constants method is used to obtain sums of squares due to random effects and Hartley's synthesis is used to calculate coefficients of variance components. To test about the fixed effects the degrees of freedom associated with divisor are determined by means of the Satterthwaite approximation.

A Trade Effect Analysis of the Introducing the Euro in the Members of the Eurozone (유로존 국가들의 유로화 도입으로 인한 무역효과 분석)

  • Kang, Bo-Kyung
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.203-219
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    • 2010
  • Nowadays an instability of the exchange rate on accounts of global finance crisis brings on a lot of an economic damage such as recession, decreasing of total trade and so on. However some countries which belong to be membership of the eurozone could escape economic slump shortly and easier than others. The reason for this is that they share with the Euro as a their own currency which is the second vehicle currency all of the world. This paper analyzes the correlation of joining the Euro zone and trade with pooled OLS, random effect estimation, and fixed effect estimation. A membership of the Euro zone are able to increase trade 11.3% ~ 25.3% one another on average since some country belongs to the Euro zone. It is very important for some countries which have a plan to affiliate the Euro zone sooner or later to realize economic effect because of a protection of the Euro zone as well as political power.

The Long-Run Relationship between House Prices and Economic Fundamentals: Evidence from Korean Panel Data (주택가격과 기초경제여건의 장기 관계: 우리나라의 패널 자료를 이용하여)

  • Sim, Sunghoon
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.3-27
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    • 2012
  • This paper adopts recently developed panel unit root test that is cross-sectionally robust. Cointegration test is also used to find whether regional house prices are in line with gross regional domestic production (GRDP) in the long run in Korea during 1989-2009. Based on the panel VECM and the panel ARDL models, we examine causal relationships among the variables and estimate the long-run elasticity. We find evidence of cointegration and bidirectional causal relationships between regional house prices and GRDP. The results of long-run estimates, using both fixed effect and ARDL models, show that house prices positively and significantly influence on the GRDP and vice versa. Together with these results, the findings of ARDL-ECM imply that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship between house prices and regional economic variables even if there is a possibility of short-run deviation from its long-run path.

The impact of Technological Competitiveness in the ICT Convergence Technology on Corporate Diversification (ICT 융합기술에서의 기술경쟁력이 기업 다각화에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyunmin;Kim, Sun Jae;Kim, Hong Young
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 2017.11a
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    • pp.915-940
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 산업조직이론과 자원기반관점을 통합하여 사업 다각화에 대한 산업환경요인과 기술역량의 결정요인들로 구성한 통합모형을 설계하고, 제안한 모형을 스마트공장 ICT융합기술(애플리케이션 및 플랫폼 분야) 특허 출원기업 272개사의 6개년(2010년~2015년) 특허 및 재무데이터를 이용하여 실증적으로 분석하였다. 고정효과 패널모형을 분석한 결과, 기업의 사업다각화 의사결정에 영향을 미치는 요인들 가운데 기술경쟁력은 사업다각화 수준을 높이는 긍정적 효과가 검증되었다. 추가적으로 2단계 최소자승 고정모형을 분석한 결과, 출원특허수 보다 특허의 기술융합수준이 기술경쟁력을 증대시키는 유의미한 긍정적 효과가 있음을 검증하였다. 본 연구 결과에 근거하여 기업의 ICT융합기술자원 및 역량을 바탕으로 한 사업 다각화 전략기획방향과 정부 R&D 정책과 관련하여 융합기술자원의 사업화 지원방안에 대한 시사점을 제공하고자 한다.

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The Effects of the Bestseller Ranks on Public Library Circulation: Based on Panel Data Analysis (베스트셀러 순위가 공공도서관 대출에 미치는 영향 분석: 패널자료 분석을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jongwook;Kang, Woojin;Park, Jungkyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society for information Management
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of the bestseller ranks on the book circulations in public libraries. To achieve this goal, the weekly data sets of 179 books' library circulation and bestseller list from January 1, 2018 to December 29, 2019 were constructed based on the data collected from BigData MarketC and YES24. Three methods for analyzing panel data including linear regression, fixed-effect, and random effect models were compared, and it turned out that fixed-effect model was better than other methods. The results show that the average ranks of bestsellers were associated with their public library circulations visually. Also, the analysis of fixed-effect model showed that the single rank decline of a book on the bestseller list decreases its average circulation of 0.108 while the size of effect varied depending on subject of books. The study empirically demonstrated the impact of a bestseller list on people's book circulation behavior, suggesting that public libraries need to reference sociocultural context as well as bestseller book lists to predict library user needs and to formulate collection development policy.

Developing Traffic Accident Models Using Panel Data (Focused on the 50 intersections in Cheongju) (패널자료를 이용한 교통사고모형 개발 (청주시 교차로 50개 지점을 대상으로))

  • Kim, Jun-Yong;Na, Hui;Park, Min-Gyu;Park, Byeong-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2011
  • This study proposes the accident estimation model developed based on the time-series cross-sectional data at 50 intersections in Cheongju. The data were collected repeatedly and accumulated from 2004 to 2007. This study focused on deriving the optimal among the various models including TSCSREG(Time Series Cross Section Regression). Four different models utilizing various elements affecting accidents were developed. Through a statistical test, it was found that the t values of independent variables of the fixed effect models were less than those of the random effect models. Two variables were then found to be positive to the accidents: the number of crosswalks at an intersection and the number of intersections.

Rank transformation analysis for 4 $\times$ 4 balanced incomplete block design (4 $\times$ 4 균형불완전블럭모형의 순위변환분석)

  • Choi, Young-Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.231-240
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    • 2010
  • If only fixed effects exist in a 4 $\times$ 4 balanced incomplete block design, powers of FR statistic for testing a main effect show the highest level with a few replications. Under the exponential and double exponential distributions, FR statistic shows relatively high powers with big differences as compared with the F statistic. Further in a traditional balanced incomplete block design, powers of FR statistic having a fixed main effect and a random block effect show superior preference for all situations without regard to the effect size of a main effect, the parameter size and the type of population distributions of a block effect. Powers of FR statistic increase in a high speed as replications increase. Overall power preference of FR statistic for testing a main effect is caused by unique characteristic of a balanced incomplete block design having one main and block effect with missing observations, which sensitively responds to small increase of main effect and sample size.

A meta analysis for anti-hyperlipidemia effect of soybeans (메타분석을 이용한 대두의 항-고지혈 효과)

  • Kim, Ji-Eun;Choi, Ki-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.651-667
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, using a meta analysis of anti-hyperlipidemia effect of soybeans were studied. Studied the effects of soybeans using Hedges' standardized mean difference looked at the effect. Applying the fixed-effects model analysis of fecal cholesterol and total cholesterol and triglycerides showed a statistically significant reduction in HDL cholesterol increase was statistically significant at. In addition, the homogeneity of all variables by running the test did not meet the homogeneity of the kidney weight, between weight, HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, total cholesterol, and triglycerides in the random effects model against the results of the analysis conducted by a statistically significant variable that did not.